Gordon
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Posts posted by Gordon
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Very much indeed, Harry...Defo some signs of some upcoming excitement.
only if you like that sort of thing
besides still plenty of time for models to do a complete turn and catch everybody out
probably won't but you never know
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Hhmm looking at that rainfall prediction unless your in North Wales or the Irish sea all your see is a bit of light rain!
yep unless you get some showers
BBC forecast did show this to move north on the western side of the country
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just seen latest BBC forecast
they are forecasting this to move north over the western side of the country with only a few scattered showers further east
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Just subscribed to NW Extra Radar for a month in anticipation of the weekend's events to come (Not really a fan of thunder infact I am rather petrified of storms if the truth be known) but this will help me to prepare
same here , was beginning to feel lonely around here
going to be a terrible couple of days for me I think whether I see a storm or not
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Interesting that Netweather's own forecast for today has only a 10% storm risk for overnight mainly cloudy with outbreaks of rain
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Indeed thats what I been thinking, the pressure charts on the BBC forecasts suggests a weather front nearby therefore there will be alot of mid-level cloud tomorrow to break up because if it doesnt, the day will just consist of cloudy skies with showery outbreaks of rain. However the forecasts are indicating that the cloud will break up and the heavy showers will start in the afternoon.
I personally can't see huge amount of potential because the storms over the continent would have to travel over the chilly North Sea which will kill any towering cloud tops therefore you are just left with alot of cloud and outbreaks of rain. Still, would not rule out the odd rumble of thunder but as ever its radar watching for those in the South.
well the BBC has my location as cloudy and sometimes cloud just loves to stick around
best chances seems locations west of London in the afternoon period
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Great to see the level 1 from estofex. Let's hope the storms can get going tomorrow.
I will do my best to WILL them in your direction
and I am not sure what'll be worse tomorrow possible showers / storms or that wedding
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Well I avoided the storms last Friday / Saturday and are hoping to do so again
the risk of the worst weather I think is a little south and south west of my location especially by the afternoon even though I don't think showers can't be ruled out for me , hopefully no thundery ones though
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God I hope so.
Spoke to my Uncle yesterday who lives in Greece. Apparently they've been having intense thunderstorms recently.
Oh a case of Greece Lightning then
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It seems I must be prepared to be terrified later on
hope I can keep myself together
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Look at the CZ developing a line Cu across the E Midlands -- can be seen on satellite imagery and radar. Keeping a firm eye on the cells ahead of the CF to the west.
selfishly speaking I hope those ones in wales die down a bit or at least not have too much lightning as it's that what scares me the most
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I may need to buy a slice off you as well!
typical
just when I thought I'd got away with it
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Should have passed if not passing over your region currently. Have a look to your east and west -- if you see clouds "bubbling up" to your east and skies becoming clearer to your west, the low-level converging winds have passed and the winds should be flowing north-westerly over your region. In other words, it may be that the risk of thunderstorms for the west Midlands has passed... for the time being, that is.
that maybe happening clouds obscured the sun for a while but they seem to moving away
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Looks like as soon as the region of low-level had passed a short time ago and the winds veered north-westerly, convection just fell apart. Incredible to watch. One moment I was looking at defined TCu to my west, and then soon after the skies are clear. Just the way it goes I suppose.
has that low level thingy past me yet
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is anything approaching me
stress levels going through the roof
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got to calm myself down or I'll bring on a heart attack at this rate
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Moisture is on the increase here with some incredible haze. Would expect obs. to be recording a rise in dew points shortly. The time is now...
If they start here how long do you expect them to last
was planning to go out this evening but no doubt storms and my fear will put a stop to that
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It's the TCu producing radar reflectivity there, Nick. So indeed it is real. Though not the "real deal" lol. That'll be if a thunderstorm develops over the region.
you don't sound as confident as you did earlier ?
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Quite glad I'm not in Barnsley
at the moment it is dry where I am hope it lasts
or if it does happen I hope it's not as bad as the one further north
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looking on the bright side for me is that the longer I don't get one the less time I have to suffer if one comes along
just out of interest will these showers/storms fade with setting of the sun or will some other mechanism keep them going
just want to know so i can get an idea of when I can relax again
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Personaly I think forecasts need to be taken as nothing more than a guide, storms are much like snow in that they are complex and difficult to forecast. The best thing people can do is keep an eye on temps and dew points and then observe the satellite imagery and see how much and where convection is taking place.
yep I just saw the 12:30 forecast and he says not to take the areas as gospel just as an indication of what weather you might expect like you said
he did make a point of saying they're could be some heavy showers/downpours in northern and eastern England this evening which ties in with what some were saying this morning
seems to be a case of wait and see and hope for those that want them and for one's that don't like me
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just watched the latest Forecast with Peter Gibbs on news 24 and their latest map shows a few but not many showers around at all this afternoon and will be set off by warmer temperatures in the SE ahead of the cold front and not many around this evening either
what do people think of the latest forecast
Also the dew point has gone down from 11 to 10 degrees , not sure whether that's good or bad
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I am quite happy to take your quota down here for you Gordon! Good to see contributions from non-storm lovers too, although I understand your feelings, you are up against some real die hard stormies in here!!! :lol:
well this thread would be a dull place if only storm lovers occupied it
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Just looked at todays flash and bang potential...it seems just like old times!....The west midlands breed 'em and the east midlands get 'em!
suits me down to the ground
we can breed them all day long providing I don't see any
Model Output Discussion
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
no surprise to see the SE keep the warmer/hot conditions for longest