CentralSouthernSnow
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Posts posted by CentralSouthernSnow
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10 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
I see daytime temps have increased for Wednesday now. By no means warm, but nothing like zero that was being forecast.
No ice days here this week.
The wind has dropped right off too.
Does that mean no snow for southwest Friday? if temps have increased. all rain?
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Don’t worry coldies in the south west 2022 will be our year
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6 minutes ago, John88B said:
We really need that laughter button back on here!
Why did they remove it? Especially during covid. We all need a bit of sense of humour during these times.
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Looking good for Sunday on ECM. Not a fan of ukv or gfs
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33 minutes ago, Drifter said:
Fax gives a chance for southern coastal counties on Wednesday night
A chance for what
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Just now, MidnightSnow said:
Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?ECM 00z gave us snow. GFS is being consistent with no snow Friday
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I’m logging off till next winter, that’s me done guys! So much potential but unfortunately poor show for us in the south/southwest. Unfortunately flurries don’t excite me! We could of had a snow event Friday as our last chance but Atlantic isn’t making it in. All the best till next winter
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I’ve decided to be done with winter this year. So much potential but literally poor show for a lot of the south. How many SSWs have we had this year? 3? 4? and no BTFE. They’ve only affected northern parts/Scotland and the odd event in the east. Very disappointing! Even met office have got there 6-30 outlooks wrong and change it everyday. I had hope for Tuesday but the channel low sank south, Friday the Atlantic could’ve gave us a snow event but it’s backed off. It makes it in next week but gives the south rain, north snow. Adios everyone until next winter
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1 minute ago, AWD said:
Worth noting, to manage expectations, the 0z EC Det was one of the colder possible solutions, as demonstrated below;
The blue line being the EC Det. Not discounting it, it's definitely a possiblity that we can all hope for, just showing the uncertainty (large spread) from the weekend onwards.
Oh don’t worry I’m not getting my hopes up as I’m yet to even see snow but I’m hoping it comes off
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Really liking the ECM run. Gives slider snow events to south Thursday, Monday and middle of next week. Let’s see
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3 minutes ago, SouthernSnowFan said:
It's not been bad in the main, tons better than last year. The fact remains that this is day 1 of a prolonged cold spell...we're not even in it proper yet! No clear signs of a breakdown yet, whilst it looks dry there are always chances of things cropping up at short notice. Once the 'storm' has cleared out of the way and the winds veer more direct E, we may see more shower development. One to keep an eye on through tomorrow anyway.
It’s not that it’s so frustrating our channel low on Tuesday tracked south. The breakdown was meant to be Thursday/Friday and we all would had a snow event and now it’s only delaying the low - south will be rain next week, north snow. Story of this winter! I’ll probably fly to Finland next year
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1 minute ago, SouthernSnowFan said:
Yeah, only one run though. Really isn't worth micro analysing each and every run as some people do. Just sit back and see how it unfolds.
General trend is for it to remain on the cold and dry for most of the month. Not exciting at all, but much better than 'mild wet mush' we usually get.
I’d rather mild and mush or marginal snow then just dry and cold... this winter really hasn’t been great
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Have you all seen the 18z it looks a mess and blocking failing. Lol this winter I think I’ll almost be done soon! I just wanted one snow day in the south west
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Guys do you know what they are all hyping in model thread? It’s just dry and cold. I want snow and the event on Friday only reaches Devon before Dorset
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7 minutes ago, AWD said:
Latest high Res UKV extended at least gives most of the region some snow. Shows and increasingly fragmented front crossing the region overnight Thursday, into Friday morning, falling as snow for most of us away from Cornwall and coastal areas of Devon/Dorset;
It would be far from historic, but it would provide some much craved snowfall for many at least.
To add, whatever snow does fall and settle would at least stay for a while and not quicky melt away, with the UKV keeping many areas north and east of Exeter cold to very cold still, these are the temperatures forecast at 15:00 on Friday afternoon;
That’s showing it settling on coasts in Dorset...
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13 minutes ago, Jason M said:
Very cold, yes. Snowy, not really. Pressure is far too high.
Ah that’s such a shame! Was hoping for snow from these runs.
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6 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
Not quite the latter stages we hoped for but there is plenty of time for changes.
Overall a great evening for coldies . No sign of milder conditions for the foreseeable future .
It’s great to be able to say that .
How come it isn’t the latter stages you hoped for? These charts look great for cold and snow especially in south!
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8 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES said:
I ain't gonna argue with that...The south for the first time this Winter becoming colder than the North...How ya like them apples
About time! South about to get our share of cold and snow
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17 minutes ago, Frank Trough said:
The METO absolutely love forecasting “rain on coasts”. They’re usually right
i bet it drizzled in east Bournemouth in the last mini ice age.
I’m so desperate now that I’m just giving myself a pep talk about “at least it will be dry”. River levels drop and I might finally get fishing next week
I live not far from lulworth in countryside and it always looks beautiful when it snows. Can’t wait
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13 minutes ago, Frank Trough said:
The METO absolutely love forecasting “rain on coasts”. They’re usually right
i bet it drizzled in east Bournemouth in the last mini ice age.
I’m so desperate now that I’m just giving myself a pep talk about “at least it will be dry”. River levels drop and I might finally get fishing next week
To be fair that isn’t true! Bournemouth has seen plenty of snow events with it settling on beaches. It just depends if the off shore breeze turns it to rain! It’s right timing with the winds!
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8 minutes ago, fromey said:
Interesting
13 minutes ago, AWD said:This is the temperature forecast map for SW England, on Thursday afternoon, on the Meto website, updated around 2 hours ago;
Seems to follow most modelling in that milder air only really gets into Cornwall and costal parts of Devon.
Inland northern and eastern parts of the region remaining on the cold side.
Ultimately all comes down to where the frontal system sits. This will chop and change regularly between now and then.
Why are metoffive so keen on it being sleet and rain? And a breakdown? Or does it only make it into southwest England. I thought it was snow
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Warning! Fantasy land! 19th February! Us southerners can dream! I have a feeling we will see more charts like this
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1 hour ago, Battleground Snow said:
I'm more interested in the Ukmo at 144, it's overnight run looked at bit off at 144.
ECM 06z at 72 attached here. -11 virtually over the entire country including Cornwall doesn't happen very often.
Omg! Is this showers coming south west?
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7 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:
Ventured into the South East regional thread and was surprised to see so much disappointment. Seems like Ipswich and surrounding areas have done well, but everywhere else not so much.
I was shocked too! Overhype much
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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 08 Feb 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted
South west has been robbed this winter! I think every single place has gotten snow but us even on Friday the front doesn’t make it in from the west but Ireland gets a dumping and it doesn’t make in to us...