1947s coming

So a few days into winter and already we have drama , and breakdown this and that. The only thing I could see breaking down tonight was some members in here . The building blocks are already in place and it’s not been particularly warm this week,there has been frosts and fog and even freezing fog.The weather is already moving east to west which isn’t normal for the models to handle, let the cold and blocks get in place and see what unfolds, fi anything over 3 days possibly less .To me we had the high pressure dome creating record summer temperatures, it wouldn’t surprise me if record cold comes next , with basically a high pressure dome to the north , east and west of us at times Certainly a interesting start and a few signs of winters past , just going on how wet November was and flooding, then the Atlantic has hit a block. Who’s ready for some streamers , that the models certainly won’t pick up , possibly until hours before. Will 2022/23 go down as a winter to remember, I wouldn’t bet against it

My post a few days ago :Still looks very undecided to me and fl is Wednesday onwards at present. The high still hasn’t set up and once it does/ if it does the data been feed into the models could well change. It’s still November and it certainly it’s warm out there at present. Models have flipped 24hours out before and we are still talking about a timeframe of 5 days and more away a lot can change by then. It wouldn’t surprise me if we see a stronger push of the high again tomorrow, and I can still see a north easterly been a trend in the near future it’s all fun. So get the high in place let the data change and then what the models show changes . I think they underestimated the strength of the cold and block . It could certainly be a interesting weekend coming up and still don’t rule out the chance of looking north east in the near future

Still looks very undecided to me and fl is Wednesday onwards at present. The high still hasn’t set up and once it does/ if it does the data been feed into the models could well change. It’s still November and it certainly it’s warm out there at present. Models have flipped 24hours out before and we are still talking about a timeframe of 5 days and more away a lot can change by then. It wouldn’t surprise me if we see a stronger push of the high again tomorrow, and I can still see a north easterly been a trend in the near future it’s all fun

Thanks for the comment wedges bring out the sledges ️ it will be interesting to see what this evenings run show. Can a strengthening of the cold signal start to appear as new data is feed into the models as the high actually sets up all interesting and before winter even starts. We need to watch how the jet will twist and turn and buckle to and where . I would say overall the trend is still our friend

Likes like we are none the wiser and anything could still pretty much happen later next week. You don’t need a weather model to tell the flow has already changed tho just step outside , nice clean fresh air. I see some of the models are toying with the high moving towards scandi to interesting . Let’s see what the evenings runs brings , possibly they will bring the cold signal back stronger. I wonder what actual winter will bring when it starts ️

Could this eventually open the high up to the east ie scandi and a north easterly trend none of this spell is nailed yet and it will certainly be interesting to see what the models show by Sunday evening ... possibly a strengthening of the cold . Next weekend is going to be interesting and Scotland is going to turn white can more of the U.K. , I don’t see why not ️

Let’s see where we are come Sunday nights runs , could be a full flip and back to the charts a few days ago and possibly even strengthen the cold more volatility on theses charts than crypto charts

Which could then open up a north easterly feed interesting and nothing is nailed not even to Monday

Many are just picking their toys up and out buying sledges now

As I said in my post above and it amazes me how most posts were calling 5 days nailed don’t rule out that north easterly trend soon to . Let’s see what the computers show by Sunday night, next week still fi . Let’s see where the jets steam waves actually fall and where it buckles

I said let’s see what actually happens if the high sets up and what the actual weather will be next Thursday. Lots could still change and will if the high sets up . It now amazes me how everyone is so sure the models have the weather nailed 5 days and beyond. The models have been flipping, there is no reason a flip back can’t happen and I certainly wouldn’t bet against it. Let’s see what they show come Sunday night . The pros are certainly still not ruling out a cold spell setting up. Let’s get the high set up the cold in place and see from there. I said a few days back there could be a north easterly trend in the near future, I certainly wouldn’t rule it out. The models have flipped 24 hours out before , next Thursday and onwards is still a long time away, a lot of data could change by then which would then change what the models show. All this before winter even starts to is a bonus

So the models are struggling and moving run to run who would have thought it. Let’s see what happens if the high actually sets up and what the weather actually produces from next Thursday onwards. Many signals can change by then , but the signal for high pressure isn’t going away for now and we could even start to find easterly trend in the near future. Can we get a better set of runs this afternoon I wouldn’t bet against it. All this before winter even begins.

It’s really funny here one run out of how many and it’s changed from the last one so the gfs is 100% correct now winters over over to the ecm to show the complete opposite. It’s just bumps along the road . Oh and its not even proper winter yet . Let’s see what the models say this time next Thursday everything could and probably will change if the high does actually set up

Yes but that just one run isn’t it ? I am new here but I have noticed all you do is talk negatively and jump straight on any less good runs. Funny to watch actually ️

We still have the iceman above the U.K. , it looks like he’s looking down at the hp . Do we have a north easterly element kicking in here as I said a few days back, is the beast lurking️

Looks like a big ice man standing above the Uk running ️

Hi I have never posted in here ,have once in my local thread . Have followed this site many years tho and always liked winter weather . I have tried to learn a little from here. So we have a possible block setting up close to Greenland and a flow from the north possible for the uk. If that high could then move a little east we could then move into a north , north east flow and with a possible cold east to feed from could the beast be lurking . Snow and ice maps looking very similar to 2010 . Can we count the cold spell down with bumps along the way, is the big purple blob moving home for a while.️Go easy my first post in here thanks

Few showers making it across now and actually beefing up maybe few more incoming Sheffield under there somewhere at present keep them coming .

New here but been reading in here and the mad mod thread for years I have tried to learn the basics so the beast has not delivered like 2010 showers died in land but the last one seems to have beefed up in land so close to a streamer can it happen and we have had some decent falls in Yorkshire this winter up to now