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Nick.F

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Everything posted by Nick.F

  1. Just this http://www.buienradar.nl/ a bit clunky, low-ish resolution, but you can see the actvity in the lower north sea well enough. Combined with the IR satellite stuff on the link Paul B posted above, something seems to be happening
  2. yup showers coalescing into more organised band, with a definite drift towards the coast
  3. Weird, that wasn't what or where I was quoteing - please delete
  4. Hello, fancy a lamp? great chat up line for all sexes, and the ones in between.
  5. funny thread but, yes, guilty, since i was a mere widdle twiglet..... although the back garden security light makes it easier these days,
  6. we can avoid all the bickering, if we all employ the Ignore function to ignore the posters who post what we don't want to hear. That way you only hear what you want to hear, or the info from those that you believe have something worthwhile to say. I for one ignore large numbers of posters. ***back to my ice cream***
  7. I saw something tonight, hat I have not seen in many, many years; a large snowplough moving to a position, somewhere I guess where it is to be useful over the next few days. It would seem that maybe, being prepared, is for once the preferred option.
  8. Interesting set of articles around at the moment, nicely summarised here http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/09/09/climate_change_not_warmer/ which are part of a gathering snowball of evidence that Global Warming may not be what we are lead to believe it is, particularly in short to medium term. Some regard the coming "Climate Change Catastrophe" as little more than a self inflating conspiracy of misdirection, insubstantial and out of context statistics and media hype (and I don't mean the Daily Mail kind of stuff either). Hope some find it interesting!
  9. Wall to wall sunshine, clear blue skies, very breezy, humid, a high of 28.2, second warmest day of the year here. 90% humidity at just after 5.00am A beautiful day
  10. Statistically, for London - The probability is No.
  11. I couldn't agree more about "anecdotal" evidence. I am a pure stats man myself. It was the point I am trying to make that these "regional" collations of data that the Met are providing are not evidential. My use of the examples of anecdotal evidence was only for the purpose of the indication of things like - one "side" of East Anglia experientially had an entirely different summer than the other "side" e.g. Bucks/Herts and the Essex coast even though we are only 60 or so miles apart. The statistics bear this out. So having a collation of data for "East Anglia" is meaningless for interpreting "how summer was". And yes I of course appreciate variations from one part of the country to another, but it is interesting to note that in what is basically a flat landscape (EA), 2 areas, 60 miles or so apart, had remarkably different summers, not just different weather over a couple of days. And it is interesting to ponder the reasons for that.
  12. Interesting analysis, but just from other people's data reported here and the anecdotal evidence central southern england and here on the east coast of East Anglia experienced vastly different summers. July, for instance, other than 2 intense downpours, one on the 16th, one on the 17th, July wasn't wet over here. We had little settled weather admittedly and more cloud than we would have liked. Oh just checked the data source and SE England doesn't include East Anglia - i guess that's a good thing, but it doesn't negate my point, the one I was trying to make, that these Macro datasets aren't evidential. As, for example, the weather here in NE Essex is rarely equivalent to west Herts or Bucks. More often than not, north and east Kent has closer weather to us, than much of East Anglia. It is fascinating that for a topographically flat nation (even our hills and mountains aren't very big ones) our weather is so variable within 100 miles or so.
  13. Well it has most definitely been a fab summer way over here. But "A Barbecue Summer"? Who gives a monkeys? I hate barbecues and everything about them, what the hell is wrong with cooking proper food properly in a proper oven anyway? You can still take it outside to eat........
  14. It is still wonderful. Long, dry, warm - never hot not reached 30c here, averagely sunny. For consistent warmth, amazing - 82 consecutive days 19.5c+, 91% of days since 1st June greater than 21c, 2 sunless days since 1st May. 85% of days since 1st May dry or trace rainfall. Last day to have a max below 21c was 19th July All in all fairly spectacular, if no long spells of heat and sunshine and I am talking 25c+ and blue skies, which have characterised many other summers in the last 15 years around here.
  15. managed 25.9c here with crystal clear skies, impressive deep blue, and a nice breeze. then a huge shield of cloud came in from the south east and now there is cloud cover in the back garden, and clear blue to the front. Cloud cover moving slowly NW. Not the day of warm sunshine predicted by the beeb only 3 hours ago. Their micro level forecasts even in the short term, suck for consistency of accuracy as much as their medium and long term ones.
  16. Fascinating Overall annual means have clearly increased, but summer temps (last 30 years) don't appear to be out of the ordinary. Interesting. What does that mean for AGW theory?
  17. Been a great summer here, quite sunny, not too hot (not reached 30c yet), definitely not cold, and below long term average rainfall. 91% of days since june 1st over 21c, 85% of days since 1st June with trace or no rainfall, 17.52c three month mean. 2 sunless days since 1st May. Spot on the long term av for sunshine. August has been great - mean temp 19.0c, mean max 24.7, 33% long term av rainfall (it's like a dustbowl around here, today when the wind got up, huge dark clouds of dry soil have been blowing off the fields), in fact no meaningful "good rain" since Feb. This summer has been way better than the previous two, but not as good as 2003. And a brief look at relevant stats for 2006, show that it was just a different summer, good but in different ways to this year, higher temps & more settled etc. But no better than this year.
  18. No rain despite the forecast, a sheet of mid-level cloud, but somehow, not sure how, we managed to reach 26.2c earlier. Warm and dry August continues.
  19. No sign of autumn weather or cooling here. Just the continuation of a marvellous long summer. Sunny, mostly, pleasantly warm again. bizarre stat, pressure hasn't fallen below 1000mb since 28th April. Although in 2005, the long high pressure spell lasted from 18th April thru til 21st October. 83% days since 1st June topped 21c rainfall at 33% of longterm av. for August so far. 79.2% of days since 1st May recorded no or trace rainfall.
  20. Sunny spells and a pleasant breeze. Some heating to go perhaps, but currently the Coolest day since 30th July at 21.5c
  21. Yet another dry warm, mostly sunny day in SE Suffolk/NE Essex. Already up to 25.3c. that's all but one of the last 57 days above 21c, sun recorded every day since 10th June. Rain is about 83% of Long Term average, since 01 June. This has been just about as perfect as a British summer could be in this neck of the woods. My personal preference would be for much warmer weather, but this will do.
  22. Indeed in my locality we have exceeded 24c on 11 of the 16 days in August so far, a 25c just continues that theme
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