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Notty

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Everything posted by Notty

  1. Notty
    Goodness. If only it wasn’t FI. That would be a mega blizzard and freeze after. Not sure this country would cope
  2. Notty
    Yes - 6 days out EC says cold and snowy , GFS wet and mild. Interesting looking forward to the ensembles
  3. Notty
    It doesn’t get any better so enjoy what you have now Merry Christmas All
  4. Notty
  5. Notty
    ALIWB Dry
  6. Notty
    Especially if it moves further South than modelled as they do appear to.
  7. Notty
    I really don’t know why we bother looking later than 4 days really. We should manage our own expectations. Speaking for myself of course
  8. Notty
    All to play for then. Incredible at that time range really.
  9. Notty
    The models are so bipolar at the minute all is still to play for. I’d love to leave it for a week but I can’t
  10. Notty
    or any run. But where is the fun in that
  11. Notty
    The mildest … but not without support
  12. Notty
    Trendsetter ? We will know by tomorrow I would suggest.
  13. Notty
    What are the anomalies comparing to? Some weird stuff going on in the Atlantic between the UK and Canada
  14. Notty
    They usually are
  15. Notty
    I saw it once in the early 80’s in South Wales. Probably Jan 83. Ice crystals falling out of freezing fog with the sun shining above the fog.
  16. Notty
    You lot are nuts I was born in Oct 1962 and my mother couldn’t take me out for months. Anyway, back to the model discussion Something is afoot. GFS doing the early ‘sniff out’. You could almost guarantee a backtrack this/next week before it picks up the scent again. I think some of the models/experts/teleconnections are picking something up too. I’m hopecasting I know but it is the lead up to . Tally ho
  17. Notty
    6z OP in the FAR REACHES OF FI (not reality) is moving towards a Genoa LP and a slider into cold air. Pleeeeaaaase
  18. Notty
  19. Notty
    and the second bit … Friday 22 Dec - Friday 5 Jan Most likely to be unsettled with further bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter conditions and showers in between. The wettest and windiest conditions are most likely in the west and northwest. The chance of a colder spell of weather, with hazards such as snow and ice, does increase later in December and into the New Year period. However, conditions are more likely to remain generally mild and wet.
  20. Notty
    To my untrained eye the I think the AI model is on board ECMWF | Charts CHARTS.ECMWF.INT
  21. Notty
    Interesting …. I hope so
  22. Notty
    Yes please
  23. Notty
    I made a point about deep cold dense air, over Europe, being difficult to shift if it is over snow cover. We don’t get that in our small island group. As someone posted earlier, we are a small group of nations in a warm sea. The NWP models are looking at the big picture. It’s amazing that we get any sensible forecasts at all considering the size of our land mass and where we are situated between the Atlantic ocean and a huge landmass. Hoping for my first White Christmas
  24. Notty
    Looking at some of these posts not only is this year the warmest on record but many new extremes have been recorded.
  25. Notty
    Off topic but -7.5 to rain in 18 hours. Amazing.
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