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Jane Louise

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Everything posted by Jane Louise

  1. Ahhh yes Carl! let's hope something gives this week. I have just been outside and the cloud has cleared.Definately much radar watching to do this week. July is usually a good month for thunderstorms so lets hope it happens.
  2. Hmmmm, we just need to nudge that warning up a little towards Glos. Oh, and Wrexham I'm sure we'll get more warnings for almost everyone as time goes on! Saturday is looking great for Cheltenham.
  3. Lol Oooh Liam noooooo you mustn't hope for a severe storm, you should know that by now! anyway it's looking really good this week so much potential there. Will we all be out of the NSC? time will tell i'm sure .
  4. Hmmm why would Liam lock it when it's my yearly thread!! Nah sorry, I open one every year! you only got to see how many of us have been in there for the past six years!
  5. Cheers Liam. I shall be keeping a strict eye on this thread. Anything silly or off topic will be deleted from now on.
  6. Awww good luck. If nothing happens I expect you'll end up in The No Storms Club. We hope not though!
  7. Just walked my dog across the fields and stopped to shelter in the barns as the sky turned really thundery and dark. nothing happened though lol. Lots of convection now building to my west.
  8. Excellent let's hope this follows through. I can't wait. Yesterday was so exciting even though I didn't get anything. I love storm days. you just never know your luck.
  9. There's a massive cell building outside my back door across the field.I think the cap may of been broken.Wow, if that turns into a storm ...... lol
  10. After really hot sunshine just having a heavy hail shower here.Nothing on radar though!
  11. Distant thunder 5 minutes ago! Oh, please please come this way. fingers crossed it hears me lol
  12. Nothing happened here as usual lol. I should of known better the storms from South wales were heading North but they came so close to me on the NW extra radar ! hoping something later may head my way .
  13. Its gone really dark to my West.Im off outside with my camera lol
  14. Tornado anyone? TORRO TORNADO WATCH 2012/004 A TORNADO WATCH has been issued at 0740GMT on Thursday 28th June 2012 Valid from/until: 0740 - 2000GMT on Thursday 28th June 2012, for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Eire: Parts of (see map) Wales Midlands E Anglia N England Southern and central Scotland THREATS Tornadoes; hail to 40mm diameter; wind gusts to 65mph; Frequent CG lightning SYNOPSIS Plume of high theta-w air has advected across much of Britain overnight with a large upper trough approaching from the west. At the surface, a cold front will move north-eastwards through the day. Diffluent upper flow ahead of the trough is bringing forcing for ascent across portions of Wales already, and a number of thunderstorms have developed. At this stage they are likely marginally elevated above a coolish boundary layer, but strong cloud-layer shear suggests large hail to 20-30mm is possible with this early activity, with elevated supercells possible, with clusters of storms are likely. Gusty winds also possible. This activity is expected to continue to move NNE and NE through this morning. Although there is a fair amount of mid-level cloud associated with the widespread large-scale ascent ahead of the trough, enough diurnal heating of the boundary layer is expected to allow storms to become surface based as the cluster of storms moves through the Midlands into N England, and later, Scotland. With 30-40 knots of deep layer shear, well-organised multicells and embedded supercell structures are likely. 20-30mm diameter hail and gusts to 60mph are possible. In addition, isolated tornadoes are possible. In the wake of this activity, and across the more south-eastern parts of the WATCH area, further thunderstorms are expected to develop and the move north-east, although these will be more isolated with south-eastern extent. Modified ascents for afternoon temperatures suggest around 1200-1800 J/Kg of SBCAPE. WIth 0-6km shear remaining around 40 knots, and perhaps increasing a little, well-organised multicells and isolated supercells seem possible. With 0-1km SREH of ~150 J/Kg and fairly low LCLS, a few tornadoes may develop with this activity. Indeed, should an isolated supercell develop in an area with decent surface heating, a strong tornado cannot be ruled out. Hail to 40mm or so and wind gusts to 65mph possible with supercells too; otherwise, 20-30mm hail and 55mph gusts. If this activity can develop into northern parts of England too, it may tend more towards a squall line, with an associated wind threat. The activity will end from the south-west through the afternoon and evening as the cold front moves in. Forecaster: RPK http://www.torro.org.uk/site/forecast.php
  15. http://www.euclid.org/realtime.html http://meteocentre.c...?time=0〈=en
  16. Ok folks, you asked for it! here's a new thread. Now get your happy hats on lol and join in the happy discussion of what may lie ahead... Yay lolAnd for some reason if the storms disappoint or let you down head over to the No Storms Club for a good moan OK
  17. Just been catching up on this thread and would like to stress that this place is NO place for arguements. .. We should all be excited and happy so please let's all just look forward to what lies ahead and be happy.Come on, you can do it... and remember any moans or groans, pop over to the NSC that's what we're there for.
  18. This is all so exciting It's going to be a long night. Thank you to all who have posted up charts and forecasts keeping us updated. I really can't wait to see what happens.There's so much potential there! I'm going to remain optimistic and if for some reason we don't get a storm there's always going to be a next time.
  19. As much as I like to be optimistic, I'm treading very careful this time! many times I have seen this kind of exciting set-up only to have been let down and disapointed nearer the time. I'm going to keep an open mind and hopefully there could be a few suprises as yet. Definately exciting to see charts that idicate so much potential.
  20. Thanks Pete! my dongle disconnected lol had to wait a while to get back online.
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