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Typhoon John

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Posts posted by Typhoon John

  1. 33 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    Interesting those scandi heights are new, savage cold on Thursday on ECM 12z with slacker airflow would challenge February 2012 over snow fields 

    C82B6E35-02EA-47B9-A8DC-F81599584AED.thumb.png.0f63dab3121c060a359f6c39d0d43944.pngCC8F9F2A-6A4B-4290-A469-D305FB801A16.thumb.png.804d0fb47d5a2b5e0a6f06ababac78f4.png

    If the block is a little stronger to the east we could see that low stall further west and send WAA up the West of Ireland which would help to reinforce the block. That would subsequently drag in the colder air over Scandinavian. That would be my preferred outcome. If it does try to come through you would expect it to disrupt more than is being shown.

    • Like 5
  2. 6 minutes ago, Nick F said:

    Powder snow does seem to have amazing powers, not only is it prone to cause great drifts if its windy unlike snow with high water content that sticks to everything, it can find its way through the smallest cracks. Always remember the infamous 'wrong kind of snow' which I think was coined by the back then British Rail in the Feb 1991 severe cold and snowy spell. The dry powder snow infiltrated the mechanics of the electric train motors and caused issues with short-circuiting. I remember getting a train home to Kent from London on the onset of the Jan 1987 severe spell and remember the powder snow coming inside through the gaps between doors on the train, amazing qualities it has.

    Anyway, going off topic. Easterly arctic continental flows are inherently dry at the surface, so snow falling from moister upper levels tends to have lower water content that the moister polar maritime air that brought snow back in January via the NW. 

    06z GFS op for London quite close to the average of the GEFS spread  through most of the run, quite a few colder options in there, not really any sign of a 'warm up' until late in the run - which is too far out to have any guidance. Certainly good scope to stay cold for most all of next week.

    gfs-london-gb-515n-0e.thumb.jpeg.397690ce1a94ff37ad5b76224e7d72f4.jpeg

    Powder snow also has higher ratios.  1:10 may be typical but get dry powder and it can increase up to 1:40 and create huge snow depths in the right conditions.  Also a chance to see some stellar dendrites if it is cold enough!

    • Like 2
  3. 2 hours ago, Typhoon John said:

    Looks like this London storm is going to miss me here in the East.  Frustrating to have now had storms North, South and West of me in the last couple of days but nothing over us.  We've had about 30 seconds of rain.

    Completing the set of compass points, now have had a storm to the East which is dying before it gets here. ??‍♂️

    Doesn't look good for the rest of tonight.

     

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