snowray

Yes, and there’s just about enough time to Thursday for an upgrade or two, now maybe if the high could shift just marginally out further west.....

I like the GFS, Might see the good old Genoa Low pop up on future runs, it’s long overdue. Anyway hopefully GFS is on the money, 50/50 split I’d say with possible upgrades, give it until tomorrow’s 12z runs and lets see. Any blend or move towards ECM by GFS and UKMO and it’s game over, for now. I’m also keeping an eye on ICON, the model has been pretty consistent of late.

Yes, and LP so far south that it snows in Southern Italy, Greece and North Africa.

5.1c and 92.5mm please.

Well I’m still here licking my wounds, and scratching my head as to why we could not get that low to undercut and give us a nationwide white Christmas. Guess top marks go to the ICON, the model never really showed anything cold. GEM and JMA kept the dream alive but proved to be nothing but a big wind up, massive fail for them 2 models. Hopefully that Iberian high can do one sharpish and we start seeing something of interest in the new year for coldies. Seasons greetings to all, hoping everyone has a wonderful and happy Christmas, best wishes also to your families.

Absolutely ridiculous now, surely by the 00z runs this will be resolved. Who will end up with egg all over their face then? JMA top model....or ICON....

As expected, hot off the press..the JMA says YES!

Super consistent GEM, we now await the big one..the EC..erm, mmmmm nooooo, what was I thinking, ah yes, the mighty JMA!

And the JMA is not backing down, cannon fodder maybe, maybe not.

Very progressive 00z runs from the big three this morning, Interesting though that the new 00z fax chart is exactly the same as yesterday’s 12z for 12.00 on Christmas Day. Arpege, GEM and JMA look similar, maybe it’s not all over quite yet? Could there still be some sort of battleground somewhere around Northern England coming up I wonder.

Right you are. My mistake.

Here we go, brilliant UKMO.

Unfortunately so. But I’m still keen on the idea that the cold air will be further south by Boxing Day.

Widespread snow cover from Yorkshire to London, by the morning of the feast of Stephen, deep and crisp and even.

I wonder if the Essex weather guys might have to change their forecast for late on Christmas Day?

This from the gfs 12z control run is more or less the classic solution, undercut with hp building north/north west. I think this will be the likey outcome, fingers crossed.

4.4c and 72mm please.

6.9c and 116mm please.

10.3c and 103mm please.

13.7c and 81mm please.

There’s talk on the Italy thread of a possible new record of 30c in Southern Italy..been very humid in Italy this Summer.

Late one from me, don’t time fly. 16.6c and 69mm please.

Just noticed there are already two 16.8c entries so I’ll drop mine to 16.7c please.

16.8c and 76.5mm please.

Is Sheffield usually that much milder than the CET zone.? O.7c higher seems quite a lot.