Typhoon John

Great pics, thanks for posting. Looks like my idea of fun; maybe I should move to Slovenia.

The charts give an indication of where the average pressure anomalies will be in the 7-10 day range. The ECM output is on the left and the GFS output is on the right. At the moment they're showing a trough likely just to our East and high pressure from the mid-atlantic up to Greenland/Iceland and linking across to the Siberian high at time. In general, a cool and at times unsettled outlook.

We had quite a lot of butterflies in the Spring, in fact I'd go so far as to say an unusually large amount, but not so many since then. I've seen quite a few moths of various types. There were plenty of wasps around two Sundays ago but not seen any more since.

It's an interesting one, it's either very shallow or very deep. I think when the quakes are at the extremes of depth they throw up some odd readings.

USGS is showing it as 34.9km deep, so quite a difference!http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc0004sg6.php

I've been out tonight and there is a stunning display, in fact, it's probably one of the best I've ever seen in 6 years of watching. Admittedly it's the first I've seen this year but I haven't really been out much at the right time of night.

I missed February so I'll get this in early. Let's say 6.0c for now.

Late unfortunately, 3.3C please

I'd say shift that high a little towards the mid Atlantic and that could be the pattern.

What would be crippling is a cold year. A cold Winter last year already showed some of these effects. If this Winter were to have major cold and snow over all the major population centres of the NH, i.e., China, Western Europe and Eastern USA, and then we were to have a cold Spring, a cold and wet Summer and Autumn then there'd be problems. We'd see rocketing fuel and food prices due to a shortened growing season and a real possibility of food riots in poorer countries. I guess we're lucky to have global warming rather than global cooling.

4C for now please.

It's been suggested that 2010 is a mast year which which is why there are lots of berries. I don't think anyone has ever identified what causes a mast year, however, I suspect that the weather has a part to play.

Great forecast guys! I'd be happy if the Winter pans out like that.

I like the fact your tracking the Durham City temperature. It's handy for me as I live about 5 mins walk from the Stevenson Screen.Keep up the good work!

It's all really fascinating isn't it? You'd have to give credit to the PDO switch and low solar and congratulations to everyone who has been saying this since 2005. It's like one big experiment and we get to live in the middle of it and experience the results.

I hadn't seen any round here for weeks and then on Friday I caught one flying about at around 6 o'clock. I thought it was unusual at the time.

Where are the VEI scales estimates from? I haven't been following this closely but from what I've seen I would have thought it was more like a 2 for the current activity with a probable follow-up at some point measuring a 4.

6.2C please