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Arch Stanton

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Posts posted by Arch Stanton

  1. 1 hour ago, davehsug said:

    We haven't had a proper plume event, with the necessary uppers. What interests me, is that it seems almost any high pressure event, regardless of the starting uppers, lasting 2 or 3 days, with unbroken sunshine, now sends us automatically into the high 20s, low 30s. I'm sure this was not always the case. We don't seem to get the 25-28 spells that we used to see, outside of spring and autumn. 

    I agree, I've been thinking about this for a while too. Its yet more evidence that temperatures are trending upward; I also wouldn't be surprised if that 20c UK Feb figure will become more common over the coming years. ☹️

  2. 7 hours ago, Thundery wintry showers said:

    Lincoln has been near the boundary of the NW-SE divide over the last few days, it was very sunny on 12 June, but 10,11 and 13 June had a fair amount of cloud at times.  The 10th was the cloudiest day, though the cloud did conveniently break up during the eclipse.  Overall though sunshine amounts have felt quite decent, and it's certainly been warm.

    I'm going to visit Lincoln for the first time this weekend but the forecast looks a bit dodgy; how do you think it will pan out?

  3. 51 minutes ago, Scorcher said:

    London is one of the drier places in the country though and is actually drier than a lot of major cities on the continent.

    The Woodford figure is certainly representative of good portion of Greater Manchester (mostly flat apart from the northern and Eastern parts) with places like Rochdale higher up and close to the slopes of the Pennines.

    By international standards I don't think 867mm is that wet at all if you're taking it at face value. Obviously it's important to look at the number of rainy days as well.

    For example New York is considerably wetter than Manchester annually but the rain falls on fewer days overall.

    You’re right about London and comparisons to major cities on the continent, Rome being wetter than London is one of those cities which people find unbelievable. However, I’d be amazed if that were still true - in the last 7/8yrs London seems to have got a lot wetter, I’d obviously need to look at some charts to confirm this.

  4. Lovely as this sunshine & dry weather maybe, where are the April showers that used to be almost guaranteed every year? I fear this prolonged dry spell will eventually reverse (and balance itself out) and we'll be stuck in a 6-7 week-long trough at some point this year.

    There seems to be no balance in our weather anymore, well not in the South East at least. 

  5. I'd hope / expect that a good amount of snow patches would survive this year because of favourable conditions that stretch back to December, with only a few very brief milder interludes in that time.

    From what I've seen the freezing level in the Central / Northern Munros has been stuck around 400m all winter

     

  6. So it looks like yet another BBC forecast for the SE from last night is completely wrong, patchy rain moving east fizzling out as it does so is what they said, well it’s steady rain now with some dark echos on the radar in the region, all heading up from France and not the from the west!

    Since their tie in with Meteogroup they’ve become very unreliable. Their graphics always seem to overemphasise snowfall too.

     

  7. Temperatures at 1.7 now after an overnight low of -1.1. Just had a decent 20min flurry which was unexpected, so that’s 4 days on the trot where it has snowed here, I’ll take it even though it’s not what I had hoped for in terms of depth & severity.

    Ps it’s positively brilliant when compared to the mild wet dross of the previous 2 winters.

    Enjoy your streamers you lucky people

     

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  8. Just watched the nationwide bbc weather after the 10pm news and their graphics showed widespread snow earlier today - all over the east & south east of England. The temperature at that time in my part of Hertfordshire was 5.1c and it rained all day.

    Ever since MeteoGroup took over the BBC weather forecasts, ‘a daily express effect’ has been evident in their predictions / observations no matter what time of year it is, their forecasts are the least accurate out there from what I can see.

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