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Frosty.

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Everything posted by Frosty.

  1. I'm sure the models are struggling...and I'm struggling to see any realistic prospect of snow for the rest of this year, pretty grotty output for cold / snow lovers..back to the youtube videos to get my snow fix.
  2. Tonight's Ecm 12z ensemble mean shows a changeable outlook with the best of the fine weather to be found further s / se and the most unsettled conditions further n / w.
  3. An instantly forgettable Ecm 12z..give me the Gefs mean which looks much more settled in the run up to and potentially including christmas.
  4. Don't forget the JMA Right now I would settle for a chilly settled outlook as the gefs continues to show with plenty of frosts!
  5. The GEFS 12z mean shows there is strong support for an increasingly anticyclonic spell returning next week, especially from later next week until christmas bringing a largely settled outlook into the mid range with overnight frost and fog and crisp bright days but fog could again mean particularly cold days where it lingers with borderline ice days like some of us saw last week..it could be a cold christmas.
  6. Good to see two consecutive Gfs runs showing seasonal cheer during christmas week..more please. Ho Ho Ho
  7. Judging by the latest models, it's happening as fergieweather said last night, marked swing compared to recently.
  8. If we are going to see wild swings in the output, it can only be a good thing for wintry weather lovers!means we have a good shot instead of boring predictability.
  9. Almost a repeat of how last night's Gfs 18z ended..I'm not complaining though!christmas week snow..yes please
  10. So all bets are off basically, anything can happen which must be potentially good news for coldies looking for snow
  11. Tonight's Ecm 12z T+240 ensemble mean and operational have something in common, they both show high pressure firmly in charge.
  12. I would like to think so..but in any case it looks like settled chilly weather will be returning by mid month or a little sooner, at least further east and south.
  13. True, just like the GEFS mean, surface cold would return with similar conditions to a few days ago.
  14. There's a surprise Coldies need a sense of humour to get through a British winter. Ecm 12z ends on a high note
  15. The GEFS 12z mean indicates stronger support for an anticyclonic spell beyond the current mild / changeable phase with increasing surface cold bringing frosty foggy nights and fine crisp days which would be particularly cold where fog lingers, it then gradually trends more unsettled during christmas week but stays cold.
  16. I would be more concerned if there was no cold showing at all but there clearly is. :- )
  17. Nobody has said anything is nailed on from ten days plus apart from tongue in cheek but it's reasonable to comment on cold ensembles / op runs whatever the timeframe as most of us are looking for snow seeing as its supposed to be winter.
  18. Yes it's not all doom and gloom, I still see a change to settled weather with frost and fog mid month and we will take it from there, just because the experts can't see anything significantly wintry later in December doesn't mean it can't happen..The weather doesn't obey any rules!
  19. I agree the reliable is poor but FI is up for grabs and its a good place to start looking for longer term trends..sometimes they are on to something and as a cold / snow lover I'm really looking hard for signs and there are some showing.
  20. And there were some peachy cold runs within the 6z suite too, things are looking up!
  21. We like to look on the bright side of life so I agree, let this trend be our friend! Encouraging signs from the models again today.
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