Bats32
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah, i remember that now, watching it forecast to run right into the UK and it the end it was pretty far south of the block. Tbh it wouldnt surprise me if that happened here again, just have to wait and see. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wasn't that what happened last Dec to end it iirc or did that one end up sliding under the block? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wonder what the ensemble members will say from this -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Which would be expected when the cold is in place. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Scotland Weather discussion
Bats32 replied to Paul's topic in Scotland / Alba Community Group's Scottish Weather Discussion
Personally speaking, we get snow nearly every year at some point anyway, in fact for me, it's more disruptive with work, kids at school etc. I'd rather have freezing and sunny winter days like last December which was lovely. -
Scotland Weather discussion
Bats32 replied to Paul's topic in Scotland / Alba Community Group's Scottish Weather Discussion
Well, that was unexpectedly wild last night/this morning. Perhaps a yellow warning should've been issued, certainly the worst winds we've had locally this year. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A butterfly flapping its wings in Australia! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Has there ever been such x model support that has failed? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Boom! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I can't look! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'd hazard a guess that most of us are quite realistic and pessimistic about the chances of this actually happening anyway. I think most of us would still be quite shocked at these synoptics playing out. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It wouldn't be for the first time though? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The last thing they want to do is be quatied by all the click bait papers. They usually take the conservative route. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wow, the Icon 12z is nuts! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Constantly checking the models and replies on here, so addictive! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wow! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Some great runs this early evening. Lovely stuff. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Didn't the same happen in July in that the expected didn't happen? Perhaps we just don't fully understand the mechanisms in play? If of course the blocking comes to fruition. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Happy with that. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Would be very happy with colder and dry and an end to the rain, plenty of time for the real winter goods. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking good again. Nice Scandi high for the start of Dec too. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Boom! GFS won't back down, never doubted it lol. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Im old enough to remember the July outlook being warm and sunny or periods of very hot weather, Atlantic troughs and Euro highs pushing heat up to the UK. Turned out to be cold and miserable in the main. While the long term forecasts are great and certainly to be looked at, I've learned not to put too much faith in them. Who knows what Dec will bring?! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Bats32 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS wants to put the Christmas tree up early!