Robbie Coldrain

Maybe we can hit 70F again in February?

I'm sure the winter setup will come right in April with a roaring north easterly 5C and rain.

First chance to cut the grass this season. I think autumn and spring are squeezing winter out of fashion.

We have special mild sector that we always stay in. Anyway, given everything that is going on in the world and energy prices it's probably for the best.

I agree the models show high pressure dominating now and the chances of a deep and lasting cold spell slipping away. Especially for those in the south.

Running out of time now for low lying parts of the south. In 4 weeks time the sun will be too high for any lasting snow. That's not say it can't snow with a cold snap, but it's means the drip drip sound of the snow melting as soon as the sun comes out.

A cool North Sea feed has put pay to any action here. As you say a SW or NW flow with a longer land track is generally much better here. The additional heat effect of Central London seems to be the sweet spot today.

Look like all the action is west of here. Enjoy if storms are your thing.

Light drizzle clearing away and brightening up now.

There's always a beast in FI, well nearly always. I never take much notice past +240. In my opinion it would actually be healthy not to have beyond +240. For the next 10 days it seems the weather is set to be mild. Double digits in the south and virtually frost free, especially in the south.

If this happens it's going to pump loads of heat into the ground. Not good for any cold snap that follows, if there is one.

You do have to laugh sometimes. Didn't Gerry Rafferty and Joe Egan right a song about this?

People always says how hard it is to shift a cold block, but in reality it never seems to be a problem. 7-10 days is generally all we can manage before the mild / Atlantic finds a way in. Yes there are exceptions to this, but they are rare.

A true beast from the old days 1991. They don't make them like that anymore.

Probably the future though and likely to become more common.

Starting to look like deep cold may be done for this year. Perhaps a tame beast towards the end of Feb? Thanks for all the excellent posts and analysis.

The beast is a lot tamer these days.

Pressure will start rising over the next 24 hours. This will mean drier air and therefore the showers will die out.

It seems things are on the slide now as we head into the weekend. Not surprised as keeping cold longer than a week in the UK is pretty rare, especially in the south. If the mild wins through I expect we will go from cold to early spring like weather here, which often seems to be way.

There's not a lot of depth to the showers. So they are not getting very far inland from the coast. Maybe 10 -15 miles in before they fizzle out. In fact the whole band of showers seem to be decaying away now.

Yeah would be nice. The intensity just isn't there in SE.

Shows the difference in shower intensity. The showers in SE are light to moderate.

Agreed the showers lack intensity thus far. Not expecting much unless they pep up.

It looks like north Kent will be the favoured spot. Could be some really big accumulations there I suspect.

Unfortunately the switch from mild 8C yesterday to zero today happened quite quickly, and so the cold never had a chance to get into the ground I suspect. It would have been far better if there had been a frost before it started snowing, then I suspect accumulations would have occurred more widely. Ironically the ground is freezing up now, but the frontal snow has largely died out now. It will be down to snow showers now, but if you catch one or two heavy ones you could still find several inches of lying snow in the morning.