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Everything posted by Rob 79812010
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Though cold weather often doesn't last too long in UK, I do recall the models going against the weather forecasts in December for extended and they were right. Think initially the forecasters were suggesting 5 days of cold and it ending up at 10 with 7 of those extreme. Question: Are polar lows more likely in March April and if so why? Aren't 'April showers' often Arctic driven? And at that time of year not just coastal!
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fascinating model viewing this ! We mustn't give up if we have some poorer runs as well later. Not often we have a good shout for some proper wintry weather this late in winter. I get almost as much joy from a great snowy run than a blizzard itself! -
March 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Rob 79812010 replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That would be wicked! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Am fairly new to this, but already loving it! I was thinking about the difference in the GFS model 2m temps between the overnight and this mornings looking beyond 240. I get really excited about the cold and snowy charts but am realising that when it's 10 days away there probably are a number of possibilities. Throw in an SSW and that seems to make it all the more difficult. I get the feeling that those who understand the weather science( I certainly don't but am learning) at least think that a prolonged cold and maybe snowy period is a real possibility mid March and beyond. Hope so!!! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Rob 79812010 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes that was it. Thanks for that! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Rob 79812010 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Or maybe no slush as it wasn't wet snow -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Rob 79812010 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think I read a few years ago that it didnt actually melt. There's a name for it when it's cold enough. Remember looking it up because I couldn't understand why bit was disappearing but no slush at all!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You joined at a great time. Must have been a great few first years for you on the forum given those winters at the time. I joined this year and really enjoying it. Learning a few things in the way too -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agree!!! Not so long ago the coldest December for a long long time so they will come again for sure! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would love snowy breakdowns if I didn't live in Manc!! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Rob 79812010 replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
December was a cold month though!! Included a 7 day spell of 5 below average -
Excellent! By the time it got to Manchester it left around 2 inches. One of the best for Liverpool I imagine. From memory, don't think it got to the Pennines. What a month though. Incredibly cold for December. Interestingly there were a couple of milder periods as well. Just shows how cold the cold was. 6 degrees below for the month.
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Absolutely I echo that. I'm fairly new to the forum and passionate about the weather. Just think of the tension as part of the fun. We're all on here because we're interested -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We had the blowy snow in Manc all the time and I thought that was that. Drove home from work one night and saw some cloud drifting over the pennines and we had a 2 hour blizzard! Only time I remember powder snow in Manchester -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
2018 was amazing! Not the deepest snow I remember in Manc but when it snowed it was memorable! Minus 5 when it snowed and was powdery! We kept having the blowy snow and then it came over the pennines and gave us 3 inches which believe it or not is mega for Manchester!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ot really does and thanks so much! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Rob 79812010 replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Would you mind explaining the significance of a Scandinavian trough? Have read a few times. Fairly new to all this