Stuart

45% Chance of a white Christmas White Christmas Forecast Issued: 2010-12-04 22:11:00 Next Forecast: 2010-12-07 22:00:00 Synopsis Were almost within the beginning of the medium range of the forecast models. In about a week or twos time we shall hopefully have an idea of what goodies are showing up for the Big day itself. However longer range output is still throwing up a wide range of solutions however Scotland in particular has often fallen within the ride side of snow parameters. Medium range output currently takes us up to about the 20th December and the current trend is for the cold conditions of recently to continue and many chart updates would suggest this. Recent media has also suggested this. Right now, confidence is building slowly on a fairly cold Christmas day but other details such as precipitation and pressure wont be known until much nearer the time however if it is to be cold, then the most common set up would be possibly showery, especially near coasts in which these could be wintry. It could also be cold but dry across the country. In summary, an upgrade for most of the country as suggestions of a cold outlook become slowly more likely however other details remain very sketchy and will continue to do so for now. http://www.ukasf.co....dule-christmas/

Staying cold Snow showers at times http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101204

UK Outlook for Saturday 18 Dec 2010 to Saturday 1 Jan 2011: For the remainder of December and into the start of the New Year, temperatures look set to remain well below average for much of the UK, with often widespread frost and ice. Precipitation amounts are expected to be generally around average for many, with further snowfall a distinct possibility in some places. However, western parts of the UK may see more in the way of drier weather. Amounts of sunshine should be around or slightly above average for many. Updated: 1153 on Sat 4 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Dec 2010 to Saturday 18 Dec 2010: It is likely to start mainly dry over much of the UK, however sleet and snow showers will continue to affect parts of the north and east. Some parts of the northwest and west may become cloudier and less cold with outbreaks of rain for a time on Friday and through the weekend. Elsewhere, it should remain mainly dry, with sunny spells and overnight frost and freezing fog patches, although still with a risk of snow showers for northern and eastern UK. Towards the end of the second week, there is a risk of it turning more unsettled with sleet and snow becoming more widespread, especially in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures will continue well below average with widespread overnight frosts and freezing fog patches where winds fall light. Updated: 1152 on Sat 4 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Saturday 18 Dec 2010 to Saturday 1 Jan 2011: For the remainder of December and into the start of the New Year, temperatures look set to remain well below average for much of the UK, with often widespread frost and ice. Precipitation amounts are expected to be generally around average for many, with further snowfall a distinct possibility in some places. However, western parts of the UK may see more in the way of drier weather. Amounts of sunshine should be around or slightly above average for many. Updated: 1214 on Fri 3 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Wednesday 8 Dec 2010 to Friday 17 Dec 2010: A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south crossing most parts Wednesday into Thursday, with further accumulations of snow possible and a risk of gales over northern and eastern parts of the UK. The best of any brightness should be in central and southwestern parts. Snow showers are likely to persist in northern and eastern parts over the weekend, but elsewhere only occasional snow showers are expected with some western areas perhaps staying dry. Thereafter, it should become generally drier although still with a risk of snow for northern and eastern UK. Throughout, temperatures will generally remain below average and often cold. Widespread frost and freezing fog patches are expected by night, as well as a risk of widespread ice on untreated roads and surfaces. Updated: 1204 on Fri 3 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Friday 17 Dec 2010 to Friday 31 Dec 2010: The cold conditions are likely to continue. Precipitation amounts should be average or slightly below, with a risk of sleet and snow at times in many areas. Sunshine amounts are likely to be above average, although some southeastern parts may see more in the way of cloud. Temperatures are likely to continue below average, with widespread frosts, sometimes severe. However, some northwestern parts may be less cold at the start of the period, but still with the risk of further rain, sleet and snow. Updated: 1214 on Thu 2 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Tuesday 7 Dec 2010 to Thursday 16 Dec 2010: Many areas should be fine and bright at first on Tuesday (7th), but cloudier and windier conditions with outbreaks of rain, sleet or snow may affect the far south later on Tuesday into Wednesday. Early wintry showers over the far north are expected to become heavier and more extensive by Wednesday, and spread to eastern parts. Towards the end of the first week, northern and eastern parts of the UK are likely to see further wintry showers, with many other areas staying drier. Thereafter, it should become generally drier, but throughout, temperatures will generally remain below average and often cold. Widespread frost and freezing fog patches are expected by night, as well as a risk of widespread ice on untreated roads and surfaces. Updated: 1212 on Thu 2 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Remaining cold and wintry More settled next week http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101202

40% Chance of a white Christmas White Christmas Forecast Issued: 2010-12-01 20:54:00 Next Forecast: 2010-12-04 22:00:00 Synopsis Little change from the previous forecasts overall with a mix of colder and milder model outputs. The trend lately in the immediate future is for the cold to continue with milder weather being downgraded. Whether this trend continues we dont know but if it does, a cold Christmas day is possible with somewhere likely to recieve something wintry at the least. Its possible that milder weather will move in too, giving rain or showers. This is likely closes to the South and West. The North East will be coldest and at most risk of anything wintry. Higher ground has a good risk at this moment in time. Precipitation will all depend on what sort of pressure we have. Current prediction is for pressure not especially high or especially low so nothing dry or too wet thus a showery set up perhaps, with the greatest precip around coasts. http://www.ukasf.co....dule-christmas/ And looking at 2days cfs look not to bad

UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Dec 2010 to Thursday 30 Dec 2010: The cold conditions are likely to continue. Precipitation amounts should be average or slightly below, with a risk of sleet and snow at times in many areas. Sunshine amounts are likely to be above average, although some southeastern parts may see more in the way of cloud. Temperatures are likely to continue below average, with widespread frosts, sometimes severe. However, some western and southern parts may be less cold at the start of the period in particular, but still with the risk of further rain, sleet and snow. Updated: 1222 on Wed 1 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Monday 6 Dec 2010 to Wednesday 15 Dec 2010: During the early part of next week conditions will remain generally cold. Northern areas will see some wintry showers at times but also spells of fine weather. Windier conditions with more persistent rain, perhaps falling as sleet, snow or freezing rain for a time, are expected to affect some southern regions. Temperatures in the far south of the UK may then also briefly return to near normal values. Southern parts are expected to become less windy and more settled with spells of fine weather later next week, whilst the threat of wintry showers persists in northern and some eastern areas through the rest of next week and into the following week. Temperatures will generally remain below average and often cold throughout, widespread frost and freezing fog patches expected by night. Updated: 1221 on Wed 1 Dec 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Briefly mild in far south Cold weather returns again http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101201

Not Looking so good on the cfs Today

just want to add there maps thank to weather online for xmas day from cfs http://weatheronline.co.uk/

UK Outlook for Wednesday 15 Dec 2010 to Wednesday 29 Dec 2010: The cold conditions are likely to continue. Precipitation amounts should be average or slightly below, with a risk of sleet and snow at times in many areas. Sunshine amounts are likely to be above average, although some southeastern parts may see more in the way of cloud. Temperatures are likely to continue below average, with widespread frosts, sometimes severe. However, some western and southern parts may be less cold at the start of the period in particular, but still with the risk of further rain, sleet and snow. Updated: 1318 on Tue 30 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Sunday 5 Dec 2010 to Tuesday 14 Dec 2010: Remaining cold in the north at first, often dry and bright but with wintry showers at times. It will turn windy in the southwest with rain, turning to sleet and snow, spreading erratically northeastwards into central parts of the UK. The snow may be heavy at times, especially from the Midlands northwards and also over high ground. This is likely to give further accumulations with blizzards possible at times. Towards the end of next week, outbreaks of rain sleet and snow are likely to clear away and be replaced by sunnier spells with occasional wintry showers. It is likely to be rather cold with overnight frosts. Perhaps become drier by the end of the forecast period. Updated: 1318 on Tue 30 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Widespread snow risk? Briefly less cold south http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101130

Sorry for putting this update up Late 40% Chance of a white Christmas White Christmas Forecast Issued: 2010-11-28 22:42:00 Next Forecast: 2010-12-01 22:00:00 Synopsis A slight downgrade of risks on this update though nothing too significant. Long range model output continues to chop and change, perhaps with a trend towards milder weather on the big day recently. The actual weather on the day may depend on how the current cold spell lasts. If it does go soon, we may see a milder pattern for a while or colder weather very close and frequently returning. Dont forget many long range forecasts point towards a cold December. Based on the latest trend we currently expect a cool day with some showers or possibly longer spells of precipitation. This could be wintry especially in the North and East and on higher ground. Lower ground could be too mild for any wintry conditions. In summary, still lots of changes occurring and a long way to go in weather terms. http://www.ukasf.co....dule-christmas/

seen some lightning and head some thunder about 9.15 this evening

been updated UK Outlook for Saturday 4 Dec 2010 to Monday 13 Dec 2010: Remaining cold at first in the north with further wintry showers, but turning windy in the southwest with rain and sleet spreading erratically northeastwards into central parts of the UK, here turning to snow to give further accumulations, especially over the hills. Temperatures should return to normal in the south, but will remain cold in the north. Into the new week, the wind and rain in the south will eventually clear southeastwards allowing the cold air to return from the north to much of the country, along with wintry showers. An increasing risk of frost and ice returning to the south again, and also further snow accumulations in the north and over hills. Perhaps becoming drier and slightly warmer from southwest towards the end of the week. Updated: 1217 on Mon 29 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Monday 13 Dec 2010 to Monday 27 Dec 2010: The cold conditions are likely to continue. Precipitation amounts should be average or slightly below, with a risk of sleet and snow at times in many areas. Sunshine amounts are likely to be above average, although some southeastern parts may see more in the way of cloud. Temperatures are likely to continue below average, with widespread frosts, sometimes severe. However, some western and southern parts may be less cold at the start of the period in particular, but still with the risk of further rain, sleet and snow. Updated: 1206 on Mon 29 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Saturday 4 Dec 2010 to Monday 13 Dec 2010: Remaining very cold with further snow showers or longer spells of snow likely almost anywhere across the UK. Eastern and southeastern parts are most at risk of snow at first, but a brief settled period is likely over the first weekend for most, although further heavy snow is possible in southeast England. It will be cold with widespread overnight frosts, some freezing fog and very cold inland. Most inland areas should remain dry with some winter sunshine. Into next week, it will remain very cold for many with further snow showers likely around some coastal areas, and widespread overnight frosts. There is also a chance that more persistent rain, sleet and snow may spread into the southern half of the UK for a time, consequently becoming slightly less cold here. Updated: 1142 on Mon 29 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

no thundersnow here :lol:

Summary Winter arrives, but when will it leave? Last week's prediction of a classic cold snap certainly came true, with snow piling up across the northeastern parts of the UK and new November lowest temperature records being set in Wales and Northern Ireland. The only real question for this outlook is how long the wintry weather can hold out against milder air moving in from the west. Unfortunately, that's the most difficult question to answer. Monday 29 November 2010 to Sunday 5 December 2010 Snow becomes more widespread Snow cover is likely to be more widespread by the end of the week. This means that once the biting easterly winds die down by the weekend, overnight temperatures are likely to fall to exceptionally low levels once again under clearing skies. Still, the more settled weather over the weekend should mean plenty of opportunity to play in the snow, and for the road and rail crews to catch up. Monday 6 December 2010 to Sunday 12 December 2010 A wintry mix looks likely Into the new week, it will remain very cold for many with further snow showers likely, especially around some coastal areas, and widespread overnight frosts. There is a chance that more persistent rain, sleet and snow may try to spread into the southern half of the UK for a time, making it slightly less cold here. Monday 13 December 2010 to Sunday 26 December 2010 Through to Christmas Confidence becomes much lower as we look further ahead into the Christmas week. There is a signal that the severity of the cold spell will ease, although with temperatures still a little below normal. This suggests there is still scope for some snow and frost, but it may be more marginal. Next week This cold weather is likely to keep us guessing, especially in the run-up to Christmas, so come back for an update next week. http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/10209