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mulzy

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Everything posted by mulzy

  1. Apologies mods for starting this - feel free to move to an appropriate area. Just wondering if anyone knows what the official coldest day in June in London is. I belive the temperature was 11.7C on Coronation day (June 2nd 1953) in London - anything colder than that?
  2. 41.8mm of rain since yesterday evening here. Nothing heavy now - just dribs and drabs. Maybe more later?
  3. May 2012 CET comes in at 11.7 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
  4. That band passed through (30-45 mins of rain) - one rumble of thunder and heavy rain. Nothing that special.
  5. Agreed, 2009 and 2010 were both good here. 2011 was a shocker though!
  6. Why is this boring? Probably the most appreciated type of weather expected over the next week or so - warm(ish), sunny and dry. Yes, there is a worry that like last year we may waste these superb synoptics in the wrong months, but as far as I'm concerned bring it (warm and sunny weather) on!!
  7. Two significant snowfalls - the late evening of 5th February (6cm) and the late evening of 9th February (4cm). Milder air got mixed in soon after the snowfall so only 4 days on lying snow. I know snow lasted longer further East (e.g. Kent and Essex). So 2 days of significant falling snow and 4 days of lying snow - I guess that's pretty average for London? It has to be said the 2 week period from 29th Jan to 12th Feb saved this winter from falling into the "terrible" category.
  8. 20C - early April - somewhere in London / SE 25C - late April - somewhere in London / SE 30C - late June - somewhere in London / SE 35C - not happening this year Highest temperature 33.5C - somewhere in London / SE - mid July
  9. ECM says no - the high eventually topples allowing the Atlantic to barge in - and heights do remain high to the South (story of winter 11/12 - higher than normal heights to the SouthWest/South/SouthEast)
  10. 5.5c for me - very average month, temperatures, sunshine and rainfall.
  11. Still a week or so to go but I reckon the winter CET will be GREATER than 1c above the 61-90 average - that makes it mild in my book.
  12. Did I say they were predicting a long cold winter? However, let's be frank, after READING their forecasts, it has to be said that they were way off the mark. Not having a go at them and I do appreciate the effort and science behind them, but as a said in an earlier post, are LRFs/seasonal forecasts worth the paper they are wrtitten on? The winter pattern has essentially been a PV over Greenland, Large Siberain High and a strong Euro / Azores High (delete as appropriate)
  13. Sadly it wasn't very clear where the bucketloads were going to be located....
  14. It's now very possible that all the winter months will have a positive CET temperature anomaly and the winter as a whole will categorised in the mild to very mild category. Did any one of the winter forecasts predict this? There seems to be far too much hero worship and back-slapping in this thread - just adding a bit of balance.
  15. I don't know why people are bigging up the event over the weekend in this region - rain clearing overnight on saturday then sunday will start with a frost then fine and sunny. Temps up to 7c. A NON-EVENT Of far more interest now is the exceptional warmth predicted by the end of next week.
  16. Unlikely to deliver for this region. Temperatures will be 5-6c on Sunday across most of the region, possibly 7c on the south coast. Of more interest is the very slim possibility (circa 10%) of a cold easterly end of February / early March.
  17. Please don't shoot me down but are long range forecasts worth the paper they're written on? UKMO have ditched seasonal forecasting and moved to a month ahead forecast.
  18. Light snow now - guessing 3-4cm here Yamkin did say "heavy snow expected in Croydon" - he called it right this time! -0.1c
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