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Rob 79812010

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Posts posted by Rob 79812010

  1. 10 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

    Is the GFS going down the GEM & Control route from this morn? 🤔

    gfsnh-0-240.thumb.png.5403747e8e6e9239d639461bd12d8771.png

    Can you tell me what I'm looking for on these maps as a coldie??

    14 minutes ago, Joe Snow said:

    Hopefully like Tues they’ll reach as Far South East as me here in Sandbach as it  would be great to get another dusting - covering would be the icing on the cake to end this cold spell.  Feeling v  cold today a high of 2c after a low of -8c. Weekend is looking wet & windy, stormy even with Feb perhaps holding more wintry interest for us

    🥶❄️

    Been a fab week hasn't it. Yes, one more covering would be nice!!!

    • Like 6
  2. 14 minutes ago, raz.org.rain said:

    2023 probably was the 2007/2012 repeat. Given the changes we've incurred since then, that's likely as bad as it gets these days. Also when you consider we supposedly had all the right setups for a 2010 deep blast of Arctic air, and yet all we get out of it is a week of below average temps, it's fair to assume that such patterns will struggle immensely to repeat themselves against background forces such as the consequences of termination shock and increasingly persistent Iberian highs.

    Agree with most of what you say, but where did you get the impression that we were set up for a Jan 10 set up?? The only things I heard like that were heresay. None of the main forecasters suggested that. In any winter this would have been classed as a very cold spell. The likes of Jan 2010 are few and far between in my lifetime. Only Jan's  I remember were 1979, 1981 ish, 1985 and 2010! 1987 was brief but severe

    • Like 1
  3. 15 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

    Not so keen using this term "we are way overdue",  but from a statistical point, we are way over due a notably cold February. Last such one was February 1991.

    We have had   January 2010, December 2010 and  even March 2013 but we've not had a February of similar equivalence in terms of temperature anomaly. 

    Yes, February's are truly awful nowadays. Fingers crossed and let's hope the weather behaves. My optimism based on credible forecasts for Feb. As to how cold though, not sure. Feb 18nwas memorable but I as all about 1 week though really

    • Like 6
  4. 33 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

    This time 10 years ago, we were in depths of the worst "winter" in terms of wintriness probably for at least a century.  Just 3 air frosts during the whole of the meteorological winter. A Manchester winter index of just 7

    Wow, that was the winter from hell for anyone who enjoys wintry weather. We've had more wintry weather this week then we did in the whole of that meteorological winter

    Currently -9.5°C

    Anyone coldies 1got a good feeling about Feb?? 2nd week onwards I reckon. The SSW may have an effect

    • Like 5
  5. No rapid thaw here. Should still be snow on ground tonight which, with any luck, will stick around till weekend. Could be some sneaky snow showers Thursday also. TBH, am banking this one!

    12 minutes ago, Gary L said:

    It's quite sad that this likely wouldn't be so marginal pre global warming. Reduced sea ice, Arctic amplification, increased SSTs all seem likely to put 1-2c on this event?

    Not convinced. Were always marginal in low areas and no real melt here yet. Even as a kid they often turned to slush

    • Like 5
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