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mackerel sky

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Posts posted by mackerel sky

  1. Thats what ive been looking at!!any idea of what time it will arrive?6am maybe!!

    Probably won't become obvious until it comes closer to the coast on the radar. There are some tentative signs already around the Wash, but 6am looks like a reasonable guess! South Lincolnshire looks like the favoured spot if I were to go out on a limb.

  2. i probably know them if they have lived here long enough,we still got snow drifts up Healyfield from the first snowfall last month.here's another great site for all things footie 6 quid a month and superb.

    http://www.premieradlive.com/speed.htm

    They drink in the Fleece in Castleside and have a B&B on the A68. I'm not aware that side of the family has ever ventured much further than Shotley Bridge (my mum is a Consett lass - nearly 70 now!).

  3. Yes mate its looking good for us later tonight into tomorrow.

    What I find ironic is when we were following this E,ly much of the focus was for the SE to see the most snow but it appears NE England is and will be in the sweet zone.

    Note the trough clearing our location tomorrow.

    http://www.meteociel...ax24s.gif?22-18

    The area you highlighted is the trough.

    I'm from NE Yorkshire originally and whatever happens they always get something. Wind direction is perfect really. Don't know what its like up the road in Peterborough but we've had very light snow all evening - flakes not grains.

  4. Heavy snow in darlo a nice covering

    Is the Boro Millwall match on TV tomorrow night, just noticed it's an evening kick off? Chances of finding a pub that has it on is a different matter down here.

    Assume its snowing in Yarm then also - my hometown - particularly if the showers have got inland as far as Darlo.

    Only very light snow on and off here for what its worth.

  5. All sounds good but a straight northerly is no good for us. Get a westerly element to it though and suddenly it's a lot more interesting. The alternative is get a trough or two into the northerly flow.

    As for now...same as really. Small flakes still flying around.

    A bit 'heavier' here, but very light snow. Remember that the Midlands thread covers a large area! A strong NWly can mean even here we get the showers that dodge the southern Peak District and sneak through, albeit weakened. But generally its far less of interest for this part of the Midlands. A strong NNE flow has worked for here in the past, prefer a NEly. But that is no good for anyone west of here really.

  6. Had snow grains on and off. Polystyrene balls on top of the wheelie bin. Not sure about Wash development at the moment, seem to be in a bit of convective gap. But a straight NEly off the Wash can sometimes deliver something to East Northants. Tends to die beyond Wellingborough because the river valley (Nene) changes to be orientated more ENE towards Northampton, rather than straight NE upto Peterborough and the flat lands of the Fens. Usually we get the dying embers.

    Anything that falls until Monday afternoon would be snow I think. Didn't get above 0.6C here today. The dewpoint went on the rise from 4pm - normally considered a bad thing, but in this juncture maybes a good thing!

  7. Couldn't disagree more about teleconnections. I have an awful lot of respect for people that use those signals and can fully understand them and the various relationships between them. Its the future of forecasting (alongside nwp) and while its still pretty much in its infancy, without people like gp, chiono, brickfielder etc it would never progress.

    If its progressed then fair comment. I'm a Geophysicist, so in my industry there is stuff from ten years ago that wasn't viable - because of the computational restraints and signal/noise limits which are realised now. I should take another look, but when it was first being used as a tool it seemed a bit hit and miss. Thanks for the heads up, because I always read Brickfielder's comments with interest.

  8. You are kidding? TEITS is one of the best members on here and not an IMBY poster! You say since 2004 yet you have only joined this year?

    Who is this suggesting TETIS is an IMBY poster? TETIS is the first person to downplay potential nowadays in a rational manner. Yes in those heady early days of the forum, 10 years ago we were utterly optimistic, and probably didn't have the responsibilties we have now (on a personal level more likely). Or been brow broken by ~ 10 years of model watching and commenting in this forum and observing 50% of failed easterlies etc etc. I was comfortable posting in the model thread up until about 4 years ago, but not anymore. Its alot of jargon that either i've failed to keep track with, or its just for effect. I gave up when people started using teleconnections as the flavour of the month yet they were never born out as a serious long range forecasting tool I felt. I get +NAO -NAO and stratospheric warming as indicators, but I don't like show offs - and I can't compete with them. Its nice to retreat to these regional threads. Shame the Midlands one is dead - so seeing as North Cambridgeshire is 4 miles away I'm crashing with you lot.

  9. gfs-0-336.png?18

    gfs-1-336.png?18

    gfs-2-348.png?18

    gfs-12-336.png?18

    gfs-13-348.png?18

    would be interesting

    rofl.gif

    8th of March?!?! Are you mad! There is the hint of some ensemble agreement last time I looked after the current cold gets filled in, but still!!! And anyway the minute the sun comes out in March, it would take an exceptional amount of snow cover to be retained during the day. I remember even this time in Feb 2010 when I had a foot in the shade, and nothing in the sun - but the current conditions are colder than that, under cloudy skies. Next door is rented and poorly maintained so I was surprised tonight to find a foot long icicle hanging off their gutters. I didn't think it was that cold. Bodes well I suppose!

  10. Whilst the focus has been on the Thames maybe its the Wash that some of us should keep an eye on.

    http://expert-images...022212_2118.gif

    http://expert-images...022312_2118.gif

    http://www.meteociel...ax48s.gif?21-12

    Far more evidence from the above suggests its the Wash rather than the Thames that could see more in the way of snow.

    Been a while since a good Wash Streamer got going. Conditions on Saturday look very good.

  11. A walk through the park earlier made me want spring. A quick glance over the model discussion thread made me want to hang myself, irrespective of the outcome. My god there are some whingers. In fairness I wouldn't mind one last shot at cold and snow - but that's me lot. If it doesn't happen, on a lovely morning like to today who gives a rats toss.

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