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Roger J Smith

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  1. Roger J Smith
    EWP table value 161.3 mm, scoring adjusted. 14th wettest Dec, close to wettest if month had been 3 Dec to 2 Jan. Annual 1193.7 mm is just below 6th wettest 1960 (1195.0) and as tables are continually adjusted for several months, too soon to say if 2023 will end up 6th or 7th. Oct to Dec values can all change in next few months and this annual total is not finalized yet. (same applies to Dec but this was last call for contest scoring).
  2. Roger J Smith
    Correct, no data posted for 3rd but they say 8.2 to the 3rd and usually if no update, the date does not update. Odd. But I don't think there is any significant error involved because looking at max and min for 3rd, daily value is probably close to 8 C anyway (around a 10, 6 outcome). Today is a bit cooler and CET report tomorrow if it includes all data will probably be 7.5 to 7.8 to 4th, after which down she goes.
  3. Roger J Smith
    CET update 8.2c to the 2nd 4.4c above the 61 to 90 average (all of Jan) 3.7c above the 81 to 10 average (1-2 Jan) 3.6c above the 91 to 20 average (1-2 Jan) EWP started wet, 17.6 mm on 1st, approx 20 mm more on 2nd, so around 38 now. A dry trend sets in next week, GFS projections suggest EWP will only rise 15-20 mm by 19 Jan, to around 55 mm. Outlook is very cold at times, CET looks set to drop steadily and could be as low as 2 C by 19 Jan (expect 5 C by end of week and an average close to -1 C is depicted for ten days after coming weekend, if we were at 5 C after Sunday and ten days of zero C followed, CET would be 2.2 C by 18 Jan. Remains to be seen if GFS is for real or not.
  4. Roger J Smith
    EWP tracker ends up 160.1 -- will wait for final value 5 Jan before editing error portion of scoring table.
  5. Roger J Smith
    CET averages and extremes for January _ all data now converted to v2.0 ... the extremes are 1772-2023 ...[] below are for 1981-2010 []... these are again 1772-2023 DATE __ MAX (year) ____ MIN (year) ___ CET mean, cum __ extremes of running CET 01-date 01 Jan ... 12.7 (2022) ... ... -5.9 (1820) ... ... 4.4 ... ... 4.4 ..... ..... 12.7 (2022) ... -5.9 (1820) 02 Jan ... 10.4 (1922.48) ... -6.1 (1786) ..... 4.5 ... ... 4.5 ..... ..... 11.3 (2022) ... -5.9 (1786) 03 Jan ... 11.5 (1932) ... ... -7.7 (1795) ... ... 4.1 ... ... 4.3 ..... ......10.4 (2022) ... -6.5 (1786) 04 Jan ... 10.4 (1948) ... ... -9.0 (1867) ... ... 4.1 ... ... 4.3 ..... ....... 9.5 (1916) ... -6.0 (1795) 05 Jan ... 11.3 (1957) ... ... -6.5 (1789) ... ... 4.5 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 9.3 (1916) ... -5.3 (1795) 06 Jan ... 10.4 (1898) ... ... -7.0 (1894) ... ... 4.5 ... ... 4.4 .... ....... 9.2 (1916) ... -4.6 (1795) 07 Jan ... 10.4 (1890) ... ... -7.7 (1841) ... ... 3.3 ... ... 4.2 ..... ...... 9.2 (1916) ... -3.9 (1795) 08 Jan ..... 9.7 (1775,1858) ... -9.2 (1841) ... 3.9 ... ..4.2 ..... ....... 8.8 (1916, 92) ... -3.3 (1795) (-3.2 1864) 09 Jan ... 10.6 (1998) ... ... -5.0 (1841) ... ... 4.2 ... ... 4.2 ..... ....... 8.5 (1916) ... -2.8 (1795) (-2.7 1864) 10 Jan ... 11.2 (1921) ... ... -6.7 (1814) ... ... 4.4 ... ... 4.3 ..... ....... 8.5 (1916) ... -3.0 (1814) 11 Jan ... 10.1 (1990) ... ... -5.5 (1838) ... ... 4.3 ... ... 4.3 ..... ....... 8.5 (1916) ... -3.2 (1814) 12 Jan ..... 9.9 (1976, 2007) .. -7.7 (1987) ....4.3 ... ... 4.3 ..... ...... 8.4 (1916) ... -3.4 (1814) 13 Jan ... 10.0 (1796, 2007) .. -6.6 (1987) ....4.5 ... ... 4.3 ..... ...... 8.4 (2007) ... -3.4 (1814) 14 Jan ... 10.2 (2011) ... ... -7.5 (1982) ... ... 4.3 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 8.3 (2007) ... -3.6 (1814) 15 Jan ... 10.3 (1804) ... ... -8.5 (1820) ... ... 4.5 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 8.2 (2007) ... -3.7 (1814) 16 Jan ... 10.8 (1990) ... ... -7.4 (1881) ... ... 4.7 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 8.2 (2007) ... -3.7 (1814) 17 Jan ... 10.2 (1908) ... ... -6.9 (1881) ... ... 4.5 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 8.3 (2007) ... -3.7 (1814) 18 Jan ... 10.0 (1828) ... ... -6.2 (1891) ... ... 4.4 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 8.3 (2007) ... -3.6 (1814) 19 Jan ... 11.2 (1930) ... ... -8.9 (1823) ... ... 5.0 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 8.3 (2007) ... -3.5 (1814) 20 Jan ... 11.2 (2008) ... ...-11.9 (1838) ... .. 5.0 ... ... 4.5 ..... ....... 8.4 (2007) ... -3.4 (1814) 21 Jan ... 10.8 (1796)... ... .-8.0 (1881) ... .. .5.0 ... ... 4.5 ..... ....... 8.4 (2007) ... -3.5 (1814) 22 Jan ... 10.2 (1969) ... ... -6.5 (1881) ... ... 4.3 ... ... 4.5 ..... ....... 8.3 (2007) ... -3.6 (1814) 23 Jan ... 11.6 (1834) ... ... -8.4 (1963) ... ... 4.3 ... ... 4.5 ..... ....... 8.0 (2007) ... -3.6 (1814) 24 Jan ... 10.6 (1782) ... ... -8.2 (1963) ... ... 4.3 ... ... 4.5 ..... ....... 7.7 (1916) ... -3.6 (1814) 25 Jan ... 11.6 (2016) ... ... -8.9 (1795) ... ... 4.0 ... ... 4.5 ..... ....... 7.6 (1916) ....-3.6 (1795, 1814) 26 Jan ... 10.0 (1834) ... ... -7.6 (1945) ... ... 4.0 ... ... 4.5 ..... ....... 7.6 (1916) ... -3.6 (1795) 27 Jan ... 10.5 (2016) ... ... -6.5 (1776) ... ... 4.1 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 7.6 (1916) ... -3.3 (1814) 28 Jan ..... 9.7 (1944,83) .. -6.3 (1776) ... ... 4.2 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 7.7 (1916) ... -3.2 (1814) 29 Jan ... 10.2 (1854,1966) .. -6.8 (1776) ... 4.5... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 7.7 (1916) ... -3.1 (1795, 1814) 30 Jan ... 10.2 (2000) ... ... -7.5 (1776) ... ... 4.1 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 7.7 (1916) ... -3.1 (1795) 31 Jan ... 10.7 (1868) ... ... -7.2 (1776) ... ... 4.4 ... ... 4.4 ..... ....... 7.6 (1916) ... -3.1 (1795) _____________________________________________________________________________ As a measure of how cold Jan 1963 was, the running mean to 24th, 25th and 26th was -2.7 C. 1814 fell back only to -2.9 C after finally losing the lead to 1795..2010 was -1.9 after ten days. 1834 almost caught the leaders by 28th at 7.5 C, finished on 7.1. ... 1796 was as high as 7.5 on the 25th and 1976 was at 8.0 on 13th and 14th, 7.8 on 22nd. 1873 was running close to 8.0 at mid-month. 2002 had a 31-day interval mid-Jan to mid-Feb that averaged near 8.0 C. ------------------------------------ --------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- (tracking daily CET 1991-2020) ... First number is the daily mean, second is the running average to that date. 1._ 4.7 _ 4.7 _____ 11._ 5.0 _ 4.8 ______ 21. 4.3 _ 4.8 _______ 31._ 4.4 _ 4.7 2._ 4.5 _ 4.6 _____ 12._ 5.2 _ 4.8 ______ 22. 3.9 _ 4.8 _______ 3._ 4.2 _ 4.5 _____ 13._ 5.4 _ 4.9 ______ 23. 4.0 _ 4.8 _______ 4._ 4.2 _ 4.4 _____ 14._ 5.2 _ 4.9 ______ 24. 4.4 _ 4.7 _______ 5._ 4.6 _ 4.4 _____ 15._ 5.1 _ 4.9 ______ 25. 4.5 _ 4.7 _______ 6._ 5.0 _ 4.5 _____ 16._ 5.1 _ 4.9 ______ 26. 4.4 _ 4.7 _______ 7._ 4.7 _ 4.6 _____ 17._ 4.7 _ 4.9 ______ 27. 4.5 _ 4.7 _______ 8._ 5.4 _ 4.7 _____ 18._ 4.5 _ 4.9 ______ 28. 4.2 _ 4.7 _______ 9._ 5.1 _ 4.7 _____ 19._ 4.8 _ 4.9 ______ 29. 4.4 _ 4.7 _______ 10._ 5.1 _ 4.8 _____ 20._ 4.6 _ 4.9 ______ 30. 4.1 _ 4.7 _______ =============================================================
  6. Roger J Smith
    I will edit the table of forecasts after day's end in case there are one or two other late entries, and even so, you can still enter on 2nd or 3rd as well, and those would eventually find their way in.
  7. Roger J Smith
    I just edited the scoring tables posted back around 21st, so EWP scoring is official, CET will be confirmed or adjusted by J 10, these are based on table of entries so if I had any errors in your forecasts there, this table will have those errors. I hope not ... anyway congrats to Typhoon John for hitting this one "out of the park" and also virtualsphere for having both best EWP and best combined. Results for DEC 2023 _ Now final _ based on 7.0 C and 161.3 mm Ranks _____ CET _ EWP __ FORECASTER (Order of entry) ___ Best combined _____________ EWP scoring (pts, err) CET EWP _01 _ ---- ___7.0 __ --- --- __ Typhoon John ( 11 ) ______________ --- _02 _ 17 ___ 6.3 _ 108.0 __ davehsug ( 41 ) __________________19 ___ 4th best combined ___ 6.96 ___ 53.3 mm (17) _03 _ 01 ___ 6.0 _ 136.0 __ virtualsphere ( 6 ) ________________ 4 ___ best combined _______10.00 ___ 25.3 mm (1) _04 _ 52 ___ 6.0 __ 50.0 __ syed2878 ( 16 ) ___________________56 ___ t21st best combined __ 0.19 ___111.3 mm (52) _05 _ ---- ___6.0 __ --- --- __ Froze were the Days ( 38 ) _______ --- _06 _ ---- ___5.9 __ --- --- __ Summer Sun ( 37 ) _______________ --- _07 _ 36 ___ 5.8 __ 80.0 __ The PIT ( 18 ) _____________________ 43 ___16th best combined ___ 3.41 ____81.3 mm (t34) _08 _ 29 ___ 5.8 __ 87.0 __ Reef ( 32 ) ________________________ 37 ___14th best combined ___ 4.56 ____74.3 mm (29) _09 _ 13 ___ 5.7 _ 112.0 __ I remember Atlantic252 ( 27 ) ____ 22 ___t6th best combined ___ 7.72 ____49.3 mm (13) _10 _ 40 ___ 5.6 __ 74.0 __ summer blizzard ( 20 ) ____________50 ___19th best combined ___2.47 ____87.3 mm (40) _11 _ 04 ___ 5.6 _ 129.0 __ noname_weather ( 39 ) ___________15 ___2nd best combined ___ 9.43 ____32.3 mm (4) _12 _ 10 ___ 5.5 _ 118.0 __ chilly milly ( 13 ) __________________ 22 ___t6th best combined ___ 8.29 ____43.3 mm (10) _13 _ 03 ___ 5.4 _ 130.0 __ Don ( 34 ) _________________________16 ___ 3rd best combined ___ 9.62 ____31.3 mm (3) _14 _ 08 ___ 5.4 _ 120.0 __ J 10 ( 53 ) _________________________ 22 ___t6th best combined ___ 8.67 ____41.3 mm (8.) _15 _ 09 ___ 5.3 _ 119.0 __ Feb1991blizzard ( 30 ) ____________24 ___10th best combined ___8.48 ____42.3 mm (9) _16 _ 07 ___ 5.3 _ 121.5 __ snowray ( 40 ) ____________________ 23 ___ 9th best combined ___ 8.86 ____39.8 mm (7) _17 _ 16 ___ 5.3 _ 110.0 __ seaside60 ( L1-2 ) _________________33 ___12th best combined ___7.03^___ 51.3 mm (t14) _18 _ 02 ___ 5.2 _ 135.0 __ Frigid ( 35 ) _______________________ 20 ___ 5th best combined ___ 9.81 ____26.3 mm (2) _19 _ 15 ___ 5.2 _ 110.0 __ Addicks Fan 1981 ( 48 ) ___________34 ___13th best combined ___7.43 ____51.3 mm (t14) _20 _ 12 ___ 5.2 _ 114.0 __ February1978 ( 55 ) ______________ 32 ___11th best combined ___7.91 ____47.3 mm (12) _21 _ 24 ___ 5.1 __ 96.0 __ moorlander ( 7 ) __________________ 45 ___t17th best combined __ 5.58 ____65.3 mm (24) _22 _ 47 ___ 5.1 __ 63.0 __ SteveB ( 10 ) ______________________ 69 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __1.14 ___ 98.3 mm (47) _23 _ 22 ___ 5.1 __ 98.0 __ rwtwm ( 36 ) _______________________45 ___t17th best combined __5.98 ____63.3 mm (22) _24 _ 44 ___ 5.1 __ 67.0 __Mr Maunder ( 42 ) _________________ 68 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __1.71 ___ 94.3 mm (44) _25 _ 31 ___ 5.0 __ 83.0 __ Bobd29 ( 3 ) _______________________ 56 ___t21st best combined ___4.18 ___78.3 mm (31) _26 _ 35 ___ 5.0 __ 80.0 __ Earthshine ( 14 ) __________________ 61 ___ 25th best combined ___ 3.51 ___81.3 mm (t34) (27) _(17.6) _ 4.9 _ 106.3 _____ 1993-2022 average ___________ 44.6 __17th best combined ___6.86 ___55.0 mm (17.6) _27 _ 27 ___ 4.9 __ 88.0 __ methuselah ( 5 ) __________________ 54 ___ 20th best combined ____4.98 ___73.3 mm (t27) _28 _ 49 ___ 4.9 __ 59.0 __ dancerwithwings ( 19 ) ____________ 77 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.76 __102.3 mm (49) (29) (27) ___ 4.8 __ 88.0 _____ Consensus _____________________56 ___t21st best combined ____ 4.98 ___ 73.3 mm (t27) (29) (19.1) _ 4.8 _ 103.6 _____ 1991-2020 average ____________ 48.1__ 18th best combined ___ 6.55 ____57.7 mm (19.1) _29 _ 50 ___ 4.8 __ 56.0 __ summer shower ( 28 ) _____________ 79 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.57 ___105.3 mm (50) _30 _ ---- ___4.8 _ --- --- __ Mark Bayley ( 45 ) __________________ ---- _31 _ 11 ___ 4.7 _ 115.0 __ WYorksWeather ( 33 ) ______________ 42 ___15th best combined ___ 8.10 ____46.3 mm (11) (32) (22.4)_ 4.5 __ 97.4 _____ 1981-2010 average ______________ 54.4 __ 20th best combined __ 5.90 ____63.9 mm (22.4) _32 _ 48 ___ 4.5 __ 60.0 __ Leo97t ( 26 ) ________________________ 80_____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___0.95 ___101.3 mm (48.) _33 _ 30 ___ 4.4 __ 85.0 __ Weather26 ( 2 ) _____________________ 63_____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___4.37 ___ 76.3 mm (30) _34 _ 37 ___ 4.4 __ 77.0 __ Somerset girl ( 49 ) _________________ 71 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 3.04 ___ 84.3 mm (37) _35 _ 21 ___ 4.3 __ 99.0 __ Wold Topper ( 57 ) _________________ 56 ___t21st best combined ___ 6.18 ____62.3 mm (21) _36 _ 34 ___ 4.2 __ 80.0 __ John88b ( 8 ) ________________________70 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 3.61 ___ 81.3 mm (t34) _37 _ 41 ___ 4.2 __ 72.0 __ gazse9 ( 9 ) _________________________ 78 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 2.28 ___ 89.3 mm (t41) _38 _ 28 ___ 4.2 __ 88.0 __ summer18 ( 17 ) ____________________66 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 4.88 ___ 73.3 mm (t27) _39 _ 26 ___ 4.2 __ 90.0 __ Mulzy ( 46 ) _________________________ 65 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 5.18 ___ 71.3 mm (26) (40) (26.5) _ 4.1 __ 89.1 ___ average of all data (CET, EWP) ___ 66.5 ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ ___ ___ _ 5.09 ___ 72.2 mm (26.5) _40 _ 32 ___ 4.1 __ 81.0 __ Alexis J9 ( 4 ) ________________________72 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 3.99 ___ 80.3 mm (t32) _41 _ 25 ___ 4.1 __ 95.0 __ Metwatch ( 44 ) _____________________66 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 5.38 ___ 66.3 mm (25) _42 _ 20 ___ 4.0 _ 100.0 __ DR(S)NO ( 29 ) ______________________62 ___ 26th best combined __ 6.38 ___ 61.3 mm (20) _43 _ ---- ___4.0 __ --- --- __ damianslaw ( 43 ) __________________ ---- _44 _ 51 ___ 3.9 __ 51.0 __ shillitocettwo ( 22 ) _________________ 95 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.38 ___110.3 mm (51) _45 _ 39 ___ 3.9 __ 75.0 __ daniel* ( 56 ) ________________________84 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 2.75 ___ 86.3 mm (t38.) _46 _ 38 ___ 3.8 __ 75.0 __ stewfox ( 12 ) _______________________ 84 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 2.85 ___ 86.3 mm (t38.) _47 _ 18 ___ 3.8 _ 105.0 __ Midlands Ice Age ( 50 ) _____________ 65 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 6.77 ___ 56.3 mm (18.) _48 _ 33 ___ 3.7 __ 81.0 __ Emmett Garland ( 31 ) ______________ 81 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 3.89 ___ 80.3 mm (t32) _49 _ 53 ___ 3.6 __ 21.0 __ Neil N ( 21 ) _______________________ 102 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.00 ___140.3 mm (53) _50 _ 42 ___ 3.6 __ 72.0 __ Weather Observer ( 51 ) ____________ 92 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 2.18 ___ 89.3 mm (t41) _51 _ ---- ___3.3 __ --- --- __ Kentish Man ( 54 ) _________________ ---- _52 _ 43 ___ 3.2 __ 71.0 __ jonboy ( 24 ) ________________________ 95 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 1.90 ___ 90.3 mm (43) _53 _ 06 ___ 3.1 _ 124.0 __ godber 1 ( 52 ) _____________________ 59 ___24th best combined __ __ 9.14 ___ 37.3 mm (t5) _54 _ 14 ___ 3.0 _ 110.0 __ Jeff C ( 1 ) ___________________________68 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 7.53 ___ 51.3 mm (t14) _55 _ 45 ___ 2.9 __ 64.7 __ Roger J Smith ( 23 ) ________________ 100 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___1.52 ___ 96.6 mm (45) _56 _ 46 ___ 2.8 __ 64.0 __ Stationary Front ( 25 ) _____________ 102 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 1.33 ___ 97.3 mm (46) _57 _ 19 ___ 2.8 __104.0 __ Let It Snow! ( 58) __________________ 76 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ____ ___ 6.58 ___ 57.3 mm (19) _58 _ 05 ___ 2.4 _ 124.0 __ prolongedSnowLover ( 47 ) ________ 63 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 9.24 ___ 37.3 mm (t5) _59 _ 23 ___ 2.0 __ 96.5 __ Polar Gael ( 15 ) ____________________ 82 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 5.78 ___ 64.8 mm (23) note: ranks for error are in brackets after EWP error. No CET scoring info is contained, just ranks from table of entries. Late penalty jogs not used here, and will work out in CET scoring tables. Assume a drop of one rank per late day relative to rank indicated here. ... EWP scores affected by late penalties are shown with ^ symbol. If rank is pushed down, this is indicated by "level" which will also be reflected in error rank (those are not adjusted for late days). Error ranks are also tied for entries in different order. also note: best combined total ranks are shown for all entrants, but are ranked only for top 25. also note: Ranks for normals and consensus are in decimal form, indicating where they are located relative to integer ranks of contest entrants.
  8. Roger J Smith
    Confirmed at 7.0, and they show 2023 in second place (annual CET) but tied w2022 in one decimal at 11.1 C.
  9. Roger J Smith
    Welcome to several new or long-absent forecasters, we encourage you to join us again in future contests too. Table of entries for January 2024 CET _ EWP __ FORECASTER (Order of entry) _____ CET _ EWP _ FORECASTER (Order of entry) ____ 6.9 __ 80.0 __ stewfox (16) ________________________4.2 __ 87.0 __ feb1991blizzard (37) _______________ 6.4 __ 95.0 __ Tillys (L1-1) _________________________4.2 __ 80.0 __ Rob79812010 (L1-6) _______________ 6.3 __ 40.0 __ syed2878 (19) ______________________ 4.2 __ 74.0 __ rwtwm (L1-9) _____________________ 6.1 _ 123.0 __ virtualsphere (20) __________________ 4.1 __ 82.0 __ snowray (24) ________________________ 6.0 __ 95.0 __ The PIT (15) _________________________ 4.1 _ 115.0 __ Summer of 95 (35) _________________ 5.8 _ 135.0 __ I remember Atlantic252 ( 2 ) _______ 4.0 __ 65.0 __ climate man (14) ___________________ 5.8 _ --- --- __ Mark Bayley (22) ____________________ 4.0 __ 70.0 __ weatherforducks (25) _______________ 5.6 _ 120.0 __ East Lancs Rain ( 1 ) ________________ 4.0 _ 125.0 __ Addicks Fan 1981 (29) _______________ 5.6 __ 67.0 __ SteveB (10) _________________________ 4.0 __ 45.0 __ davehsug (45) ________________________ 5.6 __ 91.0 __ summer blizzard (27) _______________ 4.0 _ 100.0 __ methuselah (L1-4, 12.5) _____________ 5.5 _ 105.0 __ ScottD ( 6 ) __________________________ 3.9 __ 55.0 __ Frigid (38) ____________________________ 5.5 _ 102.0 __ summer18 (21) _____________________ 3.9 __ 99.0 __ jonboy (L1-2) _______________________ 5.4 __ 96.0 __ Weather26 ( 9 ) ______________________ 3.8 __ 59.0 __ Bobd29 (26) __________________________ 5.4 _ 103.6 __ WYorksWeather (30) ________________ 3.8 __ 70.0 __ daniel* (42) __________________________ 5.4 __ --- --- __ Typhoon John (31) __________________ 3.8 __ 90.0 __ DR(S)NO (43) ________________________ 5.4 _ 106.0 __ Reef (39) ____________________________ 3.8 __ 64.0 __ Stationary Front (51) ________________ 5.4 _ 100.0 __ J10 (54) ______________________________ 3.7 __ 56.3 __ Roger J Smith ( 5 ) ___________________ 5.2 _ 110.0 __ summer8906 (13) ___________________ 3.7 __ 60.0 __ Earthshine (17) _____________________ 5.2 __ 88.0 __ moorlander (34) _____________________ 3.7 __ 72.0 __ harveyslugger (23) _________________ 5.1 __ 81.0 __Mr Maunder (33) _____________________ 3.7 __ --- --- __ damianslaw (L1-8) ________________ 5.0 _ 115.0 __ summer shower (12) ________________ 3.7 __ 52.0 __ seaside60 (L1-10) _________________ 5.0 __ 132.0 __ shillitocettwo (L1-14) _____________ 3.7 __ 53.0 __ Midlands Ice Age (48) _______________ 4.9 __ 88.0 __ Don (41) ______________________________ 3.6 __ --- --- __ Summer Sun (28) __________________ 4.9 __ 65.0 __ Weather Observer (44) _______________ 3.5 __ 90.0 __ Jeff C ( 8 ) ___________________________ 4.8 __ 74.0 __ Metwatch (46) ________________________ 3.3 __ 81.6 __ average of all data (CET 1659-2022, EWP 1766-2022) 4.7 __ 90.0 __ noname_weather (47) ________________ 3.3 __ --- --- __ Kentish Man (49) __________________ 4.7 __ 94.2 __ 1991-2020 average ___________________3.3 __ 75.0 __ john88b ((L1-3) __________________ 4.7 __ 94.8 __ 1994-2023 average ___________________ 3.1 __ 45.3 __ Shaunado (40) _____________________ 4.6 __ 96.0 __ dancerwithwings ( 3 ) _________________ 3.1 __ 86.0 __ Let It Snow! (L1-7) ________________ 4.5 __ 62.0 __ chilly milly ( 4 ) ________________________ 3.0 __ 76.0 __ mulzy (L1-13) ____________________ 4.5 __ 45.0 __ Norrance (53) _________________________ 2.8 __ 50.0 __ Leo97t ( 7 ) _________________________ 4.4 __ 93.0 __ 1981-2010 average ___________________ 2.8 __ 84.0 __ Emmett Garland (36) ______________ 4.4 __ 71.0 __ February 1978 (52) ____________________ 2.7 __ 67.0 __ sukayuonsensnow (32) ____________ 4.4 __ 88.0 __ jmp223 (L1-5) _______________________ 2.3 __ 66.0 __ prolongedSnowLover (50) __________ 4.4 __ 53.0 __ somerset girl (L1-11) ________________ 2.1 __ 84.0 __ Godber 1 (L1-12) __________________ _______________________________________________________ 1.8 __ 62.3 __ Polar Gael (18) _____________________ 4.2 __ 81.0 __ consensus _____________________________ 0.7 __ 76.6 __ Kirkcaldy Weather (11) _____________ 54 on-time entries ... 14 entries one day late (includes 2 revised previously on time) 68 entries in total __ median (consensus) 4.2 C ========================== EWP forecasts in order 135_IRem .. 132_shil^ ..125_Add .. 123_virt .. 120_ELR .. 115_sumsh, sum95 .. 110_sum8906 .. 106_Reef .. 105_ScottD .. 103.6_WYork .. 102_sum18 .. 100_meth, J10 .. 99_jon^ 96_dww,wx26 .. 95_PIT, tilly^ .. 94.8_94-23 .. 94.2_91-20 .. 93.0_81-10 .. 91_sb .. 90_Jeff, DR(S),non .. 88_moor, Don, jmp223^ .. 87_Feb91 .. 86_LIS^ .. 84_EG, godb^.. 82_snow .. 81.6_alldata .. 81_mrm .. 80_stew, Rob^ .. 76.6_KW .. 76_mul^ .. 75_j88b^ .. 74_met, rwtwm^ .. 72_harv .. 71_Feb78 .. 70_ducks, dan .. 67_SteveB, suk .. 66_pSL .. 65_climan, WxOb .. 64_SF .. 62.3_PG .. 62_cm .. 60_Earth .. 59_bob .. 56.3_RJS .. 55_Frig .. 53_mia,sg^ .. 52_sea^ .. 50_leo .. 45.3_Shaun .. 45_dave, Norr .. 40_syed 51 on-time forecasts, plus 12 one day late (^) incl one, previously on time, revised on 1st 63 in total, consensus 81.0 mm <<< LATE FORECASTS are added to tables, and will be on 2nd, 3rd Jan 2024 >>>
  10. Roger J Smith
    By looks of today's reported max and min, CET will stay on 7.0 (I expect today to report around 6.5 to 7.0). EWP was already 140.6 mm before yesterday's downpours and will likely end up near 160 mm. It will be very close to passing 1960 for 6th place (162 mm would be required) in annual precip. All of the above means that the scoring table posted back in thread is quite accurate and can be brought forward tomorrow. EWP errors will require an edit but not points scoring portion. A happy new year to all, don't forget to enter January 2024 contest.
  11. Roger J Smith
    NYC also will have its highest annual average, probably 14.5 C and that is a full 0.4 above previous records of 14.1 in 2012 and 2020. But its highest reading of the year was only 93F (34 C) and only 10% of years had a lower annual max. So it was a bland sort of warmth almost entirely devoid of colder than average spells, and anchored by very mild winter averages at both ends of 2023. January was warmest on record, and this December looks like it will be second warmest (to 2015); February was also in top ten. November did see some below average readings and ended up below 1991-2020 average although near longer-term average. NYC period of record is 1869 to present ... Toronto with 184 years of data will end up near 5th warmest year or t4 possibly ... like NYC they had a very mediocre summer max of 91F or 32.9 C in early September. Both were 3C deg below long-term averages for that statistic (NYC 37 C and Toronto 36 C).
  12. Roger J Smith
    About 7.5 to 7.7, their protocol in calculating annual average is not as simple as just adding twelve values and dividing by 12, it is probably based on an average of mean daily maxima and mean daily minima, but it appears we will fall a bit short although I think there's a chance that 2023 will at least tie 2022 in one decimal (at 11.1 C for CET). They rank years and months based on a second decimal which is not in the tables. 7.6 would give the same total for the twelve months.
  13. Roger J Smith
    In the Dec 2023 thread, harveyslugger posted 3.7 C and 72mm.
  14. Roger J Smith
    Two more CET daily records fell on 25 Dec, mean daily 10.7 breaks 10.4 (1824) in v2.0, it was tied w1983 in CET legacy but 1983 became 10.2 in v2.0. Also minimum of 10.1 broke 9.1 from 1983. The max of 11.3 was not a record. The count for high mean daily records in 2023 is now 10.5 ... now tied with 1947 and 2011 for most daily records. 2022 had 9.5. 1947 also had 5.0 low mean daily records; none of the other years mentioned had any. 1895 is another year with a significant count in both categories (4.0 and 7.0). The years with the highest count of low daily records (v2.0) are 1816 and 1841 both with 9.5. 1812 has 8.5.
  15. Roger J Smith
    EWP is around 111 mm at present and looks to finish 145-150 mm. At 150 mm annual total will be 1183 mm ranking 7th just behind 1960 (1195.0 mm) and well ahead of 1903 (1160.3). As of today the year is passing 9th place 1877 (1144.1) and 8th place 1882 (1146.2). We passed tenth place 1848 (1130.1 mm) a few days ago. So it looks like either 7th or possibly 6th as 5th is a bit out of reach probably (1852_ 1213.0 mm), it would require 180 mm for Dec (or substantial edits of Oct-Nov table values as the EWP values are adjusted several times before settling). Rest of top ten is fourth wettest 2000 (1232.4 mm), third wettest 2012 (1244.4 mm), second 1768 (1247.3 mm) and first 1872 (1283.9 mm). Keep in mind it was very dry in Feb 2023 (16.5 mm). Of the years in current top ten, the driest month any of those had was 12.8 mm in march 1768, followed by 17.1 mm in march 1852, several others had no totals below 30 and 1872 had a low value of only 66.2 (in may). It seems to be common for wet years to do most of their business in second half of year with perhaps one or two wet months before July. This may be because average values are higher for January and the last four months of the calendar year. CET output now looks a bit colder again, and would end up about 6.7 on today's guidance. Looks very windy for night of 30-31 Dec.
  16. Roger J Smith
    New CET records for 24 Dec were set in all three categories: max 13.4 (replaces 12.9 1997) mean 11.3 (replaces 10.7 1843) _ 1843 was before max, min period of record so not sure if it could have set higher max or min 9.3 (replaces 8.9 1977)
  17. Roger J Smith
    Yes, it will get 2023 back into range of tying 2022 for annual CET in one decimal (11.1), we will have to wait and see the decision on that. A colder Dec average was going to make the question of 2nd or 3rd rank against 2014 (11.0) ... This will also be the warmest year on record at NYC (in 155 years), beating 2012, and fifth warmest at Toronto, in 184 years of record. It will also be NYC's lowest calendar year snowfall (1913 3.4", 2023 to date 2.3") if it does not snow at least 1.2" now to 31st. Last winter 2022-23 was also least snowy of all winters at NYC (again 2.3"), but so far this one has only recorded trace amounts. At 7.0 or 7.1C, ((CET)) it would be 15th warmest Dec all-time, and neither of those values exists in v2.0 data set. At 6.9 it would join four others now ranked 15th to 18th. At 6.8 it would join four currently ranked 19th to 22nd.
  18. Roger J Smith
    EWP update _ around 108 mm now, GFS still gets it to 145-150 mm (approx) by end of Dec. CET has been near record mild, not quite setting any daily records so far, but it could do so today (will report on it tomorrow). Looking at model output, if I assume we are at or about 7.0 after both today and 25 Dec, then the last six days will only reduce that to 6.8 or 6.9 (GFS). There was colder guidance in past few days. The European model also looks to flat-line near 7 C with just a slight fall on 30 Dec suggested. Would now say a range of 6.7 to 7.1 looking good (for Typhoon John in particular). Will edit scoring table accordingly.
  19. Roger J Smith
    I just updated v2.0 records on CET historical thread, which took this thread off the page for recent views and posts, so as a courtesy I will get it back to that status with this post. Just in passing, today could break CET daily records, so far in this recent spell, no daily records have been set, going up against highest readings of Dec 2015 then other slightly higher values. ... happy holidays to all.
  20. Roger J Smith
    Tables in this thread were based on CET legacy values. Daily record means (page 1) were edited to show the new v2.0 values, and a log of changes was created. Now I am adding the new v2.0 values for daily max and min records. Notes in existing tables will direct readers to this post for updated values. One set of tables for high maximum and low minimum is followed by another set for low maximum and high minimum v2.0 records. CET high maximum records 1878-2023 ____ CET low minimum records 1878-2023 DATE ___ Legacy High max __ v2.0 High max _____[]__Legacy Low min __ v2.0 Low min, year 01 Jan __ 14.3 _ 2022 ______14.5 _ 2022 ______ ___ -8.6 _ 1962 _____ -8.6 _ 1962 02 Jan __ 12.9 _ 1910,76 __ 12.9 _ 1976 ______ ___ -8.7 _ 1962 _____ -8.7 _ 1962 03 Jan __ 12.7 _ 1932,48 __ 12.6 _ 1932,48 ___ ___ -7.8 _ 1962 _____ -7.8 _ 1962 04 Jan __ 13.2 _ 1916 _____ 13.1 _ 1957 ______ ___ -7.2 _ 1893 _____ -6.9 _ 2010 05 Jan __ 13.3 _ 1957,83 __ 13.4 _ 1983 ______ ___ -8.6 _ 1893 _____ -8.2 _ 1893 06 Jan __ 12.7 _ 1916,28 __ 12.7 _ 1916 ______ __ -10.7 _ 1894 ____ -10.9 _ 1894 07 Jan __ 12.9 _ 2005 _____ 13.0 _ 2005,2020__ __-9.7 _ 1894 _____-10.0 _ 1886 (9.1 _ 1894) (-8.4 _ 2010) 08 Jan __ 12.8 _ 2007 _____ 13.0 _ 2007 ______ ___ -7.7 _ 1970, 2010 _-8.7 _ 1886 (-7.7_1970,2010) 09 Jan __ 14.0 _ 2015 _____ 14.2 _ 2015 ______ ___ -6.5 _ 1918 _____ -6.5 _ 1892 10 Jan __ 12.7 _ 1971 _____ 12.7 _ 1971 ______ ___ -8.0 _ 1968, 82__ -8.0 _ 1968, 82 11 Jan __ 12.3 _ 2007 _____ 12.4 _ 2005, 2007 ___ -8.2 _ 1879 _____ -9.2 _ 1879 12 Jan __ 13.1 _ 2007 _____ 13.3 _ 2007 ______ __ -10.1 _ 1963 ____ -10.2 _ 1879 (-10.1 _ 1963 _ -9.8 _ 1987) 13 Jan __ 12.3 _ 2011 _____ 12.5 _ 2011 ______ ___ -9.6 _ 1987 _____ -9.7 _ 1987 14 Jan __ 12.7 _ 1968 _____ 12.7 _ 1968 ______ __ -12.9 _ 1982 ____ -12.8 _ 1982 15 Jan __ 13.1 _ 1954 _____ 13.1 _ 1954 ______ __ -12.7 _ 1982 ____ -12.7 _ 1982 16 Jan __ 13.1 _ 1993 _____ 13.1 _ 1993 ______ __ -12.7 _ 1881 ____ -12.5 _ 1881 17 Jan __ 12.4 _ 1934 _____ 12.4 _ 1934 ______ __ -11.0 _ 1881 ____ -11.7 _ 1881 18 Jan __ 13.2 _ 2008 _____ 13.3 _ 2008 ______ __ -11.0 _ 1891 ____ -11.2 _ 1891 19 Jan __ 13.6 _ 1930 _____ 13.8 _ 1930 ______ __ -11.1 _ 1891 ____ -11.7 _ 1891 20 Jan __ 12.9 _ 2008 _____ 13.1 _ 2008 ______ __ -11.5 _ 1881 ____ -12.2 _ 1881 21 Jan __ 12.4 _ 1993 _____ 12.5 _ 2024^_____ __ -13.4 _ 1940 ____ -13.3 _ 1940 (-12.9 _ 1881) 22 Jan __ 12.5 _ 1878 _____ 12.0 _ 1878 ______ __ -12.3 _ 1881 ____ -12.5 _ 1881 23 Jan __ 13.0 _ 1884 _____ 13.0 _ 2024^______ __-13.2 _ 1963 _____ -13.2 _ 1963 24 Jan __ 13.7 _ 2016 _____ 13.9 _ 2016 ______ __ -12.7 _ 1963 _____ -12.8 _ 1963 25 Jan __ 13.5 _ 2016 _____ 13.7 _ 2016 ______ __ -10.7 _ 1963 _____ -10.6 _ 1963 (-10.2_1881) 26 Jan __ 13.2 _ 2003 _____ 13.2 _ 2003 ______ __ -10.6 _ 1945 ____ -10.6 _ 1945 27 Jan __ 13.4 _ 2002 _____ 13.4 _ 2002 ______ __ -10.3 _ 1945 ____ -10.3 _ 1945 28 Jan __ 12.6 _ 2018 _____ 12.7 _ 2018 ______ __-11.1 _ 1979 ____ -11.2 _ 1979 29 Jan __ 13.0 _ 2002 _____ 13.0 _ 2002, 2013 __ -8.9 _ 1947 _____ -9.0 _ 1947 30 Jan __ 12.7 _ 1975 _____ 12.9 _ 1898 _____ ___ -8.7 _ 1947 _____ -8.7 _ 1947 31 Jan __ 12.6 _ 2016 _____ 12.8 _ 2016 _____ ___ -9.2 _ 1972 _____ -9.2 _ 1972 ^ 21 Jan 2024 new record, 21 Jan 1993 still 12.4 C in v2.0 ^ 23 Jan 2024 new record, 23 Jan 1884 fell to 12.3 C in v2.0, 2018 (12.7 C) was v2.0 record. ============================== High Maximum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 ____ Low Minimum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 DATE ___ Legacy High max __ v2.0 High max _____[]__Legacy Low min __ v2.0 Low min, year 01 Feb __ 13.3 _ 2016 _____ 13.5 _ 2016 _____ ___ -9.7 _ 1956 _____ -9.8 _ 1956 02 Feb __ 13.5 _ 2004 _____ 13.8 _ 2004 _____ __ -10.0 _ 1956 ____ -10.0 _ 1956 03 Feb __ 14.2 _ 2004 _____ 14.5 _ 2004 _____ __ -10.4 _ 1956 ____ -10.5 _ 1956 04 Feb __ 14.5 _ 2004 _____ 14.8 _ 2004 ______ ___-9.7 _ 1956 _____ -9.8 _ 1956 05 Feb __ 13.1 _ 1990 _____ 13.2 _ 1990, 2004___-9.2 _ 1917 _____ -9.6 _ 1917 06 Feb __ 13.4 _ 1989 _____ 13.6 _ 1989 ______ __ -11.0 1917 ____ -10.9 _ 1917 07 Feb __ 12.9 _ 1990 _____ 13.0 _ 1990 ______ __ -11.7 1917 _____ -12.3 _ 1895 (-10.7_1917) 08 Feb __ 12.6 _1903, 2000__12.6_ 1933, 2000__ -13.5 _ 1895 ____ -13.7 _ 1895 09 Feb __ 14.1 _ 2008 _____ 14.4 _ 2008 ______ __ -12.9 _ 1895 ____ -12.5 _ 1895 10 Feb __ 14.6 _ 1899 _____ 14.7 _ 1899 ______ __ -11.3 _ 1895 ____ -11.7 _ 1895 11 Feb __ 13.7 _ 1939 _____ 13.7 _ 1939 ______ ___ -8.6 _ 1986 _____ -8.5 _ 1986 12 Feb __ 14.3 _ 1998 _____ 14.3 _ 1998 ______ __ -10.1 _ 1895 _____ -9.9 _ 1895 13 Feb __ 16.4 _ 1998 _____ 16.4 _ 1998 ______ __ -11.1 _ 1895 ____ -11.2 _ 1895 14 Feb __ 15.8 _ 1998 _____ 15.9 _ 1998 ______ __ -12.5 _ 1929 ____ -12.6 _ 1929 15 Feb __ 14.2 _1998,2019__16.3 _ 2024^ ____ __ -12.1 _ 1929 ____ -11.5 _ 1929 16 Feb __ 14.8 _ 2022 _____ 15.0 _ 2022 ______ ___ -7.2 _ 1969, 1985 _ -7.3 _ 1969 (-7.2 1985) 17 Feb __ 14.2 _1878,1920__14.9 _ 1878^_____ ___ -9.2 _ 1929 _____ -8.6 _ 1929 18 Feb __ 15.0 _ 1945 _____ 15.2 _ 1945 ______ ___ -9.8 _ 1929 _____ -9.8 _ 1929 19 Feb __ 13.5 _ 1961 _____ 13.5 _ 1961 ______ ___ -8.7 _ 1892 _____ -9.0 _ 1892 20 Feb __ 14.1 _ 2017 _____ 14.3 _ 2017 ______ ___ -7.5 _ 1955 _____ -7.5 _ 1955 21 Feb __ 15.0 _ 2019 _____ 15.2 _ 2019 ______ ___ -8.2 _ 1986 _____ -8.2 _ 1986 22 Feb __ 15.0 _ 2019 _____ 15.2 _ 2019 ______ ___ -6.3 _ 1986 _____ -6.5 _ 1942 23 Feb __ 16.2 _ 2019 _____ 16.4 _ 2019 ______ ___ -7.0 _ 1947 _____ -7.0 _ 1947 24 Feb __ 15.9 _ 2019 _____ 16.1 _ 2019 ______ __ -13.6 _ 1947 ____ -13.6 _ 1947 25 Feb __ 17.7 _ 2019 _____ 17.9 _ 2019 ______ __ -12.1 _ 1947 ____ -12.1 _ 1947 26 Feb __ 18.4 _ 2019 _____ 18.6 _ 2019 ______ ___ -8.0 _ 1947 _____ -8.1 _ 1947 27 Feb __ 16.3 _ 2019 _____ 16.5 _ 2019 ______ ___ -6.0 _ 1955 _____ -6.0 _ 1955 28 Feb __ 16.0 _ 1959 _____ 16.0 _ 1959 ______ ___ -7.8 _ 1955 _____ -7.9 _ 1955 29 Feb __ 15.5 _ 1960 _____ 15.5 _ 1960 ______ ___ -4.9 _ 1904 _____ -4.6 _ 1904 _________________ ^ 15 Feb 2024 broke 14.4 C in v2.0 (2019). ^ 17 Feb 2023 14.2 C tied the legacy values but fell short of the boosted 1878 v2.0 value. 01 Mar __ 14.9 _ 1959 ______ 14.9 _ 1959 _______ ___ -7.1 _ 1929 ______ -7.0 _ 1929* 02 Mar __ 16.5 _ 1977 ______ 16.5 _ 1977 _______ ___ -6.7 _ 1965 ______ -6.6 _ 1965 03 Mar __ 14.3 _ 1957 ______ 14.3 _ 1957 _______ ___ -9.3 _ 1965 ______ -9.3 _ 1965 04 Mar __ 16.0 _ 1928 ______ 16.3 _ 1928 _______ ___ -7.2 _ 1890, 1909__-7.8 _ 1890 05 Mar __ 16.0 _ 1961 ______ 16.0 _ 1961 _______ ___ -9.4 _ 1909 ______ -9.0 _ 1909 06 Mar __ 15.3 _ 1961 ______ 15.2 _ 1961 _______ ___ -6.2 _ 1962 ______ -6.2 _ 1962 07 Mar __ 14.9 _ 1906 ______ 14.8 _ 2015 _______ ___ -9.3 _ 1947 ______ -9.4 _ 1947 08 Mar __ 15.1 _ 1961 ______ 15.1 _ 1961 _______ ___ -6.6 _ 1947 ______ -6.6 _ 1947 09 Mar __ 19.9 _ 1948 ______ 19.9 _ 1948 _______ ___ -7.5 _ 1917 ______ -7.1 _ 1917 10 Mar __ 17.4 _ 1929 ______ 17.5 _ 1929 _______ ___ -6.3 _ 1883 ______ -6.1 _ 1883 11 Mar __ 18.4 _ 1957 ______ 18.4 _ 1957 _______ ___ -5.0 _ 1958 ______ -5.0 _ 1958 12 Mar __ 18.4 _ 1957 ______ 18.5 _ 1957 _______ ___ -6.4 _ 1891 ______ -7.5 _ 1891 13 Mar __ 17.2 _ 1991 ______ 17.3 _ 1991 _______ ___ -6.3 _ 1887 ______ -6.4 _ 1887 14 Mar __ 17.9 _ 1948 ______ 17.9 _ 1948 _______ ___ -6.7 _ 1887 ______ -6.6 _ 1887 15 Mar __ 17.9 _ 1961 ______ 18.0 _ 1961 _______ ___ -5.4 _ 1962 ______ -5.4 _ 1962 16 Mar __ 20.0 _ 1961 ______ 20.0 _ 1961 _______ ___ -4.6 _ 1909 ______ -4.8 _ 1909 17 Mar __ 19.3 _ 1990 ______ 19.4 _ 1990 _______ ___-5.1 _ 1887 ______ -5.2 1887, 1909 18 Mar __ 19.6 _ 1990 ______ 19.7 _ 1990 _______ ___-4.6 _ 1900 ______ -5.0 _ 1900 19 Mar __ 17.6 _ 1972 ______ 17.5 _ 1972 _______ ___ -4.5 _ 1887 ______ -4.6 _ 1887 20 Mar __ 17.5 _ 1929 ______ 17.2 _ 1929 _______ ___ -7.7 _ 1930 ______ -7.3 _ 1930 21 Mar __ 17.8 _ 1927 ______ 17.8 _ 1927 _______ ___ -6.0 _ 1899 ______ -6.0 _ 1899 22 Mar __ 18.0 _ 2022 ______ 18.1 _ 2022 _______ ___ -5.3 _ 1899 ______ -4.7 _ 1899 23 Mar __ 19.4 _ 1945 ______ 19.4 _ 1945 _______ ___ -4.8 _ 1899 ______ -4.7 _ 1899 24 Mar __ 18.9 _ 2012 ______ 19.1 _ 2012 _______ ___ -6.3 _ 1883 ______ -6.7 _ 1883 25 Mar __ 19.1 _ 1953 ______ 19.1 _ 1953^______ ___ -4.4 _ 1883 ______ -4.4 _ 1883 26 Mar __ 18.8 _ 2012 ______ 18.9 _ 2012^______ ___ -4.2 _ 1901 ______ -4.2 _ 1901 27 Mar __ 19.5 _ 2012 ______ 19.6 _ 2012^______ ___ -4.4 _ 1881 ______ -4.6 _ 1881 28 Mar __ 20.3 _ 1929 ______ 20.5 _ 1929 _______ ___ -3.9 _ 1901 ______ -3.8 _ 1901 29 Mar __ 22.1 _ 1965 ______ 22.2 _ 1965 _______ ___ -4.9 _ 1901 ______ -5.1 _ 1901 30 Mar __ 21.2 _ 2021______ 21.3 _ 2021*_______ ___ -3.7 _ 1915 ______ -3.9 _ 1915 31 Mar __ 20.2 _ 2021 ______ 20.4 _ 2021 _______ ___ -3.8 _ 1955, 2013__-3.8 _ 1955 (-3.7 2013) ------------------------------ ^ note: 25th to 27th had high daily means (>14 C) in 1777 and may have had warmer days than these record values. * (30th 2017 was 19.3) * (min 1st 2018 was -6.3) ====================================================== High Maximum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 ____ Low Minimum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 DATE ___ Legacy High max __ v2.0 High max ____[]__Legacy Low min __ v2.0 Low min, year 01 Apr __ 19.1 _ 1999 ______ 19.1 _ 1999 _______ ___ -4.0 _ 1967 ______ -4.1 _ 1967 02 Apr __ 20.8 _ 1946 ______ 20.8 _ 1946 _______ ___ -4.9 _ 1917 ______ -4.9 _ 1917 03 Apr __ 23.5 _ 1946 ______ 23.4 _ 1946 _______ ___ -3.9 _ 1917 ______ -4.0 _ 1917 04 Apr __ 22.0 _ 1946 ______ 22.0 _ 1946 _______ ___ -2.8 _ 1990 ______ -3.0 _ 1990 05 Apr __ 19.9 _ 2020 ______ 20.0 _ 2020 _______ ___ -3.1 _ 1990 ______ -3.3 _ 1990 06 Apr __ 20.3 _ 2011 ______ 20.3 _ 2011 _______ ___ -2.4 _ 1911,1990 __ -2.6 1990 (-2.5 1911) 07 Apr __ 18.6 _ 1933 ______ 18.5 _ 1933 _______ ___ -3.3 _ 2021 ______ -3.1 _ 2021 08 Apr __ 20.3 _ 1969 ______ 20.5 _ 1969 _______ ___ -3.6 _ 1968 ______ -3.6 _ 1968 09 Apr __ 21.4 _ 2017 ______ 21.5 _ 2017 _______ ___ -3.2 _ 1973 ______ -3.2 _ 1973 10 Apr __ 22.0 _ 2020 ______ 22.1 _ 2020 _______ ___ -1.9 _ 1924 ______ -2.4 _ 1924 11 Apr __ 21.7 _ 2020 ______ 21.8 _ 2020 _______ ___ -3.4 _ 1978 ______ -3.4 _ 1978 12 Apr __ 20.8 _ 2020 ______ 20.9 _ 2020 _______ ___ -2.0 _ 2021 ____ -2.0 _1911,1912 (-1.8 2021) 13 Apr __ 19.3 _ 1945 ______ 19.3 _ 1945 _______ ___ -2.3 _ 2021 ______ -2.1 _ 2021 14 Apr __ 21.5 _ 2007 ______ 21.5 _ 2007 _______ ___ -3.3 _ 1892 ______ -3.1 _ 1892 15 Apr __ 23.3 _ 1949 ______ 23.3 _ 1949 _______ ___ -3.6 _ 1892 ______ -3.3 _ 1892 16 Apr __ 25.0 _ 2003 ______ 25.0 _ 2003 _______ ___ -2.3 _ 1892 ______ -2.2 _ 1892 17 Apr __ 22.4 _ 2003 ______ 22.4 _ 2003 _______ ___ -2.4 _ 1892 ______ -2.5 _ 1892 18 Apr __ 22.4 _ 2018 ______ 22.4 _ 2018 _______ ___ -2.8 _ 1892 ______ -2.9 _ 1892 19 Apr __ 24.3 _ 2018 ______ 24.3 _ 2018 _______ ___ -2.3 _ 1892 ______ -2.5 _ 1892 20 Apr __ 23.4 _ 1893 ______ 23.5 _ 1893 _______ ___ -1.7 _ 1969 ______ -1.7 _ 1969 21 Apr __ 23.7 _ 1893 ______ 23.4 _ 1893* ______ ___ -2.3 _ 1936 ______ -2.3 _ 1936, 1997 22 Apr __ 23.4 _ 2011 ______ 23.5 _ 2011 _______ ___ -1.0 _ 1879 ______ -1.1 _ 1879 23 Apr __ 22.4 _ 2011 ______ 22.5 _ 2011 _______ ___ -2.3 _ 1936 ______ -2.3 _ 1936 24 Apr __ 21.9 _ 1893 ______ 21.9 _ 1893 _______ ___ -3.0 _ 1908 ______ -3.0 _ 1908 25 Apr __ 22.9 _ 1893 ______ 23.1 _ 1893 _______ ___ -1.3 _ 1908 ______ -1.5 _ 1908 26 Apr __ 22.5 _ 1928 ______ 22.1 _ 1928 _______ ____-2.0 _ 1900 ______ -2.2 _ 1900 (-1.9 1985) 27 Apr __ 19.8 _ 1916,64 ___ 19.9 _ 1964 _______ ___ -0.7 _ 1906 ______ -1.2 _ 1906 28 Apr __ 22.0 _ 1987 ______ 22.0 _ 1987^ ______ ___ -1.4 _ 2016 ______ -1.3 _ 2016 29 Apr __ 21.2 _ 1994 ______ 21.3 _ 1994^ ______ ___ -1.4 _ 1976 ______ -1.4 _ 1976 30 Apr __ 22.2 _ 1990 ______ 22.3 _ 1990^ ______ ___ -2.2 _ 1927 ______ -2.2 _ 1927* ------------------------ ^ Maxima of 24-27 were likely in 1775 on these last three days of April. Minima around 10th-15th in 1837 very low, some could be records. * 23.3 2011 not quite a record __ *-1.4 on 30th 1945. 01 May __ 23.7 _ 1966 ______ 23.7 _ 1966 _______ ___ -1.0 _ 1927 ______ -1.2 _ 1886 (-0.9_1927, -0.6 1945) 02 May __ 24.2 _ 1990 ______ 24.2 _ 1990 _______ ___ -0.4 _ 1979 ______ -0.6 _ 1979 03 May __ 25.5 _ 1990 ______ 25.5 _ 1990 _______ ___ -1.5 _ 1967 ______ -1.5 _ 1967 04 May __ 25.2 _ 1990,2006__ 25.3 _ 1990 _______ ___ -1.5 _ 1941 ______ -1.6 _ 1941 05 May __ 23.7 _ 1995 ______ 23.9 _ 1995 _______ ___ -0.5 _ 1982 ______ -0.5 _ 1979, 1982 06 May __ 23.9 _ 1995 ______ 24.0 _ 1995 _______ ___ +0.8 _ 1996 ______ +0.7 _ 1996 07 May __ 25.6 _ 2018 ______ 25.6 _ 2018 _______ ___ -0.5 _ 1892 ______ -0.6 _ 1892 08 May __ 25.0 _ 2016 ______ 25.0 _ 2016 _______ ___ -0.9 _ 1938 ______ -1.0 _ 1938 09 May __ 23.1 _ 2016 ______ 23.1 _ 2016 _______ _ +0.2 _1910, 1980, 1984 _ -0.5_1910 10 May __ 24.3 _ 1959 ______ 24.4 _ 1959 _______ ___ -1.3 _ 1879 ______ -1.3 _ 1879 11 May __ 25.2 _ 2008 ______ 25.2 _ 2008 _______ ___ -0.3 _ 1881 ______ -0.4 _ 1881 12 May __ 25.3 _ 1945 ______ 25.3 _ 1945________ ___ -0.9 _ 2020 ______ -0.8 _ 2020 13 May __ 24.4 _ 1965 ______ 24.5 _ 1965 _______ ___ -0.4 _ 2010 ______ -0.3 _ 2010 14 May __ 26.0 _ 1965 ______ 26.1 _ 1965 (25.9 _ 1992) _-0.6 _ 2020 ______ -0.4 _ 2020 15 May __ 23.7 _ 2000 ______ 23.7 _ 2000^______ ___ +0.2 _ 1915 ______ +0.2 _ 1915 16 May __ 24.5 _ 1952 ______ 24.5 _ 1952 _______ ___ -0.4 _ 1941 ______ -0.6 _ 1941 17 May __ 26.4 _ 1952 ______ 26.4 _ 1952 _______ ___ -1.3 _ 1935 ______ -1.3 _ 1935 18 May __ 26.2 _ 1952 ______ 26.2 _ 1952 _______ ___ -0.7 _ 1891 ______ -0.1 _ 1891 19 May __ 24.6 _ 1992 ______ 24.7 _ 1992 _______ ___ -0.4 _ 1891 ______ -0.2 _ 1891 20 May __ 25.5 _ 2020 ______ 25.5 _ 2020 _______ ___+1.9 _ 1956 ______ +1.9 _ 1894 (2.0 _ 1956) 21 May __ 26.2 _ 1918 ______ 26.4 _ 1918 _______ ___ +0.4 _ 1894 ______ +0.3 _ 1894 22 May __ 26.5 _ 1918 ______ 26.6 _ 1918 _______ ___ +0.4 _ 1894 ______+0.5 _ 1894 23 May __ 26.1 _ 1922 ______ 26.0 _ 1922 (25.8 _ 2010) _+2.0 _ 1905 ______ +1.8 _ 1905 24 May __ 25.3 _ 1992 ______ 25.4 _ 1992 _______ ___ +0.9 _ 1923 ______+1.4 _ 1923 25 May __ 27.7 _ 1953 ______ 27.6 _ 1953 _______ ___ +2.4 _ 1948 ______ +2.4 _ 1948 26 May __ 25.5 _ 2017 ______ 25.5 _ 2017 _______ ___ +1.7 _ 1914 ______ +1.6 _ 1914 27 May __ 25.6 _ 2005 ______ 25.5 _ 2005 _______ ___ +1.1 _ 1914 ______ +1.1 _ 1914 28 May __ 26.2 _ 1944 ______ 26.3 _ 1944 _______ ___ +1.3 _ 1899 ______ +1.2 _ 1899 29 May __ 29.0 _ 1944 ______ 28.9 _ 1944*______ ___ +2.8 _ 1927 ______ +2.8 _ 1927 30 May __ 27.4 _ 1944 ______ 27.4 _ 1944 _______ ___ +2.8 _ 1915,74 ___+2.7 _ 1880,1915,74 31 May __ 28.5 _ 1947 ______ 28.6 _ 1947 _______ ___ +0.8 _ 1975 ______ 0.8 _ 1975 (+1.2_1915) _____________________________________ ^ higher maxima may have occurred 15th May 1833. * 28.6 29th 1947 =========================================== High Maximum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 ____ Low Minimum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 DATE ___ Legacy High max __ v2.0 High max ____[]__Legacy Low min __ v2.0 Low min, year 01 Jun __ 26.8 _ 1922 ______ 27.0 _ 1922 _______ ___ 1.9 _ 1962 ______ 1.9 _ 1962 02 Jun __ 30.0 _ 1947 ______ 30.0 _ 1947 _______ ___ 2.6 _ 1991 ______ 2.4 _ 1991 (2.9 1989) 03 Jun __ 29.6 _ 1947 ______ 29.5 _ 1947 _______ ___ 3.9 _ 1975 ______ 3.8 _ 1975 04 Jun __ 27.5 _ 1933 ______ 27.5 _ 1933, 1980 ____1.8 _ 1991 ______ 1.6 _ 1991 05 Jun __ 28.4 _ 1942 ______ 28.4 _ 1942 _______ ___ 1.3 _ 1991 ______ 1.2 _ 1991 06 Jun __ 29.9 _ 1950 ______ 29.9 _ 1950 _______ ___ 3.7 _ 1920 ______ 3.5 _ 1920 07 Jun __ 27.8 _ 1940 ______ 27.7 _ 1933, 1940 ____ 3.6 _ 2005 ______ 3.7 _ 2005 08 Jun __ 28.5 _ 1976 ______ 28.4 _ 1976 _______ ___ 3.1 _ 1985 ______ 2.9 _ 1985 09 Jun __ 28.3 _ 1940 ______ 28.2 _ 1940 _______ ___ 3.1 _ 1881 ______ 3.1 _ 1881 10 Jun __ 28.4 _ 1970^______ 28.6 _ 2023^_______ ___ 2.8 _ 1911 ______ 3.0 _ 1955 11 Jun __ 28.3 _ 1925 ______ 28.4 _ 1925 _______ ___ 4.7 _ 1942 ______ 4.7 _ 1942 12 Jun __ 25.8 _ 2006^_____ 28.4 _ 2023^_______ ___ 4.1 _ 1957 ______ 4.3 _ 1957, 2011 13 Jun __ 26.4 _ 1897^______27.5 _ 2023^ ______ ___ 3.5 _ 1892 ______ 3.6 _ 1892 14 Jun __ 25.1 _ 1887^______ 25.9 2023^ ______ ____ 3.7 _ 1973 ______ 3.6 _ 1973 15 Jun __ 26.9 _ 1896 ______ 27.1 _ 1896 _______ ___ 2.5 _ 1895 ______ 2.8 _ 1895 (3.0_1892) 16 Jun __ 27.5 _ 1957 ______ 27.5 _ 1957 _______ ___ 4.3 _ 1918 ______ 4.2 _ 1918 17 Jun __ 28.3 _ 1957 ______ 28.2 _ 1957, 2022*_ __ 2.9 _ 1916 ______ 3.2 _ 1916 18 Jun __ 29.4 _ 2000 ______ 29.2 _ 2000 _______ ___ 3.7 _ 1892 ______ 4.0 _ 1892 19 Jun __ 29.1 _ 2005,2017__ 30.1 _ 2005 (29.0 _ 2017) __ 3.6 _ 1915 ______ 3.8 _ 2004 20 Jun __ 27.5 _ 1989 ______ 27.5 _ 1989 _______ ___ 4.0 _ 1964 ______ 4.0 _ 1964 21 Jun __ 29.8 _ 2017 ______ 29.6 _ 1941, 2017 ___ ___ 4.0 _ 1903 ______ 3.5 _ 1903 22 Jun __ 28.1 _ 1935 ______ 28.1 _ 1935 _______ ___ 5.1 _ 1903 ______ 4.3 _ 1903 23 Jun __ 28.0 _ 1935 ______ 28.0 _ 1935 _______ ___ 4.1 _ 1957 ______ 4.0 _ 1957 24 Jun __ 29.2 _ 2020 ______ 29.0 _ 2020 _______ ___ 5.4 _ 1926 ______ 5.5 _ 1926, 1944 25 Jun __ 29.4 _ 2020 ______ 29.2 _ 2020 (29.0 _ 1976)_ 5.3 _ 1926,31 ___ 5.3 _ 1931 26 Jun __ 30.0 _ 1878 ______ 29.4 _ 1878 (29.3 _ 1976) _ 5.1 _ 1918,29 ___ 5.1 _ 1918 27 Jun __ 29.9 _ 1976 ______ 29.9 _ 1976 ________ ___ 4.8 _ 1919 ______ 5.9 _ 1919, 1981 28 Jun __ 30.3 _ 1976 ______ 30.3 _ 1976 ________ ___ 5.2 _ 1921 ______ 5.4 _ 1904 (5.5_1921, 5.6_1981) 29 Jun __ 30.6 _ 2019 ______ 30.4 _ 2019 (30.0 _ 1976) _ 4.6 _ 1907 ______ 4.8 _ 1907 30 Jun __ 29.8 _ 1976 ______ 29.7 _ 1976 ________ ___ 5.3 _ 1972 ______ 5.3 _ 1972 ___________ *2022 added to table after first appearance, tied the v2.0 value for 1957. the mean for the day (21.0) remained short of the 1917 mark. ^ 10, 12, 13, 14 June new record high max in v2.0 as shown. (13 June 1897 was 26.1 in v2.0) (14 June 1896 25.2 in v2.0, 1887 was 25.0) 01 Jul __ 32.7 _ 2015 ______ 32.8 _ 2015 _______ ___ 5.7 _ 1888 ______ 5.4 _ 1888 02 Jul __ 31.8 _ 1976 ______ 31.7 _ 1976 _______ ___ 6.4 _ 1921 ______ 6.5 _ 1938 (7.0 _ 1921) 03 Jul __ 33.2 _ 1976 ______ 33.1 _ 1976 _______ ___ 6.4 _ 1988 ______ 6.3 _ 1988, 1990 04 Jul __ 31.4 _ 1976 ______ 31.3 _ 1976 _______ ___ 4.7 _ 1965 ______ 4.7 _ 1965 05 Jul __ 31.4 _ 1976 ______ 31.3 _ 1976 _______ ___ 7.2 _ 1898 ______ 7.0 _ 1921 (7.4 _ 1898) 06 Jul __ 31.6 _ 1976 ______ 31.6 _ 1976 _______ ___ 6.3 _ 1954 ______ 6.4 _ 1954 07 Jul __ 30.4 _ 1976 ______ 30.3 _ 1976 _______ ___ 5.5 _ 1954 ______ 5.4 _ 1954 08 Jul __ 30.0 _ 1984 ______ 29.9 _ 1984 _______ ___ 5.2 _ 1929 ______ 5.1 _ 1929 09 Jul __ 28.8 _ 1921 ______ 28.9 _ 1921 _______ ___ 7.0 _ 1919 ______ 7.1 _ 1919 10 Jul __ 30.1 _ 1921 ______ 30.2 _ 1921 _______ ___ 6.7 _ 1890 ______ 6.7 _ 1890 11 Jul __ 29.2 _ 1983 ______ 29.1 _ 1983 _______ ___ 5.1 _ 1888 ______ 4.7 _ 1888 12 Jul __ 31.1 _ 1923 ______ 31.0 _ 1923 _______ ___ 5.1 _ 1902 ______ 5.1 _ 1902 13 Jul __ 30.6 _ 1923 ______ 30.6 _ 1923 _______ ___ 5.6 _ 1993 ______ 5.4 _ 1993 14 Jul __ 29.6 _ 2003 ______ 29.4 _ 2003 _______ ___ 6.5 _ 1898 ______ 6.4 _ 1898 15 Jul __ 31.1 _ 2003 ______ 30.9 _ 2003 _______ ___ 6.5 _ 1977 ______ 6.4 _ 1977 16 Jul __ 29.3 _ 1983 ______ 29.2 _ 1983 _______ ___ 6.9 _ 2001 ______ 6.9 _ 2001 17 Jul __ 29.6 _ 2006 ______ 30.0 _ 2023*_______ ___ 6.2 _ 1965 ______ 6.2 _ 1965 18 Jul __ 30.9 _ 2006 ______ 34.8 _ 2023*_______ ___ 5.8 _ 1971 ______ 5.8 _ 1971 19 Jul __ 32.9 _ 2006 ______ 37.3 _ 2023*_______ ___ 7.2 _ 1892 ______ 7.2 _ 1892 20 Jul __ 29.6 _ 1901 ______ 29.4 _ 1901 _______ ___ 7.3 _ 1890 ______ 7.4 _ 1890 (7.6 _ 2020) 21 Jul __ 29.7 _ 1989 ______ 29.6 _ 1989 _______ ___ 7.0 _ 2020 ______ 7.2 _ 2020 (7.4 _ 1906) 22 Jul __ 29.4 _ 1989 ______ 29.3 _ 1989 _______ ___ 7.2 _ 1970 ______ 7.2 _ 1970 23 Jul __ 30.2 _ 2019 ______ 30.3 _ 2019 _______ ___ 8.1 _ 1883 ______ 8.2 _ 1932 (8.3_1883, 8.4_2011) 24 Jul __ 28.5 _ 2019 ______ 28.6 _ 2019 _______ ___ 6.9 _ 1973 ______ 7.0 _ 1973 25 Jul __ 34.1 _ 2019 ______ 34.2 _ 2019 _______ ___ 6.8 _ 1920 ______ 7.0 _ 1938 (7.1_1920) 26 Jul __ 30.7 _ 2018 ______ 30.8 _ 2018 _______ ___ 6.9 _ 1884 ______ 6.8 _ 1884 27 Jul __ 29.7 _ 2018 ______ 29.7 _ 2018 _______ ___ 6.9 _ 1882 ______ 7.2 _ 1882, 1963 28 Jul __ 30.8 _ 1948 ______ 30.8 _ 1948 _______ ___ 5.7 _ 1881 ______ 5.6 _ 1881 29 Jul __ 31.6 _ 1948 ______ 31.5 _ 1948 _______ ___ 7.8 _ 1896 ______ 7.4 _ 1896 30 Jul __ 30.5 _ 1948 ______ 30.5 _ 1948 _______ ___ 6.6 _ 1898 ______ 6.7 _ 1898 31 Jul __ 33.2 _ 2020 ______ 33.2 _ 2020 _______ ___ 5.4 _ 2015 ______ 5.6 _ 2015 Note also that some higher values may have occurred in 1868 and in 1808, 1825 and 1826. * Higher values in July 2022 replaced 29.7 (17 July) 30.9 (18 July) 33.0 (19 July) (all 2006). ________________________________________________ High Maximum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 ____ Low Minimum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 DATE ___ Legacy High max __ v2.0 High max ____[]__Legacy Low min __ v2.0 Low min, year 01 Aug __ 31.9 _ 1995 ______ 31.9 _ 1995 _______ ___ 6.2 _ 1976 ______ 6.2 _ 1976 02 Aug __ 32.8 _ 1990 ______ 32.8 _ 1990 _______ ___ 6.5 _ 1966 ______ 6.5 _ 1966 03 Aug __ 33.2 _ 1990 ______ 33.4 _ 1990 _______ ___ 5.2 _ 1912 ______ 5.6 _ 1912 04 Aug __ 31.9 _ 1975 ______ 31.9 _ 1975 _______ ___ 7.3 _ 1934 ______ 7.2 _ 1891 (7.3 _ 1934) 05 Aug __ 29.1 _ 2003 ______ 29.1 _ 2003 _______ ___ 6.8 _ 1956 ______ 6.8 _ 1956 06 Aug __ 28.5 _ 2003 ______ 28.5 _ 2003 _______ ___ 6.1 _ 1987 ______ 6.0 _ 1987 07 Aug __ 31.0 _ 1975 ______ 31.1 _ 1975 _______ ___ 6.4 _ 1961 ______ 6.4 _ 1961 08 Aug __ 30.1 _ 1975 ______ 31.1 _ 1975 _______ ___ 6.8 _ 1955 ______ 6.7 _ 1895 (6.8 _ 1955) 09 Aug __ 32.8 _ 2003 ______ 32.8 _ 2003 _______ ___ 6.7 _ 1931 ______ 6.7 _ 1931 10 Aug __ 30.3 _ 1997 ______ 30.5 _ 1997 _______ ___ 6.0 _ 1892 ______ 6.1 _ 1892 11 Aug __ 30.7 _ 2020 ______ 30.9 _ 2022*_______ ___ 5.1 _ 1892 ______ 4.9 _ 1892 12 Aug __ 32.0 _ 2020 ______ 32.0 _ 2020 _______ ___ 5.0 _ 1912 ______ 4.8 _ 1912 13 Aug __ 30.1 _ 1911 ______ 31.4 _ 2022*_______ ___ 6.3 _ 1993 ______ 6.3 _ 1993 14 Aug __ 28.3 _ 1911 ______ 31.7 _ 2022*_______ ___ 5.2 _ 1885 ______ 4.9 _ 1885 15 Aug __ 28.4 _ 1893 ______ 28.0 _ 1893 _______ ___ 4.4 _ 1885 ______ 4.2 _ 1885 16 Aug __ 29.2 _ 1947 ______ 29.2 _ 1947 _______ ___ 5.9 _ 1966 ______ 5.9 _ 1966 17 Aug __ 29.0 _ 1893 ______ 28.7 _ 1893 _______ ___ 7.0_ 1908, 63, 71 __7.0 _ 1908,63 18 Aug __ 29.5 _ 1893 ______ 29.0 _ 1893 (28.9 _ 1996) _5.7 _ 1946 ______ 5.8 _ 1946 19 Aug __ 30.3 _ 1932 ______ 30.3 _ 1932 (29.7 _ 1997) _5.1 _ 1885 ______ 5.1 _ 1888 20 Aug __ 28.8 _ 1995 ______ 28.8 _ 1995 _______ ___ 4.7 _ 1964 ______ 4.7 _ 1964 21 Aug __ 29.2 _ 1995 ______ 29.2 _ 1995 _______ ___ 5.5 _ 1964 ______ 5.4 _ 1904, 1964 22 Aug __ 29.2 _ 1995 ______ 29.3 _ 1995 _______ ___ 5.3 _ 1964 ______ 5.4 _ 1964 23 Aug __ 28.1 _ 1955 ______ 28.1 _ 1955 _______ ___ 5.9 _ 1903 ______ 5.9 _ 1903 24 Aug __ 28.9 _ 1976 ______ 28.9 _ 1976 _______ ___ 5.5 _ 1966 ______ 5.6 _ 1966 25 Aug __ 29.9 _ 2019 ______ 29.9 _ 2019 _______ ___ 5.9 _ 1904 ______ 5.8 _ 1904 26 Aug __ 27.2 _ 1930 ______ 27.1 _ 1930 _______ ___ 4.8 _ 1931 ______ 4.8 _ 1931 27 Aug __ 30.2 _ 1930 ______ 30.5 _ 1930 _______ ___ 5.9 _ 1896 ______ 5.9 _ 1896 28 Aug __ 29.8 _ 1942 ______ 29.8 _ 1942 _______ ___ 4.8 _ 1935 ______ 4.7 _ 1935 29 Aug __ 29.6 _ 1961 ______ 29.6 _ 1961 _______ ___ 6.3 _ 1959 ______ 5.9 _ 1979 (6.4 _ 1959) 30 Aug __ 27.7 _ 1886 ______ 26.9 _ 1886 _______ ___ 4.1 _ 1890 ______ 4.1 _ 1890 31 Aug __ 30.4 _ 1906 ______ 29.9 _ 1906 _______ ___ 4.0 _ 1921 ______ 3.7 _ 1921 ___________________________________ * higher values in 2022 replaced 30.7 (11th, 2020) and 30.5 (13th, 1911) and 28.7 (14th, 1911). 01 Sep __ 31.0 _ 1906 ______ 31.2 _ 1906 _______ ___ 2.5 _ 1890 ______ 2.6 _ 1890 02 Sep __ 31.3 _ 1906 ______ 31.1 _ 1906 _______ ___ 3.0 _ 1909 ______ 2.9 _ 1909 03 Sep __ 26.3 _ 1906 ______ 26.0 _ 1906 _______ ___ 3.4 _ 1923 ______ 3.7 _ 1923 04 Sep __ 27.9 _ 1880 ______ 28.1 _ 2023a _______ ___ 3.6 _ 1907 ______ 4.1 _ 1907 (4.2_1915, 4.4_2000) 05 Sep __ 26.6 _ 1999 ______ 27.7 _ 2023b __________ ___ 3.6 _ 1915 ______ 3.8 _ 1908 (4.2_1915) 06 Sep __ 25.5 _ 1898 ______ 28.1 _ 2023c _______ ___ 4.1 _ 2015 ______ 4.2 _ 1952, 2015 07 Sep __ 28.3 _ 2021 ______ 28.8 _ 2023d_______ ___ 4.7 _ 1952 ______ 4.2 _ 1952 08 Sep __ 29.6 _ 1911 ______ 29.4 _ 1911e_______ ___ 2.5 _ 1931 ______ 2.4 _ 1931 09 Sep __ 25.9 _ 1895 ______ 28.9 _ 2023f _______ ___ 3.1 _ 1986 ______ 3.0 _ 1986 10 Sep __ 26.5 _ 1959 ______ 27.1 _ 2023g_______ ___ 3.2 _1897, 1944 __ 3.1 _ 1897 11 Sep __ 27.3 _ 1919 ______ 27.2 _ 1919 _______ ___ 2.9 _ 1944 ______ 2.9 _ 1944 12 Sep __ 25.5 _ 1891 ______ 25.4 _ 1891 _______ ___ 2.6 _ 1908 ______ 3.1 _ 1908 13 Sep __ 26.4 _ 2016 ______ 26.3 _ 2016 _______ ___ 2.8 _ 1925 ______ 3.0 _ 1925 (3.1_1908,31) 14 Sep __ 26.4 _ 2016 ______ 26.4 _ 2016 _______ ___ 3.5 _ 1996 ______ 3.4 _ 1996 (3.5_1882) 15 Sep __ 27.4 _ 2020 ______ 27.4 _ 2020 _______ ___ 3.4 _ 1903 ______ 3.4 _ 1903, 1979 (3.5_1882 4.0 _ 1986) 16 Sep __ 26.3 _ 1898 ______ 26.2 _ 1898 _______ ___ 3.2 _ 1903 ______ 2.9 _ 1903 (3.4 _ 1986) 17 Sep __ 27.4 _ 1898 ______ 27.1 _ 1898 _______ ___ 3.1 _ 2005 ______ 3.1 _ 2005 18 Sep __ 25.4 _ 1926 ______ 25.6 _ 1926 _______ ___ 2.9 _ 1952 ______ 2.3 _ 1889 19 Sep __ 27.1 _ 1926 ______ 27.1 _ 1926 _______ ___ 2.0 _ 1986 ______ 2.0 _ 1986 20 Sep __ 22.9 _ 1970 ______ 22.8 _ 1970 _______ ___ 1.4 _ 1952 ______ 1.3 _ 1952 21 Sep __ 27.1 _ 2006 ______ 27.1 _ 2006 _______ ___ 2.2 _ 1964 ______ 2.2 _ 1964 22 Sep __ 22.9 _ 1956 ______ 22.9 _ 1956 _______ ___ 1.8 _ 1911, 79 __ 1.7 _ 1979 23 Sep __ 23.3 _ 2000 ______ 23.4 _ 1895 (23.2_2000) _ 2.2 _ 1914 ______ 2.0 _ 1914 24 Sep __ 25.1 _ 1895 ______ 25.7 _ 1895 _______ ___ 1.5 _ 1878 ______ 2.1 _ 1878 25 Sep __ 24.2 _ 1895 ______ 24.5 _ 1895 _______ ___ 2.1 _ 2018 ______ 2.2 _ 2018 26 Sep __ 25.4 _ 1895 ______ 25.4 _ 1895 _______ ___ 1.1 _ 1885 ______ 1.1 _ 1885 27 Sep __ 24.9 _ 1895 ______ 25.7 _ 1895 _______ ___ 1.1 _ 1885 ______ 1.0 _ 1885 28 Sep __ 24.8 _ 2011 ______ 25.0 _ 1895 (24.7_2011) _0.5 _ 1885, 1919 __ 0.5 _ 1885 (0.7_1919) 29 Sep __ 26.4 _ 2011 ______ 26.4 _ 2011 _______ ___ 0.3 _ 1919 ______ 0.3 _ 1919 30 Sep __ 27.3 _ 2011 ______ 27.2 _ 2011 _______ ___ 0.8 _ 1914 ______ 0.9 _ 1914 _________________ a 4 Sep ... 27.4 _ 1880 previous record b 5 Sep ... 26.5 _ 1999 previous record also 26.4 in 1949. c 6 Sep ... 25.6 _ 1898 previous record d 7 Sep ... 28.3 _ 2021 previous record e 8 Sep ... 28.6 in 2023 failed to break 1911 record f 9 Sep ... 25.7 _ 1895 previous record g 10 Sep ... 26.5 _ 1959 previous record ========================== High Maximum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 ____ Low Minimum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 DATE ___ Legacy High max __ v2.0 High max ____[]__Legacy Low min __ v2.0 Low min, year 01 Oct __ 27.1 _ 2011 ______ 27.0 _ 2011 _______ ___ 0.1 _ 1928 ______ 0.0 _ 1928 02 Oct __ 24.2 _ 2011 ______ 24.0 _ 2011 _______ ___ 0.1 _ 1888 ______-0.3 _ 1888 03 Oct __ 25.5 _ 1959 ______ 25.4 _ 1959 _______ ___ 0.1 _ 1888 ______-0.3 _ 1888 04 Oct __ 23.7 _ 1959 ______ 23.7 _ 1959 _______ ___-0.5 _ 1912 ______-0.6 _ 1912 05 Oct __ 23.4 _ 1921 ______ 23.9 _ 1921 _______ ___-0.4 _ 1888 ______-0.4 _ 1888 06 Oct __ 24.6 _ 1921 ______ 24.4 _ 1921 _______ ___-0.3 _ 1888 ______-0.4 _ 1888 07 Oct __ 21.5 _ 1965 ______ 21.5 _ 1959* _________ -0.2 _ 1888 _ -0.5 _ 1888 08 Oct __ 23.3 _ 1995 ______ 23.1 _ 1995 _______ ___ 0.7 _ 1912 ______ 0.6 _ 1990 (0.9_1912) 09 Oct __ 24.0 _ 1921 ______ 23.9 _ 1921 _______ ___ 0.8 _ 1925 ______ 1.1 _ 1925 10 Oct __ 22.8 _ 2018 ______ 22.6 _ 2018 _______ ___-0.1 _ 1925 ______ 0.0 _ 1925 11 Oct __ 23.0 _ 1978 ______ 22.8 _ 1978 _______ ___-1.0 _ 1952 ______-1.0 _ 1952 12 Oct __ 22.3 _ 1978 ______ 22.0 _ 1978 _______ ___-0.9 _ 1887 ______-1.2 _ 1887 13 Oct __ 22.0 _ 2018 ______ 21.8 _ 2018 (21.7_1990)__-0.7 _ 1964 ___-0.7 _ 1964 14 Oct __ 19.2 _ 1990, 2017__ 19.0 _ 1990, 2017 ___ ___ 0.3 _ 1917 __ -0.3 _ 1888 (0.5_1917) 15 Oct __ 19.1 _ 1908 ______ 18.8 _ 1908 _______ ___-1.5 _ 1917 ______-1.3 _ 1917 16 Oct __ 20.5 _ 2017 ______ 20.4 _ 2017 _______ ___-2.7 _ 1993 ______-2.8 _ 1993 17 Oct __ 19.1 _ 1969 ______ 19.2 _ 1969 _______ ___-2.2 _ 1905 ______-2.4 _ 1881 (-2.2_1905) 18 Oct __ 21.8 _ 1921 ______ 21.7 _ 1921 _______ ___-2.2 _ 1955 ______-2.3 _ 1955 19 Oct __ 20.2 _ 1997 ______ 20.1 _ 1997 _______ ___-3.0 _ 1926 ______-2.9 _ 1926 20 Oct __ 18.5 _ 1969 ______ 18.5 _ 1969 _______ ___-1.6 _ 1905 ______-1.6 _ 1905 21 Oct __ 18.9 _ 1968 ______ 18.8 _ 1968 _______ ___-2.2 _ 1935 ______-2.3 _ 1935 22 Oct __ 19.4 _ 1971 ______ 19.3 _ 1971 _______ ___-2.8 _ 1931 ______-2.9 _ 1931 (-2.7_1905) 23 Oct __ 18.7 _ 2011 ______ 18.6 _ 2011 _______ ___-2.6 _ 1951 ______-2.7 _ 1951 24 Oct __ 18.2 _ 1995 ______ 18.1 _ 1995 _______ ___-3.7 _ 1895 ______-3.6 _ 1895 25 Oct __ 17.8 _ 2013 ______ 17.7 _ 2013 _______ ___-1.5 _ 1895, 1931__-1.5 _ 1931 (-1.4 _ 1895 -1.3 1887) 26 Oct __ 17.0 _ 2005 ______ 17.7 _ 2022*(16.8 _ 1888) _-3.6 _ 1887 ______-4.0 _ 1887 27 Oct __ 19.6 _ 2005 ______ 19.6 _ 2005 (18.7 _ 1888) _-3.9 _ 1931 ______-3.9 _ 1931 28 Oct __ 18.1 _ 2014 ______ 17.9 _ 2014 (17.4 _ 1888) _-3.8 _ 1895 ______-3.5 _ 1895 29 Oct __ 17.2 _ 1908 ______ 19.5 _ 2022*_______ ___-3.9 _ 1895______-4.0 _ 1895, 1997 30 Oct __ 17.8 _ 2005 ______ 17.8 _ 2005 _______ ___-1.9 _ 1895 ______-1.9 _ 1895 (-1.7_1988) 31 Oct __ 20.6 _ 2014 ______ 20.5 _ 2014 _______ ___-3.2 _ 1881 ______-3.3 _ 1881 7th _ * (21.4_1965,2023) now tied 0.1 below v2.0 record 21.5 (1959) 26th_ * 17.1 (2005) had been the record previously. 29th _ * 17.5 (2005) had been the record previously. 01 Nov __ 16.7 _ 2020 ______ 16.6 _ 2020 _______ ___-3.8 _ 1926 ______-4.3 _ 1926 02 Nov __ 17.7 _ 1927 ______ 17.6 _ 2005 _______ ___-4.0 _ 1880 ______-4.2 _ 1880 03 Nov __ 16.8 _ 2011 ______ 16.7 _ 2011 _______ ___-2.2 _ 1985______ -3.9 _ 1985 04 Nov __ 18.7 _ 1946 ______ 18.7 _ 1946 _______ ___-2.4 _ 1901 ______-2.1 _ 1880,1896 05 Nov __ 17.6 _ 1938 ______ 17.7 _ 1938 _______ ___-3.6 _ 1930 ______-3.4 _ 1930 06 Nov __ 16.2 _ 2015 ______ 16.2 _ 2015 (16.1_1972)__-3.6 _ 1901 ______-3.8 _ 1901 07 Nov __ 16.1 _ 2015 ______ 16.1 _ 2015 _______ ___-2.6 _ 1896 ______-2.5 _ 1896 08 Nov __ 15.5 _ 1998 ______ 15.2 _ 1983, 1985, 1998__-4.1 _ 1923___-4.0 _ 1923 09 Nov __ 15.9 _ 1977 ______ 15.6 _ 1977 _______ ___-5.4 _ 1921 ______-4.8 _ 1921 10 Nov __ 16.2 _ 1977 ______ 16.0 _ 1977, 2015 _ ___-4.7 _ 1908 ____-4.5 _ 1908 11 Nov __ 15.3 _ 1938 ______ 15.9 _ 2022* ______ ___-3.0 _ 1921 ______-2.6 _ 1921 12 Nov __ 16.3 _ 1938 ______ 16.3 _ 1938 _______ ___-5.1 _ 1919 ______-5.3 _ 1919 13 Nov __ 16.1 _ 1938 ______ 16.2 _ 1938 _______ ___-4.4 _ 1979 ______-4.8 _ 1921 (-4.6_1979) 14 Nov __ 14.8 _ 1994, 2015__ 14.7 _ 1938, 1994, 2015 ___-4.1 _ 1925 ____-4.0 _ 1925, 1965 15 Nov __ 15.4 _ 2015 ______ 15.4 _ 2015 _______ ___-4.7 _ 1965 ______-4.7 _ 1965 16 Nov __ 15.7 _ 1895 ______ 15.8 _ 1895 _______ ___-6.4 _ 1901 ______-5.8 _ 1901 17 Nov __ 14.8 _ 1997 ______ 14.7 _ 1997 (14.6 _ 2015)_-6.1 _ 1901, 30 __ -6.1 _ 1901 (-5.8_1930) 18 Nov __ 15.2 _ 1978 ______ 14.9 _ 1978 _______ ___-4.6 _ 1929 ______-4.4 _ 1882 19 Nov __ 15.6 _ 1994 ______ 15.4 _ 1994 _______ ___-2.6 _ 2005 ______-2.7 _ 2005 20 Nov __ 15.3 _ 1947 ______ 15.3 _ 1947 _______ ___-3.7 _ 1971 ______-3.8 _ 1971 21 Nov __ 15.7 _ 1947 ______ 15.7 _ 1947 _______ ___-3.9 _ 1880 ______-4.1 _ 1914 (-4.0_1880) 22 Nov __ 15.4 _ 1906 ______ 15.4 _ 1906 (15.3_1947) _-5.0 _ 1988 ______-5.1 _ 1988 (-4.9_1880) 23 Nov __ 14.3 _ 1947 ______ 14.4 _ 1947 _______ ___-6.6 _ 1983 ______-6.7 _ 1983* 24 Nov __ 14.0 _ 1980 ______ 13.8 _ 1916, 1980___ ___-8.8 _ 1904 ______-7.8 _ 1904 25 Nov __ 13.8 _ 1983 ______ 13.7 _ 1983 (13.6_1970) _-5.6 _ 1952 _____ -5.9 _ 1923 (-5.7_1952, -5.5_1904) 26 Nov __ 14.5 _ 1979 ______ 14.3 _ 1979 _______ ___-5.1 _ 1989 ______-5.3 _ 1989 27 Nov __ 13.6 _ 2000, 2006 __13.5 _ 2006 (13.4_2000)_ -6.3 _ 1915 ______-6.3 _ 1923 (-6.1_1904, 5.8_1915) 28 Nov __ 14.7 _ 2000 ______ 14.4 _ 2000 _______ ___-7.0 _ 2010 ______-7.0 _ 2010 29 Nov __ 14.0 _ 1939 ______ 14.0 _ 1939 _______ ___-6.3 _ 2010 ______-6.3 _ 2010 30 Nov __ 14.3 _ 2001 ______ 14.1 _ 2001 _______ ___-5.8 _ 1919 ______-5.5 _ 1919 (-4.5 _ 2016) ______________________________ Notes: * 11th _ 2022 (15.9) replaced 15.5 in v2.0 (1938). * 23rd _ Minimum possibly lower in 1858 (daily mean -3.9) before daily minima began. ============================================== High Maximum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 ____ Low Minimum 1878-2022 _ Legacy vs v2.0 DATE ___ Legacy High max __ v2.0 High max ____[]__Legacy Low min __ v2.0 Low min, year 01 Dec __ 13.8 _ 1985 ______ 13.6 _1985 (13.4_1939) _ -6.4 _ 1947 ______-6.4 _ 1947 (-5.2_1973) 02 Dec __ 14.4 _ 1985 ______ 14.3 _ 1985 (14.2_1954) _-7.1 _ 1879 ______-7.1 _ 1879 03 Dec __ 13.7 _ 1953 ______ 13.7 _ 1953 _______ ___-7.5 _ 1879, 2010 _-7.8 _ 1879 (-7.5_2010) 04 Dec __ 13.8 _ 1888, 1979 __ 13.7 _ 1888 (13.6_1979) _-6.7 _ 2010 ______-6.8 _ 2010 05 Dec __ 13.9 _ 1898 ______ 14.0 _ 1898 _______ ___-7.8 _ 1879 ______-8.3 _ 1879 06 Dec __ 14.0 _ 2007 ______ 14.0 _ 2007 _______ ___-8.1 _ 1879 ______-8.3 _ 1879 (-5.8_2010) 07 Dec __ 14.0 _ 2015 ______ 14.0 _ 2015 _______ __ -11.4 _ 1879_____-11.0_ 1879 (-6.6_2010) 08 Dec __ 13.8 _ 1964 ______ 13.8 _ 1964 _______ ___-7.5 _ 1879 ______-6.9 _ 2010 09 Dec __ 13.5 _ 2016 ______ 13.5 _ 2016 _______ ___-5.6 _ 1967 ______-5.6 _ 1967 (-4.8 _ 2010) 10 Dec __ 14.4 _ 1994 ______ 14.3 _ 1994 _______ ___-6.8 _ 1981______ -7.0 _ 1981 11 Dec __ 14.5 _ 1994 ______ 14.3 _ 1994 _______ ___-6.7 _ 1879*_____ -7.4 _ 1882 (-6.1_1879) 12 Dec __ 13.9 _ 1994 ______ 13.8 _ 1994 _______ __-13.2 _ 1981 ____ -13.5 _ 1981 13 Dec __ 13.5 _ 1972 ______ 13.5 _ 1972 _______ __-15.9 _ 1981_____ -16.1 _ 1981 14 Dec __ 13.9 _ 1912 ______ 13.6 _ 1972, 1998_ ___ -8.4 _ 1890 ______-8.6 _ 1878 (-8.5_1899, -7.7_1890) 15 Dec __ 13.2 _ 2015 ______ 13.2 _ 2015 _______ ___ -8.4 _ 1878 ______-9.3 _ 2022* 16 Dec __ 13.9 _ 2015 ______ 13.9 _ 2015 _______ ___ -5.5 _ 1899 ______ -8.0 _ 2022* 17 Dec __ 14.1 _ 2015 ______ 14.1 _ 2015 _______ ___ -7.3 _ 1878 ______ -7.8 _ 1878* 18 Dec __ 15.1 _ 2015 ______ 15.1 _ 2015 _______ ___ -7.2 _ 1981 ______ -7.5 _ 1981* 19 Dec __ 15.3 _ 2015 ______ 15.3 _ 2015 _______ __ -10.3 _ 2010 _____ -10.4 _ 2010 (-9.0 _ 1981) 20 Dec __ 13.9 _ 1971 ______ 13.9 _ 1971 _______ __ -12.4 _ 2010 _____ -12.5 _ 2010 21 Dec __ 13.7 _ 2015 ______ 13.7 _ 2015 _______ __ -10.6 _ 2010 _____ -10.6 _ 2010 22 Dec __ 13.8 _ 2015 ______ 13.7 _ 2015 _______ __ -12.6 _ 1890 _____ -11.7 _ 1890 23 Dec __ 14.7 _ 1977 ______ 14.5 _ 1977 _______ ___-8.4 _ 1935 ______ -8.4 _ 1935 24 Dec __ 13.0 _ 1997 ______ 13.3 _ 2023^_______ ___-9.8 _ 1878 _____ -11.1 _ 1878 25 Dec __ 13.1 _ 2015, 16 ___13.2 _ 2016 _______ __-11.2 _ 1878 _____-11.8 _ 1878* (-9.3 _ 2010) 26 Dec __ 13.8 _ 2015 ______ 13.8 _ 2015 _______ ___ -9.7 _ 2010 ______-9.7 _ 2010 (-8.0 _ 1962) 27 Dec __ 13.9 _ 1974 ______ 13.7 _ 1974 _______ ___ -9.1 _ 1892 ______-9.2 _ 1892 (-6.7 _ 2010) 28 Dec __ 14.3 _ 1974 ______ 14.2 _ 1974 _______ ___ -8.1 _ 1892 ______-7.9 _ 1892 29 Dec __ 13.8 _ 1925,2021 ___13.9 _ 2021 _______ ___ -9.2 _ 1964 ______-9.3 _ 1964 (-8.2_1995) 30 Dec __ 13.9 _ 2021 ______ 14.0 _ 2021 _______ __ -10.7 _ 1908 ______-9.5 _ 1908 (-8.3_2000) 31 Dec __ 14.0 _ 2021 ______ 14.1 _ 2021 _______ ___ -6.4 _ 1892 ______-6.8 _ 1892, 2000 Note: * 15 Dec _ -9.3 2022 replaced -8.3 1878. * 16-18 Dec _ -8.0 2022 replaced -5.6 1899 on 16th; 1859 likely had lower minima around -10 to -12 16th-18th ^ 24 Dec _ 13.4 2023 replaced 12.8 1977 in v2.0. * 25 Dec _ 1796 likely around -15 as daily mean was -10.8. Also some lower minima likely in Dec 1798, 1844, 1859 (see daily means) CET Low maximum records 1878-2023 ____ CET high minimum records 1878-2023 Date __ CET leg _ CET v2.0 ____________ CET leg _ CET v2.0 _______________ 01 Jan _ -1.1 1962 _ -1.1 1962 _________10.9 2022 _10.9 2022 02 Jan _ -1.8 1893 _ -1.6 1893 _________ 8.9 1921 _ 8.7 1921 03 Jan _ -0.9 1941 _ -0.9 1941 _________10.5 1932 _10.4 1932 04 Jan _ -2.1 1894 _ -2.3 1894 _________ 9.7 1932 _ 9.7 1932 05 Jan _ -4.2 1894 _ -4.7 1894 _________ 9.5 1957 _ 9.5 1957 06 Jan _ -3.0 1894 _ -3.1 1894 _________ 9.2 1983 _ 9.2 1983 07 Jan _ -2.6 1894 _ -2.0 1894 _________ 8.8 1890 _ 8.8 1890 08 Jan _ -2.1 1982 _ -2.0 1982 _________ 8.2 1890 _ 7.9 1989 09 Jan _ -2.5 1982 _ -2.4 1982 _________ 8.2 1957,71 _8.3 1957 10 Jan _ -2.3 1982 _ -2.3 1879 _________10.4 1921 _10.5 1921 11 Jan _ -3.3 1987 _ -3.2 1987 _________ 8.8 1990 _ 8.8 1990 12 Jan _ -5.7 1987 _ -5.6 1987 _________ 8.4 1976 _ 8.4 1976 13 Jan _ -3.5 1987 _ -3.5 1987 _________ 8.8 2007 _ 8.8 2007 14 Jan _ -4.4 1881 _ -4.4 1881 _________ 9.5 2011 _ 9.5 2011 15 Jan _ -2.7 1881 _ -2.9 1881 _________ 8.3 1968 _ 8.4 1968 16 Jan _ -3.0 1985 _ -3.0 1985 _________ 9.8 1990 _ 9.7 1990 17 Jan _ -2.1 1940 _ -2.2 1940 _________ 9.3 1908 _ 9.3 1908 18 Jan _ -1.3 1881 _ -1.3 1891 _________ 8.0 1920 _ 8.0 1921 19 Jan _ -2.9 1881 _ -2.9 1881 _________ 9.9 1932 _ 9.9 1932 20 Jan _ -3.8 1940 _ -3.9 1940 _________ 9.9 1898 _ 9.7 1898 21 Jan _ -3.2 1881 _ -3.2 1881 _________ 9.6 1898 _ 9.5 1898 22 Jan _ -1.8 1963 _ 1.9 1963 _________ 8.7 1969 _ 8.7 1969 23 Jan _ -3.6 1963 _ -3.6 1963 _________ 9.2 1960 _ 9.2 1960 24 Jan _ -3.6 1963 _ -3.6 1963 _________ 8.2 2018 _ 8.1 2018 25 Jan _ -4.0 1881 _ -4.1 1881 _________ 9.7 2016 _ 9.6 2016 26 Jan _ -4.5 1945 _ -4.5 1945 _________ 8.4 1903 _ 8.1 1903 27 Jan _ -0.8 1945,54 _-1.2 1954 ________ 8.4 2016 _ 8.4 1903,2016 28 Jan _ -1.1 1895,1954 _-1.1 1954 _______ 8.8 1958 _ 8.8 1958 29 Jan _ -3.8 1947 _ -3.8 1947 _________ 9.0 1921 _ 8.9 1921 30 Jan _ -1.4 1947 _ -1.4 1947 _________ 8.5 1923 _ 8.4 2000 31 Jan _ -1.9 1954 _ -1.9 1954 _________ 8.9 2000 _ 8.9 2000 01 Feb _ -3.8 1956 _ -3.9 1956 _________ 9.8 1923 _ 9.4 1923 02 Feb _ -2.9 1956 _ -2.9 1956 _________10.3 1923 _10.0 1923 03 Feb _ -0.3 1956 _ -0.3 1956 _________ 9.7 2004 _ 10.0 2004 04 Feb _ -3.0 1912 _ -2.9 1912 _________10.8 2004 _10.8 2004 05 Feb _ -0.6 1912 _-0.3 1895,1912 _____ 10.5 2004 _10.5 2004 06 Feb _ -4.5 1895 _ -4.5 1895 _________ 8.8 2011 _ 8.9 2011 07 Feb _ -2.7 1895 _ -3.3 1895 _________ 8.7 1989 _ 8.7 1989 08 Feb _ -3.0 1895 _ -3.2 1895 _________10.1 1903 _ 9.4 1903 09 Feb _ -1.8 1895 _ -1.4 1895 _________ 9.4 1903 _ 9.6 1903 10 Feb _ -2.7 1985 _ -2.5 1985 _________ 9.4 1899 _ 9.5 1899 11 Feb _ -1.8 1947,85 _ -1.9 1929 _______ 9.1 1939 _ 9.1 1939 12 Feb _ -2.9 1929 _ -2.9 1929 _________ 8.8 2002 _ 8.7 1943 13 Feb _ -3.4 1929 _ -3.4 1929 _________ 7.6 1998 _ 7.4 1998 14 Feb _ -1.6 1929 _ -1.7 1895,1929 _____ 7.7 1882 _ 8.1 1882 15 Feb _ -3.9 1929 _ -3.3 1895 _________10.0 1958 _11.1 2024* 16 Feb _ -1.2 1947 _ -1.3 1947 _________ 9.4 1928 _ 9.7 1928 17 Feb _ -2.3 1947 _ -2.3 1947 _________ 8.1 1911 _ 8.4 2023* 18 Feb _ -0.8 1947 _ -0.8 1947 _________ 9.0 1911 _ 9.7 2024* 19 Feb _ -0.6 1892 _ -0.9 1892 _________ 8.4 1945,89 _8.4 1945 20 Feb _ -0.7 1947 _ -0.7 1947 _________ 9.7 1990 _ 9.7 1990 21 Feb _ -2.1 1947 _ -2.2 1947 _________ 8.5 2021 _ 8.8 1903 22 Feb _ -0.8 1947 _ -0.7 1947 _________ 8.6 1953 _ 8.5 1953 23 Feb __ 0.0 1947 __ 0.0 1947 _________ 8.8 1918 _ 8.6 1918 24 Feb _ -0.6 1956 _ -0.5 1956 _________ 9.5 1922 _ 9.4 1990 25 Feb __ 0.0 1986 __0.3 1929,86 ______ 8.0 1900 _ 8.0 1900 26 Feb _ -1.3 1929 _ -1.3 1929 _________ 9.9 1882 _ 9.6 1882 27 Feb _ -1.5 1929 _ -1.5 1929 _________ 9.0 1945 _ 9.0 1945 28 Feb _ -1.3 2018 _ -1.1 2018 _________ 8.6 1912 _ 8.5 1912 29 Feb __ 0.1 1904 __ 0.5 1904 _________ 8.5 1960 _ 8.8 1912 NOTE: * 11.1 on 15 Feb 2024 replaced 10.0 in v2.0 (1958). * 8.4 17 Feb 2023 replaced 8.1 in v2.0 (1911). * 8.8 18 Feb 2023 replaced 8.5 in v2.0 (1945). (CET legacy was 9.0 in 1911). ... later replaced by 18 Feb 2024 (9.7) 01 Mar _ -1.2 2018 _ -1.1 2018 _________ 8.9 1878 _ 9.1 1878 02 Mar __ 0.0 1892 _ -0.3 1892 _________ 8.9 1999 _ 8.8 1999 03 Mar _ -0.1 1892 _ -0.5 1892 _________ 8.4 1979 _ 8.4 1979 04 Mar __ 0.5 1965 __ 0.6 1965 _________ 8.1 1977 _ 8.2 1922 05 Mar __ 0.3 1947 __ 0.3 1947 _________ 7.8 1880 _ 7.8 1880 06 Mar _ -0.7 1942 _ -0.8 1942 _________ 9.4 1989 _ 9.4 1989 07 Mar __ 0.9 1931 __ 0.8 1931 _________ 8.6 1926,2002 _8.8 1926^ 08 Mar __ 0.6 1917 __ 0.6 1917 _________10.0 2000 _ 9.8 1981,2000 09 Mar __ 0.7 1931 __ 0.7 1931 _________10.3 2000 _10.1 2000 10 Mar __ 0.9 1891 __ 0.7 1891 _________ 9.9 1957 _ 9.8 1957 11 Mar __ 0.5 1928 __ 0.6 1928 _________10.1 1981 _10.1 1981 12 Mar __ 1.0 1928 __ 1.0 1928 _________ 8.5 2017 _ 8.6 2017 13 Mar __ 2.4 1888 __ 2.1 1888 _________ 9.0 1961 _ 9.0 1961 14 Mar __ 1.9 1947 __ 1.8 1947 _________ 8.3 1912 _ 9.4 2024^ 15 Mar __ 1.4 1887 __ 1.3 1887 _________ 8.8 1957 _ 9.7 2024^ 16 Mar __ 0.9 1979 __ 0.9 1979 _________ 9.6 2004 _ 9.6 2004 17 Mar __ 1.5 1888,2018 _1.6 1888 ____10.4 2005 _10.2 2005 18 Mar __ 0.7 2018 __ 0.8 2018 _________ 9.4 1898 _ 9.1 1898,1993 19 Mar __ 1.6 1888 __ 1.5 1888 _________ 9.5 2017 _ 9.6 2017 20 Mar __ 2.8 1888 __ 2.9 1888 _________ 9.3 2017 _ 9.5 2024^ 21 Mar __ 2.4 1883 __ 2.3 1883 _________ 9.5 1931 _ 9.4 1931 22 Mar __ 1.9 1883 __ 1.8 1879 _________10.4 1927 _10.2 1927 23 Mar __ 0.8 2013 __ 0.9 2013 _________ 9.2 1936 _ 9.5 1886 24 Mar __ 0.4 1879 __ 0.4 1879 _________ 9.0 2005 _ 9.1 2005 25 Mar __ 0.1 1879 __ 0.2 1879 _________ 9.9 1981 _ 9.8 1981 26 Mar __ 1.1 1879 __ 1.1 1879 _________ 9.7 2006 _ 9.8 2006 27 Mar __ 3.0 2013 __ 3.0 1901 _________10.9 2006 _11.0 2006 28 Mar __ 2.8 1952 __ 2.9 1952 _________ 9.1 1981 _ 9.5 1890 29 Mar __ 2.1 1952 __ 2.2 1952 _________ 9.8 1945 _ 9.8 1945 30 Mar __ 3.4 1952 __ 3.5 1952 _________11.2 1998 _11.1 1998,2017 31 Mar __ 3.3 1922 __ 3.5 1922 _________10.7 2017 _10.8 2017 ^ 7 Mar 1926 was 8.9 in v2.0, reduced to 8.8 in v2.0.1.0. ^ 14 Mar 2024 replaces 8.3 (1884) in v2.0 ^ 15 Mar 2024 replaces 8.8 (1957) in v2.0 ^ 20 Mar 2024 replaces 9.4 (2017) in v2.0 01 Apr __ 3.1 1917 __ 3.3 1917 __________10.2 2011 _10.3 2011 02 Apr __ 3.3 1968 __ 3.2 1968 __________11.3 2011 _11.4 2011 03 Apr __ 3.1 1922 __ 2.8 1922 __________ 9.9 1985 _ 9.9 1985 04 Apr __ 5.0 1911 __ 5.2 1911 __________11.9 1926 _12.1 1926 05 Apr __ 2.3 1911 __ 2.4 1911 __________10.4 1999 _10.5 1999 06 Apr __ 4.1 1911 __ 4.1 1911 __________10.5 2014 _12.0 2024^ 07 Apr __ 4.1 1986 __ 4.2 1986 __________ 9.4 2014 _ 9.5 2014 08 Apr __ 4.9 1986 __ 4.9 1986 __________ 9.7 1937 _ 9.6 1937 09 Apr __ 6.0 1891,1917 _5.9 1917__________ 9.4 1999 _ 9.3 1999 10 Apr __ 4.1 1978 __ 3.9 1917 __________10.9 1928,37 _10.9 1937 11 Apr __ 5.4 1879 __ 5.2 1879 __________11.6 1981 _11.5 1981 12 Apr __ 3.7 1879 __ 3.8 1879 __________10.1 1949 _10.0 1943,49 13 Apr __ 3.7 1892 __ 3.5 1892 __________10.2 1939 _10.3 1939 14 Apr __ 2.3 1966 __ 2.3 1966 __________10.5 1905 _10.2 1905 15 Apr __ 3.3 1966 __ 3.4 1966 __________11.9 1945 _11.9 1945 16 Apr __ 4.6 1966 __ 4.6 1966 __________11.8 1945 _11.9 1945 17 Apr __ 5.3 1966 __ 5.3 1966 __________ 9.7 2018 _ 9.9 2018 18 Apr __ 6.0 1918 __ 6.3 1918,83 ________11.6 2018 _11.7 2018 19 Apr __ 5.1 1881 __ 4.9 1881 __________11.0 2018 _11.1 2018 20 Apr __ 5.9 1881 __ 5.9 1881 __________ 9.8 1893 _ 9.8 1893 21 Apr __ 6.4 1918 __ 5.4 1918 __________ 9.9 1895,1963 _9.9 1910 22 Apr __ 7.6 1936 __ 7.5 1888,1936 _____11.1 2018 _11.3 2018 23 Apr __ 4.3 1908 __ 4.3 1908 __________ 9.9 1993 _ 9.8 1993 24 Apr __ 4.0 1908 __ 4.2 1908 __________12.3 2007 _12.4 2007 25 Apr __ 5.0 1908 __ 5.0 1908 __________12.2 2007 _12.3 2007 26 Apr __ 6.1 1981 __ 6.2 1981 __________10.3 1930 _10.2 1896 27 Apr __ 5.7 1919 __ 5.9 1919 __________11.1 1928 _10.8 1928 28 Apr __ 7.7 1892,1919 _ 7.4 1919 ________12.1 1994 _11.9 1994 29 Apr __ 7.6 1945 __ 7.6 1945 __________10.1 1963 _10.1 1963 (possibly 13-14 in 1775) 30 Apr __ 6.7 1945 __ 6.7 1945 __________10.4 1987 _10.5 1987 ^ 12.0 on 6 Apr 2024 broke record of 10.6 (2014) 01 May __ 6.7 1979 _ 6.6 1979 _________12.1 2005 _11.8 2005 02 May __ 8.1 1979 _ 8.0 1979 _________10.3 2005 _10.5 2005 03 May __ 6.0 1892 _ 6.0 1892 _________10.5 2005 _10.8 2005 04 May __ 8.4 1979 _ 8.5 1979 _________12.5 2008 _12.6 2008 05 May __ 8.5 1979 _ 8.4 1979 _________11.0 2008 _11.2 2008 06 May __ 8.6 1932 _ 8.6 1932 _________11.1 1962 _11.1 1958,62 07 May __ 6.7 1879 _ 6.4 1879 _________12.3 2011 _12.4 2011 08 May __ 8.1 1904 _ 7.8 1904 _________13.5 2011 _13.7 2011 09 May __ 8.3 1883 _ 8.2 1883 _________14.2 1945 _14.2 1945 10 May __ 8.6 1883 _ 8.6 1883 _________13.1 2016 _13.3 2016 11 May __ 9.0 1886 _ 9.4 1995 _________12.5 2016 _12.7 2016 12 May __ 8.7 1897 _ 9.5 1886,1897 _____13.0 1959 _13.0 1959 13 May __ 6.7 1915 _ 7.1 1915 _________14.1 1945 _14.1 1945 14 May __ 9.1 1935 _ 9.2 1935 _________11.8 1969,92 _11.6 1943,47,92,98 15 May __ 9.3 1879 _ 9.6 1879,1941 _____13.2 2000 _13.2 2000 16 May __ 7.9 1935 _ 7.9 1935 _________12.2 2017 _12.3 2017 (possibly 14-15 in 1833) 17 May __ 8.5 1995 _ 8.6 1935 _________12.7 2002 _12.6 2002 18 May __ 9.4 1996 _ 9.6 1996 _________13.1 1997 _13.1 1896 19 May __ 9.7 1894 _ 9.8 1894 _________13.1 1888 _12.7 1888 20 May __ 8.8 1907 _ 9.3 1906 _________12.1 2014 _12.3 2014 21 May __ 9.5 1891 _ 9.4 1891 _________12.1 1916 _11.9 1922 22 May __ 9.9 1954 _ 9.8 1954 _________13.5 2020 _13,6 2020 23 May __ 8.3 1948 _ 8.2 1948 _________13.0 1953 _13.0 1953 24 May __10.1 1891_ 9.4 1891 _________13.1 2017 _13.2 2007 25 May __ 9.8 1899 _10.2 1899,1950 ____14.3 1953 _14.3 1953 26 May __ 8.8 1962 _ 8.9 1962 _________12.9 2019 _13.0 2019 27 May __ 9.5 1984 _ 9.6 1984 _________13.6 1892,2017 _14.0 1892 28 May __10.5 1983_10.3 1923 ________14.1 2001 _14.0 2001 29 May __11.3 1887_11.4 1887,1923 ____13.4 1928 _13.6 1928 30 May __11.2 1975_11.3 1975 ________ 14.6 1944 _14.5 1944 31 May __11.3 1923_11.1 1880 ________ 14.1 1895 _15.1 1895 01 Jun __10.4 1964_10.4 1964 _________ 15.3 1947 _15.3 1947 02 Jun __10.6 1964_10.6 1964 _________ 14.6 1947 _14.5 1947 03 Jun __10.5 1923_10.5 1936 _________ 16.4 1947 _16.4 1947 04 Jun __12.3 1923,32,94_12.0 1923 _______ 14.9 1947 _14.9 1947 05 Jun __12.6 1888_12.5 1888,1929 ______15.9 1980 _15.8 1980 06 Jun __10.8 1905_10.7 1985 _________ 15.2 1982 _15.1 1982 07 Jun __11.4 1891_11.5 1891 _________ 14.7 1950 _14.6 1950 08 Jun __10.1 1897_10.5 1897 _________ 15.1 1983 _14.9 1983 09 Jun __11.8 1902_12.0 1902 _________ 14.8 1982 _14.7 1982 10 Jun __11.4 1977_11.3 1977 _________ 14.9 1993 _14.8 1993 11 Jun __11.7 2019_11.6 2019 _________ 15.9 2006 _15.9 2006 12 Jun __12.6 1892_12.7 1892,1902 _____ 15.8 2006 _15.9 2006 13 Jun __12.1 1903_12.0 1903 _________ 15.2 1989 _15.0 1989 14 Jun __10.1 1903_10.5 1903 _________ 13.7 1951 _13.8 1951 15 Jun __12.3 1923_11.9 1903 _________ 14.3 2004 _14.1 1981,2004 16 Jun __12.1 1923_11.7 1923 _________ 14.7 1896 _14.7 1896 17 Jun __12.6 1977_12.5 1977 _________ 14.9 1896 _15.5 2005 18 Jun __12.2 1977_12.1 1977 _________ 15.1 1930 _15.6 2005 19 Jun __12.2 1903_13.2 1903 _________ 15.2 2000,05 _16.2 2005 20 Jun __12.2 1903_12.4 1903 _________ 15.8 2005 _15.4 1936,2005 21 Jun __14.5 1972_14.5 1972 _________ 16.0 1936 _16.1 1936 22 Jun __14.8 1980_14.8 1882 _________ 17.2 1941 _17.3 1941 23 Jun __13.5 1978_13.4 1978 _________ 15.6 1935 _15.6 1935 24 Jun __13.1 1939_13.2 1939 _________ 16.0 1935 _16.1 1935 25 Jun __12.3 1909_12.2 1909 _________ 16.6 1935 _16.6 1935 26 Jun __12.0 1997_12.1 1997 _________ 16.2 2020 _16.3 2020 27 Jun __12.8 1974_12.7 1974 _________ 16.0 1878,2011 _16.0 2011 28 Jun __13.8 2017_13.7 2017 _________ 16.0 1878 _16.1 1878 29 Jun __14.1 1906_14.2 1906 _________ 16.5 1987 _16.3 1987 30 Jun __13.7 1919_14.1 1919 _________ 16.4 1952 _16.4 1952 01 Jul __13.9 1919_14.3 1919 _________ 17.1 1968 _17.1 1968 02 Jul __14.7 1912_14.8 1912 _________ 16.9 1952 _17.0 1952 03 Jul __13.5 1907_13.3 1907 _________ 16.5 1999 _16.4 1999 04 Jul __15.0 1879_14.9 1879 _________ 18.0 1976 _17.8 1976 05 Jul __12.5 1920_12.9 1978 _________ 16.4 1976 _16.3 1939,76 06 Jul __13.7 1888_13.8 1888 _________ 16.7 1991,2001 _16.7 2001 07 Jul __13.7 1888_13.7 1888 _________ 16.7 1989 _16.5 1989 08 Jul __14.3 1907_14.2 1907 _________ 16.4 1893 _16.0 1970 09 Jul __13.9 1879_14.1 1879,1948 _____ 16.4 1999 _16.2 1999 10 Jul __15.0 1907,93_15.1 2000 ________16.1 1923 _15,9 2016 11 Jul __13.7 1888_13.4 1888 _________ 16.8 1923 _16.9 1923 12 Jul __13.4 1879_14.0 1879 _________ 17.0 1887 _17.0 1887 13 Jul __14.6 1956_14.6 1956 _________ 17.9 1941 _17.9 1941 14 Jul __14.8 1892_15.5 1988 _________ 16.5 1975 _16.3 1975 15 Jul __14.5 1888_14.6 1888 _________ 16.8 1926 _16.2 1926 16 Jul __14.9 1915,22_15.0 1915 _______ 16.8 2003 _16.6 2003 17 Jul __12.9 1892_13.2 1892 _________ 16.2 2003 _16.0 2003 18 Jul __13.6 1892_13.9 1892 _________ 15.9 1937 _16.3 1878 19 Jul __14.0 1892_14.0 1892 _________ 17.6 1995 _18.9 2022* 20 Jul __14.9 1902_14.8 1902 _________ 19.4 2016 _19.5 2016 21 Jul __13.5 1902_13,5 1902 _________ 15.8 2006 _16.0 2006 22 Jul __13.6 1930_13.9 1930 _________ 17.0 2006 _17.1 2006 23 Jul __13.8 1930_14.1 1930 _________ 17.7 1925 _17.5 1900,25 24 Jul __14.9 1981_14.8 1981 _________ 17.7 2019 _17.9 2019 25 Jul __14.9 1920_15.3 1914,20 ______ 16.2 2019 _16.4 2019 26 Jul __14.9 1920_15.0 1962 _________ 17.8 2006 _18.0 2006 27 Jul __14.9 1886_14.9 1886 _________ 17.2 1949 _17.2 1949 28 Jul __15.3 1888_14,9 1888 _________ 17.0 1947 _17.0 1947 29 Jul __15.2 1898_15.1 1898 _________ 18.8 1948 _18.8 1948 30 Jul __15.4 1898,1965_15.4 1965 _______ 17.5 1911 _16.9 1911 31 Jul __13.8 1912_14.3 1912 _________ 16.5 1995 _17.4 2022* * V2.0 records in 2022 have no CET legacy equivalents. 19th July 1995 was 17.4 in v2.0. 31st July was 16.3 and other years at 16.5 had taken that record before 2022 broke through. (see also August notes) 01 Aug __14.9 1917_14.9 1917 _________ 17.9 1995 _17.8 1995 02 Aug __14.2 1912_13.4 1912 _________ 17.8 1995 _17.7 1995 03 Aug __14.9 1986_15.0 1986 _________ 16.5 1933,95 _17.4 2022* 04 Aug __15.0 1920_15.3 1920 _________ 17.2 1904 _16.9 1933,94 05 Aug __15.0 1941_15.0 1941 _________ 18.5 1975 _18.5 1975 06 Aug __15.2 1977_15.2 1977 _________ 16.5 2003 _16.6 2003 07 Aug __14.6 1898_14.6 1898 _________ 16.3 2016 _16.5 2016 08 Aug __13.6 1902_14,5 1902 _________ 16.6 1938 _16.7 1938 09 Aug __13.7 1900_14.0 1900 _________ 18.5 2004 _18.5 2004 10 Aug __15.6 1892_15.7 1931 _________ 16.4 2003 _16.4 2003 11 Aug __15.1 1960_15.1 1960 _________ 18.8 1997 _18.8 1997 12 Aug __13.9 1881_14.1 1881 _________ 18.2 2020 _18.5 2020 13 Aug __13.5 1881_13.6 1881 _________ 17.7 2020 _18.0 2020 14 Aug __14.1 1912_14.3 1912 _________ 16.4 2001 _16.7 2001 15 Aug __14.5 1957_14.6 1957 _________ 15.8 1893,2012,13 _16.9 2022* 16 Aug __12.0 1888_13.1 1888 _________ 15.4 1909 _15.5 1926 17 Aug __14.2 1888_14.2 1888 _________ 15.9 2012 _16.1 2012 18 Aug __14.8 1952_14.9 1952 _________ 16.4 1944 _16.4 1944 19 Aug __14.5 1954_14.4 1954 _________ 17.0 1955 _17.0 1955 20 Aug __14.6 1903_14.9 1920 _________ 16.4 1932,97 _16.4 1932 21 Aug __14.7 1944_14.5 1920 _________ 16.5 1997 _16.5 1997 22 Aug __14.3 1904_14.5 1993 _________ 16.5 1997 _16.5 1997 23 Aug __14.5 1979_14.5 1979 _________ 16.3 1997 _16.4 2015 24 Aug __13.8 1931_13.8 1931 _________ 16.4 2003 _18.0 2022* 25 Aug __14.3 1956_14.2 1956 _________ 16.4 1959,95 _16.4 1959,95 26 Aug __12.3 1912_12.7 1912 _________ 15.8 2000 _15.9 2000 27 Aug __13.8 1885_14.3 1885 _________ 15.9 1911 _15.7 1911,30 28 Aug __14.1 1888_14.4 1888 _________ 16.2 1942 _16.2 1942 29 Aug __12.5 1919_12.3 1919 _________ 16.5 1942 _16.4 1942 30 Aug __14.1 1885_14.1 1885 _________ 16.4 2008 _16.6 2008 31 Aug __13.2 1881_13.2 1881 _________ 17.1 1984 _17.1 1984 * V2.0 records in 2022 have no CET legacy equivalents. 3rd Aug 1933 was 16.5 and 1995 was 16.3 in v2.0. 31st July was 16.3 and other years at 16.5 had taken that record before 2022 broke through. For 15th August, 2012 had broken the tie in v2.0 (16.1) before the 2022 record removed it. 24 Aug 2003 was also 16.4 C in v2.0 before that was broken in 2022. 01 Sep __13.3 1881 _13.5 1881 ________ 16.4 1984 __ 16.4 1984 02 Sep __13.5 1915 _14.2 1915 ________ 16.3 1939 __ 16.3 1939 03 Sep __11.7 1908 _11.9 1908 ________ 16.5 1939 __ 16.6 1939 04 Sep __12.2 1908 _12.4 1908 ________ 14.7 1973 __ 15.4 2022* 05 Sep __12.7 1931 _12.7 1931 ________ 18.4 1949 __ 18.4 1949 06 Sep __13.0 1952 _13.0 1952 ________ 16.1 1898,1958_ 16.2 1898 07 Sep __12.5 1952 _11.9 1952 ________ 16.2 2016 __ 17.7 2023* 08 Sep __12.3 1909 _12.2 1909 ________ 15.9 2009 __ 16.0 1898,2009 09 Sep __12.5 1952 _12.6 1912,52,72 ___ 15.4 2021 __ 16.6 2023* 15.5 2021 10 Sep __12.9 1912 _12.2 1912 ________ 15.9 2011 __ 16.1 2023* 16.0 2011 11 Sep __11.4 1912 _11.7 1912 ________ 15.8 2021 __ 15.9 2021 12 Sep __13.1 1948 _12.9 1922 ________ 17.3 1945 __ 17.2 1945 13 Sep __12.6 1909 _12.6 1909 ________ 15.9 2006 __ 16.0 2006 14 Sep __12.0 1975 _11.8 1975 ________ 16.1 2016 __ 16.2 2016 15 Sep __11.4 1994 _11.4 1994 ________ 14.6 1932 __ 14.5 1947 16 Sep __13.0 1976 _12.9 1976 ________ 16.1 1961 __ 16.1 1961 17 Sep __11.8 2013 _11.8 2013 ________ 15.4 1926 __ 15.0 1926,45 18 Sep __11.1 1952 _11.2 1952 ________ 14.9 1945 __ 14.9 1945 19 Sep __12.1 1912 _11.7 1919 ________ 14.8 2014 __ 15.0 2014 20 Sep __11.6 1977 _11.5 1977 ________ 15.9 1947 __ 15.8 1947 21 Sep __11.5 1948 _11.5 1948 ________ 15.7 2006 __ 15.8 2006 22 Sep __11.8 1948 _11.7 1889 ________ 14.8 1989 __ 14.7 2006 23 Sep __11.0 1893 _11.1 1893 ________ 15.1 1956 __ 15.1 1956 24 Sep __11.9 1889 _12.2 1972,2010 ____ 14.9 2006 __ 15.0 2006 25 Sep __12.2 1885,88_11.9 1888 _______ 14.6 1895 __ 14.5 1936 26 Sep __10.7 1926 _10.6 1926 ________ 14.1 1976 __ 14.1 1967 27 Sep __ 9.8 1974 __ 9.6 1974 ________ 14.2 1913,41_ 14.6 1913 28 Sep __11.1 1974 _10.9 1974 ________ 15.0 1948 __ 15.0 1948 29 Sep __ 8.3 1918 __ 8.2 1918 ________ 15.7 1908 __ 15.4 1908 30 Sep __10.1 1918 _10.1 1918 ________ 14.8 1908 __ 14.8 1923 * 4 Sep 1973 was also 14.7 in v2.0, broken by 15.4 in 2022. * 7 Sep 2016 at 16.3 in v2.0, broken by 17.7 in 2023. (8 Sep 2023 at 15.4 failed to break existing record) * 9 Sep 2021 at 15.5 in v2.0, broken by 16.6 in 2023. *10 Sep 2011 at 16.0 in v2.0, broken by 16.1 in 2023. 01 Oct __10.3 1888 _10.3 1888 _________ 14.8 1985 __ 14.6 1985 02 Oct __ 7.9 1888 __7.6 1888 __________ 13.8 1954 __ 13.8 1954 03 Oct __ 8.5 1923 __8.5 1923 __________ 15.4 2011 __ 15.3 2011 04 Oct __ 8.4 1880 __8.1 1880 __________ 15.0 2013 __ 14.9 2013 05 Oct __ 9.6 1888 __9.7 1888 __________ 14.1 1886 __ 14.2 1886 06 Oct __ 8.6 1888 __8.6 1888 __________ 13.8 1990 __ 13.7 1990 07 Oct __ 9.9 1904 __9.9 1888 __________ 13.8 1878 __ 13.7 1900 08 Oct __10.1 1892 _10.2 1881,92 _______ 13.2 1969 __ 13.2 1969,2005 09 Oct __ 8.8 1887 __8.7 1887 __________ 14.7 1967 __ 14.7 1967 10 Oct __ 8.2 1980 __7.9 1980 __________ 14.4 1921,2011_14.3 1921,2011 11 Oct __ 6.0 1896 __6.1 1896 __________ 14.2 2011 __ 14.6 2005 12 Oct __ 7.4 1887 __7.2 1887 __________ 15.2 2005 __ 15.1 2005 13 Oct __ 8.0 1971 __8.0 1971 __________ 15.1 2018 __ 14.9 2018 14 Oct __ 8.8 1925 __8.7 1925 __________ 15.2 2017 __ 15.1 2017 15 Oct __ 7.6 1879 __7.6 1879 __________ 14.2 1893 __ 14.2 1893 16 Oct __ 7.8 1905,80_7.5 1980 __________ 13.1 1954 __ 13.1 1954 17 Oct __ 7.7 1905 __7.8 1905 __________ 13.0 1897 __ 12.9 1897 18 Oct __ 7.8 1926 __7.8 1926 __________ 14.7 2014 __ 14.5 2014 19 Oct __ 6.9 1896 __7.1 1896 __________ 14.1 2014 __ 14.0 2014 20 Oct __ 5.4 1880 __5.3 1880 __________ 12.2 1941 __ 12.2 1941,2023 21 Oct __ 6.3 1926 __6.1 1926 __________ 13.1 2020 __ 13.0 2020 22 Oct __ 5.7 1895 __5.6 1895 __________ 13.7 1906 __ 13.5 1906 23 Oct __ 6.2 1895 __6.3 1895 __________ 12.8 1998 __ 12.6 1998 24 Oct __ 6.2 1895,1926_6.3 1926 ________ 11.6 2012 __ 11.4 2012 25 Oct __ 5.9 1892 __6.0 1892 __________ 12.1 1978 __ 11.9 1978 26 Oct __ 5.9 1880,95_5.2 1895 __________ 13.3 1927 __ 13.5 1927 27 Oct __ 5.4 1895 __5.8 1895 __________ 14.6 1888 __ 14.5 1888 28 Oct __ 5.6 1895 __5.4 1926 __________ 13.7 1888 __ 13.8 2022* 29 Oct __ 4.6 1895 __4.7 1895 __________ 13.2 1935 __ 13.2 1935 30 Oct __ 5.6 1881 __5.5 1974 __________ 13.2 2005 __ 13.1 2005 31 Oct __ 3.1 1934 __3.6 1934 __________ 13.1 2014 __ 13.0 2014 * in v2.0, broke 13.5 from 2005 01 Nov __ 3.3 1881 __3.5 1881 _________ 12.0 1894 __ 12.2 1894 02 Nov __ 5.0 1880 __4.9 1880 _________ 12.5 1894 __ 12.5 1894 03 Nov __ 5.1 1922 __4.7 1919 _________ 13.5 1996 __ 13.4 1996 04 Nov __ 3.4 1919 __3.7 1919 _________ 12.8 1931 __ 12.8 1931 05 Nov __ 3.0 1901 __3.0 1901 _________ 13.2 1938 __ 13.3 1938 06 Nov __ 5.8 1901 __5.7 1901 _________ 12.3 2015 __ 12.2 2015 07 Nov __ 3.6 1888 __3.6 1888 _________ 11.4 1972,2015_ 11.4 1972,2015 08 Nov __ 3.4 1921 __3.5 1921 _________ 10.4 1938 __ 10.4 1938,1939 09 Nov __ 4.5 1919,21_ 4.8 1971 ________ 10.7 1994 __ 10.5 1994 10 Nov __ 3.8 1919 __3.7 1919 _________ 10.6 1977 __ 10.4 1977,2015 11 Nov __ 3.1 1919 __3.2 1919 _________ 12.7 2015 __ 12.7 2015, 2022 12 Nov __ 2.4 1919 __2.3 1919 _________ 12.4 1947 __ 12.4 1947 13 Nov __ 1.4 1919 __1.9 1919 _________ 13.1 1938 __ 13.3 1938 14 Nov __ 1.7 1919 __1.9 1919 _________ 12.1 1938 __ 12.1 1938 15 Nov __ 0.5 1965 __0.5 1965 _________ 11.3 1948 __ 11.3 1948 16 Nov __ 0.6 1901 __1.2 1901 _________ 11.4 1997 __ 11.1 1997 17 Nov __ 2.7 1930 __3.1 1930 _________ 11.3 1997 __ 11.0 1997 18 Nov __ 0.7 1887 __1.3 1887 _________ 11.3 2020 __ 11.3 2020 19 Nov __ 2.0 1902 __1.8 1902 _________ 12.0 1978 __ 11.8 1978 20 Nov __ 2.5 1962 __2.6 1962 _________ 12.0 1994 __ 11.7 1994 21 Nov __ 1.1 1880 __1.0 1880 _________ 11.7 1947 __ 11.7 1947 22 Nov __ 2.1 1880,1920_2.0 1880 ________13.5 1947 __ 13.5 1947 23 Nov __-0.5 1993 __-0.6 1993 _________12.3 1947 __ 12.3 1947 24 Nov __-0.3 1904 __ 0.8 1904 _________ 11.4 1980 __ 11.2 1980 25 Nov __ 2.3 2010 __2.2 1904,23,2010 ____ 11.1 1964 __ 11.1 1964 26 Nov __1.2 1904 __1.3 1904 __________ 11.3 1983 __ 11.2 1983 27 Nov __-0.3 1890 __-0.5 1890 __________ 9.0 1994 _ 8.8 1994,2022 28 Nov __-1.0 2010 __-1.0 2010 ________ 10.2 1917 __ 10.1 1953 29 Nov __ 0.0 1890 __ 0.2 1890 _________ 10.6 2000 __ 10.4 2000 30 Nov __ 0.4 1973 __0.5 1973 _________ 10.8 1939 __ 10.9 1939 01 Dec __-0.4 2010 __-0.4 2010 _________ 10.6 1939 __ 10.5 1939 02 Dec __-1.2 1879 __-1.2 1879 __________ 9.9 1985 ___ 9.7 1985 03 Dec __-0.4 1879 __-0.6 1879 _________ 11.2 1985 __ 11.1 1985 04 Dec __-1.5 1925 __-1.4 1925 _________ 10.6 1934 __ 10.6 1934 05 Dec __-0.6 1902 __-0.4 1902 _________ 11.3 1898 __ 11.4 1898 06 Dec __-1.8 2010 __-1.8 2010 _________ 10.8 1898 __ 10.6 1898 07 Dec __-0.4 2010 __-0.4 2010 __________ 9.5 1964 ___ 9.6 1964 08 Dec __-0.7 1967 __-0.7 1967 _________ 10.6 2015 __ 10.4 2015 09 Dec __ 0.8 1981 __ 0.6 1981 _________ 11.2 1934 __ 11.1 1934 10 Dec __-1.2 1981 __-1.5 1981 __________ 9.7 2016 ___ 9.6 2016 11 Dec __-0.8 1882 __-1.5 1882 _________ 10.8 1994 __ 10.5 1994 12 Dec __-3.8 1981 __-4.0 1981 _________ 11.9 1994 __ 11.6 1994 13 Dec __-1.9 1920 __-1.3 1878,1920 _____ 10.8 1994 __ 10.6 1994 14 Dec __-2.2 1878 __-2.4 1878 _________ 10.5 2006 __ 10.4 2006 15 Dec __-0.3 1890 __ 0.4 1890,1950 ______ 9.8 1985 ___ 9.6 1985 16 Dec __-0.3 1890 __-0.2 1981 __________ 9.1 1985 ___ 8.9 1985 17 Dec __-0.5 1981 __-0.7 1981 _________ 11.0 2015 __ 10.8 2015 18 Dec __-1.3 1927 __-1.2 1927 _________ 10.5 1932 __ 10.4 1932 19 Dec __-3.2 2010 __-3.2 2010 _________ 10.8 2015 __ 10.7 2015 20 Dec __-2.2 1938 __-2.1 1938 __________ 9.6 2015 ___ 9.5 2015 21 Dec __-1.5 1891 __-1.4 1891 __________ 9.6 1971 ___ 9.6 1971 22 Dec __-1.5 1891 __-2.2 1891 _________ 10.0 1991 ___ 9.8 1991 23 Dec __-2.7 1891 __-4.0 1891 _________ 11.1 1991 __ 10.8 1991 24 Dec __-1.8 1891 __-1.4 1878 __________ 8.7 2002 ___ 9.3 2023^ 25 Dec __-2.6 2010 __-2.5 2010 __________ 9.3 1983 ___10.1 2023^ 26 Dec __-0.8 1906 __ 0.0 1906 __________ 9.7 2011 ___ 9.6 2011 27 Dec __-0.9 1899 __-0.7 1892 __________ 8.7 1949 ___ 8.7 1949 28 Dec __-3.0 1995 __-3.1 1995 _________ 10.2 1987 ___ 9.9 1987 29 Dec __-4.0 1908 __-4.5 1908 _________ 10.9 1987 __ 10.8 1987 30 Dec __-1.7 1890 __-1.8 1890 __________ 9.1 1925 ___ 8.9 1925 31 Dec __-2.4 1978 __-2.6 1978 _________ 11.8 2021 __ 11.7 2021 ^ 9.3 24 Dec replaced 8.9 (1977) in v2.0; 2002 was 8.6 in v2.0 ^10.1 25 Dec replaced 9.1 (1983) in v2.0.
  21. Roger J Smith
    I am skeptical that reduced human population had anything to do wit the Little Ice Age. Is there any research to document this claim? (I realize there was a reduced population after a century of plague (14th c)). Is it postulated to be related to agricultural practices, otherwise I would be at a loss to imagine any cause and effect in those pre-industrial times (by and large). I would say partly volcanic activity and partly prolonged lower solar activity in two cases, Sporer minimum of 15th century and maunder minimum 1650 to 1710 (also Dalton minimum coincided with another downturn in winter temps). I don't think the LIA really ended until around 1910, that is where larger increases began to develop. Definitely 1890 to 1910 is a better end date, the 1880s were a very cold decade in many regions. It could also be argued that the LIA began as early as 1300; that is about where Norse settlements in Greenland began to experience problems. A good way to visualize climate of LIA would be our recent coldest and also wettest intervals were about normal (average) in those centuries. There were many severe storms in the North Sea and repeated inundations of coastal areas of Frisian Islands etc. The jet stream was probably at least 3 deg of latitude closer to the equator than its recent positions (in n.h. at least). I recall reading in Lamb's studies that coastal ice often extended from east Greenland to Iceland and that polar bears were able to roam around in Iceland as a result. I don't think sea ice has made it more than halfway across the strait in the past hundred years.
  22. Roger J Smith
    I feel pretty confident that EWP will exceed 136mm (our highest forecast) which means that points are more or less set, and errors will all change in lock-step if we blow past my current estimate of 145mm. So here is your first look at EWP contest scoring. Same procedures as previous contest years. It works out in similar ways to CET scoring. There are scoring levels from 0.0 to 10.0 (instead of 0 to 100 as in CET). Instead of adding bonus points, I subtract penalty points for the same aspects, for example, you lose 0.06 for being wrong side of 1991-2020 normal (with a graduated scale for first six closest to normal penalized). You lose .01 for every 10% you exceed best forecast in percentage error (it's like the accuracy points in CET). You lose 0.3 for each late day. One thing I do a bit differently is to deduct only a half a scoring level for later duplicates; this is partly because there are fewer duplicates, and also, if two forecasts tie for errors on different sides of the target, they are scored equally (unless one gets wrong-sign penalty or is late). Order of entry still plays a role in EWP. I think it is just about the same scoring system as CET overall. The table contains CET predictions so I can easily convert this into a "best combined" and CET ranking early indication as usual, but official CET scoring is announced by J10 later. I am not as confident of CET being closer to 7.0 than 6.3 but I believe it will be between our two highest forecasts so I did the best combined rank setting based on 6.9 -- Typhoon John does not enter EWP anyway so it won't affect best combined results at all if the 1-2 finish indicated for CET is reversed. It would affect it a little if outcome is below 6.2 C. (edit 24 Dec, below 6.5 looks less likely now) Results for DEC 2023 _ Subject to any later adjustments _ based on 7.0 C and 162 mm Ranks _____ CET _ EWP __ FORECASTER (Order of entry) ___ Best combined _____________ EWP scoring (pts, err) CET EWP _01 _ ---- ___7.0 __ --- --- __ Typhoon John ( 11 ) ______________ --- _02 _ 17 ___ 6.3 _ 108.0 __ davehsug ( 41 ) __________________19 ___ 4th best combined ___ 6.96 ___ 54.0 mm (17) _03 _ 01 ___ 6.0 _ 136.0 __ virtualsphere ( 6 ) ________________ 4 ___ best combined _______10.00 ___ 26.0 mm (1) _04 _ 52 ___ 6.0 __ 50.0 __ syed2878 ( 16 ) ___________________56 ___ t21st best combined __ 0.19 ___112.0 mm (52) _05 _ ---- ___6.0 __ --- --- __ Froze were the Days ( 38 ) _______ --- _06 _ ---- ___5.9 __ --- --- __ Summer Sun ( 37 ) _______________ --- _07 _ 36 ___ 5.8 __ 80.0 __ The PIT ( 18 ) _____________________ 43 ___16th best combined ___ 3.41 ____82.0 mm (t34) _08 _ 29 ___ 5.8 __ 87.0 __ Reef ( 32 ) ________________________ 37 ___14th best combined ___ 4.56 ____75.0 mm (29) _09 _ 13 ___ 5.7 _ 112.0 __ I remember Atlantic252 ( 27 ) ____ 22 ___t6th best combined ___ 7.72 ____50.0 mm (13) _10 _ 40 ___ 5.6 __ 74.0 __ summer blizzard ( 20 ) ____________50 ___19th best combined ___2.47 ____88.0 mm (40) _11 _ 04 ___ 5.6 _ 129.0 __ noname_weather ( 39 ) ___________15 ___2nd best combined ___ 9.43 ____33.0 mm (4) _12 _ 10 ___ 5.5 _ 118.0 __ chilly milly ( 13 ) __________________ 22 ___t6th best combined ___ 8.29 ____44.0 mm (10) _13 _ 03 ___ 5.4 _ 130.0 __ Don ( 34 ) _________________________16 ___ 3rd best combined ___ 9.62 ____32.0 mm (3) _14 _ 08 ___ 5.4 _ 120.0 __ J 10 ( 53 ) _________________________ 22 ___t6th best combined ___ 8.67 ____42.0 mm (8.) _15 _ 09 ___ 5.3 _ 119.0 __ Feb1991blizzard ( 30 ) ____________24 ___10th best combined ___8.48 ____43.0 mm (9) _16 _ 07 ___ 5.3 _ 121.5 __ snowray ( 40 ) ____________________ 23 ___ 9th best combined ___ 8.86 ____40.5 mm (7) _17 _ 16 ___ 5.3 _ 110.0 __ seaside60 ( L1-2 ) _________________33 ___12th best combined ___7.03^___ 52.0 mm (t14) _18 _ 02 ___ 5.2 _ 135.0 __ Frigid ( 35 ) _______________________ 20 ___ 5th best combined ___ 9.81 ____27.0 mm (2) _19 _ 15 ___ 5.2 _ 110.0 __ Addicks Fan 1981 ( 48 ) ___________34 ___13th best combined ___7.43 ____52.0 mm (t14) _20 _ 12 ___ 5.2 _ 114.0 __ February1978 ( 55 ) ______________ 32 ___11th best combined ___7.91 ____48.0 mm (12) _21 _ 24 ___ 5.1 __ 96.0 __ moorlander ( 7 ) __________________ 45 ___t17th best combined __ 5.58 ____66.0 mm (24) _22 _ 47 ___ 5.1 __ 63.0 __ SteveB ( 10 ) ______________________ 69 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __1.14 ___ 99.0 mm (47) _23 _ 22 ___ 5.1 __ 98.0 __ rwtwm ( 36 ) _______________________45 ___t17th best combined __5.98 ____64.0 mm (22) _24 _ 44 ___ 5.1 __ 67.0 __Mr Maunder ( 42 ) _________________ 68 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __1.71 ___ 95.0 mm (44) _25 _ 31 ___ 5.0 __ 83.0 __ Bobd29 ( 3 ) _______________________ 56 ___t21st best combined ___4.18 ___79.0 mm (31) _26 _ 35 ___ 5.0 __ 80.0 __ Earthshine ( 14 ) __________________ 61 ___ 25th best combined ___ 3.51 ___82.0 mm (t34) (27) _(17.6) _ 4.9 _ 106.3 _____ 1993-2022 average ___________ 44.6 __17th best combined ___6.86 ___55.7 mm (17.6) _27 _ 27 ___ 4.9 __ 88.0 __ methuselah ( 5 ) __________________ 54 ___ 20th best combined ____4.98 ___74.0 mm (t27) _28 _ 49 ___ 4.9 __ 59.0 __ dancerwithwings ( 19 ) ____________ 77 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.76 __103.0 mm (49) (29) (27) ___ 4.8 __ 88.0 _____ Consensus _____________________56 ___t21st best combined ____ 4.98 ___ 74.0 mm (t27) (29) (19.1) _ 4.8 _ 103.6 _____ 1991-2020 average ____________ 48.1__ 18th best combined ___ 6.55 ____58.4 mm (19.1) _29 _ 50 ___ 4.8 __ 56.0 __ summer shower ( 28 ) _____________ 79 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.57 ___106.0 mm (50) _30 _ ---- ___4.8 _ --- --- __ Mark Bayley ( 45 ) __________________ ---- _31 _ 11 ___ 4.7 _ 115.0 __ WYorksWeather ( 33 ) ______________ 42 ___15th best combined ___ 8.10 ____47.0 mm (11) (32) (22.4)_ 4.5 __ 97.4 _____ 1981-2010 average ______________ 54.4 __ 20th best combined __ 5.90 ____64.6 mm (22.4) _32 _ 48 ___ 4.5 __ 60.0 __ Leo97t ( 26 ) ________________________ 80_____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___0.95 ___102.0 mm (48.) _33 _ 30 ___ 4.4 __ 85.0 __ Weather26 ( 2 ) _____________________ 63_____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___4.37 ___ 77.0 mm (30) _34 _ 37 ___ 4.4 __ 77.0 __ Somerset girl ( 49 ) _________________ 71 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 3.04 ___ 85.0 mm (37) _35 _ 21 ___ 4.3 __ 99.0 __ Wold Topper ( 57 ) _________________ 56 ___t21st best combined ___ 6.18 ____63.0 mm (21) _36 _ 34 ___ 4.2 __ 80.0 __ John88b ( 8 ) ________________________70 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 3.61 ___ 82.0 mm (t34) _37 _ 41 ___ 4.2 __ 72.0 __ gazse9 ( 9 ) _________________________ 78 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 2.28 ___ 90.0 mm (t41) _38 _ 28 ___ 4.2 __ 88.0 __ summer18 ( 17 ) ____________________66 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 4.88 ___ 74.0 mm (t27) _39 _ 26 ___ 4.2 __ 90.0 __ Mulzy ( 46 ) _________________________ 65 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 5.18 ___ 72.0 mm (26) (40) (26.5) _ 4.1 __ 89.1 ___ average of all data (CET 1659-2022, EWP 1766-2022) 66.5 ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ __ 5.09 ___ 72.9 mm (26.5) _40 _ 32 ___ 4.1 __ 81.0 __ Alexis J9 ( 4 ) ________________________72 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 3.99 ___ 81.0 mm (t32) _41 _ 25 ___ 4.1 __ 95.0 __ Metwatch ( 44 ) _____________________66 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 5.38 ___ 67.0 mm (25) _42 _ 19 ___ 4.0 _ 100.0 __ DR(S)NO ( 29 ) ______________________61 ___t25th best combined __ 6.38 ___ 62.0 mm (20) _43 _ ---- ___4.0 __ --- --- __ damianslaw ( 43 ) __________________ ---- _44 _ 51 ___ 3.9 __ 51.0 __ shillitocettwo ( 22 ) _________________ 95 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.38 ___111.0 mm (51) _45 _ 39 ___ 3.9 __ 75.0 __ daniel* ( 56 ) ________________________84 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 2.75 ___ 87.0 mm (t38.) _46 _ 38 ___ 3.8 __ 75.0 __ stewfox ( 12 ) _______________________ 84 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 2.85 ___ 87.0 mm (t38.) _47 _ 18 ___ 3.8 _ 105.0 __ Midlands Ice Age ( 50 ) _____________ 65 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 6.77 ___ 57.0 mm (18.) _48 _ 33 ___ 3.7 __ 81.0 __ Emmett Garland ( 31 ) ______________ 81 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 3.89 ___ 81.0 mm (t32) _49 _ 53 ___ 3.6 __ 21.0 __ Neil N ( 21 ) _______________________ 102 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 0.00 ___141.0 mm (53) _50 _ 42 ___ 3.6 __ 72.0 __ Weather Observer ( 51 ) ____________ 92 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 2.18 ___ 90.0 mm (t41) _51 _ ---- ___3.3 __ --- --- __ Kentish Man ( 54 ) _________________ ---- _52 _ 43 ___ 3.2 __ 71.0 __ jonboy ( 24 ) ________________________ 95 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 1.90 ___ 91.0 mm (43) _53 _ 06 ___ 3.1 _ 124.0 __ godber 1 ( 52 ) _____________________ 59 ___24th best combined __ __ 9.14 ___ 38.0 mm (t5) _54 _ 14 ___ 3.0 _ 110.0 __ Jeff C ( 1 ) ___________________________68 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 7.53 ___ 52.0 mm (t14) _55 _ 45 ___ 2.9 __ 64.7 __ Roger J Smith ( 23 ) ________________ 100 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___1.52 ___ 97.3 mm (45) _56 _ 46 ___ 2.8 __ 64.0 __ Stationary Front ( 25 ) _____________ 102 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 1.33 ___ 98.0 mm (46) _57 _ 20 ___ 2.8 __104.0 __ Let It Snow! ( L1-1 ) ________________ 77 _____ ___ ___ ___ _ (lev 19) ___ _ 6.28^___58.0 mm (19) _58 _ 05 ___ 2.4 _ 124.0 __ prolongedSnowLover ( 47 ) ________ 63 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 9.24 ___ 38.0 mm (t5) _59 _ 23 ___ 2.0 __ 96.5 __ Polar Gael ( 15 ) ____________________ 82 _____ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 5.78 ___ 65.5 mm (23) note: ranks for error are in brackets after EWP error. No CET scoring info is contained, just ranks from table of entries. Late penalty jogs not used here, and will work out in CET scoring tables. Assume a drop of one rank per late day relative to rank indicated here. ... EWP scores affected by late penalties are shown with ^ symbol. If rank is pushed down, this is indicated by "level" which will also be reflected in error rank (t ose are not adjusted for late days). Error ranks are also tied for entries in different order. also note: best combined total ranks are shown for all entrants, but are ranked only for top 25. also note: Ranks for normals and consensus are in decimal form, indicating where they are located relative to integer ranks of contest entrants. EWP forecasts in order 136_virt .. 135_Frig .. 130_Don .. 129_non .. 124_pSL, godb .. 121.5_snow .. 120_ J10 .. 119_feb91 .. 118_cm .. 115_WYorks .. 114_Feb78 .. 112_IRem .. 110_ Jeff, Add,sea^ .. 108_ dave .. 106.3 _93-22 .. 105_mia .. 104_LIS^ ..103.6 _91-20 .. 100_DR(S) .. 99_WT .. 98_rwtwm .. 97.4 _81-10 .. 96.5_PG .. 96_moor .. 95_Met .. 90_Mul .. 89.1 _alldata ...88_meth, sum18 .. 88.0_con .. 87_Reef .. 85_wx26 .. 83 _bobd .. 81_Al J9, EG .. 80_john, earth, PIT .. 77_sg .. 75_stew, dan .. 74_sb ... 72_gaz, WxOb .. 71_jon .. 67_MrM .. 64.7 _RJS .. 64_SF .. 63 _Ste .. 60_leo .. 59_dww .. 56_sumsh .. 51_shil .. 50_syed .. 21_NN _________ 51 on-time entries, and two late (^) 1d, 53 total ... median (consensus) 88.0 mm. ============================
  23. Roger J Smith
    Japan recently went from very mild record breaking temps (in mid 20s even outside subtropical southern areas), to very cold with snow. So pattern change can still occur in the northern hemisphere. Looks quite cold to end Dec so CET probably will fall back from a peak near 7 C by 25th, into the mid 6 range. It is also quite mild at my location, 4 C and rain, normally snowing a fair bit and -2 to -5 C temps but not like that so far, will end up with about same anomaly in +2C range.
  24. Roger J Smith
    EWP around 102 mm now, will add about 40-45 mm over rest of December to end around 142-147 mm. That is higher than all forecasts so I can score the contest any time. Will wait until around 27 Dec however. CET will keep rising steadily to 24 Dec, at a near-record rate, so could be close to 6.8 C by 25 Dec, average for 26-31 Dec looks near normal and if it were to be 5.0 for six days, 6.8 would only deflate a bit, to 6.5 C. Only Typhoon John at 7.0 C is above that projection, with davehsug at 6.3 next warmest. Top ten on this forecast (eleven after ties) is rounded out by Summer Sun (5.9), PIT (5.8), Reef (5.8), I Remember Atlantic 252 (5.7) and summer blizzard (5.6), noname_weather (5.6). Best combined effort appears to be virtualsphere (6.0, 136.0) who looks likely to finish either 2nd or 3rd CET and probably first EWP, but could also be first CET if that ends up 6.1 or 6.0. ... virtualsphere was in early with that one, ahead of syed2878 and froze were the days also at 6.0. That rounds out the likely top five CET, so top six EWP after virtualsphere would be Frigid (135.0), Don (130.0), noname_weather (129.0) and at 124.0 for 5th, 6th (ProlongedSnowLover and Godber1). Snowray, J10, Feb1991blizzard, and cheeky monkey round out top ten. (assuming we do see at least 25-30 mm of projected 40-45, if it turned out lower this would require an edit).
  25. Roger J Smith
    4.6 would seem mild before about 1990. I am encouraged by trends on later panels of GFS, probably a false hope if ever there was one, but I don't think GFS ever falsely shows mild anyway, so for it to turn cold, there at least needs to be a signal for cold. Verification of these is likely about 30-40 per cent over past few winters. And it's not blockbuster cold being shown. We need that enormous mid-Atlantic high to get sucked up into Greenland, or at least retrograde past 30W, to get a long-wave trough into a better position, for past two weeks it has been in eastern Europe. There seems to be a healthy supply of cold air in western Russia and Siberia, but at present a lot of it is leaking south into China. I read elsewhere Japan recently flipped from record warm to below normal, about 3-4 days back it was record warm all over Japan, now it's snowing and quite cold. Going to place an early forecast of 3.7 and 56.3 mm, if I see a different outcome I will scrap it around 31st. At this point I foresee a series of colder regimes with occasional reversals to mild, but on balance, turning colder second half, not particularly wet by recent January standards. A typical 19th century January you could say. (later edit, will stick to these early calls although I see a milder look to some recent runs)
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