The model output tonight just confirms my view that this is going to be one of those close but no cigar scenarios. Shame, because that's a massive push of cold to our east trying to make inroads. But it isn't allowed to make enough progress for it to really make a mark and so the temperatures might be of more note during this rather curtailed spell of cold weather than any snowfall we might get. We should at last see some decent minima and maxima recorded throughout the region, a much needed reminder that we are actually in winter.
The UKMO called this one right all along I think and the weekend will bring milder conditions. Longer term, might we get another bite at the cherry? Maybe. Certain factors are working in our favour. But we'll see. If it can go wrong, it will. For now I'll be thankful for what we have, which isn't much from a snow lover's point-of-view, but it's a start, and continue to monitor the only model worth following the UKMO (along with the NAE and NMM in the shorter term for more accurate snowfall projection) for any further developments.