Stuart

Heavy rain ahead Staying windy http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20101109

Christmas 2010: Snow risk above average Forecast headline Our sixth Christmas 2010 forecast update suggests a slightly increased chance of snow falling on Christmas day across Britain. Chances overall are now higher than average. At the moment we think the most likely outcome is for rather cold and unsettled spell of weather during the Christmas holiday, with an increasing risk of sleet or snow further north and over higher ground. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 25% - 35% (risk increases to 30% further north) South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 15% - 25% (risk increases to 25% further east) Forecast issued Update 1, 01/09/2010 Update 2, 06/09/2010 Update 3, 20/09/2010 Update 4, 03/10/2010 Update 5, 24/10/2010 Update 6, 07/11/2010 http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/Christmas%202010%20weather%20forecast.aspx

UK Outlook for Tuesday 23 Nov 2010 to Tuesday 7 Dec 2010: The trend is for generally brighter, more settled weather to spread across the UK during this period at the end of November and the start of December. Although rainfall may be somewhat above average in central and southern parts at first, it is likely to become near or below average everywhere during the first week of the period. With clear skies and winds perhaps lighter than normal, it looks as though temperatures will be often below average. There is also likely to be less sunshine than usual for many parts of the UK later in the period, the best of the brighter weather in northern areas. Updated: 1153 on Mon 8 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Saturday 13 Nov 2010 to Monday 22 Nov 2010: Remaining predominantly unsettled and windy with showers or longer spells of rain, which are expected to be heavy at times. For Saturday and Sunday, some persistent, occasionally heavy rain is expected across southern UK and parts of the west and northwest, with some eastern and northeastern parts tending to be drier. Some wintry showers over northern hills at times too. Thereafter, staying largely unsettled, with the east and northeast likely to see the best weather. It will be generally windy throughout. Temperatures start near or just below normal, especially in the north where overnight frosts are likely, and then recover to nearer normal, with some milder interludes in the south. Later in the period there is a trend towards drier, brighter but possibly colder conditions with an increasing frost risk. Updated: 1151 on Mon 8 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Summary A stormy start but a settled end It looks more like October for the next week or two: Deep depressions with strong winds and much rain. The expected anticyclonic, cold, fog and damp of November is more likely just before the month is out. Monday 8 November 2010 to Sunday 14 November 2010 Stormy large depressions Hill snow - several centimetres in the Grampian Mountains. Severe gales - 70+mph gusts in the Western Isles. Heavy rain - 30mm in Cumbria. These are conditions more reminiscent of the end of the hurricane season when we get obviously violent conditions. Apart from ex-hurricane Tomas, whose various parts might be included in the end of the week's low, there is no tropical air in these babies. There is also a visit to the cold easterlies on Tuesday as a precursor to what in January or February would be the coldest of weather. Even now it's raw. Monday 15 November 2010 to Sunday 21 November 2010 Less stormy, less large depressions You'll still hear he word "unsettled" in the broadcasts and it'll be more often windy than still and frosty. There is an indication of further snow on northern hills and conversely warming weather in southern Britain. This might be explained by smaller depressions running across the north of the UK whilst dragging a southwesterly airflow across the south. The week will probably end with the thought of frost and fog. Monday 22 November 2010 to Sunday 5 December 2010 Colder and clearer Early rain in the south is indicated, then the weather dries up. This time it's probably a spell of high pressure building in cold air. This is pointed to by the trend in computer models to below average temperatures, thus night frosts and below average rainfall from the end of week 3. During week 4, below average sunshine is suggested in southern UK. This is a possible indication of anticyclonic gloom again. Most likely cloud from the North Sea trapped under the high pressure dome. Typical of November but this is now December! Next week So far the year has not followed the average - why should December? http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/10209

UK Outlook for Monday 22 Nov 2010 to Monday 6 Dec 2010: The trend is for generally more settled weather to spread across the UK during this period at the end of November and the start of December. Although rainfall may be somewhat above average in central and southern parts at first, it is likely to become near or below average everywhere during the first week of the period. With clear skies and winds perhaps lighter than normal, it looks as though temperatures will be often below average. There is also likely to be less sunshine than usual for many parts of the UK later in the period, the best of the brighter weather in northern areas. Updated: 1241 on Sun 7 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Friday 12 Nov 2010 to Sunday 21 Nov 2010: Remaining predominantly unsettled and windy with showers or longer spells of rain, which are expected to be heavy at times. For Friday and Saturday, the heaviest rain is expected in western and north-western parts of the UK, with some eastern and northeastern parts remaining generally dry. Some of this precipitation may turn to snow over northern hills. Thereafter, staying unsettled, with any drier weather most likely in the south and east. It will be generally windy throughout, especially when low pressure systems pass close to the UK. Temperatures start near or just below normal, especially in the north where overnight frosts are likely, and then recover to nearer normal, with some milder interludes in the south. Later in the period there is an increasing trend towards drier, colder conditions. Updated: 1241 on Sun 7 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

let see lol

40% Chance of a white Christmas White Christmas Forecast Issued: 2010-11-06 23:23:00 Next Forecast: 2010-11-10 22:00:00 Synopsis This update brings a slightly higher risk of snow for the big day across the United Kingdom. Longer range charts continue throw a mix of milder and colder options so certainly nothing specific is being suggested right now. However there currently seems a good confidence that cold enough air will be present across the North at least or not too far which may allow for some wintry conditions, especially on high ground. Inland areas are likely to be the driest with sunny spells possible. Coastal areas more prone to showers and longer periods of precipitation. A cool or even cold day seems likely. The chance of any very mild weather at the moment seems very unlikely. http://www.ukasf.co....dule-christmas/

UK Outlook for Sunday 21 Nov 2010 to Sunday 5 Dec 2010: The trend is for generally more settled weather to spread across the UK during this period at the end of November and the start of December. Although rainfall may be somewhat above average in central and southern parts at first, it is likely to become near or below average everywhere during the first week of the period. With clear skies and winds perhaps lighter than normal, it looks as though temperatures will be often below average. There is also likely to be less sunshine than usual for many parts of the UK later in the period, the best of the brighter weather in northern areas. Updated: 1144 on Sat 6 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Thursday 11 Nov 2010 to Saturday 20 Nov 2010: Rain will spread from the west during Thursday with some hill snow possible in Scotland. Further rain and showers affecting most parts during Friday then remaining unsettled into next weekend with rain or showers in most areas again but with some drier and clearer spells between. Some of this precipitation may turn to snow over northern hills. Staying unsettled the following week with any drier weather most likely in the south and east. It will be generally windy throughout, especially as low pressure systems pass close to the UK. Temperatures start cold, especially in the north, and then recover to nearer normal. Later in the period there is an increasing tendency towards night frosts and the south could feel mild in any sunshine. Updated: 1144 on Sat 6 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Saturday 20 Nov 2010 to Saturday 4 Dec 2010: The trend is for generally more settled weather to spread across the UK during this period at the end of November and the start of December. Although rainfall may be somewhat above average in central and southern parts at first, it is likely to become near or below average everywhere during the first week of the period. With clear skies and winds perhaps lighter than normal, it looks as though temperatures will be often below average. There is also likely to be less sunshine than usual for many parts of the UK later in the period, the best of the brighter weather in northern areas. Updated: 1208 on Fri 5 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Wednesday 10 Nov 2010 to Friday 19 Nov 2010: Cold northerly winds will bring sunny spells with some showers on Wednesday, especially over eastern areas and probably turning wintry on hills in the north. Rain then spreads from the west later on Thursday with some hill snow possible in Scotland. During next weekend low pressure systems will move east bringing rain or showers, especially over northwestern UK, but with some drier and clearer spells between. The start of the following week is likely to see a brief interlude of drier weather before a return to rain and showers from the west. It will be generally windy throughout, especially as low pressure systems pass close to the UK. Temperatures start cold, especially in the north, and then recover to nearer normal later in the period, especially in the south. Updated: 1158 on Fri 5 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Cold and windy Rain and showers http://www.weatheron...ad&DAY=20101105

UK Outlook for Friday 19 Nov 2010 to Friday 3 Dec 2010: The last two weeks of November and the beginning of December are expected to begin generally wet and windy at times across the UK. However it is likely to become drier towards the end of the month, with some parts of the UK seeing below average rainfall especially for southern areas. Temperatures may begin slightly above average with the wet and windy weather but then become slightly cooler as it dries up. Updated: 1141 on Thu 4 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Tuesday 9 Nov 2010 to Thursday 18 Nov 2010: Sunshine and showers for most of the UK on Tuesday, then the unsettled theme is set to continue through to the end of the outlook period. Showers and longer spells of rain are likely with the rain prolonged and heavy at times. Mountain snow is also likely over the high ground in Scotland. Some dry and bright interludes are likely in between the rain, especially in the south and east towards the end of next week. Winds are likely to be strong at times with the risk of gales, these often being limited to exposed areas but perhaps isolated cases of severe gales in the northwest. Temperatures are expected to be near to normal but it will feel cold in the wind and rain. Updated: 1141 on Thu 4 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Often wet and windy Rain and gales http://www.weatheron...ad&DAY=20101104

UK Outlook for Thursday 18 Nov 2010 to Thursday 2 Dec 2010: The last two weeks of November and the beginning of December are expected to begin wet and windy across the UK. However it is likely to become drier towards the end of the month, with some parts of the UK seeing below average rainfall especially for southern areas. Temperatures may begin slightly above average but then become closer to the average later in the period. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Monday 8 Nov 2010 to Wednesday 17 Nov 2010: Heavy rain spreading to all areas on Monday with gales for many, particularly in western parts and a snow risk for northeastern areas. Showery conditions follow, still with a risk of snow on high ground in northern areas. The unsettled spell continues thereafter with showers or longer spells of rain, the rain being heavy at times especially in northwestern parts. Occasional drier interludes are also possible with the best of any sunshine likely in the south and east. Winds are likely to be strong at times with the risk of gales, these often being limited to exposed areas, the west being most at risk. Temperatures are expected to be lower than normal at first, with a risk of frost under clear skies, but near normal from later next week. Updated: 1212 on Wed 3 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Wednesday 17 Nov 2010 to Wednesday 1 Dec 2010: The last two weeks of November are expected to begin wet and windy across the UK. However it is likely to become drier towards the end of the month, with some parts of the UK seeing below average rainfall especially the east of England and the southwest of the UK. Temperatures are expected to begin slightly above average but then become closer to the average later in the period. Updated: 1149 on Tue 2 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

UK Outlook for Sunday 7 Nov 2010 to Tuesday 16 Nov 2010: Remaining unsettled with outbreaks of rain or showers at times. These will be occasionally heavy, particularly across western upslopes. This rain is likely to turn to snow over the higher hills of Scotland. The best of any drier weather is likely towards the south and east of the UK, where there are likely to be some sunny spells at times. Winds are likely to be strong at times, especially at first, with gales along the coasts. Temperatures will generally return to average or perhaps slightly below average in the case of the far north of the UK and it is likely to feel chilly compared to recent days. Risk of overnight frosts across the country, particularly across the north of the UK. Updated: 1147 on Tue 2 Nov 2010 http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Going to cross my fingers Today Agan

Great news Paul

Storm Forecast Issued: 2010-11-01 22:15:00 Valid: 2010-11-02 00:00:00 - 2010-11-02 23:59:00 Regions Affected W & SW Scotland (Scotland, N England, N Wales, Northern Ireland, W, N + E Ireland are included in the WATCH) Synopsis A deep area of Low pressure "Yentl" (FU Berlin) over Iceland will dominate the weather across the United Kingdom on Tuesday. A Pm airmass is advected southwards across the country as a cold front clears the far SE around dawn. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are forecast to affect the western side of Scotland and the Northern Isles during the day. Given the airmass, hail is likely in many of the showers, perhaps locally moderate in size across the Northern Isles. There exists a risk of a weak tornado developing. Showers will persist into the night period over the same areas, whilst further south a frontal feature moves eastwards across central U.K.. http://www.ukasf.co.uk/module-Storm/mode-forecast/id-358/

well i still got my hopes up still