CentralSouthernSnow
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Posts posted by CentralSouthernSnow
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20 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Most models have failed miserably with this afternoons snow! ..
Not really. Most of that on the radar evaporated before even hitting the ground. I’d say only Wales got a good covering. Else where no
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This winter has been such a let down. It just makes me laugh how sooo many people thought this winter was going to be historical. Just shows we had about 4 SSW? None of them made great impact apart from the east and Scotland. Such a shame I’ll prob book Finland or Iceland next winter for a few days
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1 hour ago, Tim Bland said:
Wow ...that’s one mighty block let’s hope for a widespread snowy spell before spring
That chart doesn’t look appealing. It’s a start
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Are any of the models showing lows diving south and cutting under?
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1 hour ago, Mapantz said:
The precip may keep creeping along southern counties.
Why is it just staying out in the channel? It’s not moving in at all yet
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18 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
Interesting to note; the precip is moving in a more Westerly fashion.
What you mean?
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57 minutes ago, saintkip said:
Wintry flurries ? Can the BBC not mention the word snow? In Scotland some towns have had 2 feet of snow and not one report. I’ve just seen the forecaster mention more wintry flurries in Scotland, yeah that’s what’s given 2 foot of snow . If it’s a flurry it’s snow, sleet or cold rain doesn’t flurry. Cockles.
Because Scotland is used to that weather
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And we’re back to chasing 10 day charts! Well it certainly won’t be a winter to remember. See you all next winter signing out.
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Just now, KTtom said:
The icon is a rubbish model, we're not giving it airtime tonight
then why do people use that model? Icon is a great model
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5 minutes ago, mozzer84 said:
As I said the other day this looks very similar to feb 96 setup
GFS isn’t showing it, doesn’t even make it inland
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2 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:
Edit: AWD beat me to it. Still looking good from the ICONI wonder if ICON will be right...
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4 minutes ago, Smartie said:
Why don't you chill out lol, just because I posted that doesn't mean I have any faith in that outcome happening but it sure is interesting and it is a fact that weather models do tend to want to blast away deep cold way too easily.
I wasn’t aiming it at you, I mean in general, everyone goes crazy over them and think that what MO say must be right. Everyday there 6-30 day forecast changes. For them being such professionals they never stick to an output it’s always wishy washy, When in all honesty they have just as much of a clue than we do when model viewing!
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I don’t know why everyone rates the metoffice so much. They change there forecast every single day? Last week they were saying very blocked feb and March. Now it’s the complete opposite. You guys put way too much faith into these people.
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I don’t know why everyone rates the metoffice so much. They change there forecast every single day? Last week they were saying very blocked feb and March. Now it’s the complete opposite. You guys put way too much faith into these people.
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Icon still going for snow pushing inland on Saturday however Metoffice only have it for Devon etc hmmm!
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8 minutes ago, AWD said:
18z ICON very similar to it's earlier 12z run, with a good snowfall for many inland areas of the region on Saturday. Again, won't post all the charts, just a snapshot below;
Very consistent between both 12z and 18z output. Still a rank outsider but we can hope! Oh hail the mighty ICON!
Hmmm interesting. Must be positive signs still
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3 minutes ago, AWD said:
It was a figure of speech mate.
We’ll see I’m not ruling out anything
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20 minutes ago, AWD said:
Undeniable agreement in 12z Ens for a return to nearer average conditions from Sunday onwards now, for my area at least, (May differ in timing for other areas). These are for Bristol;
Good chance we will go out with a whimper according to the ens too, with only a few offering something wintry on Saturday, before milder air arrives.
That ICON run earlier seems a long long time ago now. I think there is more chance of Trump being re-elected than that coming off.
A long time ago? It was released at 3pm. A few hours.
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2 minutes ago, Langford N.Somerset said:
Temperatures of 4.0 tomorrow in places, certainly no beast. A few days ago temperatures were forecast as 0 across the board at best for Wednesday.
No one has claimed it’s a beast
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38 minutes ago, Dorset_mist said:
I’ve watched this band move north from Biscay all afternoon, very slow moving, will it decay as it hits higher pressure, it’s now over the Cherbourg peninsula.
Is it moving north do you think?
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Is anyone a bit annoyed that all of that snow is heading to France if only it was a bit north! The models teased us for days but I had a gut feeling it would go south. Shame the mild is coming back next week but hey ho
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Ok I take it back! It’s snowing in Dorset and settling from a streamer
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1 hour ago, Andypvfc said:
Tbh mate I wouldn't even call it cold. Yeah the wind might be cold, however a few nights close to just under zero in North Staffs is not the classic 2010.
That's why I just don't get the excitement with Easterlies. OK it may deliver more chance of Snow for the East, however little Snow for the rest and not even severe Cold.
Easterlies with a channel low is key can deliver significant amounts to most of south. Depends where you live
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46 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:
There's a band of showers looking like it may get down as far as the Dorset coast overnight and this was mentioned on the BBC local weather just now as possibly producing a couple of centimetres.
Here's the 18z Arpege which shows it very well:
Could be a snowy surprise for some in the morning!
It barely touches Dorset coast I’m confused? Bit of a reach.
Model output discussion 10/02/21
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
And don’t forget the whole of the south west....