Maidstone marginal
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Everything posted by Maidstone marginal
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Maidstone marginal replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Beast from the east. No . Cold waft from the north east yes. Rember Feb 91. Minus 6 day max in south coast locations. Just to put things into perspective -
It's all about Luton and places north. Onwards and upwards
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Maidstone marginal replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'll get shot down. But only when north France joins in to the game Will I have any confidence regarding areas south of Luton -
The north downs between folkestone and Maidstone will get spanked. That's only my prediction.
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Is low level west still in the game? Or is it the hills behind folkestone like usual?
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Early Jan 1985 in south east Kent was a big event. No one ever talks about that either, but I'm showing my age now.
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I been lurking about for many years. But I will never post in the model output thread,, if get eaten alive
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Maidstone marginal replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's good for east kent. So folkestone and the hills behind may yet take the sweet spot -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Maidstone marginal replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Remember that the surface winds don't follow the isobars they are always directed a few degrees of the compass left. So there for the wind will be rather more north east and north/North East than some may think -
Or late December 2005
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Ok I've given up looking at the models and the mod thread. So is it true that this will end up as an east Kent daggler event like Feb 2010?
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Farnham and fleet, where my sister lives did rather well on 24th January. 98 percent of Kent got rain and sleet. Send some of the luck towards the east please
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Farnham and fleet, where my sister lives did rather well on 24th January. 98 percent of Kent got rain and sleet. Send some of the luck towards the east please
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Maidstone marginal replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For the south east. I'm taking a punt that Lenham in mid Kent with a bit of altitude stands a chance of 10 cm -
Hastingleigh near Ashford. It always wins on the snow front
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Detling hill may do ok providing there's precipitation. Same on Boxley downs. Maidstone town centre and the low parts of Chatham and Rochester,, it's to be confirmed.
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Well it's hard to say when your big snow event was. You need to narrow the timescale
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The Feb 09 event was in a narrow corridor from the far north west of Kent and maybe south Essex, through south London and into central and west Surrey like leatherhead for example
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Feb 2009 and maybe Jan 2010 also
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Nail on the head mate
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I think the quality of the bbc weather service has taken a downward turn since met office lost the contract. Since 2018 they always seem to be 12 to 24 hours behind the models,,, even at really close range. Met office cost bbc too much money I guess.
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They are using 22 hour old Ecm data I think. Maybe someone will correct me?
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Saturday night and early Sunday maybe but who knows
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I personally don't think it's a good thing that northern France avoids the snow and especially the cold. It gives south and south east much less leeway as the boundary between cold and mild will remain perilously close. Plus in the event of the Atlantic breakdown, a southerly or South south easterly from a frigid north France and Belgium can help with frontal snow in a battleground scenario in this corner.
