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SNOW-MAN2006

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Posts posted by SNOW-MAN2006

  1. Hi :)

    I dont know if there is one of these open already but ive looked over the past 2 pages and cant indentify one. So if there is one open could someone please kindly put my post into there :) .

    It has been a while but i can now release my winter 2008/09 forecast. Feel free to critise or compliment. I am a strong believer that critism makes everyone better. Im going to regret saying that now :) lol. Im sure you will all be kind lol.

    Enjoy ;)

    Winter_Forecast.docx

    SNOW-MAN2006

  2. The problem with nuclear is the huge expense.

    Coal is plentiful and with the new technologies it releases little pollution and also provides CO2 to make the Earths plant life flourish. The logical way to go.

    I have to disagree there... CO2 is the warming gas that traps heat! how can this be logical?

    Yes they can us static to remove soot, but Coal is NOT the way forward. :doh:

    Fusion is possible, but requires large amounts of HEAT and ENERGY, so much so that it is pointless to do. The sun demonstraights the energy of fusion however unless we develop a cold way of fusing particles together then we will never use this method.

    In response to earlier opinions about storing hydrogen, they must have solved the problem seeming as Honda are producing 200 hyrdorgen fuelled cars over the next 3 years. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7456141.stm

    SNOW-MAN2006

  3. Fossil Fuels; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fossil_fuel_power_plant

    "Subcritical fossil fuel power plants can achieve 36–38% efficiency. Supercritical designs have efficiencies in the low to mid 40% range"

    Hydrogen; www1.eere.energy.gov/hydrogenandfuelcells/presidents_initiative.html

    "12 hydrogen fueling stations demonstrated 53–58% fuel cell efficiency"

    So Hydrogen would give more energy and be less polluting.

    SNOW-MAN2006

  4. I was reading something on MSN News yesterday that thee was plans to convert the North Sea into a power house and becoming the "Gulf" of wind turbines. There are plans to put billions of pounds of our money into this project.

    We must be in a real power situation if we are also going to have 8 extra nuclear power plants.

    On a more promising climate report, the first proto type hydrogen fuel station has been made and trialed for hydrogen powered cars, and experts predict that hydrogen cell powered cars will hit the consumer market in just 3 years!

    so all promosing, but i am not to keen on nuclear power plants, because if one thing goes wrong, we will have a country wide disaster on our hands!

    SNOW-MAN2006

  5. My Early Winter Thoughts

    This is the 2nd consecutive cool summer. The seas surrounding the UK are very cool and below average. This early indicator (although there is plenty of time for change) show a positive factor that could indicate the UK is heading into a average-below average winter. With a cooler atlantic low pressure systems wont form as strongly or as pronounced as what they would with a warmer atlantic. The seas surrounding Scandinavia are proving above average which suggests there may be an increased low pressure development over there. Should these trends develop over winter we may see an increased presence of low pressure to the the east feeding northerly winds over the UK. With northerly winds comes cold temperatures, and with the prescene of a low-pressure system it may be a year of above average snow fall.

    This is turning out to be another cool summer. Last winter was quite cool but we didnt have the percipitation to match. The early indication factors that i look at are promising for a cooler winter again this year, but with still around 5 months, before we fall in the snow months, any sitituation could evolve that could alter our winter.

    SNOW-MAN2006

  6. With the unsustainable degrees of consumption and waste going on in the world; exarcebated by large population growth in places like China, India, etc.....this is only going to worsen AGW.

    Should a certain percentage of men and women be compulsory sterilised? When will we get to a point where drastic measures have to be taken?

    (Btw...I may have been bitten by Gray-Wolf's doomster bug here).

    :)

    Heck no,

    This would be the worst thing ever.

    India has already tried this in the 1970's i believe and it has managed to reduce its population growth, not through this though, but through moving through the Demographic Transition model.

    With improved healthcare family's have less of a desire to have lots of children to work on the farm (as less are dying now). With the promotion of Contraception also births per 1000 has fallen dramatically.

    The earth has plent of resources to feed us all. There is plenty of un-used or un-cultivated land enough to support that of maybe 3 or 4 times todays current population.

    The key is though, by the time our population reaches such heights, is to move out into the galaxy and universe onto other planets similar to that of our own.

    Anyway this post could go on forever explaining everything so ive left it as brief as possible...

    Many Thanks

    SNOW-MAN2006

  7. Please Sir, the Dog ate my homework book...

    Honestly SM; you can't have died looking for the thread, even though it was labouring under an unusual title. I say rules is rules, otherwise anarchy breaks out.

    My god a massive up-rising from the almighty SF. I just thought i would try and see if i could get those extra few points.

    :)

    SM06

  8. Ah so this is where this topic has been hiding, right down the bottom of the page. On the 2nd of Jan i issued my forecast and predicted a CET of 4. I know it is the 5th but i made the prediction on the 2nd so i dont no the penalties for late entries so do i get fined for entering now or for predicting on 2nd? (proof is on blog that it was issued on 2nd)

    :rolleyes:

    many thanks

    SM06

  9. Thanks for that SM.

    I could put up with that, a good snowy spell in Dec and Feb :lol:

    Glad you liked it, but as with anyones forecast it is definately not gospel and is only someones interpretation so with a bit of luck mine will hoepfully come off, but i wont not be suprised at all if it didnt :) :) :)

    SM06

  10. Well,

    I have released my winter forecast a week early and here it is;

    Winter_2007_Forecast.doc

    I have had real difficulty as ever over the winter period, so beyond January i have really not clue, but that is represented in the forecast confidence levels, but i think it is worth a look, especially for December wise.

    Here is meto's updated winter forecast: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/season...07_8/index.html

    And of course post yours!

    Many Thanks

    SM06

  11. Well,

    What an interesting weekend. Some areas have seen snow, mainly higher ground but as we head through this evening it may pop down to lower levels in amongst rain. Now, we around only 5 weeks from Christmas and we are still to see decent snow, here is a link to my Xmas day forecast on my blog to see what the chances are like at the moment for xmas day itself.

    http://www.netweather.tv/forum/index.php?a...;showentry=2892

    Now, the models are chopping and changing with every run and it will be difficult to forecast the next week or so, especially as we turn to the end of next week.

    Monday

    Low pressure sits to the south west, pulling in strong easterly winds. Along the east coast it will make it feel exceptionally biter especially in exposed areas. A miserable day mostly everywhere, with the heaviest of the rain along the east coast. Snow risk will have significantly decreased from Sunday Evening so you will be very lucky to see anything away from the tops of Snowdonia maybe and the highlands. Temperatures not making it anywhere as well, with the entire country swamped with single figures.

    Tuesday

    Low pressure remains to the south west pulling in further easterlies. Coo everywhere with the main central belt of the UK rising to just 6/7 all day so not particularly pleasant. Winds should have dropped by Tuesday and drier towards the NW but heavy rain across south and south east.

    Wednesday

    Low pressure over country. Winds from a northerly origin but coming in from the west. Temperatures quite healthy along southern coast but elsewhere remaining on the cool side. Most of the rain confined to the North of Scotland, where again there is the risk of snow on the highlands. Winds light – Moderate.

    Thursday

    Low pressure over Scandinavia and Russia branches into the North Sea, whilst High pressure squeezed out to the west, pulling in some moderate northerly winds. Temperatures confined to 3 or 4 in the north, whilst 5/6/7 further south. Mainly dry however, away from the north where the chances of snow increase, even to lower levels.

    Friday

    High pressure extends over UK, bring north easterly winds for many. An ice day across highlands, and very cool or cold everywhere with sub 5’s likely in most areas. Now the main confusion in the charts at current is whether we will see precipitation with this. The 06z run showed we should see some light-moderate snow across the east with 2 inches or so… but unfortunately as we have moved into the less amazing 12z run all traces of precipitation have vanished, so all eyes to the models in my view over the next few days and with a bit of luck we might get some snow.

    Weekend

    Only slightly warmer over the weekend but still hovering around the 5 mark. Low pressure flirting with our north. Definitely the risk of some wintry weather, but significant? Probably not. But some precipitation of some sort over the weekend.

    Well a detailed forecast there, so that should keep you informed on my views for the weekend. Beyond this it is very uncertain but hopefully, we will continue in a colder regime with a northerly never to far away.

    Many Thanks

    SNOW-MAN2006

    it will be average till 27th of november :doh::doh: :lol: :lol: :D:(:doh: THEN VERY COLD AND SNOWY :lol: :D:(:cold::cold::cold::cold::cold::cold::cold::cold::cold: :lol: .................................A COMPLETE GUESS :D

    we can live in hope i supose :)

    SM06

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