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CoventryWeather

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Everything posted by CoventryWeather

  1. CoventryWeather
    Is there a risk that the system (shown on GFS for Monday) is a touch further west, meaning less warming of the air and the snow continues? Looks like the other models delay it a touch until Tuesday??
  2. CoventryWeather
    Happy storm season 2023! Early start this year by the looks of things. Fairly active in the Bristol channel earlier. Hoping this is a sign for a good thundery spring and summer.
  3. CoventryWeather
    GFS in la la land has the beast on our doorstep. Wait for the newspapers to show this tomorrow.
  4. CoventryWeather
    It's showing some decent consistency recently. Has a potent northerly and a small secondary low going straight over the UK. Lovely weather to have mocks and full days at sixth form
  5. CoventryWeather
    Nice to see some interesting model runs.. about time too. Most annoying thing is I have mock exams for the next 2 weeks, so I'll have no time looking at the charts! Enjoy the weekend all!
  6. CoventryWeather
    Looks nice but doesn't look like it's prolonged. Strong PV to the northwest will push that southwards most likely.
  7. CoventryWeather
    Agreed, but slight anomalies aren't going to cool the world. Not every summer is going to be extreme, but the risk of it is much higher than ever before. Look at last summer - no one was expecting a 40 degrees.
  8. CoventryWeather
    But the Hadley Cell expansion only relates to a warming here in the UK. The winters will only get warmer, and so will the summers. I feel we could easily hit 40 again this year, maybe even near to 42/43 if it happens in July. I doubt we will see a cool summer, unless the jet stream powers up again.
  9. CoventryWeather
    Interesting GFS change at 120 ish hours, much shallower low near Newfoundland. Might not lead to much change, but worth keeping an eye out. Sorry if this was noticed earlier.
  10. CoventryWeather
    Quick look at the GEFS, and P3 looks interesting with greater heights in the Scandi region. I still feel models are underestimating heights and a weak easterly could easily happen at some point.
  11. CoventryWeather
    Icon looks good this morning - much more dominant high over Scandi. Does anyone know how well it handles these situations? Still think there are still changes expected for that Scandi high - could there be another push west later? Only time will tell. Enjoy your day all.
  12. CoventryWeather
    Not much to say wrt the models - similar to earlier on in the day. I wish everyone here a happy new year - hope 2023 is positive for everyone here.
  13. CoventryWeather
    What is with the GFS and stupidly intense lows?
  14. CoventryWeather
    Don't worry - I'm new to this stuff. Sorry if I've confused anyone.
  15. CoventryWeather
    I got confused
  16. CoventryWeather
    Models haven't been brilliant with blocking patterns this winter imo. Seems like they have been underestimating most patterns similar to these recently. Day 10 strat warming - much better than recent runs imo.
  17. CoventryWeather
    Cold air to the North and East. Could be potentially bitter if that came off at day 10.
  18. CoventryWeather
    It's got easterly all over it.. can it get south enough to allow it to occur?
  19. CoventryWeather
    A question regarding the cold spell earlier this month - did the EPS pick that out well? Thought I saw somewhere it picked it up in the mid/long range?
  20. CoventryWeather
    Vortex moving to Asia?
  21. CoventryWeather
    I'm saying later down the line - not instantly. I'd say a week or so later.
  22. CoventryWeather
    Looks similar to the GEM. Seems like an easterly is setting up later if that came off.
  23. CoventryWeather
    Still better than some of the runs recently.. wonder whether they'll change again as we get closer to development.
  24. CoventryWeather
    So if models have significantly underestimated the surface high over Scandi, could there be a chance of an easterly at some point next week? Seems like the UKMO wants to slide the main low south, if you look closely enough, it's moving more south east than straight east.
  25. CoventryWeather
    Oh we have a snow event on the GFS 06z. Mainly Northern England though.
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