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Fitzwis

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Everything posted by Fitzwis

  1. Fitzwis
    It’s reassuring to see our local GoJ taking Storm Ciaran very seriously ...
  2. Fitzwis
    We’ll do our best to do so and thank you
  3. Fitzwis
    The strongest gusts recorded in Jersey reached 96mph during The Great Storm of 87’ so Storm Ciaran could well surpass those values here
  4. Fitzwis
    Also, the number of ocean based weather stations was far less at the time so the limited data the Met Office had access to coupled with outdated forecasting models was a recipe for disaster. Soon after The Great Storm, the Met Office received funding to rectify these issues
  5. Fitzwis
    I recall the use of those words too but can’t remember which storm it was for or when. But if my memory serves me correctly, they were used for shipping areas off the West coast of Scotland, namely Rockall and Bailey
  6. Fitzwis
    And now the UK Met Office shipping forecast for our sea area (Portland) and sea areas to our immediate South and West (namely Plymouth, Sole, Biscay and Fitzroy) has really upped the ante ...
  7. Fitzwis
    Definitely. The Splash Cam (if not blown away) should give some incredible live images as it looks West over St Ouen’s Bay ... Splashcam | Watersplash Jersey WWW.WATERSPLASHJERSEY.COM Check out the livestream of St. Ouen's Bay from the Watersplash.
  8. Fitzwis
    Just been out with the bulldogs for their last walk here, probably until Friday morning. This image is taken from our South Coast looking South South West over St Aubin’s Bay. The tide is currently on its way in and once in, we doubt there’ll be much of a drop overnight due to rapidly falling pressure, increasing wind and storm surge. Not too many problems anticipated with this evenings high tide but tomorrow morning’s truly is a thing of concern ...
  9. Fitzwis
    The Channel Islands updated shipping forceast for Storm Ciaran makes for more sobering reading - 95 knot gusts which in old money is 103mph. Admittedly that’s over open water. Therefore, the islands topography will cause a small reduction in gust speed over land but not much so please heed the warnings my friends ...
  10. Fitzwis
    My bad
  11. Fitzwis
    Apologies Jo. I'll edit any shared links in the future Sobering ...
  12. Fitzwis
    Fingers crossed the webcam holds fast as the images from it will be extraordinary, considering its location ... Splashcam | Watersplash Jersey WWW.WATERSPLASHJERSEY.COM Check out the livestream of St. Ouen's Bay from the Watersplash.
  13. Fitzwis
    High tide here on Thursday is at 08:40 at a height of 33.1ft or 10.1m. Considering our range goes up to almost 40ft or 12m it’s not the highest of tides. However, the storm surge, fierce winds, deep low pressure and predicted large swell will heighten this considerably and allow for increased tidal drop resistance which could be devastating for our coastal areas, partcularly Southern and Western coastlines. Not good.
  14. Fitzwis
    Indeed ... worrying times for many ... https://www.itv.com/news/channel/2023-10-31/storm-ciarn-officials-tell-channel-islands-residents-to-stay-at-home
  15. Fitzwis
    Absolutely. We lost many trees during The Great Storm of 87' and it's taken the last 36 years or so to recover much of the foliage lost during that event. Everything crossed for downgrades although I fear we're now inside the 72 hour reliable model timeframe and it's not looking too rosy. Our only saving grace will be if the strongest winds occur from the south west and west as the island's topography provides an element of shelter from these directions.
  16. Fitzwis
    Our tide is progged to be 33.1ft Thursday morning at 08:40 so yours can’t be far off. Coupled with deep low pressure and fierce winds, this will be notably higher so expect flooding along South and West coasts of both islands. And if anything, with Guernsey being slightly further North and with the low forecast on its current trajectory, you should record the slightly higher windspeeds although I think I know what you’re saying Interesting times for us all here. Thursday mornings update for Guernsey is very similar to ours so will be interesting to see when a red warning is issued and if they advise all islanders to stay indoors ...
  17. Fitzwis
    Jersey Met Office Thursday morning forecast makes interesting reading. No doubt a red warning will be issued by them nearer the time followed by a meeting of the department of infrastructure and education. If islanders aren’t advised to stay indoors, I’ll be very surprised ...
  18. Fitzwis
    Indeed. Will be interesting to see how our local met predict and handle this one, including when warnings will be issued encompassing tide alerts. Stay safe my friend.
  19. Fitzwis
    Interesting to note the Great Storm of 87 lowest recorded pressure was circa 953mb. One to keep a sharp eye on for sure, especially here in the CI and for those in Southern England and Northern France.
  20. Fitzwis
  21. Fitzwis
    Isle of Portland gusting to 74mph ...
  22. Fitzwis
    A rogue wave perhaps? Unlikely though but still, Noa appears to be packing a bit more of a punch than anticipated. Worth keeping an eye on.
  23. Fitzwis
    Some very impressive max gusts recorded so far today from Storm Noa: Perranporth Harbour buoy G99mph at 1010Z Prawle Point G85mph at 1043Z Treknow Gull Rock nr Tintagel G84mph at 1050Z Rame Head G73mph at 1122Z Battening down the hatches here in the Channel Islands with the strongest winds expected between 2 and 5pm. Stay safe everyone ...
  24. Fitzwis
    Hey Everyone Here's a short clip of the tempest that hit us here in Jersey yesterday evening at around 7:30pm, following a temperature of 32.7c recorded at Maison St Louis Observatory during the afternoon. Not quite a record breaker for us but close nonetheless. The temperature gauge in the car fell from around the 30c mark to 20c in a matter of minutes, soon after being hit by the deluge. And I have to say, it was intense to say the least 10000000_687373108479442_6555036978920036745_n.mp4
  25. Fitzwis
    Almost a constant rumbling of thunder here in Jersey with frequent lightning together with moderate to heavy rainfall
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