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The Eagle

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Everything posted by The Eagle

  1. The Eagle
    Better UKMO angle. No problems here
  2. The Eagle
    I remember 2012 (not the awful film, but February 2012). If this does not go to plan it is going to be appalling in here Caution is best policy.
  3. The Eagle
    NAVGEM shows the scenario that has occurred year after year. Cold to Athens... Granted not the best model but an example of the absolute myriad of ways this can go belly up.
  4. The Eagle
    Nothing like a good old fashioned gale force easterly.
  5. The Eagle
    The cold pool is back building...
  6. The Eagle
    Not a bad chart for 168 hours
  7. The Eagle
    Looks good so far.
  8. The Eagle
    ICON 96 hrs, the high not quite as well orientated and under a bit more pressure from the northwest depression...
  9. The Eagle
    You make some good points.
  10. The Eagle
    JMA 192, decent but 500 hpa height stubbornly high over us even at that stage. Cold air on the way though/
  11. The Eagle
    At the rate with which the really cold air is being brought closer to the more reliable time periods I reckon we'll be in there by November...give or take.
  12. The Eagle
    It's a small improvement on the 00z at 168 hrs but overall not that much of substance has changed. Still a journey to travel for the cold 850s.
  13. The Eagle
    Still a little too much energy over the top.
  14. The Eagle
    ECM is broadly similar to the UKMO at 96 hrs
  15. The Eagle
    Have to say I think UKMO is best at 144 so far GFS is ok but a slow burner.
  16. The Eagle
    ICON is "cake tomorrow" from start to finish. I think it would make it after 180 but it's a long wait. GFS looks better to 96 hrs. High pressure further north. Better chance of earlier cold incursion.
  17. The Eagle
    Not quite as favorable short term on ICON. Initial westery push of cold air further south.
  18. The Eagle
    It's not fully out until 15:45
  19. The Eagle
    9z is only high res and goes to 30 hrs
  20. The Eagle
    Anyone who needs expectation management only has to look at the ECM. Not the best. UKMO, though better, is not that much better.
  21. The Eagle
    GFS a slight upgrade to 96 hrs but not there (yet?)...
  22. The Eagle
    GFS an upgrade to 96 hrs.
  23. The Eagle
    GFS moving toward ECM at 48 hours. Jeez, can't believe I just said that. 48 hours? lol
  24. The Eagle
    6z ICON has moved toward the 00z GFS at 120 hrs.
  25. The Eagle
    Arpege 00z 102 hrs
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