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Everything posted by snowray
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That is actually rather good news that the JMA wants to follow GFS! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It was more to do with a trend I noticed for the High to drift northwards on the anomaly charts, probably won't come to anything because the hp sinks in the end. The 850 hpa temps anom chart has just been posted. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes we need to see some sort of undercut, unfortunately as usual all the energy wants to go over the top of the high and the HP inevitably sinks. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'd be happy with that, just take a look at them juicy -32c uppers in the east, we often say that there's not much cold air on the continent, there would be if anything like this were to verify. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not too dissimilar to the 12z control, could there finally be light at the end of the tunnel for February I wonder? -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anom much improved, if I remember the late Feb 2018 event came from nowhere, although we had a pretty decent SSW that Winter. 12z compared to 06z. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It snowed here right down to the beach in December. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I was thinking that too, but it would not be very popular, apart from that, about half of the Winter postings would disappear. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
And probably BFTE! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I notice central Italy is snowed in as usual. Might have to move there, they get more snow than the alps! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
No it's not blinking unusual, It always snows in Winter in Places like Spain, Italy, Greece, Turkey, South of France, and lets not forget North Africa, in the desert and the middle east. Snow IS unusual on the south coast of the United Kingdom! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Probably quite cold under that, frosty nights. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The HP inevitably sinks, temps possibly rising into the mid/high teens in late Feb if anything like this was to verify. In years past you would have expected at least one decent North/North Easterly showing up in the last month of Winter. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I should have been more specific, yes it's the cold end that I was referring to. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Clear outlier of course. Still nice to see these sort of runs popping up even if it's just for the fun of it, may still get a decent cold spell next month at some point, far too early to tell. -
Countless times I have watched snow showers, not a trough, move just 5/10 miles inland on the east coast and fizzle out, around Norfolk, Suffolk, and east Kent, but over in Northern France and Belgium they are massive streamers of showers hitting Brussels, Luxembourg, places 50-200 miles inland. Maybe the North Sea favors these locations, similar to to NW England with the Cheshire gap. Strange that we don't see troughs or fronts moving SE on a cold NEly much these days.