Stuart

UK Outlook for Saturday 20 Nov 2010 to Monday 29 Nov 2010: The south and east will be unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times, this weekend. Some northeastern parts may have hill snow. Elsewhere will be drier and brighter. Windy, especially in the southwest where there is a risk of gales at first. Temperatures normal in the far south but rather cold further north. The first part of next week will be unsettled with further rain or showers, especially in the south, east and northeast. Brighter weather at times in the west. Some hill snow, and perhaps snow to lower levels in the northeast later. Feeling cold next week, temperatures below average. The cold and often unsettled theme then continues through the rest of the period with an increasing risk of snow to the north and east. Updated: 1138 on Mon 15 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

From no wind to a cold, strong, nagging wind The analysis of the pressure pattern on Remembrance Sunday showed four centres of low pressure within one large area. And one isobar. In other words no wind but lots of potential for showers. The strong signal from models of the virtual earth over the next three weeks is high pressure over Scandinavia becoming dominant, leaving us in a cold and persistent easterly wind. Monday 15 November 2010 to Sunday 21 November 2010 One of little lows grows up The start of the week with oft clear skies and long nights will be both frosty and foggy. Midweek should see the deepening of a low pressure centre somewhere to our west, eventually resulting in a strong southerly quarter wind (i.e. wind from between the southwest and the southeast) and slow moving rainbands. The rain may never reach the east of the UK as the Scandinavian anticyclone builds to prevent such progress. Looks like a cold week, at first due to lingering fog and early frost, later through strengthening winds. On a positive note, Northern Ireland and Scotland are forecast to have more sunshine than normal and a drier than average week. Monday 22 November 2010 to Sunday 28 November 2010 Depression in France, the opposite in Sweden With moderate confidence, this forecast generates a continuous easterly wind because of the mountain of air over Scandinavia and the hole in the atmosphere over western Europe. That is, of course, a simplification but the top of the atmosphere really would look like that if you could see it and the wind really is that air trying to fall from the mountain to the valley and being diverted by the spin of the earth. The result is a cold week with windchill although the wind is not strong and night frosts will form: Showers in the east, drier and sunnier than average in the west. Monday 29 November 2010 to Sunday 12 December 2010 The Swedish mountain moves The anticyclonic mountain of air looks likely to drift a little further west. The wind remains an easterly as a result but isn't indicated as too strong. Again night frost and fog, especially in western UK, are possible. Temperatures are likely to be below average along with deficient rainfall, except maybe along North Sea coasts. Again the positive is in the likely very sunny weather to the west of high ground, unless you are stuck in the fog. Next week Well as it will be well into Christmas shopping time, it's bound to be cold, sometimes wet and possibly windy http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/10209

Forecast headline Our seventh Christmas 2010 forecast update suggests an increased chance of snow falling on Christmas day across Britain. Chances overall are now higher than average. At the time of issue the medium range forecasts are suggesting a cold pattern which can take a long time to break down. The probability is that even if it becomes established in late November, it will break down during the first half of December, however, cold air is likely to remain close to Britain, bringing an increased risk of snow during the Xmas period. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 35% - 40% (risk increases to 40% further east) South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20% - 35% (risk increases to 35% further east) Forecast issued Update 1, 01/09/2010 Update 2, 06/09/2010 Update 3, 20/09/2010 Update 4, 03/10/2010 Update 5, 24/10/2010 Update 6, 07/11/2010 Update 7, 14/11/2010 http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/Christmas%202010%20weather%20forecast.aspx

Sould good paul

Nice to see the CFS still looking good

UK Outlook for Monday 29 Nov 2010 to Monday 13 Dec 2010: Remaining generally settled and cold across much of the UK, with precipitation amounts mostly below average. Northeasterly winds could bring wintry showers into eastern and northern areas at times, and it will be generally cloudier in the east with the best of any breaks to the west of high ground. Temperatures are likely to be below average across much of the country, with overnight frosts. Updated: 1139 on Sun 14 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Friday 19 Nov 2010 to Sunday 28 Nov 2010: Unsettled across southern parts of the UK to start, with outbreaks of rain and strong winds at times. More settled in the north, but with showers at times, these wintry over the hills. Into the new week northeasterly winds will become prevalent. This will lead to a downward trend in temperatures across the UK with overnight frosts becoming more frequent and northern parts in particular becoming cold. Showers are likely at times, particularly across northern and eastern parts. These will be wintry over high ground, especially in the north, with an increasing chance of some snow to lower levels too. Best of any drier and brighter weather likely across southern and western parts of the UK. Updated: 1139 on Sun 14 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Fog and frost Rain and showers too http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101114

UK Outlook for Sunday 28 Nov 2010 to Sunday 12 Dec 2010: Remaining generally settled and cold across much of the UK, with precipitation amounts mostly below average. Northeasterly winds could bring wintry showers into eastern and northern areas at times, and it will be generally cloudier in the east with the best of any breaks to the west of high ground. Temperatures are likely to be below average across much of the country, with overnight frosts. Updated: 1215 on Sat 13 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Thursday 18 Nov 2010 to Saturday 27 Nov 2010: Many regions will be unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain for much of the ten day period. During the first few days western and southwestern parts can expect the worst of the unsettled weather with a risk of gales in the exposed far southwest. There is also a risk of gales in far northeastern parts. Conditions are expected to gradually turn less unsettled towards the end of the forecast period, especially in the North and West. Often feeling cold, temperatures generally below the mid to late November average throughout, and tending to turn even colder later with an increasing risk of frost. Some hill snow also likely during the period, mainly in the north, and as temperatures drop later some wintry weather may develop in other areas. Updated: 1214 on Sat 13 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Settling down? Rain and cloud at first http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101113

And for Today

the ensemble stuck on 0z run from this morning paul think it need a kick

UK Outlook for Saturday 27 Nov 2010 to Saturday 11 Dec 2010: Remaining generally settled and cold across much of the UK, with precipitation amounts mostly below average. Northeasterly winds could bring wintry showers into eastern and northern areas at times, and it will be generally cloudier in the east with the best of any breaks to the west of high ground. Temperatures are likely to be below average across much of the country, with overnight frosts. Updated: 1212 on Fri 12 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Wednesday 17 Nov 2010 to Friday 26 Nov 2010: Mostly dry in the east, but showers or longer spells of rain affecting western and southern parts at first, with some snow over the hills. It will also be windy at first with any risk of gales in parts of the west. Temperatures below normal and feeling cold in the wind. Generally unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain and some hill snow into the following weekend, with the driest weather in the northwest, but then becoming generally drier for most parts thereafter. Feeling cold as winds become more easterly and brisk at times. Where winds fall light, there will be a risk of mist or fog patches developing, and frost becoming more widespread during overnight periods. Updated: 1208 on Fri 12 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Frosty later? Rain and showers too http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101112

UK Outlook for Friday 26 Nov 2010 to Friday 10 Dec 2010: Remaining generally settled, but cold across much of the UK. Precipitation should be mostly below average, with the driest and brightest weather expected in the west. Northeasterly winds could bring wintry showers into eastern areas at times. Temperatures are likely to be below average across much of the country, with a risk of overnight frosts. Updated: 1153 on Thu 11 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Tuesday 16 Nov 2010 to Thursday 25 Nov 2010: Generally rather cloudy at first with some brightness, this mainly in the east of the UK. Rain is expected in northern and western parts of the UK at first, with strong southerly winds. This rain may spread further southeast at times but will tend to become less persistent. The far southeast of England should remain largely dry. From Friday (19th), conditions look like turning drier with some sunshine in many places, although outbreaks of rain may occasionally reach far western and southern parts of the UK. Mostly cold as winds become more easterly and brisk at times. Where winds fall light, there will be a risk of mist or fog patches developing, and frost becoming more widespread during overnight periods. Updated: 1151 on Thu 11 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

40% Chance of a white Christmas White Christmas Forecast Issued: 2010-11-10 23:03:00 Next Forecast: 2010-11-15 22:00:00 Synopsis gain, a continuation in the range of output from the long range models. Each day has shown something different recently however overall, a favour towards colder than average conditions seems likely. Cold enough air for something wintry, even if just over high ground seems quite possible on Christmas day. The direction of the flow would seem most likely to be from the North West to East and therefore showers, perhaps widespread is likely. Showers would be most frequent towards the coast and should air be cold enough, something wintry cant be ruled out. Overall a mostly cloudy day with showers, perhaps widespread and possibly merging to give longer spells of precipitation. A good chance at this moment in time for cold enough air to deliver something wintry somewhere in the UK (perhaps for numerous places). http://www.ukasf.co.uk/module-christmas/

UK Outlook for Thursday 25 Nov 2010 to Thursday 9 Dec 2010: There is a trend for slightly more settled, but colder weather to become established across much of the UK. Precipitation should be mostly below average, especially in the west, with the driest and brightest weather expected here. Northeasterly winds could bring wintry showers into eastern areas at times. Temperatures are likely to be below average across much of the country, with an increased risk of overnight frosts. Updated: 1154 on Wed 10 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Monday 15 Nov 2010 to Wednesday 24 Nov 2010: It is likely to stay unsettled and windy with showers or longer spells of rain for most of the UK. The rain most persistent and heavy across northwestern parts at first, then elsewhere during the course of the first week. Occasional snow is likely over the higher ground of Scotland and perhaps Northern England. Drier and brighter interludes can also be expected, these most likely in the south and east. Later in the period there is a chance of drier and more settled weather in the south of the UK, but elsewhere it is likely to remain unsettled and cold with showers, still wintry in the north. Temperatures generally near or below average across the UK, with a risk of overnight frost on most nights under any clear skies. Updated: 1149 on Wed 10 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Hints of an improvement But generally unsettled http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101110

When is the winter area comeing out paul have it got a date set it

UK Outlook for Wednesday 24 Nov 2010 to Wednesday 8 Dec 2010: There is a trend for more settled, but colder weather to become established across much of the UK. Rainfall should be mostly below average, especially in the west. Easterly winds could bring wintry showers to some parts, particularly to the east coast. Temperatures are likely to be below average with an increased risk of frost overnight. Updated: 1219 on Tue 9 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Sunday 14 Nov 2010 to Tuesday 23 Nov 2010: Much of the period is likely to remain relatively unsettled with showers or longer periods of rain. More persistent rain likely across northwestern parts where it is also likely to be heavy, particularly across west facing hills. Some of the rain is also likely to turn to snow over the higher ground of the north. Between any rain will be some drier and brighter interludes, with these most likely in the southeast. Towards the end of the period there is an increasing chance of more settled weather in the south of the UK, although the north is likely to remain unsettled. Windy throughout, with gales at times. Temperatures starting around average, but with an increasing trend towards lower temperatures, with a higher risk of overnight frost, particularly in the north. Updated: 1139 on Tue 9 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html