Stuart

UK Outlook for Wednesday 24 Dec 2014 to Wednesday 7 Jan 2015: The last week of December through into the first week of the New Year will most likely stay unsettled and often windy with weather systems arriving from the west or northwest. It is likely that the UK will see cloudy periods with spells of rain, but that these will probably be interspersed by clearer and colder conditions with showers, which could turn wintry at times, mainly in the north. The most unsettled conditions are likely to be in the north and west, whilst there could be more in the way of dry and settled spells of weather across the south and east. Temperatures are expected be around average for the time of year, with overnight frosts still possible. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gfjp7dy02#?tab=regionalForecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 14 Dec 2014 to Tuesday 23 Dec 2014: It will be a cold to start to Sunday in the east where a frost is likely. Wet and windy weather in the west, perhaps with snow at first over the high ground in the north, should spread across the UK with temperatures gradually rising. The heaviest rain and strongest winds should be expected in the west. This then likely to clear by Monday to colder, and showery conditions with temperatures falling below normal. From then on, conditions should remain unsettled with periods of rain and strong winds, interspersed with clearer, colder conditions with showers, these wintry at times, perhaps even to low levels. There will be large differences in day to day temperatures dependant on each days weather, but perhaps averaging out slightly below normal. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Tuesday 23 Dec 2014 to Tuesday 6 Jan 2015: The rest of December through into the beginning of the New Year will most likely stay unsettled and often windy with weather systems arriving from the west or northwest. It is likely that the UK will see cloudy periods with spells of rain, but that these will probably be interspersed by clearer and colder conditions with showers, which could turn wintry at times, mainly in the north. The most unsettled conditions are likely in the north and west, whilst there may be more in the way of dry and settled spells of weather across the south and east. Temperatures will likely be around average for the time of year but still with some overnight frosts. Updated at: 1443 on Mon 08 Dec 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 13 Dec 2014 to Monday 22 Dec 2014: Cold on Saturday with a strong northerly wind bringing further wintry showers across the north, but sunny spells over much of southern Scotland and England. The showers will die out to leave a cold night with a widespread frost. Breezy in the northeast. Further wet and windy weather is likely to spread eastwards on Sunday, with snow at first over the high ground of Scotland and the heaviest rain and strongest winds in the west. Colder, showery conditions will follow. The following week is expected to remain unsettled. Periods of rain and strong winds with temperatures near or slightly above average, interspersed with clearer, colder conditions with showers, these wintry at times, and overnight frosts where skies clear. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

Monday 8 December Published at 10:00 Monthly Outlook Summary Jack Frost comes back with a bite. We're now well and truly in winter and the temperatures seem to have responded accordingly; looking back through a week of daily extremes the -6.8C particularly stands out that was recorded at RAF Benson, Oxfordshire. The month ahead doesn't look like it's going to be bucking the trend of extremes either with plenty more chaotic weather in the forecast. Monday 8 December—Sunday 14 December Wild weather on the horizon. A frosty and wintry start to the week is expected. Monday is set for sunshine and showers; a brisk north-westerly wind will push showers in from the Atlantic. These showers will have a distinct wintry flavour over the higher ground of northern Britain - accumulations here starting to mount up - 2-5cm possible above 200m. Tuesday is set to see the weather turn wetter and windier with low pressure arriving from the west. A band of rain will progressively push through from the northwest to all; however it could be the strengthening wind that will be more noticeable as we head into Wednesday. Early weather warnings have already been issued for this on Wednesday - gusts over northern England, Scotland and Northern Ireland between 60 and 70mph, perhaps in exposure up to 80mph. Mix this wind with plenty of showers rattling in, again wintry above 200m, gives a recipe for some pretty atrocious conditions. Although conditions look to be easing slightly on Thursday it could only be a temporary respite with more wet and windy weather arriving through Thursday night. This does need closely watching though as it has a fairly large amount of uncertainty associated with its development at the present stage - the good news is though that it should whistle through very quickly leaving a showery picture for Friday but feeling rather cold. Monday 15 December—Sunday 21 December Remaining unsettled for the UK. Moving further ahead in the forecast it looks as though we keep the same weather pattern with areas of low pressure rattling in from the Atlantic. Typically in this type of set up northern and western areas of Britain tend to take the brunt of the wet and windy weather as low pressure centres track towards the east whilst southern and eastern areas favour better for drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures across the UK during this period are likely to be around the seasonal norm; though there will be fluctuations around this particularly when bands of rain cross the country. Monday 22 December—Sunday 4 January I'm dreaming of a white Christmas. Perhaps it will help to first define what a white Christmas actually is... Well a Christmas can be classed as white if one solitary snowflake falls from the sky on December 25th. This is actually more likely than not to happen - it has happened on 38 of the last 53 years. However, seeing a blanket of snow is much rarer; happening on only four of the last 53 years. What about this Christmas? At this early stage it looks like an unsettled regime is likely to continue to dominate towards the end of December with areas of low pressure likely to bring in bands of rain and strong winds interspersed with more showery but brighter conditions. So, for now, keep a close eye on the forecast as we approach Christmas Day. Next week Next week we'll take a closer look at the start of 2015 - new year: new weather? http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

UK Outlook for Sunday 21 Dec 2014 to Sunday 4 Jan 2015: The rest of December through into the first few days of the New Year will most likely stay unsettled and often windy with weather systems arriving from the west or northwest. It is likely that the UK will see cloudy periods with spells of rain, but that these will probably be interspersed by clearer and colder conditions with showers, which turn wintry over northern hills. The most unsettled conditions are likely in the north and west, whilst there may be more in the way of dry and settled spells of weather across the south and east at times. Temperatures will likely be around, or slightly above, average for the time of year but still with overnight frosts, particularly over the north. Updated at: 1447 on Sat 06 Dec 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 11 Dec 2014 to Saturday 20 Dec 2014: Very windy on Thursday and Friday with sunshine and showers, and perhaps more persistent rain in the south later. Showers will be heavy and most frequent in the north and west with snow over hills, and perhaps wintry to low levels occasionally. Strong to gale force northwesterly winds, severe in exposed parts of the west and northwest, will make it feel bitter in already cold temperatures. These cold, showery and windy conditions will likely continue into the weekend, with any persistent rain and somewhat milder temperatures in the south clearing. The following week is expected to remain unsettled. Periods of rain and strong winds with temperatures near average, will likely be interspersed with clearer, colder conditions with showers, these often wintry over higher ground, and overnight frosts where skies clear. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Tuesday 16 Dec 2014 to Tuesday 30 Dec 2014: There is no strong signal in weather patterns during this period. However, the most likely scenario is for northwestern parts of the UK to see the more unsettled conditions, with southern and eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around average for the time of year, but some colder incursions are likely between weather systems. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places and also some snow on higher ground in the north during any temporary colder incursions from the northwest. Updated at: 1426 on Mon 01 Dec 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 Dec 2014 to Monday 15 Dec 2014: A bright, cold and frosty start likely for many on Saturday, but chance then of showers, wintry over hills, for some. Milder, cloudier conditions then spread from the west, with outbreaks of rain and drizzle. Clearer, showery conditions follow. Windy at times with risk of gales in the north. Thereafter, conditions next week are likely to be generally unsettled, with spells of cloudy weather interspersed with clearer, showery periods. Some heavy rain at times in the north and west, where showers could be wintry at times. The best of any drier weather will be in the south. This north/south divide looks likely to become more pronounced later in the period. Temperatures generally near or just above average during cloudier spells, and a little below in clearer spells with frosty nights http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

Monday 1 December Published at 10:00 Monthly Outlook Summary Are you dreaming of a white Christmas? Mother Nature bid a fond farewell to the third warmest autumn on record over the weekend with lengthy spells of sunshine on Sunday, the last day of the season. Winter has now just set foot on our doors and it heralds a colder feel to our day to day lives. Fog, frosts, cold winds, occasional milder moments and even a peppering of snow over higher ground will make for an interesting few weeks as the ever complex UK weather continues to keep us on our forecasting toes. Monday 1 December—Sunday 7 December It really is time for the winter woollies. If we had to wrap this week up in a headline, it would be 'turning colder'. The last few weeks have been generally mild and while temperatures will gently slide away to average or a little below average, it will certainly feel cold when compared to the mild days of autumn. Sunshine and rainfall will be below average across southern areas but northern areas rainfall should be around average . During Monday and Monday night, a front will edge into north-western areas, bringing outbreaks of rain. As the front moves into south-eastern parts during Tuesday, it will largely run out of steam and become patchy in nature albeit with plenty of cloud lingering. It will leave clearer skies in north-western areas and the chance of wintry showers over the higher ground in Scotland; icy stretches will also be a risk. Tuesday and Wednesday can be broadly described as a north-west south-east divide. South-eastern areas retain extensive cloud with the risk of patchy drizzle, along with a brisk north-easterly wind, making it feel very chilly. North-western areas are likely to see more sunshine during the day but with frosty conditions likely during the overnight period, although the Northern Isles are likely to escape the frost with windy conditions in its place. Thursday into Friday show signs of a cold plunge of air arriving into northern areas. As it stands, we are not sure how far south this will reach. However, what we do know is that we are likely to see wintry showers pepping the far north-western areas, particularly over high ground and whilst we might see more in the way of sunshine in general, it will be tempered by a particularly nippy wind. These conditions are likely to last through to the weekend. Monday 8 December—Sunday 14 December High or Low - What does it all mean? As the second week of December approaches, a north-south divide is the mostly likely scenario at the moment. Southern areas are likely to see high pressure influence the weather whereas northern areas are likely to see low pressure predominating. What does this mean? High pressure during the winter time usually implies more frequent occurrences of frosts and fog, below average rainfall and sunshine open to question as cloud often gets 'stuck' over the UK in winter. Northern areas will see more day to day variation in weather. Rain and wintry showers are likely to move quickly through, giving more varied temperatures, especially during the quieter periods seen between any frontal systems. Monday 15 December—Sunday 28 December What will Santa be wearing? The big question on everyone's lips is 'will it be a white Christmas?'. If I had the answer to that, I would have bet on it a long time ago! While we do not know the weather will be on a day to day basis this far out, we can gauge some signals from long term computer models. Currently, those models signal that there is no one favoured type of weather expected. To expand on this a little more, we are not expecting long periods of high pressure nor are we expecting just low pressure. However, there are some signs that a more unsettled picture is on the cards bringing wet and windy conditions at times along with some colder and settled periods in between the various weather fronts that will move through. Next week Autumn will be a distant memory as we begin to wrap up warm for winter. Next week we will take a peek into the beginning of a new year and what's on the cards for the middle of winter. http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

UK Outlook for Monday 15 Dec 2014 to Monday 29 Dec 2014:There is no strong signal in weather patterns during this period. However, the most likely scenario is a trend towards more unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around average for the time of year, but some colder incursions are likely between weather systems. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places and also some snow on higher ground in the north during any temporary colder incursions from the northwest. Updated at: 1433 on Sun 30 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 5 Dec 2014 to Sunday 14 Dec 2014: A band of cloud and rain will push southeastwards on Friday, weakening as it does so. An incursion of northerly winds will follow bringing a colder, but brighter, airmass southwards with sunny periods and scattered showers, these mainly affecting windward coasts and wintry across the hills. The showers will ease into the weekend, as pressure builds from the west bringing sunny periods by day and more widespread frost, with perhaps some fog patches, by night. Into the following week, the most likely scenario is for pressure to remain higher in the south bringing the best of the drier conditions here with some overnight frost and fog. However, northwestern parts may see some spells of rain and stronger winds, which may extend further southeast at times, interspersed by colder, showery conditions. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says The thirteenth update makes no change to the chances of snow falling on Christmas day in the south and the north of the UK. The next week or two is expected to bring a lot of settled weather with a risk of frost. In the run up to Christmas colder air could push down from the north at times. This would make snow more likely in northern regions and possibly over higher ground further south. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Remember that forecasting specific days at longer ranges accurately is considered next to impossible in the UK with current technology so the Xmas outlook should be viewed as fun until December. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 23% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 18% Forecast issued Update 13, 29/11/2014 The computer says [issued 30/11/2014 11:01:03]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. Cold but dry conditions are expected in Wales Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Midlands Cold but dry conditions are expected in the north Cold but dry conditions are expected in Scotland It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland. Snow is expected in the Netherlands http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 14 Dec 2014 to Sunday 28 Dec 2014: There is no strong signal in weather patterns during this period. However, the most likely scenario is a trend towards more unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around average for the time of year, but some colder incursions are likely between weather systems. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places and also some snow on higher ground in the north during any temporary colder incursions from the northwest. Updated at: 1509 on Sat 29 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 4 Dec 2014 to Saturday 13 Dec 2014: Largely dry on Thursday with variable amounts of cloud and some sunny spells. However, thicker cloud across northwestern areas is likely to bring occasional rain here and also stronger winds, especially western Scotland. By Friday, pressure should remain generally high across southern parts bringing largely settled conditions for many with fog and frost by night. However, cloud and occasional rain across northwestern parts may extend southeastwards across the country into the weekend perhaps introducing a brief colder incursion with more widespread frost by night possible and perhaps some wintry showers in the north, before pressure rebuilds from the west. Into the following week, the most likely scenario by then is for the most unsettled conditions to be in the northwest with southeastern areas seeing the best of the drier conditions. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 13 Dec 2014 to Saturday 27 Dec 2014: There is no strong signal in weather patterns during this period. However, the most likely scenario is a trend towards more unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places. There is also a chance of some snow on higher ground in the north. Updated at: 1414 on Fri 28 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Wednesday 3 Dec 2014 to Friday 12 Dec 2014: After a frosty start on Wednesday, it will be a dry but rather chilly day in the south, with sunny spells. It will tend to be cloudier and windier across the north with outbreaks of rain possible in the west. Through the rest of the week, pressure will continue to build from the west, bringing largely settled weather with variable cloud and sunny spells with the risk of frost and fog patches forming by night. However, northwestern parts will tend to be windier with occasional rain and hill snow. Temperatures are likely to be below average, especially where fog lingers and perhaps in the north over the weekend. Into the week after next, there is an increasing likelihood of more unsettled conditions spreading back to all areas. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 1 Dec 2014 to Wednesday 10 Dec 2014: Outbreaks of rain in the northwest will gradually move southeastwards through Monday and Tuesday, weakening as it does so. Largely cloudy ahead of this rain, with clear and colder conditions following from the northwest. Thereafter, pressure will build from the west bringing a period of largely settled weather with variable cloud and some sunny spells. Risk of frost and fog patches forming by night where skies remain clear. However, northwestern parts will be windy at times with occasional rain or showers, these perhaps wintry over the hills. Temperatures often below average and rather cold at times, especially where fog lingers. The week after next is likely to turn more unsettled and milder in the northwest. These conditions may well spread to more southern and eastern parts of the country later. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 11 Dec 2014 to Thursday 25 Dec 2014: There is no strong signal in weather patterns during this period. However, the most likely scenario is a trend towards more unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around, or a little above, average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places. There is also a chance of some snow on higher ground in the north. Updated at: 0255 on Wed 26 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 8 Dec 2014 to Monday 22 Dec 2014: There is no strong signal in weather pattern during this period. However, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around, or a little above, average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places - this will be more likely across northern areas where there is also a chance of some snow on higher ground. Issued at: 1600 on Sun 23 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 28 Nov 2014 to Sunday 7 Dec 2014: Outbreaks of rain, locally heavy, and strong winds are likely across the west on Friday and into the weekend. The rain and strong winds will push slowly eastwards through the period with southeastern areas perhaps seeing little rainfall. Southerly winds will reach gale or severe gale force at times in the west/northwest, and draw in milder air than of late; especially by night. The unsettled conditions are likely to persist into the following week. The heaviest rain and strongest winds most likely to affect northwestern areas whilst eastern parts are likely to see the best of the drier interludes. Temperatures will mostly be around normal or milder during spells of cloud and rain, but drier and clearer interludes between weather systems will allow an increased risk of frost and fog. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says The twelfth updates slightly increases the chances of snow falling on Christmas day in the south and the north of the UK. As we head into December the signs are an unsettled pattern will persist. Through the second half of the month high pressure may build further north for a time allowing a colder spell of weather to affect the UK. This could bring the chance of snow to some of the country in the run up to Christmas. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Remember that forecasting specific days at longer ranges accurately is considered next to impossible in the UK with current technology so the Xmas outlook should be viewed as fun until December. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 23% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 18% Forecast issued Update 12, 22/11/2014 The computer says [issued 23/11/2014 11:00:15]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north. Cold but dry conditions are expected in Scotland It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland. Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Netherlands http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 7 Dec 2014 to Sunday 21 Dec 2014: There is no strong signal in weather pattern during this period. However, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around or a little above average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places - this will be more likely across northern areas where there is also a chance of some snow on higher ground. Issued at: 1600 on Sat 22 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 27 Nov 2014 to Saturday 6 Dec 2014: Rain across many eastern parts on Thursday will clear most parts by the end of the day. A spell of drier and brighter weather, once any early fog has cleared, across western parts will gradually spread east, with further rain reaching western parts later. The rain and strong winds in the west are expected to make erratic progress eastwards during Friday with many eastern areas having a mostly dry start. The unsettled conditions are likely to persist through the weekend and beyond, with the heaviest rain and strongest winds most likely to affect western areas whilst eastern parts are likely to see the best of the drier interludes. Temperatures will mostly be around normal, but with some chilly starts and occasional overnight frost possible during the drier and clearer interludes. http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 Dec 2014 to Saturday 20 Dec 2014: The most probable scenario is for a continuation of unsettled and, at times, windy weather, especially in western parts of the UK, with eastern parts seeing the best of any dry weather. Temperatures are generally expected to be around or a little above average for the time of year. There is a chance of some overnight and morning frost and fog in places - this will be more likely across northern areas where there is also a chance of some snow on higher ground. Issued at: 1600 on Fri 21 Nov 2014 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast