Southern Storm

It's about now I'm regretting my decision to stay home, you win some you lose some

Wow, looks ominous

The ecm did have something developing around now, so I'm hanging all my hopes on that. Two small cells have just developed out in the channel so who knows. One thing I will say is this, if the wind suddenly picks up big time, I'll let you know, that last time that happened was on July 3rd 2015! And we all know how that turned out, about 5 minutes after the wind had picked up that night, the first flashes were seen of what went on to become a supercell. I can dream can't I ?

I decided to take a drive to Barton on sea clifftop, very calm, hardly a breath of wind, calm before the storm maybe. mid level instability passing over my location also

That makes two of us, still a lot to learn when it comes to storms

I was just about to post the same thing, are the steering winds expected to switch to more ENE direction as the evening draws on? Nice little shower/cell out was also

I think the Southeast will start seeing their storms starting to fire into life in the next 30 minutes or so, radar just starting to come to life around the Cherbourg peninsula

Thanks buddy, so anywhere could be in with a shout. This mini plume has not been easy to pin down has it, the hi Res models have been all of the place

What time and which areas, I can't decide whether to go out or not, tomorrow is looking more interesting

Brilliant, thank you very much for the update, enjoy the storm!

Yeah, it's been uninspiring for these parts for a while, hopefully motherboard nature has an extra ace up her sleeve!

Thanks for sharing, looks very interesting.

Well spotted, they are also moving In a more northerly direction than I would have expected, but as Azazel said, they need fire much further west to bring central southern areas into play. If these cells maintain and intensify, they should land somewhere between the IOW and Brighton, maybe slightly further east, what do you guys think?

I don't know what the sea temperature was back in September but I could swear I'd read they were running above normal, coincidence or not, we had some seriously good storms which were probably helped by all that extra energy from Warmer waters, it will be interesting to see if the same happens again as we transition to autumn.

Blasphemy

It's looking dire for Central southern coastal areas, and timings are also poor for nighttime storms with photography in mind Is anyone in the above mentioned area thinking of chasing today or tomorrow? Reasons I ask is I've tried chasing solo a few times, and it's been a disaster I'm not prepared to be checking radar and updates while driving, which means by the time I get to my desired location I'm usually not in the best place. If anyone is interested in teaming up please PM me, I'm happy to drive, and collect anyone on route to areas that have the best chances of storms. Scott

Is the first photo you posted from July 18th? 2017 ? The only reason I ask is because I took a similar photo of lightning coming down in roughly the same spot you said you were shooting that evening, but my photo was taken on the 10th of July 2015 looking south east from Mudeford quay It was a dry storm and the bolts looked stupidly powerful!

It was one of the events where just when you thought it was over, new cells would build right behind, it was amazing! I'm off to France in August, it usually gives me my storm fix if things are quiet back in the UK.

Thank god for that, you are right July not August I had a look back though my pictures and couldn't see anything for August 18th, I've been sat here wondering how I couldn't have captured anything That first one of yours is all are great though! Well captured So here are some I shot that evening.

I I remember this one very well, "popcorn cells" just exploding almost out of nowhere, with some extremely close bolts, certainly to close to try and get pictures. I'd take 10% of what we had that evening, it's been so poor this season.

Hopefully the models are being over progressive As long as the UK doesn't miss out completely I'll be happy, we've seen too many storms head off east and everyone miss out. I'm prepared to travel if necessary as I'm getting serious withdrawals now, especially after seeing so much great content of this week's thundery spell

Unfortunately I have some annoying cloud rolling in, which won't be a bid deal if nothing turns up Looking at some of the euro webcams it looks like there is something but it's very low on the horizon, and with no real structure.

Yeah I've also been looking, this is the only thing I can see that has a slight hint of NLC but too early to tell Bergbahnen Wildhaus - Gamserrugg mit Blick zum Säntis und Schafberg - Foto-Webcam.eu WWW.FOTO-WEBCAM.EU Webcam Bergbahnen Wildhaus - Gamserrugg mit Blick zum Säntis und Schafberg

Well it looks like it wasn't to be today. Looking at the radar, a new cell has just popped up west of wimborne. You can see what it looks like from my perspective, just a load of Missy cloud, and you can also see what remains of the cell that's formed over Southampton. Looks impressive but again not much in it

Here it is, I don't think it has much in it to be honest. Expecting it to fall apart fairly soon