Cal

Yes, it's much further North and West of what the models were predicting, if it carries on we may see a few flurries later :lol: .

Depends how far North the cloud cover gets, expect some moderation of those temps when if/it arrives, but the winds should be fairly light Southerly or S/Easterly. I'm not sure if the main band of precipitation will get any further NW as in the last hour it is starting to pivot, looks good for South Lincs though.

In the last hour temps have plummeted from +0.5 to -2.2 :lol: , expect they will moderate somewhat with the cloud approaching from the South.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/yh/yh_forecast_warnings.html Currently it is a little more NW than expected, the eastern and southern side of Lincs will possibly be the best bet to see any precipitation coming up from the south, be interesting to watch the track of this feature and how the models performed with it.

Early part of the night may see the lowest temps around here, but the wind is forecasted to strengthen slightly which will take the edge of them somewhat, a minus 10 can't be ruled out . Those showers look ace over the Peninnes really panoramic!

Looks like showers are now starting to progress well inland along with an associated trough through the Cheshire gap, those who missed out yesterday are in for a real treat today .

Very chilly good morning to you all , looks like the western side of the UK has its turn today with beefy showers pushing through the Cheshire gap , some fantastic output this morning from the models, with cold & snow never that far from our shores and a re-load looking very good, the UK-MetO is simply stunning 120 0600 GFS has the low further south and east at 120. http://91.121.94.83/modeles/gfs/run/gfsnh-0-120.png?0 Whilst the ECM has it further North, it will be an interesting battleground for the big day , It seems the cold air is getting harder to shift with each run and looking well into F.I. serious Northern blocking continues it's momentum. http://91.121.94.83/modeles/gfs/run/gfsnh-0-216.png?0

B) Huge snowflakes B)

YUP

Some rather large snowflakes falling from the sky :lol:

If you have a glance at the latest FAX Chart you will see the tripole position on the western side of the UK, to the East of this should be mostly snow, to the west possibly rain/sleet combo, it may start of as sleet but it will quickly turn to snow, dewpoints are favourable at around -1 to start with and rising slightly but then dropping of considerably, also the NMM Model currently picks up a slight increase in precipitation over the Yorkshire area more esp East you are, rough estimates are 1-2" of lying snow from this front but the further east say N.Y Moors, E.Riding and N.E Lincs possibly 2-5" of lying snow come Sun am. On the plus side there maybe a further event Monday as well . http://www.meteociel.com/ukmo/fax/fax0s.gif

Having had a quick look at the NMM Model it appears our chances are somewhat of a double whammy at the moment, the showers will beef up in N.Yorks later but they will only move slowly south in the later in the wee hours of morning, along with a decreasing wind it's a sod's law for N.lincs, but we may catch the odd rogue one or two, later on sat looks ok at the moment .

Wilst we have a slight covering here, the shower 'train' is just to the north by a couple of miles!! Sometimes we have caught the rag ends of a train but generally it's frustrating one!

As the low over the Southern N.Sea moves South, so will the shower 'train' that's currently around N.Yorks, it's a very slow process, but hopefully showers will become more widespread further south as the night progresses, the down side is the winds are expected to moderate somewhat so they won't push inland as far later on.

That's not a bad Fax chart for Yorks & Lincs. .

Hopefully, looking at things there is a more organised band in the N.Sea (trough development?), so a few are going to be well pleased. .

Hail & snow showers getting a bit more regular this pm, we do seem a tadge south for the main shower activity, but at least we've got the first snow of the winter , going to be fun and games this evening for a few :wacko: .

Well the NE wind has started to set in here , Netweather radar showing showers in N.Yorks as sleet & snow, can anyone confirm this?

The colder uppers start coming in late evening around 9pm. The showers really get going around thurs morning according to the Hi-Res NMM Model, with the latest model run going for an area from East Riding to the Wash to get a decent chance of snowfall, the showers peak in the early/mid afternoon, but tomorrow mornings NMM update may shift this risk slightly further north or slightly further south.

Patience Grashopper! As the winds swing N/NW and the low pulls down from the North on Saturday then most will see a good dusting. Convective showers coming in of the N.Sea tomorrow are almost a nowcast situation, whilst the models will have some idea of general shower pattern and the areas, someone will get a good few cm's along the east half Yorks/Lincs yet just a few miles away nothing.

Given that there's a window of 30-35mph winds, i think one or two showers will make it across

Light Rain now falling onto a frozen ground, a little miffed that it didn't start of as snow but that will get here in the next 36-48hrs, must be very slippery out there with still a visible frost .

Precip not too far away now (15mins or so) still a hard frost on the ground, cloud cover building nicely. low mist, will i see the first flurries of the winter? .

Ok thanks, still got a fairly decent frost here with the clouds seemingly melting above, accordinging to the nw radar precip now turning to sleet just north of the Humber, be interesting to see what we get here in N.Lincs :lol:

Any confirmations of what the precip is coming down from the north? Should be bumping into the colder air very shortly :lol: .