shunthebartlett92

Sheffield and south yorkshire has certainly had a good day of it; some of them recording 10-15cm in places! wish i was up there

Don't worry folks, spring is just around the corner

Keep us updated, i think if you're only getting sleet at 300m then really there isnt much hope further south!

I think it'll be wet snow at best from what i've seen sparkie, wouldnt expect any accumulations. And that just sums up this winter, i feel blessed to have seen some snowfall but its always been transient and not part of some deep embedded good old fashioned cold spell. That said, 6 days of lying snow thus far has been fantastic but doesnt anyone else just feel a sense of inevitability that its just 'one of those winters' that has shown signs of promise but either there wasnt enough of a cold pool out to our east or the atlantic has been too strong? Danny defeatist here, but ive got low expectations for the days, possibly even weeks, ahead

I've got a bjork song in my head.... To be expected really, ill check back in a few days time, bit pointless right now but at least i wont need copious layers for a few days! bit of a reprieve

Its just a miserable day really. Not settling, just wet snow and 2 celsius; a big fat MEH from me!

So jealous of those of you getting a good covering today! In the west mids we havent done badly since last monday with around 6cm falling last monday and sticking for most of the week, but heres to hopefully another decent cold and snowy spell in 2-3 weeks time.

Yeah bit of a slushy mess outside now, was about 1cm on the pavements when i took the dog earlier, but the majority of snow has now melted on pavements and in town. Looks like thats our lot then for this cold spell, lets just see what the models show in a week or sos time once theres a full grasp of how the SSW will play out.

A sugar dusting here so far in stourbridge, but the event is young still

id love you to be right, but i just think it'll be one of those based upon the models/reports that are coming in

hmm hate to disagree with you but not convinced by that at all. The forecast looks super marginal now, but i guess time will tell. Looks like the old cursed wintry mix we all loathe unfortunately.

Met office sticking their necks out once again. If you don't live above the oxygen line (8000m) youll just get a wintry mix at best. Only the top of everest will get a dusting or the top 3 in the himalayas

Looking at the models; south shropshire into the welsh borders looks to be a good spot, but again, expect changes!

I certainly wont expect this will get resolved as theres discrepancies across the board. Might check back in tonight and see what things are looking like, but a lot will change in the next 12 hours or so.

Fingers crossed for everyone over the next 48 hours. A few cms of settling snow and i'll be really fairly happy with how this past couple of weeks has gone. A wintry frosty morning out there with freezing fog patches, 4 days where snow has fallen so far, really cant grumble.

definitely the potential for a few cms in places, but lets just see how things pan out. As ever, expect nothing, then anything is a bonus

Haha i thought the same, some things never change! He gets such joy when he talks about an atlantic breakdown. Get Sarah on the late news forecast allll day long

Also love how its basically anywhere north and west of birmingham and the black country!

Not gonna really look too closely at friday until within 24 hours of the event, we all know that a slight shift in one direction and its probably not gonna happen. Im just glad its not a channel low as that ALWAYS moves south of the m4 (well the majority of instances ive seen it forecast to hit here 2/3 days in advance and then the new forest is the only place to see snow). However, im keeping it in check, dont expect much and if we get something its a bonus. Still snowing here as i speak, but not really accumulating aside from the dusting last night. Still nice to see though!

A little dusting here on the cars/pavements last night and there's a few flakes here now. It's better than nothing!

I think the record heat in siberia earlier this year must've counted for something, as it's obviously contributed towards a warmer landmass overall, and when a blocking high dominates, very little air is circulating and it stays just as it is. I just its just the circumstances as with any blocking pattern of how warm the landmass is to start with. As you say, a warming world just causes less frigid air in circulation, and minimises our chances of drawing in very cold upper level air as it is moderated on its way to us anyway.

A blocking high over the Urals and eastern europe is quite a typical setup during a negative NAO phase, ive done a presentation on it for Uni, with it being more suppressed during a positive NAO phase. With that in mind, i think its more than just the pressure setup this year causes the warmer air to our east.

I think its just been the general theme for the last 8 or 9 winters (yes i know there have been some regional differences in that time) but it seems to take such a perfect concoction of patterns to get lying snow for more than a day or two here; thankfully last week the lying snow kept the temperatures down and snow was therefore able to remain fairly thaw-free for a good 5/6 days in places. On the UK level though, the prevailing wind direction will always be southwesterlies and in winter the pressure gradient is that bit stronger, and with the world warming up it takes a mighty effort in the atmosphere to stop that atlantic train. But as this winter shows, when the atlantic is sufficiently calmer, we still cant win with getting a cold spell. Who wants to move to northern canada?!

I think it is just a case of unseasonably mild air in the places where we want the deep cold to come from; poland, the baltic states, simply havent been cold enough so far this winter. I'm sure if they had some serious cold weather it would bring down the upper air temperatures even if the origin of the air is from the med.

I just have this sense of pessimism that its going to be one of those spells that couldve been but wasnt quite the full package. We're really in a bit of a no mans land at the moment where the uppers arent quite cold enough for snow widely and therefore its a wintry mix at best. For the majority of the country so far there hasnt been much to shout about, so here's hoping for a change later this month!