mulzy

Well Feb 2012 has saved this winter from joining the likes of 88/89 etc. but am still waiting for a Feb 1991 redux - maybe one day maybe one day....

Well on my route A40/A406/A205/A3 - maybe with the exception of Kew which has a dusting. Definately 4-5cm in Harrow and 2-3cm here if not more. Snow easing off now. 0.1c

Drove down from Harrow to Raynes Park/Wimbledon this evening. The whole of West London seems to have got 2-5cm. About 3-4 cm here in RP now. Very poor forecast from Met Office - have the excuses started to flow yet? 0.2c

Temperatures have soared to 0.1c here. No snow, hardly any lying snow left too. Models suggesting the heavy snow (Thursday night/Friday event) will fall in the Midlands - probably get a dusting in this region especially the western half.

GFS 6z keeps it cold and dry this week after a little rain/sleet/snow tonight, but it's the GFS 6z. Other models confirm the cold outlook - mainly dry but potential for snow.

West of the meridian will have a thaw today - kent and essex should be safe. Tomorrow is more of a worry - general thaw everywhere I guess....

Thaw accelerating here - shame

7cm here - slight thaw now 0.7c

Snow still falling here - 8cm depth. But drip drip accelerating too... 0.6c

Still snowing here in RP - bigger flakes now 7-8cm But temperatures on the rise - been rising steadily from a "low" of -0.8c at 8pm to 0.4c now

Just been out - moderate snow still - estimate 7-8cm. Temperatures 0.2c - so was able to hear the dreaded drip-drop... Front probably crossing fater than expected and mixing in less cold air perhaps?

Heavy snow Raynes Park - not surprised Heathrow is closed (it seems like West London taking a hammering at the moment). estimate 5-6cm now But temperatures on the rise - worrying trend... -0.2c

2cm here - still moderate snow (say 7-8 on Steve's scale) - expect 6-8cm by the end of the night - maybe more -0.4c

Moderate snow now in RP - haven't seen Yamkin here - Croydon must be buried.... -0.8c

Light snow here - dusting now (except on main roads) -0.8c

Hi all - any news from Yamkin? Has the Oracle spoken? -5.1c / DP -8.2

Nonsense it may be but I'm only reflecting what the latest models are indicating....

NAE 6z and GFS 6z makes London borderline I reckon (probably snow at first late on Saturday and into Sunday then drizzle by 9am-ish). Need a further push west (similar to ECM will be good).

Snow Queen One - It will hit Yamkin first and then move East towards you. Still a hard one to call - we probably wouldn't know the extent of any potential snow till Friday evening (referring to the fronal snow here - there are snow showers expected over the next 48 hours as well) -1.1c / -8.5c DP

1.1c - cold and snowy at times, particulary in the East

Hi folks 3.9C here. Waiting for Yamkin to tell us what's going to happen this week!

Agree Tim - the ECM 240 is not a terrible chart - a few tweaks and we're in business. Anyway it's all FI.

That monster low also appears on the NOGAPS and GEM tonight at 144h - not a good sign at all very quiet in here tonight - that speaks volumes.

UKMO pretty zonal - no significant height rises around Greenland. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=1&ech=120&carte=1021 http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=1&ech=144&carte=1021

May not be particularly on-topic but the MetOffice 16-30 day forecast has been updated: "The forecast for the first half of February is very uncertain. As with the day 6 to 15 forecast, there appear to be two main scenarios, each equally probable, but which are very different. It is also fairly likely that the prevailing weather type at the end of January will continue into February. The first scenario consists of a changeable westerly or southwesterly type, with rain at times (amounts greatest in the west), and with temperatures noticeably above average for early February, with only occasional frosts. The alternative scenario is that very much colder weather, with winds from an easterly or northeasterly quarter, will prevail well into February, bringing widespread frosts, and snow to some areas. In this scenario it would be the east that was most vulnerable to snowfall" Seems like there is a slightly less than 50% chance of cold weather in early February - ties in with some of the ensemble model output I guess....