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Malarky

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Everything posted by Malarky

  1. Amazing the lack of intensity in the pv there. Can’t help but think nothing is off the table with a profile like that.
  2. What’s that, about a 500 mile difference on the 0 isotherm from run to run?
  3. So many little upgrades dotted all over that chart. It’s still far enough out to evolve further in a cold direction
  4. There aren’t that many bad options on the table. Retain the cold for the foreseeable, or suffer a temporary blip followed by a return to cold. Atlantic steamrolling the pattern a highly unlikely scenario now.
  5. Would those two lows to our NE swirl around each other over our vicinity do you think?
  6. Do we have any verification stats for the big models for sub-tropical hurricanes that spring up in December once a decade?
  7. I wouldn’t trust myself to make a cup of tea. It seems to be an event where the human element, which is missing from raw model output, has higher weight than in a “typical” situation. Maybe I’m wrong
  8. I’ve got a feeling the models will be nowhere near right on the trajectory of this low at this stage. Feel it in my bones.
  9. If we could see the next few days it looks like it’s a temporary blip. Keeping my focus on the reliable timeframes.
  10. Right, that’s it, stop the models. We’ll take this one thanks very much! Please can we lock in D 2-8 now! Please!
  11. It’s like someone walked into a weather shop and said “I’ll have one of everything please”.
  12. Signs of colder air being wrapped around underneath us to our South East at day 8? Increased margin for error?
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