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SNOW-MAN2006

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Posts posted by SNOW-MAN2006

  1. Hello SM06,

    I've now downloaded and read all your powerpoints and found them very useful in helping me understand some aspects of the weather. Did you say there is one on model interpretations? I can't seem to find it. It would be useful to get some tips on reading the models as I can see from the forums that the model discussion is central to a lot of peoples weather predictions.

    Thanks

    If you look on my blog there is one on there on the second page in my little learning area, when if ind some time i will post a new one with more help on identifying developments in the models.

    Thanks Kelly F, you have a good one to! Hope you enjoy it with tilly 8)

    Goodbye for now and any further questions dont hesitate to PM me as i rarely visit the Learning area so any questions just give em to me straight to avoid delay ;)

    For October i will be creating a specific design.... quite exciting really for me but more on that in october :)

    SM06

  2. :) --><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE(Paul B @ 22 Feb 2007, 12:19 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'><!--quotec-->I am going for another mild and wet month, with a CET of 7.3C.

    wet, dont like the sound of that :)

    Well juding by the PNA it is looking very unsettled and as we know from the previous months a negative PNA tends to last around a month indicating wet weather (from what paul has indicated)...

    post-4252-1172155012_thumb.png

    This is also backed up by the prediction that the NAO will once again turn postive meaning more rain especially towards the start of the month but a negative last few days mabey hinting towards the posibility of a cooler spell...

    post-4252-1172155185_thumb.png

    :)

    SM06

  3. turn off all the moterway lights,why do we need these street lights when you got lights on your car,

    then turn off every other sreet light, it would save thousands of tons of CO2,

    That isnt the solution Barry... it is alright to turn off the street lights but why not your central heating/drive less? We dont want a major impact on our lives we want to lower CO2 levels... Street lights help prevent crime and provide saftey (walking down street + no light = muggings increase... )

    :D

    SM06

  4. Hello,

    Well GW is still a potent threat that we have control of. The only way we can conquer the massive emissions currently being emitted then we need to join together. But i dont think GW is the really threat at the moment is the Natural Fossil Fuels that are readily becoming harder and more expensive to extract. It takes nearly 700 120m Wing Span Wind mills to replace one Coal Plant... So where can we plot these 700 wind mills??? This is the major issue that the government is faced with... so their solution is to put them in the sea! Good idea but do they not know that water and electricity do not mix??? And maintenance...

    Nuclear! Good Idea but with when radioactive waste is deposited in the oceans they end up back on land.... and after a Nuclear site is extinct it takes around 100 years to decommision it!!! Neclear isnt the way....

    Fossil Fuels... Like i have said are running out.. C02 production adding to Global Warming Effect and Acidic Rain (from coal, coke an alternative)

    Biomass... good but again adding to the CO2 effect

    Solar Panels.... very effecient but only 30% of our electrity in our homes...

    Tidal and Wave... Good but expensive to set up

    So what is the answer... use a concentrated mixture of the Renewable sources to be able to eradicate the Fossil Fuels that required burning

    (below is the process of Fossil Fuels)

    The_Process_of_using_Fossil_Fuels.xls

    So we can identify from the diagram that the Furnace is the Problem!!! So what is so good about using alternative renewable sources??? they eradicate the main cause of CO2 which is loacted in the furnace in an attempt to heat water... tpo make steam to turn turbine to turn generator...

    So what can we all do???

    -Turn off tap whilst brushing teeth

    -Get Draft proofing

    -get wall insulation

    -get carpet

    -get double galzing

    -use a shower

    -turn off lights when you are not in the room

    -Energy Saving Devices

    -More trees (but they are not the full answer)

    All of these will reduce energy wasted by us. If we can use less of the stuff we dont need we can use less fossil fuels to produce vast amounts of electricity that is wasted... so the key is to use less energy so we have to produce less allowing the reductuion of Powerplants!!! We are the Key .... not the goverment... but remember one person doesnt make a difference we all need to do our bit to reduce CO2 emmisions.

  5. Well, i have now ished this years learning Weekly discussion. I feel that i have now covered many areas to provide a foundation of knowledge for some people. Next years will begin in October and Persist through to January, next years topic will be associated with the world, i am already beginning planning on topic to include in next years episode...

    -The atmosphere

    -The stratosphere

    -The Deep Blue abyss

    -Volcanoes

    -Earthquakes

    -Thunderstorms

    -Lightening

    -Analysing PNA, NAO and AO to help compose my winter forecasts

    -Analysis of how the Jetstream impacts our weather

    -Our influence on the CO2 AGW warming theory

    -Trends

    -Torandoes

    -Hurricanes

    -Blizzards

    -Ice rain

    -Seasons

    -And hopefullymuch much more....

    Remeber you can easily download my presentations that are basic to provide easy understanding... if you cant load it go onto google and pdownload the free Microsfot powerpoint Viewer...

    It has been very good providing this learning experience for some and i hope it has helped you learn some new things

    'You learn something new every day'

    SM06

    See you all in October

  6. I don't know if this point has been raised but....

    it's quite early to be predicting February's outcome with any certainty but, given the cool start, it is likely that it'll end up in the range of 3.5c to 5c. It also seems likely that there will be a cold spell towards the end of the month. What if it is delayed? I wonder what the chances are that March cold end up colder than any of the winter months.

    Long way away but you never know!!

    March is going to be much like what Febuary may well turn out like, some cold but a large majority of Warmer weather. I have a high confidence in my seasonal forecast for once and i am predicting a very cold first few days before we see spring... :clap:

    i could always be wrong....

    SM06

  7. I don't want to fill the board up with will it snow questions but was hoping someone could tell me what the chances are of snow over the weekend in the Glasgow area? We haven't had any snow this cold spell and it would be nice if some of that weather reached us up here!

    Thanks in advance :wallbash:

    hello Blizzard Conditions,

    There is a reasonable risk especially lateron on saturday and into Sunday :)

    SM06

  8. Well Thursday's snow is now forgotten about and now we have to focus on the front moving through currently. There is some snow associated with this front. Temperaures are now decreasing across many areas as the sun goes down for another day. Again there is another risk of ice today but the risk tonight is mainly confined to the inland areas not underneath this band of sleet, rain & snow. During the night the front wil move into northern England sleety near the coasts for a time before turning to snow overnight pushing off into the N.Sea tommorrow. Sunday and Monday are begining to be interesting but i need more information.... I will post either later this evening or tommorrow on the current situation with charts so stay tuned.

    Keep upto date with Netweather

    Keep upto date with Meto

    Keep upto date with Weatheronline

    :rolleyes:

    SM06

  9. I didnt expect snow in the SW this morning but obviously rhe milder air is somewhat behind. This is going to look really promising for those hoping for snow further north (coughcough me!!!) as the day progresses into this evening, but again those in the midlands and wales be careful as if there is large amounts of snow falling on wet surfaces it is likely to turn to ice :blink:

    SM06

  10. well that's winter over with for another year

    Dont be so sure, my monthly and other memebers monthyl forecasts do point to a higher chance of colder weather later in February and earlier in march, march is commonly a cold month, take last year for example here in tyne and wear we saw an easterly with 4 inches of snow so dont rule out any wintry weather yet. If you want to view mine and other members monthly forecasts look onmy blog (clcik sig) or click on blogs at the top of the page where there is various other blogs that contain weather details :unsure:

    SM06

  11. Sounds good :rolleyes:

    You are in quite a bad place being right on the coast though, judging be what a coulpe of other members have said it could be touch and go. I hope you get some though, I should be OK here inland a bit and 200m asl.

    It is always a diasadvantage but i think the main snow belt will arrive overnight friday which it will be subzero, a very fingers crossed event for the coast but things can still change :) all the luck mind to you

    SM06

  12. is the snow on saturday still on and if so what areas and what amount do you expect?

    Like quoted above it is looking likely from the midlands northwards is looking likely for some now on saturday with amounts upto possibly 5cm and it wont turn to rain until early sunday :)

    But i still usher a word of caution as nothing is set in stone (ie rain/snow all depends on where milder air is)but after viewing the BBC local forecast tonight my head is held high :rolleyes:

    SM06

    Hope that was helpful

  13. No snow here mark yet im hoping for some on saturday look at below taken from my blog

    ''Well i have seen reports of 12cm+ of snow today and boy gosh wasnt it bad further south.... whilst i have just recieved a sleety shower from this cold front i am now very interested for devlopments through saturday where 5cm could accumulate. This front passing hrough currently wont introduce milder air however the milder front makes imbounds on Saturday trying to push away our colder air. So, the main cause of concern is through this evening and tonight where tmperatures are expected to plumit widspread -4's and even down to -10's in the midlands area... Tomorrow will be a day consiting of this front in the south sweping through causing rapid thaw of any left over snow and with that.... the renewed risk of flooding. As the front pushes into northern England overnight then it will readily turn to snow and like i say more signifcant accumulations even across N.England and Scotland this time which is promising... so id better dust down that sledge for the hills then TWS lol? And sunday will see this front push through with some heafty showers following and the snow in the north of the country turn to rain again. So keep in touch and keep Safe :rolleyes:

    Keep upto date with Netweather

    Keep upto date with Meto

    Keep upto date with Weatheronline

    Just keep safe on those icy roads especially tonight.... another update tommorow

    SM06''

    :)

    SM06

  14. rather poor here I must say, its stopped snowing, and barely half an inch

    Edit just started again, very light, wheres the heavy stuff

    Calm down dear, its only a commercial lol

    Atleast you have snow, woke up at 4 because we had heavy hail shower and of course the hail melted :lol: and then it has been light drizzle this morning no snow, i know im not in the firing line for heavy snow until saturday mabey but we should of have some snow showers overnight that just didnt happen :( oh well there is tonight as the front heads north :)

    SM06

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