Yozzer
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Latest storm approaching North East US from Ohio Valley expected to dump a foot or so on N New England, maybe 18" or so through Northern Maine. High amounts not due to intensity of snowfall, more due to length of event. High winds on the tail of the storm likely to cause some drifting too, so not great travelling conditions.
Expect some snowfall in NB, but probably a changeover to sleet/rain will keep amounts from being too excessive.
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You guys and gals would sure love the winter i am having here in Madison, Wisconsin. We broke the yearly snow record last monday, wich was 76.1''. Now we are at 80.2'' and expecting 6-12'' on sunday. We very well could end up with 105''+ at seasons end, wich ends in may. It is also 18c right now and I am expecting to reach 28c tonight.
Station down the road from Dalton here in NH has recorded 81" so far this season just 3" short of entire total last season, despite a very dry January.
Feb/Mar usually bring greatest chance of big storms in New England (Valentines day storm last year dumped 2 feet!), so that total will be shattered.
Storm this weekend will bring mostly rain even to northern New England as warm moist air is drawn up from way south/east, so we might have to wait a few days before we reach last year's total.
As you say, the storm will give blizzard conditions in your neck of the woods so take care on the roads!
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Temperature at Whitefield NH (just up the road from my place) fell to -30C last night! Storm approaching from the Ohio valley looks like it will pull in quite a bit of moisture and warming which will overrun this very cold air producing fairly significant falls of snow, up to a foot. What concerns me most though, as an absentee, is the potential for this to change over to a period of freezing rain with the risk of downed power lines etc.
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Not sure of your location in NB, but Brett Anderson has posted some estimates of what you can expect from this storm, obviously depending on its exact track. There is considerable doubt on this, as 50 miles east or west could make a huge difference.Hi
Well as you said Roger, the snow came here overnight, woke up to about 7 inches of lying snow, still snowing now but only slightly. Its -8 outside and the wind is whipping up some snow. Wind chill at -17. Theres supposed to be a winter storm heading our way Wednesday, can anyone confirm this as I still sadly do not have a TV?
I love that picture you posted Canadiancoops, it shows just how cold -39 is......brrrrrrrrr
TTFN
Debs
Fredericton, NB....10-15 cm of snow Wed, then possible sleet or freezing rain Wednesday evening.
Saint John, NB.....10-15 cm of mod/hvy snow early Wed, then sleet Wed afternoon followed by ice or rain by eve.
Moncton, NB....10-15 cm of snow followed by sleet Wed aft. then ice and rain by eve.
Yarmouth, NS....3-8 cm of snow early Wed. morning then sleet and then rain by afternoon
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Maybe he's right for Northern New England, but he's looking wrong for PA, much of the East Coast and Midwest. The trend iis fairly mild after a shot of Arctic air this weekend. Incidentally, 150 miles makes a big difference this year; New York City is still stuck on about 3 inches of measurable snowfall this winter. The figure may increase by a bit this weekend as a clipper moves through, but not by much. Further north in Albany though, they have been buried a few times.
Hi WF,
Check out Accuweather and Brett Anderson's look at the LR euro model for N America. Looks like you could get your winter started properly in a week or two's time as the jet stream moves further south.
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Sorry, when I saw the thread title I was expecting something else completely...I'll go now!
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Threat of more severe weather now over Maryland and Virginia with temps there 20+ and dew points 15+, air very unstable with threat of thunderstorms, very large hail and tornadoes. The east is certainly not out of the woods yet.
Seen some of the devastation in Kentucky and Arkansas, can't really imagine what those unfortunate folk went through, my heart goes out to them. Very sad.
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Well, my little house in the great north woods of New Hampshire is currently getting buried again after a (relatively) benign January. Up to a foot of snow is expected over Northern New England by the end of Weds night, with a number of storms progged for the following week or so, and an arctic airmass arriving this weekend and temps below -20.
Looks like the gopher was right!!
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Yes isn't the peninsula to the north of Inverness called the 'Black Isle' because of the relative lack of snow?
regards
ACB
The exact origin of its name is unknown, though there are at least six possible explanations of why it became the "Black" Isle, ranging from the most intriguing, through its association with witchcraft and the black arts in mediaeval times, to the more prosaic, that the soil here is very black, or that it has so many trees that it looks black when viewed from surrounding areas in Winter.
From my personal experience, there are many days of lying snow on the Black Isle in an average winter, not so much though at the coast.
I really don't think anywhere in Scotland would qualify for the UK's most snowless area as in Winter anything coming from the West right through to the South-East has the potential to bring snow showers, even to outposts such as St. Kilda. For that title you would need to be way South and West.
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Hi Acchos,
I have to agree with this. I uncovered quite a few of my diaries from the 70's 80's and decided to read through them. Theres mention of quite a few snow events and schools days off because the pipes had burst. The diaries span from 1976 to 1985 and every year theres mention of snow. Now I grew up in Washington, Tyne and Wear, so we were pretty much North of the country. The earlier diaries I kept were a little bare as I was only 9 at the time but there was a mention of the 1976 heatwave and the fact the the Kielder Reservoir was drying up. There was even the mention of Erica Row in one of my diaries (don't ask why coz I can't remember,) and lots of other exciting facts like GMTV starting and Channel 4....oh it was so nice reminicing.......oops drifting off there, anyway the 80's did provide lots of snow and it was great, thats why I moved over here to relive my childhood memories.
TTFN
Debs
PS Hope I have'nt given away my age too much.....lol
Hi Debs,
Just watching BBC news 24 and noticed they had the pic you took of your ditched car! Royalties will follow...but don't hold your breath!
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Just looking at the weak low coming from Great lakes and firing off another development off New England coast. Not much been mentioned about this one, Accuweather calling it a nuisance, but I feel it may produce a bit more than that, wouldn't be surprised to see 6-12" in some parts of central and northern New england due to slow movement of precipitation bands.
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The cost of living is a big factor. As you say, the price of property over here away from the obvious hotspots is such a bargain by comparison to the UK. Even though I get paid in Dollars (boo!), everything is just so much cheaper. I also love the variety over here; everything from desert to sub-artic (if you include Alaska!). At the moment I'm here on a work permit, but have to make a decision on a Green Card. I'll probably just go for it; I fancy a big house up there in New England with lots of land. I've always wanted a sit-down mower! Are you considering moving over or is this purely a holiday home?
Incidentally, the cold air being dragged in as the storm passes is now forecast to be that bit colder. The wind picked up pretty fierce here earlier, but seems to have died down a bit now. Just a few flurries rushing by in the wind now. NYC is not a good location for snow showers (or any kind of showers at any time of year to be honest)...
Just a holiday home. May spend more time across there in the future. Looked at green card, would not qualify unless I won lottery or went on (very long) waiting list!!
Hoping GFS wrong and it doesn't rain there for our arrival. Looks as though it might, then freeze straight after. In any case, some moderation of temps looks likely there over Xmas.
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A veritable winter wonderland awaits you. Great choice of location for a place. I'm tempted by somewhere in Northern NE or Maine myself; great for winter weather and much more bearable in summer.
Chose NH as it is tax free. Must admit the current strength of pound v dollar and weak US house prices helped make the decision! House has 400' frontage on to Connecticut river, so looking forward to canoeing in summer too.
What made you settle 'over the pond?'
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Just spoken to my caretaker guy near Whitefield, NH. About 10" powder fallen, not too much blowing about but wind beginning to pick up now and started snowing again.
Looks like the snowmobile trails will be in good shape by the time we arrive.
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Just checked latest radar and webcams. Small(ish) area of mixed ppn S NY state looking quite fragmented now. Cold air hanging on in S New England as I thought, Boston currently -1 and heavy wet snow accumulating. Check out www.hazecam.netNew England webcams. Burlington is getting buried!
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Secondary low now deepening rapidly. The ppn so far has merely been the precursor, as this warm moisture laden air moves up the coast of S New England later the heavens will open. Would not be surprised to see rates in some areas of 2-3" per hr, especially over the north and mountains. The ski resorts have already had a pretty good start to the season, this will certainly be 'Christmas come early!'
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Going there over Xmas/New Year so looking forward to a decent white Xmas for once.
Roof is metal, so avoids snow build up by allowing heat to melt the bottom of the snow pack, allowing it to slide off...or so I've been told!
Latest GFS running a succession of storms up the Eastern Seaboard over next couple of weeks, so looks like I95 areas could get 'lucky' soon.
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I think that is unlikely. At best the secondary low may track a bit further East. The Canadian High has nothing to stop it exiting stage right so the primary low will continue to the West.
As for temps, there may be longer periods of freezing PPN in some places further East, but I can't see areas in Southern New England and Boston southward not changing over to plain rain. Southern NH may also see some freezing rain for a while.
I was not referring to the change to rain in S. New England, rather the area of intense ppn being slightly more to the east than is currently progged, i.e. N/E NY State,N Vermont/N. NH, N & WCent Maine, as well as Eastern Quebec. The models seem to be having difficulty with the cold air damming east of the Appalachians just now. Jury will return its verdict Mon am...
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Recently bought ourselves a holiday home in Northern New Hampshire, Dalton in South Coos County. Temp there at present -14, dew point -21.
Looking at the current situation, I think too much faith is being vested in the models bringing the storm too far west. I feel things may change quickly overnight so the area at most risk is shunted very slightly further east, away from west /central Quebec and into eastern Quebec and northern New England (but not the immediate coast). The reason is I think the temperature gradients are steeper than the models are currently showing, allowing a rapid deepening of the storm slightly further east than currently progged, but I would be pleased to hear of any thoughts on this.
ps, I have asked our caretaker guy to turn up the heating to keep the snow from building up on the roof!!
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No surprises to see a covering on the Cairngorm cam at the moment - left my work at 5 today and there was a significant chill wind and temperature of only 8°
http://www.cairngormmountain.com/cams/image2.jpg
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Yes, came through Glenshee at teatime in a snow shower (2000ft, temp 2C). Covering on Cairngorms above 3500 ft. Not that unusual, but a bit earlier than the past few years.
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Did you get a photo?
Sorry, no. I have one of those mobile phones that only make phone calls!! Not going that route for another couple of weeks, so prob won't see it again til Autumn. I wonder if the webcam is back on line?
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Apparently Cairngorm had a dusting of the white stuff above the Ptarmigan yesterday! Although the webcam was conveniently out of action so couldn't take a look.
Another whitening on the tops this morning!!
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According to the forecast on the tv just now, chance of snow TONIGHT in the highlands. Have they gone barmy or this really possible?
Damn! In the midst of typing this, I was beaten to it. At least I now know I didn't imagine it...
I drove through the Spey Valley to Inverness this morning, and the Cairngorms had a fresh dusting of snow on the tops. Not really too unusual for June, would be more unlikely (though not impossible) in July/Aug. If we therefore determine that the date when the lowest chance of snow occurs (prob late July, say 20th for sake of argument!), then the snowfall today will be possibly the last of the season. After 20/7, it will be 1st of the new season.
Now let's get a life and pray for SUMMER!!
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Wow Nick that sounds optimistic, are you really that confident that after a brief mild interlude across most of the uk that colder air will advance south westwards? Hope you are right because it will keep shetland cold for many days to come..
Frosty, Hi. The UKMO Fax at T132 certainly does seem to suggest just that. Interestingly the constant light easterly flow here in inland Aberdeenshire has given us 4-6" of lying snow for the past couple of days. Perhaps with that in mind, Matty may care to join us here now that his winter is 'over?'
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
in Weather Around The World
Posted
March about to start on a snowy note as well with an Alberta clipper pepping up as it reaches the coast, 6-12" should keep Northern New England under the firm grip of winter for a while longer!