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Weather Wonder

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Everything posted by Weather Wonder

  1. Weather Wonder
    I think the biggest concern regarding tomorrows rain to snow event is that it forecast to occur during rush hour for most of the region and due to the preceding heavy rain gritting the roads will be a waste of time.
  2. Weather Wonder
    Even the METO think there is a possibility of 15CM and blizzards i don't think 10CM is too far off the mark especially for higher ground in the sweet spot and possibly to lower ground.
  3. Weather Wonder
    Heavy sleet here atm, looks like the warm sector is clearing hopefully will get some proper snow here soon.
  4. Weather Wonder
    We don't get kentimeters here in Surrey
  5. Weather Wonder
    Without taking an in depth look at the latest output I think the gfs is more likely to be correct in modelling the tropical low than ukmo, I expect to see the ukmo backtrack slightly and most likely meet halfway with the gfs.
  6. Weather Wonder
    It was forecast from 2pm as shown in my avatar, the actual event didn't start in my location until at least 6 hours later but if i remember correctly a streamer had been called here a few times and the SE was under an amber warning for at least a day before it turned red.
  7. Weather Wonder
    Can't see why the Meto have a warning for thursday, can't see much potential on the Euro4 or NetWx-Sr although the latter does correctly forecast there may be a few tears in here for anyone taking the warnings seriously.
  8. Weather Wonder
    In the last 4 years we have had some of the snowiest and coldest winters in recent times, it has certainly raised the bar, i can count on one hand the amount of times there was enough snow to make a snowball in my location from the mid 90's onwards, YES it can and does happen but its certainly not to be expected or something which happens often. A few flakes of settling snow is great, anything extra is a bonus personally, while the uppers are in place during what is typically the coldest part of the year many suprises could be just around the corner and it seems the breakdown keeps getting pushed into FI.
  9. Weather Wonder
    Lets hope another butterfly flaps its wings in japan next week when we have colder uppers in place, you would have thought they would factor this in to the weather models by now They could always bring out the BFS Butterfly Forecasting System
  10. Weather Wonder
    Just goes to show how marginal this is, a couple miles south its a damp squib with a few flakes so far. Evaporative cooling in the heavier showers seems to be the difference at the moment.
  11. Weather Wonder
    Exactly the same here just turned to snow after strong winds and sleet, think its a bit wet here for settling snow however, but we shall see.. can't complain first flakes for nearly two years
  12. Weather Wonder
    Heavy showers incoming http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/map/gcpe4jfzg#?map=Rainfall&fcTime=1422504000&zoom=9&lon=-0.67&lat=51.22
  13. Weather Wonder
    Sorry, couldn't help myself.
  14. Weather Wonder
    Trying not to go off topic but.. frontal normally reasonably accurate within 72h depending on how typical the LP system is, for anything else i wouldn't base a forecast from it. Thanks for the link will take a look but my opinion remains the same. Ok have viewed the link, no mention of a GFS bias but does back up my views on my earlier post regarding tomorrow, There will be a few suprises for better or worse.
  15. Weather Wonder
    meh, hope the newbies don't get their hopes up or think gfs can forecast showers properly.
  16. Weather Wonder
    If your taking GFS precipitation totals seriously let alone from 2 days out and the pub run! !! You should expect to be very disapointed.
  17. Weather Wonder
    Forget what might happen in the next few days, when its in the range of euro4 etc maybe we can ramp a little. In the mean time there is potential in the next 36 hours for the west of the region at the very least but anything could happen, i think there could be a few suprises. All eyes on euro4 and radar tomorrow afternoon for those of us who have not seen a flake for two years.
  18. Weather Wonder
    If you want to do one like others members do you must make sure its in favour of your location. Think we need at least another 24 hours before anyone can post realistic snow risk maps as the showers are looking pretty hit and miss, they may not even reach some parts of the region.
  19. Weather Wonder
    How different is it to looking for a change from zonality
  20. Weather Wonder
    Welcome to Netweather, you must be new here.
  21. Weather Wonder
    METO are going for a streamer to form. Looks like a Thames streamer tries to setup looking at the other frames but nothing more than patchy showers.
  22. Weather Wonder
    Not looking good if thats the case i can't verify the temp as the other half of my weather station went missing. :(
  23. Weather Wonder
    Are we all still forecast 1ft of snow or do you expect the rapidly rising temps to affect your forecast?
  24. Weather Wonder
    Conditions aren't favourable for freezing rain in this region, but if they were i would choose it over snow any day.
  25. Weather Wonder
    Maybe if you had based your last few predictions on what the models where showing instead of hopecasting you might have been closer to the mark on this event and the last event, I feel sorry for any newbies who are waiting for there 1ft of snow. No doubt you will be back with another outrageous forecast at the next possibility of snow.
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