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snowray

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Everything posted by snowray

  1. snowray
    Yes very strange, it hardly moved up after the very warm spell, and I notice that PIT over in Sheffield is running 0.6c above Hadley, now that never happens, 0.1c- 0.3c higher is about as much as I would expect in June. Anyway, its been mainly warm or very warm down this way, lots of sunshine and mostly dry.
  2. snowray
    15.1c and 77mm please.
  3. snowray
    11.4c and 75mm please.
  4. snowray
    Maybe a Finnish of 7.8c... After any corrections...
  5. snowray
    In other words it might happen, or it might not. There we have it.
  6. snowray
    14-16c widely this afternoon already, more likely to rise a bit further than fall.
  7. snowray
    Well last week the models showed a chance of some very cold temps and severe frosts for the last 3 days of the month which should have produced a noticeable downward shift in the CET, now the only noticeably cold day will be the 31st so not much change from here I would think, before any corrections.
  8. snowray
    Did Heathrow hit 21c?
  9. snowray
    9.5c and 71mm please.
  10. snowray
    Pity it’s the JMA!
  11. snowray
    As expected.....going to Greece yet again, so back to what it was showing more or less 2 days ago....
  12. snowray
    6.7c and 101mm please.
  13. snowray
    Let’s see what the GFS turns up I guess. ICON has indeed gone further South, snow showing from around Manchester south towards the M4/M3.
  14. snowray
    Nope. Incredibly consistent ICON this Winter, could it be right again?
  15. snowray
    GFS 12z big outlier at around D10, still a dogs chance for late February maybe.
  16. snowray
    I don’t like the look of this never ending Pacific block of anomalous HP off the west coast of the USA. Is it just me that thinks that this needs to shift out of the way sharpish if we are still hoping for a chance of some late winter cold.
  17. snowray
    Yes it was milder in the NW of the CET zone, Midlands/south had some pretty hard frosts.
  18. snowray
    5.8c and 39mm please.
  19. snowray
    I bet the 18z will be a good run, out at D10 as usual, just to add insult to injury!
  20. snowray
    What I don’t get is why Scandi highs are so rare these days in Winter. Why can the models get uk highs and Euro highs spot on consistently right out to D10 and beyond but are as useless as ever with any northern blocking, really annoying.
  21. snowray
    I’m keeping a keen eye on the super consistent ICON, once this model shows some decent pattern change I’ll start taking some interest.
  22. snowray
    Just got me thinking, so how about the infamous winters of 1947 and 1963: Was there an SSW that contributed to these particularly harsh winter events? And then there’s the Winters of 1985-1987 that also had some very cold and snowy weather for much of the UK and in Western Europe. We know that there are other factors at play but can we get a longer period of cold and snow without there being an SSW, it just seems to me that these days a SSW is the make or break factor in Winter forecasting.
  23. snowray
    So a 0.2c drop for yesterday, playing catch up.
  24. snowray
    True. But there’s some hope, GFS just about an outlier, certainly one of the mildest members in the suite and many far colder solutions. I wonder, could we see a few more interesting runs in the next couple of days maybe. Ens for central England there.
  25. snowray
    Much improved ECM at T144, if only all that cold could edge slightly further north.
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