shunthebartlett92

trip down memory lane to 2013.

Thaaaaaats the one! i remember that well, snowed pretty much on and off all day, and i was wrong as even a good swathe of wales got snow too. Just depends on the convective potential really, i think by tomorrow evening we'll have a very decent grasp on the frontal bands positioning, but i think it could be game on for anywhere in the mids as the showers start to roll in, not expecting nearly as much as further east from these showers but id say a covering is distinctly possible.

I disagree, I can think of occasions where there has been enough instability during an easterly airflow where a regular stream of snow showers has gone right up to the welsh border infact. One prominently comes to mind, maybe feb 2013? There was a good 7/8cm of lying snow from shower activity. No hills to soak it up, if the convection is there the showers will come. Very different to an Atlantic airflow.

I think so, the lows nesting themselves onto the continent is definitely better news for the scandi high to remain propped up and keep those easterly winds flowing towards us. I wouldnt read too deeply into any snow forecasts for saturday night/sunday yet, as there'll be some chopping and changing for the next 48 hours.

I think it’s power of balance; the weather gods like to see both parts of the promised land get their fair share of exciting weather but in all seriousness, convection can be fairly spontaneous when we have a bay of biscay plume and really both parts of the mids are fairly well balanced in terms of the amount of thunderstorms I would think?

hahaha this is so true, i may stay away for a few days and light some candles that we may be blessed sunday and monday with the good stuff

It’d be a dream to live up there but you’re restricted for commutable jobs there, Inverness is commutable but the job market is quite restricted. Working from home though and you’re laughing!

this sums it up perfectly. the midlands and northern england have seen the best of it really. Im glad 8 days ago a good swathe of the mids, and SE england a little too, got a nice snowfall and for most of us in the black country area we've had 2 decent snowfall events since the end of december with some smaller falls inbetween. Can't grumble at all, but you cant help but feel if the scandi block had established with an iberian low firmly in place, what could've been instead of these transient cold spells/snowfall events we've had. Sadly, the atlantic influence has never been far away and tomorrow exemplifies that with double figures forecast for most.

we all know the golden rule beyond 24 hours at this stage aka changes occur significantly beyond 24 horus unfortunately, trends are good though, no doubt about that.

Haha, but only for the Staffordshire peaks I reckon

Haha, but only for the Staffordshire peaks I reckon

Here we go again; the agony and ecstasy sheikhy!

We're getting pretty heavy snow here, but its so wet its just compounding the puddle situ. Glad it's settling in the higher places, its just making today feel about 10 x grottier haha.

Anyone want a kick; look at the clee hill Facebook page, building up well on the Shropshire hills

If anyone can make a snowman out of what we have in store today i'll be very impressed

Think today is fairly well a dud across the board anyway. Just cold rain here in the west mids, and i have a friend near Hay-on-wye saying its not really settling with her either, above 250m seems to be a different story?

Were all clutching aren’t we I had more optimism yesterday but this is a write off as far as I’m concerned

Elevation definitely coming into play for some here, but plain old rain here

Still saying heavy snow for most of today round here on the met site, but the ground looks highly sodden with the rain, so really a case of let’s see I think!

My missus lives over in near Presteigne, looks amazingly poised for tomorrow’s event. Elevation should help too.

Yeah absolutely, it’s unlikely as you say but I’d rather this than the low being a slider darting south to the channel. We’ve got the precipitation, it’s just how it falls

There’s 24 hours to go that’s a long time in a marginal situation as we all well know

I wouldn’t be so brash still, think it can still tip in our favour. I’d say 20-30% chance still of an accumulation.

Yeah im thinking much the same, but it is a fine line, as long as the precip is in the region its still all to play for

I think this is the key here, longer term trends look a lot better drawing in those bitter easterly winds as pressure builds over scandinavia, look at those uppers