Rufus Butterfield

Good luck to all those in the south east. Currently staying the night in Scarborough. Maybe some of those showers shown on the ukv may initiate and produce a few sparks later on but I’m not holding onto too much hope. Most of the action is definitely going to in the south east. This could well be the last chance for something noteworthy to happen this year.

I’m going on a trip to Scarborough this afternoon so I’ll see if anything interesting happens

So far like a 3/10? We had that squall line in February (I think from storm Franklin) which brought some mad winds and rain, even tornado damage was apparently reported north of me, with a some lightning as it tracked further east. Then end of May had a decent hailstorm with CG lightning. Yesterday had a brief storm come close with good lightning visible. That’s been it for this year, 2 or 3 days of thunder so far. Quite underwhelming.

Small timelapse of the distant storm over Worksop yesterday, which caused extensive flooding _timelapse.mp4

Looking at some models and the storms threat looks to increase next Wednesday, but it’s a long way off and of course is going change.

Well that was not a bad storm for only a slight risk. Rushed down on my bike to a nearby field for a better view, and there was cool structure and plenty of flashes and thunder. The highlight being this cg bolt. IMG_5405.MOV

Near Yorkshire Wildlife Park

Thunder getting louder now

Getting lightning strikes detected south of me

Getting quite dark to my south now as those showers head north

Hopefully it reaches here without dissipating into oblivion. Just want the rain tbh

Can see some of the distant cells to my south, currently tracking towards me slowly

I’m just barely (by like a couple miles) into the SLGT of Dan’s forecast. UKV isn’t providing too much but I’ll see what happens.

Ok this is getting a little bit depressing now, never gone this late into summer without thunder and tomorrow’s chances where I am look to be dwindling a bit.

The Lincolnshire cell is dying off now. But there seems to be elevated cloud bases above me with some drops of rain.

Can’t really get a visual of the storm east of Scunthorpe, it’s just a grey haze in the distance. Maybe if it was dark I could see the lightning.

Currently 26 degrees with cumulus now appearing and building. Most humid it’s felt in weeks so it’s looking quite promising.

Keeping expectations low for tomorrow as this year has proven to be disappointment after disappointment. Any storm will be a surprise (or any rain really).

Met office got the whole of UK covered now, so I guess no one's getting anything due to the met office warning curse

Saw some nice shower clouds today, as well as pyrocumulus clouds associated with a large fire just south of Bawtry. Fortunately the fire has been eradicated now. IMG_5267.MOV FullSizeRender.mov

Decent convection kicking off now, even a few drops of rain

It’s been like the climate along the west coast of California. Warm/hot, sunny days, but there’s little to no instability so very few storms happen.

Some quite intense cells in the south east right now

Yeah man. Currently the quietest year I can remember for where I am. August/September have a lot to live up for to redeem this year.

Through my experience, I USUALLY find that (in terms of basic convective weather) spring brings classic pulse showers and storms - quite weak. Summer also brings more pulse storms and also stronger larger scale systems - multicell and sometimes MCS type set ups. Autumn can bring pulse type showers, but also now squall line (QLCS) systems, usually along cold fronts and not very lightning prolific (with exceptions). Winter occasionally brings shower set ups, however most of the time the interest will be line convection (squalls) along cold fronts. There’s obviously overlap between seasons and exceptions with each, but through the course of the year, this is what I tend to see for convective activity and how it changes.