Stuart

UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Nov 2014 to Friday 14 Nov 2014: Mainly dry on Wednesday and Thursday with just a few showers in the northeast at first. There will be a marked fall in temperature during the Wednesday evening with a sharp frost likely overnight, especially in the north. Later on Thursday, it will turn wet and windy in the west with some heavy rain possible for a time, and strong to gale force winds, and perhaps reaching severe gale force locally in the far northwest. Thereafter, a return to more unsettled and windy weather from the west looks the most likely scenario, with spells of rain pushing northeastwards across the country interspersed by brighter, showery and colder days. Some particularly wet and windy weather is a possibility at times. Temperatures are likely to return to nearer normal for November. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 14 Nov 2014 to Friday 28 Nov 2014: During this period, the generally west or southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, especially to northern and western parts of the UK. However, southern and eastern areas may see some drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. Spells of unsettled weather are still likely across the south and east though. Daytime temperatures may well be near normal, although it will feel colder during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0400 on Fri 31 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Tuesday 4 Nov 2014 to Thursday 13 Nov 2014: On Tuesday, a cool and showery north or northwesterly airstream will affect the UK, with showers most frequent in the northwest where they may fall as snow over hills. It will be windy at times too. Temperatures generally a little below average, and feeling cold in comparison to the recent very mild weather. Showers should gradually ease from around midweek with more in the way of brighter weather, and frost at night. Thereafter a return to more unsettled and windy weather from the west looks the most likely scenario, with spells of rain pushing northeastwards across the country interspersed by brighter, showery and colder days. Some particularly wet and windy weather is a possibility at times. Temperatures are likely to return to nearer normal for November. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 13 Nov 2014 to Thursday 27 Nov 2014: During this period, the generally west or southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and western areas. However, southern and eastern areas will probably see some drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this probably turning more unsettled across the south and east, whilst remaining unsettled across northern parts. Daytime temperatures by then may well be near or a little above normal, although feeling colder during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0400 on Wed 29 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 3 Nov 2014 to Wednesday 12 Nov 2014: A cool and showery northerly airstream in the north of the UK will spread south to most districts on Monday. The showers will be most frequent in the northwest where they may fall as snow over Scottish mountains, and it will be windy. Temperatures generally a little below average but feeling cold in comparison to the recent very mild weather. Showers may ease somewhat from around midweek with more in the way of brighter weather, with perhaps rural frosts overnight. Thereafter, a return to more unsettled and windy weather from the southwest looks the most likely scenario with spells of rain and milder conditions pushing northeastwards across the country interspersed by brighter, showery and colder days. The best of the drier and brighter weather in the southeast. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Tuesday 11 Nov 2014 to Tuesday 25 Nov 2014: The main signal is for a mostly north-south split during the second week of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and western areas. However, southern and eastern areas will probably see more in the way of drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this it looks set to turn more changeable across the south and east, whilst remaining unsettled across northern parts. Daytime temperatures by then will probably be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0400 on Tue 28 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Nov 2014 to Monday 10 Nov 2014: Rain, possibly heavy, may still affect the southeast at first on Saturday. Otherwise, the weekend will see bright spells and scattered showers. The showers will initially affect coastal areas early in the mornings, before quickly pushing inland. It will also be rather windy, with the risk of gales in exposure. The showery theme will continue into the start of the new week. The showers will be heaviest and most frequent around northwestern coasts. Temperatures will generally be around normal, but perhaps slightly below in the north. Later in the week, a return to more unsettled weather looks most likely with spells of rain pushing across the country interspersed by brighter, showery and cooler days. It will be windy at times. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Nov 2014 to Monday 24 Nov 2014: The main signal is for a continuation of a north-south split during the second week of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and western areas. However, southern and eastern areas will probably see more in the way of drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this it looks set to turn more changeable across the south and east, whilst remaining unsettled across northern parts. Daytime temperatures will probably be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0400 on Mon 27 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 31 Oct 2014 to Sunday 9 Nov 2014: Eastern parts are likely to start dry but cloudy on Friday, with a band of occasionally heavy rain across western and central areas. This rain will clear from the west through the day and into Saturday with brighter spells and isolated showers following. It will also remain mild but often windy, although temperatures are likely to fall closer to normal once the rain clears. A northwest-southeast split then follows with the wettest and windiest conditions likely across the west, with gales, perhaps turning severe at times. The best of the drier and brighter weather is likely to be in the south and southeast, although staying breezy and with occasional outbreaks of rain. Temperatures will generally average out to near normal, but there will be large day to day variations http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Monthly Outlook Summary Typical autumn if it wasn't so mild After the remnants of hurricane Gonzalo gave the United Kingdom its windiest weather of the autumn so far, subsequent low pressure systems from the Atlantic have maintained this changeable weather pattern. This looks set to continue as we go into November. Whilst that may seem business as usual for the time of year, prevailing southwesterly winds look to keep things unusually mild with Jack Frost struggling to find work. Monday 27 October—Sunday 9 November Scotland's soaker heads south The week starts with a soaking in northwest Scotland from a slow-moving weather front and potential impacts from some places receiving well over 100mm of rain. The front will finally move south through Wales on Tuesday reaching southern England by Wednesday but giving totals significantly lower than seen in Scotland. Behind it higher pressure will on Wednesday give a welcome spell of dry, sunnier weather for Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England but only after a colder night with a frost for some to start the day. Overall, though, this week's temperatures are expected to be mild or very mild. Cloudier, wetter weather returns from the west by the end of the week as another low pressure system arrives from the Atlantic. Monday 3 November—Sunday 16 November Still mild but drier for some High pressure may push a little further north giving a drier spell of weather for parts of England and Wales. Weather systems will still bring rain at times though so it won't be completely dry and above average rain is signalled for northwest Scotland. Confidence is moderate to high that it will be mild in all areas. Where pressure is higher some nights will be cooler than of late but even here temperatures by day are expected to remain on the mild side. Monday 10 November—Sunday 30 November Staying mild Winter may be approaching but it looks like winter weather isn't.... yet. There is moderate confidence that most parts will be unseasonably mild with temperatures above average by day and night in winds from the south or southwest. There will be some rain at times although the northeast of Scotland will perhaps stay drier with plenty of shelter from the Highlands in the southwesterly flow. With that flow above average rain is signalled for the Highlands. Also some rain may drift up from the continent at times with indications of above average rain in southeast England. Next week Will the mild weather give way to something more winter-like? Just don't ask if it's going be a white Christmas yet! http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Nov 2014 to Sunday 23 Nov 2014: The main signal is for a continuation of a north-south split during the second week of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and some western areas. However, southern and some eastern areas will probably see more in the way of drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this it looks set to turn more changeable across the south and east. Daytime temperatures will probably be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0400 on Sun 26 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 30 Oct 2014 to Saturday 8 Nov 2014: Becoming generally cloudy across the UK, but staying dry with bright spells across southern and eastern parts on Thursday. Northern and western parts will become wetter with outbreaks of rain. The rain will likely become heavier and more persistent later that day. Winds also increase, becoming strong in the west, and gales may develop across the far northwest. A north-south split then looks most likely to dominate. The most wetter, windier conditions likely in the north and northwest; with gales, perhaps even severe gales in the far northwest, next weekend. The best of the drier weather likely in the south and southeast; although there is likely to be some rain here at times. Temperatures generally near normal, but perhaps falling slightly below average later with snow on Scottish mountains possible. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says The eighth update increases the chances of snow falling on Christmas day in the south and the north of the UK. Weather patterns through the autumn have brought above average temperatures to the UK. In the short to medium term this trend is likely to continue, but with signs of the Polar Vortex not yet becoming strongly established it is thought colder air could be displaced further south during the early part of the winter. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 15% Forecast issued Update 8, 25/10/2014 The computer says [issued 26/10/2014 07:08:36]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. Snow is expected in Wales Cold conditions in the Midlands are expected. Marginal for rain or snow. Cold but dry conditions are expected in the north Snow is expected in Scotland Cold but dry conditions are expected in Northern Ireland Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Republic of Ireland Snow is expected in the Netherlands http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 8 Nov 2014 to Saturday 22 Nov 2014: The main signal is for a continuation of a north-south split during the second week of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and some western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well, this interspersed with drier intervals. However, southern and some eastern areas will probably see more in the way of drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this it looks like unsettled weather will spread to much of the UK. Daytime temperatures will probably be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0500 on Sat 25 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Wednesday 29 Oct 2014 to Friday 7 Nov 2014: A slow moving band of rain over the central parts on Wednesday is expected to slowly weaken. To the north, largely fine with sunny spells after a chilly start. Dull, damp and mild to the south with occasional drizzle. Brighter across southern parts on Thursday with sunny spells. However, rain and strong winds are likely to extend into northwestern areas, before reaching central parts by the end of the day. A north-south split looks most likely to predominate thereafter with the most frequent bouts of wind and rain likely in the north and northwest, with the best of the drier weather in the south and southeast; although there is likely to be some rain here at times. Temperatures generally near normal, although feeling cold in strong winds and rain. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 7 Nov 2014 to Friday 21 Nov 2014: The main signal is for a continuation of a north-south split during the second week of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, mostly affecting northern and some western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well, this interspersed with drier intervals. However southern and some eastern areas will probably see more in the way of drier and settled conditions increasing the likelihood of some sunshine, but also the risk of frost, mist and fog overnight, the latter of which could be slow to clear. After this it looks like unsettled weather will spread to much of the UK. Daytime temperatures will probably be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0500 on Fri 24 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Tuesday 28 Oct 2014 to Thursday 6 Nov 2014: A band of cloud and rain over the northwest is expected to move southeastwards across the UK on Tuesday, clearing the far southeast by Wednesday morning. Brighter conditions should follow, however there are likely to be some showers too. These may be heavy and thundery in the north where it will probably be windy with local gales. A north-south split looks most likely to develop thereafter. Windy and unsettled conditions are likely in the north, with the best of the drier weather in the south, although there may be some rain here at times. Temperatures will generally be near normal, although feeling cold in strong winds and rain. Pressure may build further over the south into the start of November, bringing a risk of overnight frost and fog. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 2 Nov 2014 to Sunday 16 Nov 2014: Conditions look set to continue the trend of a north-south split during the first half of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with drier intervals. These should mostly affect northern and some western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. However southern or southeastern areas will probably see more in the way of the drier and settled conditions. These drier intervals will bring some sunshine at times, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. Daytime temperatures are likely to be near or a little above normal, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0500 on Sun 19 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 23 Oct 2014 to Saturday 1 Nov 2014: Thursday will be rather cloudy with outbreaks of rain or showers, the rain more likely across western and northwestern areas with the best of the drier conditions in the east. It remains breezy in the south, but windy in the north with the risk of gales at first. On Friday there could be heavy rain over central parts, perhaps with local gales. The northwest will likely continue to see blustery showers, perhaps wintry over Scotland. From the weekend high pressure is likely to gradually build from the southwest, creating a north south split with the drier and brighter conditions in the south, and the more unsettled conditions with outbreaks of rain and a risk of gales to the north, this continuing into November. Temperatures are likely to be near normal. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Nov 2014 to Saturday 15 Nov 2014: Changeable conditions are likely to continue for many during the first half of November. During this period, the generally westerly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with drier intervals. These should mostly affect northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. However southern or southeastern areas will probably see more in the way of the drier and settled conditions later. These drier intervals will bring some sunshine at times, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. Daytime temperatures are likely to be around average, although feeling cooler during any wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0500 on Sat 18 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Wednesday 22 Oct 2014 to Friday 31 Oct 2014: Wednesday will likely see a mixture of sunny spells and blustery showers across the country with the risk of thunderstorms in the east, and some showers falling as snow over the Scottish mountains. Temperatures will be slightly cooler than average. Winds remain strong, as with the past few days, making it feel colder. Through the rest of the period, there will be a generally westerly flow. This will probably give further unsettled conditions, with a mixture of sunshine and showers or longer spells of rain. Northwestern parts will be most unsettled, with the risk of further gales. The best of any prolonged drier and brighter conditions are most likely in the southeast where overnight fog is possible late on in the period. Temperatures are likely to be around normal. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Wednesday 29 Oct 2014 to Wednesday 12 Nov 2014: The unsettled conditions are likely to continue for many through the end of October and during the start of November. During this period, the west to southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. However southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells by the second week of November, with sunshine at times making it feel mild, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. Daytime temperatures likely to be mostly above the seasonal average, although feeling cooler at times during wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0500 on Wed 15 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Oct 2014 to Tuesday 28 Oct 2014: Southeastern parts should start generally dry, however, a band of heavy rain and strong winds is set to erratically push southeastwards across the whole country. Showery conditions behind will bring the risk of hail and thunder to the north and west, where gales are likely. Whilst temperatures should be mainly above average, they are likely to be tempered in the wind and rain. Next week it is expected to remain unsettled with further spells of rain, heavy in places. It will remain windy too with the risk of gales or severe gales, most likely in the west. Some eastern and southeastern areas may see less in the way of unsettled weather, especially later in the period, with overnight mist or fog possible. Temperatures should remain near or just above normal. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 27 Oct 2014 to Monday 10 Nov 2014: The changeable conditions are likely to continue for many through the end of October and during the start of November. During this period, the southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. However southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells, with sunshine at times making it feel mild, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. Daytime temperatures likely to be near or above the seasonal average, although cooler at times during wet and windy spells. Issued at: 0500 on Mon 13 Oct 2014 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 17 Oct 2014 to Sunday 26 Oct 2014: Mostly dry across the UK to start on Friday, although isolated outbreaks of rain are possible at times. However thicker cloud and more persistent rain could spread into western parts later in the day and overnight into Saturday, with strengthening winds. It will then remain unsettled and very windy through the weekend, particularly in the northwest, with further rain or showers interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will be above average, especially by night, although feeling cooler in the wind and rain. Into the following week it is likely to remain changeable, with southern parts seeing more in the way of drier and brighter spells. However this would then bring the risk of fog and frost overnight. Temperatures will then gradually trend closer to the average for late October. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast