Supercell Hunters
-
Posts
541 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Supercell Hunters
-
-
47mm yesterday suming up for November at 346.7mm! Record breaking rainfalls! More showers to come today and they will be fairly isolated until tomorrow before clears away. Showers and storms comes back during mid week to continue the sum rainfall for November.
-
Over 130mm of rain overnight!!!! Giving the total to 300.9 record breaking November rainfall since 1900's! More expected and might seeing thunderstorms this afternoon/evening bringing heavier falls and squalls. Bring it on La Nina!
-
Had alot of rain and some severe storms further inland of NSW and QLD. Had monsoonal rain overnight total up to 77.2mm and month total (8th day so far) so far at 110mm or so. More la nina conditions developing where the monsoon seems starting up on Darwin and Wyndham radars, those storms are HUGE!
Anyways over here, more heavy showers/monsoonal-like rain continuing.
Cheers.
-
Took two lightning photo from smallish cell last night around 9pm in from the northwest. Further storms today and they will be fairly widespread and severe due to largest instability. Its hot here now at 30/21 59% feels like 32 degrees at 10 30am! Looks like today will be promising!
Bring it on storms! Give me one!
Today is last storm day of the outbreak and its 16th storm day in this outbreak! This gonna be a record! -
Had great storms in last few days. photos will be up very shortly! We only have two storm days left which is today and tomorrow. Both days are likely to have supercells due to best reasonable windshear producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and flash flooding. I am currently at Lismore for a weekend and hopefully get some storms here! It seem always hit this area since the season started. 21 storms so far this season hit. Plenty more to come, might hit 25 by end of tomorrow!
Its very hot and sticky now, 25 degrees at 9 30am with 21 degrees dewpoint and 80% humidity. Partly cloudy at 4/10. Bring it on storms day 15!
-
Fairly widespread severe cells across the Ne NSW this arvo and evening tending into massive rain band! Might get something better today, as i mean best day of the season!
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND, LARGE HAILSTONES and FLASH FLOODING
For people in the NORTHERN RIVERS, NORTHERN TABLELANDS and parts of the MID NORTH COAST, NORTH WEST SLOPES and NORTH WEST PLAINS Forecast Districts.
Issued at 3:28 pm Wednesday, 31 October 2007.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, large hailstones, very heavy rainfall and flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Lismore, Grafton, Armidale, Tenterfield, Inverell, Moree, Woolgoolga and Dorrigo.
At 3:26pm a particularly severe thunderstorm was moving towards Grafton and is expected to move over the town in the next 30 minutes.
Forecast for Wednesday evening
Showers and thunderstorms. Light to moderate north to northeast winds.
Forecast for Thursday
Cloudy with rain periods. Isolated thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon/evening. Humid with light to moderate north to northeast winds, freshening along the coast.
Lismore: Rain at times/chance thunderstorms. Min: 17 Max: 27
Cape Byron: Rain at times/chance thunderstorms. Min: 20 Max: 24
Grafton: Rain at times/chance thunderstorms. Min: 19 Max: 26
Forecast for Friday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms, mainly afternoon/evening. Humid with light to moderate northeast to northwest winds.
Lismore: Showers/chance thunderstorm. Min: 18 Max: 29
Forecast for Saturday
Cloudy with isolated showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Northwest winds tending northeasterly.
Lismore: Shower or two. Min: 18 Max: 31
Forecast for Sunday
Isolated showers. West to northwest winds.
Lismore: Chance shower. Min: 18 Max: 33
Looks like continuing! Bring it on La Nina!
-
Very true Paul!
Looks like today's instability would be strong enough to produce a tornado again! Hail, squall winds and flooding are extremely likely. Thunderstorms will be fairly widespread with few or more supercells (aka black cores).
Bring it on day 5!
-
Had alot of storms overnight yesterday, had 17.7mm of rain to 9am yesterday. Nice lightning show and some heavy monsoonal-like falls. Today was excellent, the storm hit us hard with some gusty NW liers and intense rainfalls up to 340mm/hr. Had 3.4mm in a minute! Total was 28.1mm! This storm structure was freaking awesome, very greenage!
Photos will be uploaded on this weekend.
Forecast for Monday evening
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the northeast. Moderate to fresh and gusty northwest to northeast winds, strong along the coast.
Forecast for Tuesday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms, chiefly in the afternoon. Humid with light to moderate northwest to northeast winds, freshening about the coast.
Lismore: Chance shower/storm. Min: 19 Max: 30
Cape Byron: Shower or two. Chance storm. Min: 21 Max: 25
Grafton: Shower or two. Chance storm. Min: 20 Max: 30
Forecast for Wednesday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms, chiefly afternoon. Humid with light to moderate north to northeast winds, freshening about the coast.
Lismore: Shower or two/chance storm. Min: 17 Max: 29
Forecast for Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the south during the afternoon/evening. Humid with north to northeast winds.
Lismore: Possible showers/storms. Min: 17 Max: 29
Forecast for Friday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly afternoon/evening. Humid with north to northwest winds.
Lismore: Showers/chance storm. Min: 17 Max: 30
More to go!
-
Had two cells last night, one gave some moderate falls and this morning brought nice monsoonal-like falls scored 17mm.
Looks like today storms will be like Friday with higher instability and convection. Would see more severe storms during this morning and afternoon. Storms coming towards northeast corner now.
http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR282.loop.shtml
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND and LARGE HAILSTONES
For people in the NORTHERN TABLELANDS, NORTH WEST SLOPES and parts of the HUNTER, CENTRAL TABLELANDS and CENTRAL WEST SLOPES Forecast Districts.
Issued at 5:13 am Monday, 29 October 2007.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Scone, Armidale, Tenterfield, Mudgee, Tamworth and Gunnedah.
Note that next warning will be issue for Northern Rivers due the storms moving further north.
Lifted Index: Ranging -5 to -8
CAPE: Ranging 1500 to 4500J/Kg
Windshear: NorthEast to EastNorthEast.
-
Twister wreaks havoc in Dunoon
27.10.2007
By ANDY PARKS
A FREAK tornado has ripped through the village of Dunoon.
The twister struck without warning yesterday afternoon around 4pm and within moments had all but destroyed a large section of the village.
Residents who were in the village at the time said the tornado was massive. Will Mercer said it was like something straight out of the movie Twister.
It was spiralling round and round. It was a massive great big thing, he said.
We saw it coming over Modanville, then it disappeared and reappeared about five minutes later. But instead of moving, it seemed to stay in the same location.
There was debris in the air, sheets of iron, all sorts of stuff.
Mr Mercer said he then saw a big flash that he believed was the power sub-station blowing up.
His daughter Lilly said it was like a big whirly whirly. I was at home in the pool and hail started coming down. It was really scary.
The tornado blew the walls out of St Matthews Anglican Church, ripped walls and roofs off about 20 houses and felled power lines in at least three places. The main street of Dunoon was closed to all traffic, leaving residents stranded, many of them not knowing if their houses were still intact. Phone lines were also down, making it impossible for those stranded outside of the police line to contact family and friends.
There were also reports of damage to the local school and facilities around the sports club. SES workers conducted a door-to-door search to see if anybody had been injured. An evacuation point was established at the Sports Club where the SES set up a generator for families whose houses had been damaged.
Dunoon Sports Club manager, Bernadette Ross hadnt been able to leave the club by 8Pm last night, but feared her house near The Channon had been reduced to matchsticks.
http://www.northernstar.com.au/localnews/s...condsubsection=
Minister visits hail damaged school
27.10.2007
By Alex Easton
ICE lay in clumps two house bricks high when Steve Jones got to Richmond River High School two days after this months hailstorm.
But it wasnt the ice the schools computer co-ordinator was worried about.
The storm caused extensive damage, smashing about 375 windows and flinging broken glass and giant hailstones through thankfully empty classrooms. It wrecked about 38 computers.
Broken windows backed by wooden boards still adorned the front of the school yesterday when NSW Education Minister John Della Bosca arrived to announce new air-conditioners for the school.
Mr Della Bosca expected damage when he arrived to inspect normal repair work at the 90-year-old school, but he was obviously surprised at the extent of storm damage.
School staff said the Department of Education and Training was trying to replace the windows, but the damage across Lismore from the storm meant the city now had a glass shortage.
Despite the level of storm damage, school principal Neville Ryan and P&C president Cheryl Amor had other issues to press on the Minister.
Both said the age of the school building, its status as a heritage building and the fact the area was flood-prone meant Richmond River Highs existing maintenance budget was not keeping up with the amount of work needed to keep the school and facilities in good shape.
Problems ranged from cracks in the buildings from the shifting pug soils it was built on, to rusted roofs and treacherous footpaths.
Mr Della Bosca said NSW had increased funding for school maintenance, but agreed many still struggled.
The department was reviewing school maintenance programs to see if the way money was spent could be improved and how it was allocated to schools with unique issues.
http://www.northernstar.com.au/localnews/s...condsubsection=
-
Mini-tornado rips through town
MORE than 3000 homes are without power and at least 20 homes have damaged roofs after brutal storms - and even a mini-tornado - lashed northern NSW.
A Country Energy spokeswoman said Lismore and dozens of surrounding towns were left without power last night
"We're working through the night to restore power and, depending on the severity of the damage, many homes will have power by (today)," she said.
At least 20 homes and a number of other buildings suffered roof damage in the town of Dunoon, 10km from Lismore - with a mini-twister even ripping up an electricity substation.
A stray piece of tin was blown into an insulator, causing a short circuit and shutting down power.
Watch the video below.
Two Dunoon homes lost their roofs and significant damage was recorded at a church and local school
An SES spokeswoman said two demountable buildings at the school were badly hit.
The North Coast town was declared a natural disaster zone earlier this month when a devastating hailstorm caused more than $5 million damage.
Hundreds of homes and cars were smashed, crops destroyed and 21 people left with minor injuries.
The SES was last night responding to more than 40 requests for assistance, mostly in the south of the town.
Large hailstones and destructive winds also battered Grafton, Byron Bay and Mullumbimby.
http://www.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/stor...5001021,00.html
-
Showers and storms has started for us today, very warm min at 20C and airport 18C. Looking nice and very warm outside now. showers and storms may be severe and come from the north at this stage of wind shear. Hopefully to get some big falls like OCF predicting at 21mm.
-
Best rainfall outlook for NSW ahead from tomorrow, widespread falls over 50mm and wild afternoon thunderstorms until Friday hencing showers on weekend and redevelop on next week with new system MAY brining widespread event (aka rain or supercells in NENSW).
http://forecasts.bsch.au.com/apf.html?regi...us&days=7.5
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec7.html
Both charts look promising for next two weeks for NSW and far southern Qld, hopefully this comes out very well. Another significance weather from Coral Sea may plummeting some low's or possible TC's thoroughly.
Northern Rivers forecast
Forecast for TuesdayFine, with cloud increasing through the afternoon. Light winds tending moderate to fresh northeasterly along the coast in the afternoon.
Lismore: Fine. Cloud increasing. Min: 13 Max: 32
Cape Byron: Fine. Cloud increasing. Min: 17 Max: 26
Grafton: Fine. Cloud increasing. Min: 14 Max: 32
Forecast for Wednesday
Isolated showers developing later in the day, with the chance of thunderstorms. Light to moderate north to northwest winds, tending fresh northeast along the coast in the afternoon.
Lismore: Chance late shower. Min: 15 Max: 29
Forecast for Thursday
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. North to northeast winds.
Lismore: A few showers. Min: 15 Max: 25
Forecast for Friday
Scattered showers, easing later. Northwest to northeast winds.
Lismore: Showers. Min: 13 Max: 27
GFS looks average for NSW at this stage BUT north coast NSW getting showers mostly of this event. GASP have strong effect for this stage showing some great excess of rainfalls and signifance for thunderstorms.
Hopefully this comes out well!
-
So yeah here the weather getting very summery heat! Inland temperatures reaching low to mid 40's!!!! Here lately been like winter-early spring conditions but tomorrow peek back to summery into 27 degrees and back to 30's again on Monday onwards. Showers and storms will be back by Tuesday with plentiful reports coming!
Cheers
-
Finally everyone!
Here my multi reports of wild storm outbreak 1 of the season. It took me ages to get reports on my website. Got photos from my father from Lismore hailstorm on 9th Oct 07.
Saturday 6th October 2007
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...thoctober07.htm
Sunday 7th October 2007
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...thoctober07.htm
Monday 8th October 2007
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...thoctober07.htm
Tuesday 9th October 2007
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...thoctober07.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...lismorehail.htm
Wednesday 10th October 2007
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...thoctober07.htm
Thursday 11th October 2007
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...ay11thoct07.htm
Friday 12th October 2007
http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...thoctober07.htm
It was great event, had over 64.7mm of rain and it was awesome. Best start of the season. Would we know there would have tornadoes this season? Who knows!
-
Today
Scattered showers and severe thunderstorms in afternoon. Potentially damaging winds, giant hail and risk of flooding depend of thunderstorm movement. Nw to Ne winds.
Final day of heat and storms until next mid week. My reports will come up shortly during weekend.
-
Lismore has affected by major hailstorm. It was classfied as a HP tornadic supercell. Everything was damaged, totally! No power in Lismore area to Byron and Mullum area. My dad have photos of this beauty and the damage. Hailstones were measured up to 6cm in diameter! Alot of flooding at Lismore Shopping Square and hail damage to shops aswell!
Had four storms in here Ballina today, sadly no hail all of those but winds and rain are awesome! Scored 23mm today, best rain out of storms in ages. I have photos including dads one aswell. It put it up in few days because i am serious busy! In middle of those storms, thats hell scary!. I got today daytime cgs aswell, but only one from the monster.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tomorrow setup is quite similar to today, but storms will be less likely in seqld anyways. Lifted index down to -14 and CAPE increased to 6700J/Kg. Tomorrow will be the best day.
Forecast for WednesdayIsolated afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms. Light south to southeast winds tending light to moderate east to northeast in the afternoon, fresher near the coast.
Lismore: Afternoon shower/thunderstorm. Min: 14 Max: 26
Cape Byron: Afternoon shower/thunderstorm. Min: 19 Max: 23
Grafton: Afternoon shower/thunderstorm. Min: 15 Max: 25
Forecast for Thursday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, more likely in the afternoon. Light to moderate north to northeast winds, fresher near the coast.
Lismore: Showers/thunderstorms. Min: 14 Max: 30
Forecast for Friday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Gusty westerly change.
Lismore: Becoming windy. Min: 17 Max: 33
Have three storm days left until the cooler and drier air comes.
Day five has ended and bring it on day six!
-
Li tonight is -9.3, CAPE 3100 and tomorrow Li -10.7 and CAPE 4200! OMG!
Had first storm that produced damaging winds gusts up to 80km/hr and very heavy rainfalls at 11mm. Second storm came in and produce less lightning and a breif shower. Looks like more activity to continue like forever into tonight with increasing instability and moisture. Further storms tomorrow until Saturday! 6cm hailstones reported near Casino and 4cm elsewhere in region.
Issued at 4:06pm on Monday the 8th of October 2007
IDN1006001
NORTHERN RIVERS
Warning summary
Severe thunderstorm warnings current at 4pm Monday, check latest information at www.bom.gov.au.
Forecast for Monday evening
Scattered showers and occasional thunderstorms, possibly severe with hail. Mainly moderate northeast to northwest wind.
Forecast for Tuesday
Afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Light to moderate southeast to northeast winds.
Lismore: Afternoon shower/storm. Min: 17 Max: 28
Cape Byron: Afternoon shower/storm. Min: 20 Max: 25
Grafton: Afternoon shower/storm. Min: 17 Max: 28
Forecast for Wednesday
Chance of isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Moderate northeast to southeast winds.
Lismore: Chance afternoon shower/storm. Min: 14 Max: 26
Forecast for Thursday
Local showers and afternoon thunderstorms. North to northeast winds.
Lismore: Shower, chance storm. Min: 18 Max: 32
Forecast for Friday
Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Westerly wind.
Lismore: Chance shower. Min: 17 Max: 34
IDN1006002
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND and LARGE HAILSTONES
For people in the
NORTHERN RIVERS,
NORTHERN TABLELANDS and parts of the
MID NORTH COAST and
NORTH WEST SLOPES Forecast Districts.
Issued at 5:33 pm Monday, 8 October 2007.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Lismore, Grafton, Coffs Harbour, Armidale, Tenterfield, Glen Innes and Inverell.
Reports of Giant hail about 6cm from south of Casino and several reports of Hail to at least 4cm have been received. Wind gusts of about 90km/hr were reported in a thunderstorm at Glen Innes.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep clear of fallen power lines.
* Unplug computers and appliances.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 8:35 pm.
Perfect weather, alot better than tropical lately!
-
Thanks mate. Plenty more to come, nice severe cell southwest of here and another one behind it. Its 23.8/22.1 95% here now. Lifted Index was down to -8.4C! CAPE increased to 2800J/Kg! Nice nasty 75knots windshear at 500mb! Today is best day of more severe storms and possiblity of HP supercells.
Bring it on day four!
-
Today was awesome but kinda missed the main part. I took a lot of better photographs including best lightning snaps ever and even my first snaps in daytime!
Report here: http://www.freewebs.com/stormshunters07-08...thoctober07.htm
Photo briefings of the day.
Enjoy my best cgs galore photos! I love this! Enjoy it!
-
Day 3- Sunday 7th October 2007
Windshear: 23knots ENE
Li: -7.5
CAPE: 1890j/kg
TT: 54
Damaging wind: 80% (gusts up to 65knots)
Hail diameter: 2-5cm
Rainfall: Isolated 30mm and elsewhere 15mm
Scattered high based showers/storms in northeast NSW after 11am along the trough from Port Macquarie to Mungindi. Storms will develop later in southeast QLD. More likely in northeast NSW today with damaging winds, large hail and floods.
Forecast for SundayA warm day with cloudy periods. Whilst there is the chance of some thunder, little if any precipitation is expected. Light to moderate northwest winds turning fresh and gusty north to northeasterly near the coast in the afternoon ahead of a moderate southerly change extending up from the south.
Fire danger: Very High
I thought very high to extreme fire danger? Oh well lol. UV today is 11, quite burning lol. I think there will be alot of storms today than 'chance'. Higher risk of flash flooding, damaging wind and hail today in northeast district. Likely it is going to be humid day again. Min was 19.4C. Now is 24.2/20.1 85% Feels like 25.7.
Bring it on day three!
-
Hit and run near miss single cell across the river died out very quickly for like 15mins. Evans Head and Murwillumbah cells are the best today.
Murwillumbah cell, looks like some kind of mesocyclone structure on anvil!
Evans Head cell
2nd cell SW of Ballina, closer at this stage.
Day has finished now, today was day two. Tomorrow is beginning of new day of three! Further reports from tomorrow will be keep posted.
GFS showing some massive rainfalls on ne nsw and se qld!
http://forecasts.bsch.au.com/apf.html?regi...ne&days=7.5
Enjoy!
-
Awww thanks Cookie!! Plenty more to come anyways!
Finally nsw BoM plotted storms in! Well only missed two days especially tomorrow and Saturday. Weather charts looks interesting and it might hold storms in ne nsw and southern qld until next thursday!
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDG00074.shtml
Then, here is the NR forecast (finally)
Forecast for FridayEarly fog patches, otherwise fine and mostly sunny. Light to moderate northwest winds, turning northeasterly and freshening near the coast later.
Fire danger: Very High
Lismore: Fine. Mostly sunny. Min: 15 Max: 31
Cape Byron: Fine. Mostly sunny. Min: 18 Max: 25
Grafton: Fine. Mostly sunny. Min: 14 Max: 31
Forecast for Saturday
Fine. Mostly sunny. Moderate to fresh north to northwest winds.
Lismore: Fine. Mostly sunny. Min: 16 Max: 34
Forecast for Sunday
Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Northwest to northeast winds, ahead of a southerly change.
Lismore: Mostly fine. Min: 18 Max: 35
Forecast for Monday
Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Southeast to northeast winds.
Lismore: Chance afternoon shower. Min: 18 Max: 30
A bit minor mistake on Lismore's precis, not even Mostly Fine/sunny on Sunday! That would be Possible afternoon shower or storm like Monday precis. Hopefully we going to see some more storms for October, be like October 2003 would best! But thoughtful lol. I want some more better lightning snaps off my tripod and using my hand held wind speed and temperature!
Now its cloudy, winds from E to SE at 13miles per hour at humidity of 83%. Temperature is at 22.9C (max was 28.6 at 9:01am) and dewpoint 19.4C. Much alot humid now.
-
Appears to be we getting more storms days now from late today through all week into next week! Forumers, get your gears to watch this topic for next few days!
Today is last storm day of the outbreak and its 16th storm day in this outbreak! This gonna be a record!
Australia severe weather 2007/8 season
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
Rainfall total overnight hits 15mm at airport and here 12mm. Ballina AP monthly record broke at 312mm and still counting, old record was 300mm. Here has slammed 355.8mm! Its wettest month of the year. Days now becoming warmer, humid and muggy especially hotter mins coming up. Just about 18 degrees everynight compared to inland around 12-15 degrees. Days sitting suck in high 20's especially 27-29 degrees before 30's comes back on weekend coming up.