Gordon
-
Posts
196 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Gordon
-
-
I see in the warnings it's showers getting increasingly heavy and only locally thundery and sinking southwards later in the evening so those in the south
you may still see something
-
The sky has that undulating look to it now. Encouraging definitely. Also the line of showery rain that si currently over NW England and N Wales is heading directly eastwards with not even a thought of going south yet. Again encouraging. The stuff over N. Ireland is moving more ESE though.
Also a few spots of rain now.Â
weather09 said
Rain over Wales is associated with the cold front/occlusion. The risk for heavy showers and perhaps weak thunderstorms from the Midlands southward will be greatest from late afternoon onwards and throughout the night, as Low and associated upper cold pool post-frontal airmass situates over central and southern England during this period, so sufficiently unstable environment present after sunset.
that may explain that rain moving Eastwards and the showers over NI moving ESE
-
don't know why I'm so worried
We've had storms from past years that have drifted up from france after a few days heat (you know the type) and probably a lot worse than aything that'll be seen today and I'm still here
I think it's just the uncertainly of if and when we get any because when they start I go into a certain mindset which I maintain for hours and actually calms me down but does little for a manly image
anyway enough of me taking this off topic
-
Well I'm in a minority here I suspect But I don't want a single flash of lightning or rumble of thunder in my area as I can't stand them
good luck to those who like them though
-
I think It'll be a case of some places getting a soaking and some getting very little depending on your location and the BBC are also forecasting these showers to ease later which is something they were not doing this morning
-
Severe or organized storms are rather unlikely (although there is some DL shear and CAPE overlap for a time). Approach of low and associated upper cold pool, characterized by rather steep 850-500mb lapse rates, along with sufficient surface heating and dewpoints into low teens, will help to develop showers and weak thunderstorms across many parts of England and Wales. Main threat will be gusty winds and small-sized hail given cold air aloft.
Looking at the models yesterday evening, there were some suggestions that a risk of isolated storms would extend further south toward southern UK, but overall risk looked pretty low. Surprised at the change 12 hours later!
Thanks for the info
weak storms is something I can just about cope with
Edit : BBC Weather Site has just updated it's maps and now shows rain not as heavy but still some some heavy bursts but slightly more widespread and with worst of the rain between 7pm and 1am
-
you wouldn't believe it's the longest day in 8 days time
doesn't seem that long since the clocks went forward
soon all the summer persuits will be over
Wimbledon , World Cup , Twenty Twenty Cricket and the days will be drawing in
and before we know it Autumn will be here
It's off topic I know but I felt like rambling a little
-
Well if your reading of the maps is correct and I hope it is
I will miss the very worst of the showers
It won't be dry where I am but hopefully not too heavy as I have a guttering issue and a lazy council
-
thanks for those maps
surprised to see the worse instability and rainfall over more e/se parts at 18z that's if i am reading your maps correctly
thought that would have been slight further west
-
If this was for my benefit then Thanks even if it weren't Thanks anyway
-
Does anyone know how strong these storms will actually be ?
What I am trying to ask is will these storms be considered strong/severe in uk terms or just typical uk type
Hope somebody understands the question I am trying to ask
-
Looks like a decent day potentially for all you storm lovers
Me I've got 12-18 hours of worrying to do as this weather is not my cup of tea at all
I'd hide under the bed if I could fit
well look like it a miss for me over night if bbc weather right
Looks like I'm in for a battering but you can never tell with showers / storms
-
Well if the BBC is to be believed
There are Storms forecast for everywhere but Scotland and to last overnight too
Think the BBC is overdoing this just a little bit
-
Zero is my favorite number
-
So basically it's a waiting game
-
Well from a selfish point of view Thunderstorms would not be welcome as I don't like them but we need a little more rain and that would be welcome
Edit - BBC's latest forecast still has the focus on more Eastern/South Eastern parts for possible storms on sunday but most places should still see showers
It'll probably all change again by Tomorrow
-
I will wait and see before breaking out the deckchairs
-
If people are waiting for rain just wait for the Bank holiday
The weather always goes to hell for a Bank holiday
-
I take it from these nice looking charts now is not the time to invest in a hosepipe or umbrella
-
Can I clear something up
Do you mean the chances of convection/thunderstorms will continue or the downgrades to continue
-
The 12z run is insane for southern half of UK, and very difficult to believe will occur.
Could I have a link for this please
-
I saw a similar story in the Daily Express this morning
The temperatures this weekend will only be the start of a blazing summer which will last through to mid September
Well that was the gist of it anyway
I mean a few warm days and only a few are forecast if your lucky enough and the papers are going mental
-
Noticed countryfile weather going for thundery showers friday due to more humidity and higher temps,but under HP which is interesting.
I've seen these types of forecast before then less than 48hrs later there essentially binned
I will wait until the actual day
-
Five weeks too many,for me. Maybe I'm just weird or it's part of my condition,but I hate (and don't use the word loosely) summer,sunshine and warmth. Although there's lot's of all that to come no doubt in the next three months,I'm marking the minutes to that psychological milestone when it's "all downhill" thereafter. All I wanna do is crawl into a cave until Autumn comes,and I'm probably suffering from something approaching true depression and akin to a reverse form of SAD. It's the main reason why I can't even be bothered to argue with the AGW mob elsewhere on here but I'll be back,in time.
I too hate these long days and Have June 21st marked on the calender so I can celebrate the fact that the days start to get shorter again and get these these summer months which I hate with a vengeance out of the way
Convective Discussion
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted · Edited by Gordon
still dry for me
expect to see some rain from the CF
but I am not totally convinced about these showers / possible storms
of course now I've written this
god will probably send me an almighty storm just to prove me wrong
Edit : Met Office updated forecast
Headline:
Heavy showers for England and Wales. Drier elsewhere.
This Evening and Tonight:
Heavy, and slow-moving showers will continue to affect southern England, the Midlands and Wales overnight. Elsewhere, staying fairly cloudy with the odd spot of light rain in places, especially on northeastern coasts with a fair breeze developing here.
Monday:
Scattered showers continuing in southern England. Elsewhere, mainly dry with bright spells and the odd light shower. A fresh feel in the north and east. Windy later in the southeast.
you'd have thought they would have mentioned thunder or is it implied in the heavy showers bracket