SnowBear

All seems to be working OK here, time lapse in sequence too.

Just for info.. Lowest pressure recorded on land in the UK is 925.6 mb in 1884. The Great Storm of 87 fell to 953 mb. Recently Eunice fell to 965mb. But as for your opening question, yes we can get readings of low pressure equivalent to those seen in hurricanes in lower latitudes, but the storms we get are not hurricanes. I suspect you need to check your equipment though

Not sure what the pressure records were over last weekend, but it does sound low to me for the weather recently. Maybe someone can give the pressure value from an archive and you can then see how far out you were.

A low pressure system at higher latitudes lacks one important factor which is present nearer the equator, warm seas. A hurricane needs that energy from the warm seas to generate the storms we see in those areas, typically a deep layer of seawater with a sea surface temperature around 26°c or above. So yes, we would probably see a hurricane with a core pressure of 964 in the tropics if conditions are favourable, but it wouldn't at higher latitudes.

If the conditions are right you can get thunderstorms any time of the year. Mid winter storms can have convective activity and even snow storms may have lightning.

We lost stables, kennels, the conservatory roof, the garage roof was damaged, the lane to the house was flooded for days and we couldn't get in or out. I spent two weeks with a chain saw cutting up fallen trees and limbs, and that was just in our paddock and the adjoining field. The holiday caravan park over the other side of the railway embankment had every caravan damaged and at least half of them turned on their side. Once I did get back to work (USAF Bentwaters), around that area and especially Rendlesham/Woodbridge area, it was just tree after tree after tree, all flattened. I don't think I've ever heard the wind like it since or before even when I lived in Cornwall in Newlyn, it wasnt in gusts as usual, just a constant roar.

Something to think on, how can you truly appreciate the warmth without experiencing cold, and visa versa? Celebrate the cold as it means not too far ahead the sun will be back and summer again!

It's all gone very much quieter again, only one yellow area in the East Atlantic, 0% in 48 hrs, 30% in 5 days.

Danielle now forecast to do a bit of a dance about towards the end of the week before moving south eastwards towards Portugal/Spain. Losing hurricane status sometime Wednesday, and becoming post tropical sometime Thursday. With the dance around at the weekend and the shift to that SE track it will be interesting to see where it goes afterwards, any recurve northwards could bring the system very much over the UK. Possibly some warm, but very wet weather ahead. We shall see. Hurricane Danielle Forecast Discussion WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV

Although for some it was glorious, perfect holiday weather for sure, to work in it isn't pleasant to say the least. It also effects many of the materials I use being in the joinery trade. Paint dries too quick, the window for hand finish coach painting is 17-26°C. Also some heritage windows I refurbished the acrylic paint was drying before I could get it on the sashes. Glues flash off quicker, so more likelihood of a bad glue joint. Tiredness is a danger, less sleep at night and the draining heat means more tired, more risk of mistakes, or accidents. Although many here on this forum may have enjoyed this summer, it is a small sample of the population as a whole. Many in manual working jobs were by the end of the summer just plain worn out. As my workshop is on a farm, I also hear from the farmers the troubles, water mostly regarding growing conditions, also chillers to keep harvested crops stored costing vastly more electricity wise. Wheat hasn't been too bad in my area, but potatoes the yield was down and had to be watered before the crop could be lifted. Maize has done OK, of which they grow a fair bit for biofuel. How would I sum up this summer? Tiring, at times dangerous, a fight with some procedures in the workshop, not good for farming or my garden. But wonderful for those on holiday, don't have to work in it, or with little physical activities during the heat of the day to do.

Not much changed, Danielle is on a wander about in light steering winds. Later on its expected for stronger steering winds from a trough to pick the storm up and start the track northeastwards after attaining hurricane status over the weekend.

And as if by magic, Number 5 is alive... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV

No night firing at Shoeburyness and wind direction was wrong really for that. More likely was military aircraft doing night training and going sonic in the training areas out in the North Sea, not normally noticed as the booms don't often reach land, but if atmospheric conditions are right it can do and very rarely markedly so, enough to be reported initially as an earth tremor. As it was night, you probably noticed them much more than if it was day time.

Now has an 80/80% chance, with formation possible later today. 3. Central Subtropical Atlantic: Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located about 800 miles west-southwest of the westernmost Azores has become better organized during the past several hours. If current trends continue, a tropical or subtropical depression could form later today while the system drifts generally eastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Forecaster Beven

We need to keep an eye on that red area to the SW of the Azores. Bit of a wild card, its over some warm waters at the moment, 26-28°c and drifting eastwards. 70% to reach tropical or subtropical depression status in 48 hrs, 80% in 5 days.

Two areas for today now. The red area still at 80% over 5 days but looks to be keeping well off land for now. The yellow area off Africa looks like it will lose potential as its heading for cooler waters in the next few days. Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV

Bonnie reached Cat3 in early July, it was an Atlantic to Pacific traveller, or crossover hurricane.

Certainly beginning to look like things are waking up, we now have a good chance of seeing tropical depression status being attained for the red area indicated on the graphic. Currency at 50% chance in the next 48 hrs and 80% over 5 days. The yellow area off the coast of Africa is currently at a low chance of 10% in 24hrs, 30% over 5 days. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A broad area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Although environmental conditions ahead of the system are currently only marginal favorable, some gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph, toward the waters east and northeast of the Leeward Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

We have a high possible now, the area in the central Atlantic is now 70% over 5 days. // 1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A broad and elongated area of low pressure is located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased somewhat since yesterday, it currently lacks organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while moving toward the west and then west-northwest at around 10 mph, toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent //

Thinks seem to be livening up a little bit now, four areas of interest. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 28 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A broad and elongated area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 2. Central Atlantic: Shower activity has become less organized during the past several hours in association with a small low pressure system located about 600 miles east of Bermuda. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while the low meanders over the central Atlantic. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea: A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the early or middle part of the week. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a couple of days. Some gradual development of the system is possible after that time while it moves generally westward across the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Cangialosi

I will just comment on drought. We have had droughts in the past, some lasting years, and those were probably much worse than the current one. Why? We use an awful lot more water now than the past. When you had to carry your water from the well, or nearby stream, you didn't waste it. So a couple of points to make. Droughts in the past would have been severe, we did not draw anywhere near as much water for daily use. The one we are in is in many ways our own making as we use, and waste, so much, drawing on reservoirs, lakes and aquifiers in such a way as never before. To compare the droughts of today with those of a few hundred years ago these things need to be taken into account. In recent history we have had droughts, 1976 being one, we are not quite there yet, although again water usage and waste is high, next year if we don't have replenishing rains over winter, then we might be.

Nothing much has changed, both current areas of interest have a 20% chance over 5 days still. So we wait....

Rain seems to just fade out by the time it gets here in Colchester, barely enough to damp the dust down so far. I was rather hopeful looking at the radar earlier and from what was modelled/forecast that we may get a decent amount, but... Not so sure now.

Completely missed us here in Colchester, half a dozen drops of rain and that's it. Overnight humidity was high making for uncomfortable sleeping too. Really need rain and a break now, it's not nice to work in and getting really tiring.

For anyone interested in the sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic and the hurricane belt, this page shows the current temperatures and the anomalies. Remember tropical storms are generally formed in 26°c plus sea surface temperature areas. Reynolds SST Analysis WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV