londonsnow
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Cold Spell General Discussion
londonsnow replied to snowmadchrisuk's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
well ukmo is doing its ukmost to please this afternoon. very exciting models, esp the gfs. now we have to wait for the horror that is detail. going to be very busy on here in the foreseeable future -
Cold Spell General Discussion
londonsnow replied to snowmadchrisuk's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
thanks northants. very interesting times ahead for sure!!! let's hope it doesnt do the usual british thing involving several pears. -
Model Output Discussion - Tuesday 20:25 -->
londonsnow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
great 12z, although i havent, on purpose, perused deep FI. 510's flirting with the east coast in early FI. very interesting stuff. -
Cold Spell General Discussion
londonsnow replied to snowmadchrisuk's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
it's at times like this i stop looking at the models. all i know is that it's raining in the southeast -
good call grimsby. all that cold could end up in the pyrenees. would please the sussex no doubt
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Cold Spell General Discussion
londonsnow replied to snowmadchrisuk's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
interesting little flirt with the idea of a cold blast on the beeb lunchtime forecast -
hi rollo, you're right, a few more runs and a spell of bitter will be nailed. my only worry is that it all gets shifted into france at the last minute
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what a stunning 6z, and bordering the reliable timeframe now.
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i tend to agree with steve murr, extraordinary runs for the east and especially the south east. detail will no doubt change but nice to see in the interim
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gfs 18z. wow! nothing else needs to be said
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Model Output Discussion - Sunday 20:35--->
londonsnow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
the ski industry in the alps will be loving the latest ecm -
Model Output Discussion - Sunday 20:35--->
londonsnow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
a -33c for the alps on dec 15 then. yeah right. not a bad 12z overall though! -
Model Output Discussion - Sunday 20:35--->
londonsnow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
interesting 6Z from the gfs. many more possible evolutions to this easterly scenario, and plenty of pear shaped ones. however, we are pretty certain looking to our european neighbours for the outlook. -
Countryfile / Country Tracks / Landward Forecast Thread
londonsnow replied to J10's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
country tracks forecast only going out as far as wednesday. lots of uncertainty then -
tend to agree. central europe looks like getting a dose of very cold mid month. odds are very long anything bitter hitting the uk
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6z having a fine old time in the T+200's. a giant basket of 510 air swaggering towards our eastern shores
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whilst the evolution to an easterly pattern starts in the fairly reliable timeframe, the detail remains firmly in the unreliable. the gfs is great in the proper fi, but this could clearly go up in smoke. as nick says the gem is a fly in the cold ointment. anyway, here comes the 6z
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very interesting 12z. its friday so the pub run's on me! i guess we shall be chopping and changing towards mid to late december, but signs are promising.
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Reported 'mini' Tornado In St. Albans
londonsnow replied to saint's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
please, someone clear this up for me. as i understand it tornadoes vary in strength from T1 to T5. only it seems in the uk do we have the "mini tornado". what is this? when does a mini tornado become a maxi tornado' i'm not the only person who finds this terminology mildly irritating. -
always exciting when FI throws up such astonishing charts. if they came off, as i think steve murr suggested, it would provide a very tricky christmas travel wise. if those charts came to fruition we would be buried in snow, and the uk travel infrastructure would be in dire straits. realistically, it won't happen, odds on, and we'll end up with a green and pleasant christmas. lets get a few more runs under our belt before we decide
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FI etc but yes an astonishing chart that
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just woke up and had a peek at the pub run. blimey, FI really is living up to its name on the pub run. when was the last time 492 air was so close to our shores. into reality, quite standard charts, fairly average stuff for the immediate future
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Met Office Winter Forecast
londonsnow replied to Terminal Moraine's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I have to say i agree with nick. the percentage thing does seem fatuous. how they come up with those figures is anyones guess. the met office are world class, but only, in my opinion in the realistic term. i'm sure they have their methods but ultimately it's a bit of a stab in the dark -
Met Office Winter Forecast
londonsnow replied to Terminal Moraine's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
lol, but its not the most gripping of headlines is it -
Met Office Winter Forecast
londonsnow replied to Terminal Moraine's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
met office winter forecast is out. suggesting 50% chance of milder winter, 30% average, and 20% colder. the daily express will be furious!