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Everything posted by SP1986
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Just to further add to it, almost 20 years ago, Net-weather was conceived, in the spring before one of the hottest summers on record. On the 10th August that record was beat with 38.1C being recorded in Gravesend (that's my profile picture).. I think the record prior to that was 37.6C It's quite fitting almost 20 years later that the record will likely be broken again (despite the record being broken twice in the time since) *Feeling super nostalgic*
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Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
SP1986 replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'd be very surprised if its 19C on the coast as that map shows as there is no real signal for sea breezes on west coasts. I assume this is a grid location error.. -
If you hate the heat it might be advisable to head west, the models showing as cool as 25C for some coastal areas, though given there isn't a particularly strong signal for a seabreeze, could we be looking at fog on the coast I wonder? To have fog with nearly 25C uppers and 25C 2m temperatures would be an experience in itself! Either way head to the coast!
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Wow this is not good.. I just got woke up by a frightening gust. Sounds serious, must be 70mph plus
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Constantly gusting around 55-60mph now, very noisy, and lots of breaking and snapping in the background. The worst winds are due in about 5 hours.
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Very wimdy here with 50mph gusts and were not even in the squall yet. Not having an amber warning for NW England and N Wales from the Met office must mean the storm is modelled to lose intensity faster than the general models currently show
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The danger with tomorrows storm is that it seems after Eunice many people have shut off.. This storm coming overnight could have some consequences, especially given the ground is saturated with water in parts, so with 72 to 75mph gusts along coasts and 65 to 70mph at the coastal interior, trees will fall. I cant quite believe this isnt a named storm (yet?), its a textbook storm. Im guessing if Eunice hadnt occurred, this storm would have been named by now.
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Indeed, it is clearly a storm in both character and strength. Quite a strange decision not to name it. The forecast maximum wind gust on the coast here at 6am tomorrow morning is 72mph. With all the saturated ground this is creeping up without notice it seems.
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Unfortunately there was no snow here but I have to admit, I really did think there was a chance earlier. Snow is more common in Spring than winter these days. We have 9 days to find snow here before Meteorological winter ends, and then the entire winter will have been without snow which is the wrong kind of impressive, even here on the coast.
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Looking at the impact Matrix, it looks like southern areas may well get an amber warning first despite the potentially lower windspeeds, due to the effects that Eunice had on infrastructure and trees etc. Also Met Office are keen to point out there will be a squall line going through England and Wales with winds potentially up to 70mph on the line.
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Yes if this remains consistent in the charts it needs to be named 'Francis' as it is a storm in its own right looking at the models. Northern Ireland, southwestern Scotland and NW England/N Wales coast. Top gusts as said look like being around 75-80mph around NI and SW Scotland as it stands.
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