Stuart

UK Outlook for Wednesday 26 Nov 2014 to Friday 5 Dec 2014: High pressure and settled conditions over the northeast will decline through Wednesday as unsettled weather across the south and southwest extends northwards. There will be spells of rain in the south and associated strengthening winds. Northeastern areas are most likely to see the best of any drier and brighter weather, with the risk of overnight frost and fog under clear spells. The unsettled conditions are likely to spread to all parts from Thursday onwards, with the heaviest rain and strongest winds most likely to affect western areas. Eastern areas are likely to see the best of any drier interludes. Temperatures will mostly be around normal for the time of year, with some chilly starts and occasional overnight frost. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 4 Dec 2014 to Thursday 18 Dec 2014: The most likely scenario is for a continuation of a mobile westerly flow bringing unsettled and windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around or a little above average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning mist or fog in places, and some patchy frost too - this will be more likely across northern areas where there is also a chance of some snow on higher ground. Issued at: 1600 on Wed 19 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 24 Nov 2014 to Wednesday 3 Dec 2014: During Monday high pressure will probably become centred over England bringing sunny spells, but also an increased risk of fog and frost. A band of rain will probably move towards the northwest with winds increasing here. On Tuesday, though, high pressure gradually declines, and unsettled weather is likely to return over western parts with spells of rain, perhaps with local gales over northwestern parts. Eastern parts are most likely to see the best of any drier and brighter weather, with the risk of frost continuing here. From Thursday onwards, conditions probably becoming unsettled and windier across the UK, with outbreaks of rain, and clearer, showery interludes. Temperatures will mostly be around or just below normal for the time of year, with a chance of frost and fog overnight at first. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

Monthly Outlook Summary What does the next month look like? The past week has been one of transition. Initially wet and windy with Atlantic low pressure systems swinging in from the west; but ending with a drier easterly theme - rather cloudy with a lot of overnight mist and fog which, being mid-November, has been stubborn to clear. So, it is with an easterly wind that we start next week - the question is though, how long will this last? Monday 17 November—Sunday 23 November A much drier week ahead We start the coming week with an area of low pressure easing away to the south of the UK bringing in an easterly wind on its northern flank allowing high pressure to gradually build in. Monday is set to see a weakening area of rain bring wet weather and cloudy skies to many; however, it will weaken throughout the day meaning that by the time Tuesday arrives it will turn drier although it will remain fairly cloudy. Wednesday sees the arrival of a weather front into the west of the UK, it never makes it very far though as it is running into high pressure. By Thursday the weather front has become stranded over western areas bringing nothing more than cloudier skies and patches of drizzly rain and that's how we end the week - rather cloudy but mostly dry. Monday 24 November—Sunday 30 November Another fairly settled week The following week at this stage is looking fairly settled with an easterly/southeasterly wind keeping conditions predominantly dry but often fairly cloudy. Later in the period it is likely that areas of rain and stronger winds will try and push into western areas bringing some wet weather here, though the progress of these weather fronts further east will be erratic and uncertain as they run in to easterly winds therefore the lion's share of the brightness and dry weather looks to be found in eastern areas of England and Scotland. Monday 1 December—Sunday 14 December Turning more unsettled from the west The transition to a more mobile westerly pattern with areas of low pressure pushing in from the Atlantic is always a slow and uncertain process; however, as we move into the last month of 2014 it does look like western areas of the UK will start to see increasingly wet weather. These bands of rain may at times push all the way over to the east coast of England and Scotland; however, it is here where we are likely to see the driest and brightest weather. In the quieter spells of weather, cooler spells are likely with some overnight fog and frost, at the moment though, there is no strong signal for the temperatures to dip below where they should be for this time of year. Next week Looking further ahead into December will we start to see a dip in the temperatures? http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

UK Outlook for Monday 1 Dec 2014 to Monday 15 Dec 2014: At the start of the period the most likely scenario is for a continuation of unsettled weather to affect western parts of the UK. Spells of rain are likely further east at times too but the best of the dry weather is expected here. As we head through the first week of December there are signs that rainfall amounts should become nearer normal. There is currently no signal for temperatures to become lower than average but instead stay around normal for many, perhaps slightly above, especially across southern Britain. Of course, a few rather colder spells are likely during any quieter periods of weather, with a chance of overnight mist and fog in places, and patchy frost - this may be more likely across northern areas. Issued at: 1600 on Sun 16 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 21 Nov 2014 to Sunday 30 Nov 2014: It will be generally cloudy on Friday, perhaps with some outbreaks of rain in the north and west, where it will become breezy. The best of any of any drier, brighter spells will be in the southeast. During the weekend, many parts will stay rather unsettled with showers or more persistent rain. Western parts of the UK are most likely to see the heavier spells of rain and strongest winds, with the rain maybe spreading eastwards at times. Into the following week, more settled conditions are possible, especially in central and eastern parts, before unsettled weather tries to move in from the west again later. Temperatures mostly around average, but a temporary increase in frost risk after the weekend. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says The eleventh makes no change to the chances of snow falling on Christmas day in the south and the north of the UK. There are signs of the westerly flow weakening during the second half of November as pressure remains high over the continent. In the shorter term this could bring further mild weather from the south, but if there is a tendency for a more blocked pattern to last into December the chances of colder snaps may increase as we approach the Xmas period. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 22% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 17% Forecast issued Update 11, 15/11/2014 The computer says [issued 15/11/2014 15:02:44]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. Snow is expected in Wales Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Midlands It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north. Snow is expected in Scotland It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland. Snow is expected in the Netherlands http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 30 Nov 2014 to Sunday 14 Dec 2014: At the start of the period the most likely scenario is for a continuation of unsettled weather to affect western parts of the UK, where rainfall may well be above average. Spells of rain are likely further east at times too but the best of the dry weather is expected here. As we head into December there are signs that rainfall amounts should become nearer normal. There is currently no signal for temperatures to become lower than average but instead stay around normal for many, perhaps slightly above, especially across southern Britain. Of course, a few rather colder spells are likely during any quieter periods of weather, with a chance of overnight mist and fog in places, and patchy frost - this may be more likely across northern areas. Issued at: 1600 on Sat 15 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 20 Nov 2014 to Saturday 29 Nov 2014: Rain lingering across northern Britain on Thursday. Starting largely dry and cloudy elsewhere, although rain, locally heavy, spreading across some southern and central areas later. Remaining generally cloudy on Friday with further outbreaks of locally heavy rain, particularly in the north and west, with possible gales in western exposed parts. Best of any drier, brighter spells in the east. During the weekend, many parts staying unsettled with showers or more persistent rain. Western parts of the UK are most likely to see the heavier spells of rain and strongest winds. Into the following week, more settled conditions are possible at first, especially in central and eastern parts, before unsettled weather moves in from the west later. Temperatures mostly around average, but a temporary increase in frost risk after the weekend. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 27 Nov 2014 to Thursday 11 Dec 2014: It is likely that a westerly flow will prevail through the end of November and the beginning of December bringing further unsettled weather to the UK. It is possible that rainfall amounts will be little above average for the time of year, especially for west or northwestern parts of the UK. In line with this unsettled weather it also looks likely that temperatures will remain near or a little above average. Some brighter days are still likely at times and there is still a chance of patchy overnight frost and fog during any of these quieter spells of weather. Towards the end of the period there indications the weather should turn a little less unsettled with conditions fairly normal for the time of year with around average temperatures. Issued at: 1600 on Wed 12 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 17 Nov 2014 to Wednesday 26 Nov 2014: Largely unsettled conditions are set to prevail through the period. For Monday next week, the showers and longer spells of rain should mainly affect northern, and some southern, areas. Central parts should see more in the way of generally dry weather. More showers or longer spells of rain are likely on Tuesday, with no strong indication for where the wettest weather will be. Through the rest of the period it is set to remain unsettled with further spells of rain or showers across many parts, but there will be some drier and brighter/clearer conditions. The winds will be strong at times with a low risk of gales, especially in the north, whilst temperatures should remain generally around normal. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 24 Nov 2014 to Monday 8 Dec 2014: Current indications show that low pressure is likely to be located to the west of the UK, and as such the most likely scenario is for unsettled weather to continue in most places as we head into December. Rainfall amounts may well be a little above average, more especially in west or northwestern parts of the UK, and temperatures look as though they will remain near or slightly above average. However, some brighter days are still likely and there is still a chance of overnight frost and fog, albeit it patchy, during any of these quieter spells of weather. Issued at: 1600 on Sun 09 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 14 Nov 2014 to Sunday 23 Nov 2014: Unsettled with some clearer or sunnier spells and blustery showers at first, these most frequent and heaviest in the west and southwest of the UK. Bands of more persistent rain may spread in from the west at times but eastern parts should see the driest interludes. Windy, with gales possible in places, and temperatures mainly near normal. Into the following week, there are indications of a gradual trend for heavier and more persistent spells of rain to affect eastern Britain. Some drier weather is possible too, perhaps most likely in the west and northwest. It will stay windy and it may become slightly colder, mainly in the north and northwest. For the rest of the week the most unsettled weather is expected to return to the west and northwest. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gfjp7dy02#?tab=regionalForecast&fcTime=1415491200

TheWeatherOutlook says The tenth updates slightly increases the chances of snow falling on Christmas day in the south and the north of the UK. The first half of November is expected to be mostly unsettled but there are now signs of high pressure blocking on a significant number of computer model runs. If this trend continues the chances of colder weather will increase during December and possibly through the Xmas period. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 22% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 17% Forecast issued Update 10, 08/11/2014 The computer says [issued 09/11/2014 07:01:09]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Scotland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands. http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

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UK Outlook for Saturday 22 Nov 2014 to Saturday 6 Dec 2014: Current indications show that low pressure is likely to be located to the west or southwest of the UK, and as such the most likely scenario is for unsettled weather to continue in most places as we head into December. Rainfall amounts may well be a little above average, more especially in west or northwestern parts of the UK, and temperatures look as though they will remain near or slightly above average. However, some brighter days are still likely and there is still a chance of overnight frost and fog, albeit it patchy, during any of these quieter spells of weather. Issued at: 0400 on Sat 08 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Wednesday 12 Nov 2014 to Friday 21 Nov 2014: Outbreaks of rain across eastern areas at first should be followed by sunshine and showers, however, further rain may spread from the west later. It will be windy with gales, especially in the southwest, and temperatures will generally be near normal. During the rest of that week it is most likely to remain unsettled with showers, interspersed with longer periods of rain, heavy at times. It will stay windy too, with temperatures perhaps slightly above average in eastern Britain. Into the following week the focus for the most unsettled weather shows signs of moving to northwestern parts of the UK, with southeastern areas most likely to see the best of any brighter weather. Throughout the period, patchy overnight frost and fog are still possible in quieter interludes between weather systems. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 21 Nov 2014 to Friday 5 Dec 2014: There are no strong signals for any particular weather pattern to dominate through this period. However, the most likely scenario is that the unsettled, mild spell of weather, currently affecting the UK, to ease somewhat, with occasional spells of drier, quieter weather probably developing more often into early December; this is most likely across the south, with northern parts of the UK probably remaining fairly unsettled. At this time of year, a more settled spell of weather is associated with an increased risk of overnight frost and fog, but generally temperatures are most likely to be close to, or just above average. Whilst occasional colder spells of weather are possible, incidences of frost and snow may be less widespread and frequent than is typical at this time of year. Issued at: 0400 on Fri 07 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Tuesday 11 Nov 2014 to Thursday 20 Nov 2014: Through next week conditions are likely to remain generally unsettled with scattered showers at times or longer spells of rain. Sunshine will be limited, but the driest and clearest conditions most likely towards the north and east. It is likely to be often windy, with a risk of coastal gales, but some interludes of lighter winds could allow for some overnight fog patches, more especially in the east. Temperatures should be generally around normal, but feeling colder in the wind and rain, with a risk of localised overnight frosts in the north. Through the following week it should remain mostly unsettled and generally mild, with the wettest conditions most likely in the west and a reduced risk of frost. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 17 Nov 2014 to Monday 1 Dec 2014: The generally west or southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, especially to northern and western parts of the UK. However, southern and eastern areas may see some drier and settled conditions with an increasing likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. Spells of unsettled weather are still possible at times across the south and east though. Temperatures will likely be near normal for the end of November and start of December, although there will be large day to day variations. Issued at: 0400 on Mon 03 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 7 Nov 2014 to Sunday 16 Nov 2014: On Friday a band of locally heavy rain should lie north-to-south across the UK moving very slowly eastwards through the day. Brighter, showery weather will likely then spread into the west, with some heavy, thundery showers possible. It should be fairly breezy, with localised gales, mainly over coasts. and the north. The band of rain will likely still be over eastern parts of the UK at first on Saturday before clearing with winds easing. Thereafter, wet and windy weather from the west looks likely to continue, with spells of occasionally heavy rain pushing northeastwards across the country, with gales in exposure at times. Milder conditions associated with these rainbands should be interspersed with brighter showery, and colder weather. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 16 Nov 2014 to Sunday 30 Nov 2014: During this period, the generally west or southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, especially to northern and western parts of the UK. However, southern and eastern areas may see some drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. Spells of unsettled weather are still likely across the south and east though. Daytime temperatures may well be near normal, although it will feel colder during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0400 on Sun 02 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 6 Nov 2014 to Saturday 15 Nov 2014: A mainly dry and cold start on Thursday and a frost likely, especially in the north. Some localised mist and fog patches are also likely and will be slow to clear in the east. Cloud and rain, locally heavy, is expected to erratically move eastwards through the day with brisk winds likely for many parts. The cloud and rain will continue to edge eastwards, clearing eastern parts through Friday. Thereafter, the unsettled and windy weather from the west looks to continue, with spells of rain pushing northeastwards across the country interspersed by brighter, showery and colder days. Some particularly wet and windy weather is a possibility at times. Temperatures are likely to return to nearer normal for November. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says Into November and the ninth updates make no change to the chances of snow falling on Christmas day in the south and the north of the UK. The first half of November is expected to be mostly unsettled but there have been some very tentative signs of high pressure blocking on a few of the computer model runs. The general outlook currently looks less mobile than at the same time last year and this could increase the chance of colder snaps during December. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 15% Forecast issued Update 9, 01/11/2014 The computer says [issued 02/11/2014 07:13:55] The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north. Cold but dry conditions are expected in Scotland It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland. Snow is expected in the Netherlands http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 15 Nov 2014 to Saturday 29 Nov 2014: During this period, the generally west or southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, especially to northern and western parts of the UK. However, southern and eastern areas may see some drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. Spells of unsettled weather are still likely across the south and east though. Daytime temperatures may well be near normal, although it will feel colder during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0400 on Sat 01 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast