Supercell Hunters
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Anyways, getting very gusty here from SE atm. Max gust was 62.5km/hr, Byron Bay was highest at 65km/hr. Heavy massive rainband coming down here from the SEQLD!!!
Forecasts having troubles atm. I not sure whats going on. Seemed a bit hard to make this event accurate!
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I love SE to NE winds onshore. Nice humidity, good warmth and wetness hehe.
PS: The satellite getting far more interesting now!!
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Warnings
Gale Warning north of Seal Rocks for THURSDAY.
Strong Wind Warning from Seal Rocks to Broken Bay for THURSDAY.
Synoptic Situation
A strong high will move into the southern Tasman Sea today and direct south to southeast winds over the NSW coast. A low is expected to develop off the Queensland south coast during Thursday. Early on Friday the low is expected to intensify rapidly near the NSW/QLD border, then move south, with wind along the northern half of the coast increasing further through Friday and Saturday. The wind direction and strength forecast along the northern half of the coast for these days is uncertain and will depend heavily on the path of the low. A powerful long period E'ly swell may occur in the north on Thursday in advance of the development of this low; the result of a strong high pressure system to the east of New Zealand.
Far North Coastal Waters, Point Danger to Wooli and 60nm seawards:
Gale Warning for THURSDAY.
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 18/23 knots. Sea: about 2 metres. Swell: E about 1.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: E/SE 20/25 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots during the day and reaching 34/40 knots later. Sea: 2 to 2.5 metres, rising to 3 to 3.5 metres during the day. Swell: E/SE 2.5 to 3 metres. Heavy rain developing later. Isolated thunderstorms.
Friday Outlook: Wind: N/NE 20/30 knots, possibly stronger, shifting NW/SW 25/35 knots. Heavy rain.
Saturday Outlook: Wind: SW 20/30 knots, possibly stronger.
Forecast for Thursday
Rain periods developing. Possible moderate to heavy falls. Moderate to fresh and gusty southeast winds.
Lismore: Rain periods. Min: 11 Max: 19
Cape Byron: Rain periods. Min: 15 Max: 18
Grafton: Rain periods. Min: 13 Max: 19
Forecast for Friday
Rain periods. Possible moderate to heavy falls. Fresh to strong and gusty north to northeast winds, turning moderate to fresh northwest to southwest during the day.
Lismore: Rain periods. Min: 13 Max: 17
Forecast for Saturday
Fine. Gusty south to southwest winds.
Lismore: Fine. Min: 9 Max: 22
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Wait a minute! This is no fun! A magic copycat low pressure of the US hurricanes??
Both Moree and Warrego radars showing some massive rainbands forming with near perfect cloud formation on satellite. From nothing in past 24hours! Gale wind warning for here tomorrow. Looks like gonna be ugly rain/wind event due to low pressure could form anywhere over us! Friday could be worse, even winds could hit 100km/hr at times and even some localized flooding?
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Its Spring here already. Wet and wild weather comes in from tomorrow until the weekend before hotter northernlies next week.
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Northern Rivers Max/Mins Today
Byron Bay: 17.4-25.1
Ballina: 16.5-27.8
Lismore: 13.4-28.5
Casino: 15.4-27.8
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Was 16 degrees last night, warmest night for 2 and half months! Atm its 23.9 degrees at 10am.
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Conditions at Ballina AWS @ 2:20pm
Temp: 22.4
Dewpoint: 20.5
Wind: 5knots SE
Humidity: 91%
Feels like: 24.7
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Great weather for us going ahead into September!! Getting hotter for both mins and maxes! So yea still rainy, just isolated to scattered.
Conditions for next few days.
Tomorrow
Showers 13-25
Sunday
Showers 15-27
Monday
Clearing 12-23
Tuesday
Sunny 12-24
Wednesday
Rain and thunderstorms increasing 15-26
Thursday
Rain periods and isolated thunderstorms 17-20
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Here just one of photos from yesterday's storm that had hail and flash flooding reported. Scored huge 41mm of rain during the hours from the storms. Lennox Head copped it worst for 2cm stones. Ballina airport only reported small hailstones, 45km/hr wind gusts and 32mm of rainfalls. My best photos of the gust front is on other camera.
More showers and storms this evening and tomorrow!
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Had a storm this afternoon. Very intense rainfalls and hail reported locally. Recorded 25mm here. No hail, but was down the road. Forecasts for us in next few days.
Tomorrow: Thunderstorms in afternoon, 9-20
Friday: Thunderstorms. 9-21
Saturday: Late thunder. 11-24
Sunday: Thunderstorms. 14-26
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STW is out for our area for damaging wind and large hailstones. Pretty very warm and sticky here atm. Nice updrafts and local thunderstorms firing up. Most activity just in front of the souther'ly change.
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WIND
For people in the
NORTHERN RIVERS and parts of the
MID NORTH COAST and
NORTHERN TABLELANDS Forecast Districts.
Issued at 12:45 pm Wednesday, 27 August 2008.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Lismore, Grafton, Kyogle, Yamba, Maclean and Woolgoolga.
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Hello. Wheres my welcome back msg?
Getting warmer here during the week. Storms back on Wednesday. UV index climbing to very high soon.
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Heyyyyyy i'm back!!!!!!!!!!!!! No long seen guys!! OMG i'm still here lol.
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We had our first storm yesterday. We had damaging wind gusts up to 100km/hr, pea sized hailstones and flash flooding.
Okies i uploaded a video clip of damaging wind gusts surrounded with mircobursts and hailstones.
Enjoy!
PS: You may hear my voice hehe.
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Total of 91mm from that huge storm from this morning, nice heating here atm before 2nd round of severe cells coming, likely to get something even outlooks to northwest and southwest towards the coast.
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for FLASH FLOODING, LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WIND
For people in the
NORTHERN RIVERS,
NORTHERN TABLELANDS and parts of the
MID NORTH COAST Forecast Districts.
Issued at 2:03 pm Thursday, 27 March 2008.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce very heavy rainfall, flash flooding, large hailstones and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Lismore, Grafton, Coffs Harbour, Port Macquarie, Armidale and Tenterfield.
Ballina had a rainfall observation of 65 mm in about half an hour this morning.
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Holy crap!!!!!! Woken up by a large intense thunderstorm, damaging winds gusts up to 75km/hr and over 80mm of rain in 30mins! Serious flash flooding going on here on island streets, drains overflowing and parks underwater already! Now its still pouring down monsoonal incredibly with some lightning strikes and booming thunder and expecting to see going over 100mm in hour!
More showers and storms this afternoon before a change.
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Finally might see some lightning back today, nice cells firing up on radar moving northwards along the weak souther'ly change with high humidity and dewpoints. Very nice updrafts and instability outside with some heating. Some towers out west has some features that having an anvil. Hopefully get something!
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Very strange in last 10 days, heatwaves now added for central southern country now since the western had, so likely to move onto the eastern including here sometime this easter with severe storms redeveloping. Few severe cells near Canberra the capital now......blazing heat with many days over 35 degrees at Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth, much alot hotter inland including Broken Hill, Mildura, Marble Bar, Woomera, Port Augusta and so on. Here is just like spring like conditions with odd showers with Se breezes. Days r over 25 and nights sitting ducks around 20. Just pleasant in nights and very humid days.
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Theres already a topic of australian weather in here, we dont have to merge it though?
Weather here isnt cold, icy?:S Im so confused......im only on northern nsw coast and described as mild to hot and very muggiest summer ever......even though its wettest on record!
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Good old wintry type days here today, refreshingly cool day with gusty southeast winds but easing though with isolated showers.......'isolated' means for here is nothing to get otherwise you might ended up getting a freak monsoonal like shower especially we had 25mm from that last night!
Well it seems something for sure of rainfall total.....961.3mm of rain so far for 2008!!
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Maxed out at 36 degrees at 1pm today before a strong to gust 55km/hr gusts southerly change and it kept the temp below 30's now! Alot cooler and very pleasant!
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Its very hot this morning....temperatures hit low 30's just after 9am and now (10am) reaching 33-35 degrees! The humidity is also high aswell due to 20 degrees plus dewpoints which might be a good sign for a storm this afternoon.
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Continuing showery continues here last few days and temperatures finally getting warmer, expecting to reach into 30's during this week plus a possible another severe weather event! Showing a deep low pressure coming towards the coast on this week!
Forecast for Tuesday
Scattered showers. Southeast wind gradually strengthening in the north.
Lismore: A few showers. Min: 19 Max: 27
Forecast for Wednesday
Scattered showers. Southeast wind, fresh to strong near the coast.
Lismore: Few showers. Min: 20 Max: 28
Synoptic Situation
A high, presently located near Tasmania, is moving slowly east and is expected to move into the southern Tasman Sea during the day. The high is directing a south to southeast airstream along New South Wales coast which will turn more northeasterly in the south. There is an increasing likelihood of the development of a deep low in northern Tasman Sea/Coral Sea during next week, with a hint that the low might track towards the Queensland/NSW border towards the latter part of the week.
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Now its cat 2 and reaching cat 4 later tomorrow parallel coast!
Australia Severe Weather Season 2008/9
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
Heavy rain sets in across northeast New South Wales
Press Release, Thursday September 4, 2008 - 14:32 EST
Northeast New South Wales is receiving a drenching this afternoon, with more rain on the way for the rest of the week, according to weatherzone.com.au.
Rainfall totals in excess of 50mm were reported from the Hunter and Mid North Coast districts in the 24 hours to 9am today, while falls of up to an inch have been recorded today in the Northern Rivers district.
A Flood Watch is in force for many river systems in the Northern Rivers district, including the Tweed Valley, Brunswick Valley and Richmond River systems. A Severe Weather Warning is also in effect for the Northern Rivers warning of the potential for flash flooding.
"A low pressure system that is forming over southeast Queensland is directing moist easterly winds across northeast New South Wales. As these winds are forced to rise over the ranges, heavy rain results," weatherzone.com.au meteorologist Matt Pearce said.
"The low will move further south on Friday, so winds and rain will increase along the northern half of the New South Wales coast. We are looking at widespread totals between 50 and 100 millimetres, with some local falls even higher than that."
Large seas will also be whipped up along the New South Wales coastline, peaking across the weekend, as the low moves out into the Tasman.
Top Priority for Immediate Broadcast
NSW SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
Flash Flooding, Damaging winds.
For people in
the Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast
Issued at 3:50 pm on Thursday 4 September 2008
Synoptic Situation: 3:00 pm EST Thursday
A trough over southeastern Queensland is expected to deepen and form a low in the vicinity of Cape Byron early Friday. It should then move southwards to be located east of Port Macquarie by late afternoon. Rainfall over the area is expected to increase overnight on the Northern Rivers district, contracting further south to the Mid North Coast during Friday. Heavy rain and flash flooding are likely on the northern half of the North Coast overnight, extending to about Coffs Harbour during Friday morning and possibly the southern Mid North Coast Friday afternoon. Rain should ease from the north during the day, and mostly clear the Northern Rivers by Friday night.
Strong gusty winds are expected with mean speeds of 65 km/h and gusts in excess of 90 km/h along coastal parts .
Warnings
Gale Warning north of Norah Head.
Strong Wind Warning between Broken Bay and Norah Head.
Synoptic Situation
A strong high east of Tasmania combined with a deepening trough over southern Queensland is increasing east to southeasterly winds along the northern half of the NSW coast. A low is expected to develop off the North Coast early Friday and then to move southwards. It is currently expected to be located to the east of Port Macquarie late Friday evening.
Far North Coastal Waters, Point Danger to Wooli and 60nm seawards:
Gale Warning.
Thursday until midnight: Wind: SE 25/35 knots, increasing to 35/40 knots in the evening. Sea: about 3 metres, rising to 3 to 4 metres later. Swell: E/SE 3 to 4 metres. Heavy rain developing later. Isolated thunderstorms.
Friday: Wind: SE/NE 25/35 knots tending W/NW in afternoon and easing to 20/25 knots. Sea: about 3 metres abating to about 2 metres in the afternoon. Swell: E 3 to 4 metres. Heavy rain, easing later.
NORTHERN RIVERS
Warning summary at 1545 hours :
Gale Warning for coastal waters.
Forecast for Thursday evening
Rain periods and isolated thunderstorms. Possible moderate to heavy falls overnight. Fresh and gusty southeast winds, strong near the coast.
Forecast for Friday
Rain periods and isolated thunderstorms, clearing during the day. Possible moderate to heavy falls. Fresh and gusty southeast to northeast winds, strong and squally near the coast tending west to northwest during the day.
Lismore: Rain periods, clearing. Min: 13 Max: 21
Cape Byron: Rain periods, clearing. Min: 15 Max: 21
Grafton: Rain periods, clearing. Min: 11 Max: 20
The radar looking too big than the forecasts. I won't be surprised to see over 100mm by the morning and some damaging wind gusts up to 90km/hr here. Looks like a another whopper for next 24hours. Here we come for wet and wild weather as rain start falling here now with some gusts up to 65km/hr.