RabbitEars

So what's the surface weather likely to look like in this scenario. When we have 850s showing the opposite we hope for wintery snowy conditions and sometimes...we get them. Is this muggy, sultry, humid and possibly thundery or is this wall to wall blue skies and factor 100 sunscreen? Either way I suspect its fans/aircon (which we can't afford the electricity to run) and plenty of water to drink!

@MATTWOLVES and any other peeps who track the anomalies? Why wasn’t this heat up shown? I’m sure I remember you saying that the anomalies were showing cooler more average features over the next few weeks? Genuine question as I still don’t understand much and I don’t track things run to run

Please can someone sort out Friday over here in the Isle of Man!? Senior TT Race day NEEDS to be DRY ... pretty please?? Cloudy is OK (no mist, low cloud or fog... helimed can't land in that mush), sunny spells would be nice. It can team with rain for the rest of the weekend, just not Friday. 35,000 visitors have descended with their ? and their

Anyone ? Help please?

Can anyone give me a quick forecast for Barnsley (Wednesday), Scarborough (Thursday) and Skipton (Friday) please. Visiting and could do with knowing temperature, wind, likelihood of precipitation. Cheers

Sorry, not really wanting snow now, it's spring, we put the clocks forward today. Anyone tell me the likelihood of 3 or 4 dry days in a row in say the next 10 days? I need to keep the momentum going on my outdoor project! Cheers Ears in the Isle of Man

I've really enjoyed being able to progress with my outdoor project this week as it's been warm ish and dry (max temp 13C min about 4-6C). When do you think we'll get the next dry spell ...say of at least 5 days in a row? Am vacationing in the Lake District from Easter for a week... any clue of weather trends? Cheers

For novices can you explain what thos graph means? Please?

Interesting articles... what's the source? Are there any hyperlinks you can share to the full science behind these hypothesis?

Is there any sign of a dry 7 day run soon? Please? I've an outdoor painting project ongoing that needs dry weather (not murk and damp) for me to be able to progress and now the evenings are a bit lighter, I really want to get on with it!

Following on ... local public broadcaster reports gust of 110mph recorded over our "mountain" (I'd put the hyperlink to the article but it doesn't seem to want to paste)

Multiple road closures over night here (isle of man) for trees down. Two power outages in the North of the island. Still blowing a gale but at least it's sunny! Gusts still around 53mph. All ferries were cancelled yesterday, significantly delayed today. Flights also seem delayed this morning.

So these charts would create windy cold day on Thursday, followed by less windy drier on Friday. A cool/cold air flow but from what direction? If anyone would like to resurrect the short term model thread then please do... I'm truly not interested in the possible or not possible for late March or April !! I'd like to grow to understand days ahead including maybe at a max day 7.

We do have the problem here of being surrounded by the "warm" Irish Sea. And being a very small isle of 33miles long and 15 miles wide... much "weather" misses us!

Ramp... snow starved Isle of Man saw 2 hours of lovely big wet sticky flakes today, between about 10am and 12noon.... all melting now. ❄❄

Can anyone explain, maybe with some high res charts, why there seems (using the 10 forecast overview on this site) to be a consistent possibility of snow in my location on Thursday (24th)? We had snow today to unexpectedly low levels, forecast at 800ft lowering to sleet at 500ft... these images are at less than 300ft asl. It was island wide for about 2hours! Melting rapidly now ahead of forecasted rain. 20220219_111113.mp4

Sustained or max gust?

Isle of Man Government - Severe Gale - late Wednesday WWW.GOV.IM yellow warning for severe gale force winds Isle of Man yellow weather warning https://www.gov.im/weather/5-day-coastal-forecast/ Local shipping/coastal forecast for the next 5 days.

But not from a wnw or nw direction! We are used to southerlies! I can still guarantee there'll be no steam packet sailings tomorrow evening or all day Friday. Which does affect retail and infrastructure and people getting away for half term (which starts at the end of the school day on Friday) . It does look horrid. I still don't like!

Noone is even mentioning snow here. Our forecasters are concentrating on severe gales (force 8 and 9), tides and ferry/plane/internal transport disruption for Dudley, and advising that winds will have the potential for storm force 10 gusts on Friday (Eunice). Blizzards would severely hamper emergency response. Eeeks. Am not liking!

And that also means isle of man in the Irish sea. Nasty northwestrly when we're used to south easterlies. We have a wide coastline that will get battered. We also have no flood defences to speak of and many of our electricity and Internet utilities are on telegraph poles not underground. We have only a finite number of staff across the civil defence, utilities and infrastructure, and emergency services (e.g. during the day we have am average of 5 ambulances crewed and working). If this storm comes off as modelled, we will have a hell of a clean up afterwards... This was coastal damage from storm Barra and the high tide that day.

Seems to be little focus on Wednesday into Thursday? Why? It’s still likely to be disruptive?

Has anyone got wind speed charts for Dudley like those being shown on the thread for Eunice? I’m interested to see if my Isle of Man is going to get battered by Hugh wind speeds on both days?

That’s my little island being blown off course there in the pink sector of the Irish Sea... I love how everyone concentrates on the coasts of Great Britain and tends to forget that this type of weather cuts 85000 people off from the wider world... I truly hope this wind speed is downgraded. We just don’t have the capacity in our infrastructure or utilities to deal with major damage! Barra was bad enough... coastlines were battered !

It’s possible the UK will be fine so long as it rains in March or May, but if I was a water authority/utility I’d be keep my eye on the reservoir levels. In the Isle of Man we can’t “borrow” water from other utility company areas and neither can we reliably “ship” it in. We don’t have desalination (which to be frank would make sense being surrounded by the Irish Sea) so if we have drought we run the risk of water saving restrictions. I just hope our Government run utilities authority are keeping their eye on rainfall stats.